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United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

$109.58 $-1.07 (-0.97%) |Fair · 59
Bottom line: BUY — our Council read (59/100) and AI Score (59/100) broadly agree.
MCap: $81.81B| P/E Ratio: 13.7| Vol: 1.07M| Target: $114.00 (+4.0%)|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) trades at $109.58 with AI Score 59/100 (Grade B). United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global leader in logistics and package delivery. The company operates through U. S. Market cap: $81.81B, Sector: Industrials.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global leader in logistics and package delivery. The company operates through U.S. Domestic Package and International Package segments, serving over 200 countries and territories.

UPS stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $114.00 for United Parcel Service, Inc., suggesting 4.0% upside from the current price of $109.58. The AI MoonshotScore is 59/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
BUY 59/100 · B

UPS: the 1 perspectives are evenly split.

How is this calculated? →
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOCarol Tome
Employees490000
HeadquartersAtlanta, GA, US
IPO Year1999

United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global leader in package delivery and supply chain management, offering time-definite services through its U.S. Domestic and International Package segments. With a vast network and a focus on technology, UPS serves diverse industries across approximately 200 countries and territories, maintaining a significant market share.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for UPS?

UPS presents a compelling, albeit mature, investment case supported by its extensive global network and strong brand recognition. With a current P/E ratio of 13.7 and a dividend yield of 6.51%, UPS offers a blend of value and income. Growth catalysts include expansion in emerging markets and continued investment in technology to enhance efficiency and customer experience. The company's ability to maintain a solid profit margin of 5.9% and gross margin of 18.1% underscores its operational efficiency. However, investors may want to evaluate potential risks such as economic downturns affecting shipping volumes and increasing competition from other logistics providers. The company's beta of 1.10 indicates slightly higher volatility compared to the market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

UPS Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $81.81B, reflecting its significant presence in the logistics industry.
  • P/E ratio of 13.7, indicating a reasonable valuation compared to earnings.
  • Dividend yield of 6.51%, offering a substantial income stream for investors.
  • Profit margin of 5.9%, demonstrating the company's ability to generate profit from its operations.
  • Gross margin of 18.1%, highlighting the efficiency of its core delivery services.

Who Are UPS's Competitors?

UPS is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. $277.91 +2.77% 112B 89
GD General Dynamics Corporation $376.88 +0.89% 102B 80
FDX FedEx Corporation $309.49 -1.12% $73.85B 66
JCI Johnson Controls International plc $142.59 +1.30% $87.00B 53
NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation $546.29 -0.50% $77.59B 64
INPOY InPost S.A. $8.70 -2.30% $8.69B 60
PGUUF Prosegur Cash, S.A. $0.72 +0.00% $1.05B 56
KRRYF KLN Logistics Group Ltd. $0.55 +0.00% $994.09M 55

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are UPS's Key Strengths?

  • Global brand recognition and reputation.
  • Extensive network and infrastructure.
  • Strong financial performance.
  • Advanced technology and automation capabilities.

What Are UPS's Weaknesses?

  • High operating costs.
  • Dependence on economic conditions.
  • Exposure to fuel price fluctuations.
  • Labor union negotiations.

What Could Drive UPS Stock Higher?

  • Continued expansion of e-commerce driving increased shipping volumes.
  • Investments in technology and automation improving efficiency and reducing costs.
  • Potential acquisitions or partnerships to expand service offerings.
  • Focus on sustainability initiatives attracting environmentally conscious customers.

What Are the Key Risks for UPS?

  • Economic downturns affecting shipping volumes and revenue.
  • Increased competition from other logistics providers.
  • Fluctuations in fuel prices impacting operating costs.
  • Labor disputes and union negotiations.
  • Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for UPS?

  • Growth opportunity 1: Expansion in emerging markets represents a significant growth opportunity for UPS. As e-commerce and international trade continue to grow in regions like Asia Pacific and Latin America, UPS can leverage its existing infrastructure and expertise to capture a larger market share. This expansion involves establishing new facilities, strengthening partnerships with local businesses, and tailoring services to meet the specific needs of these markets. The global logistics market is projected to reach trillions of dollars, providing ample room for UPS to grow its international presence.
  • Growth opportunity 2: Investment in technology and automation to improve efficiency and reduce costs. By implementing advanced technologies such as AI-powered route optimization, automated sorting systems, and drone delivery, UPS can streamline its operations and enhance customer service. These technologies can also help UPS reduce its carbon footprint and improve sustainability. The market for logistics automation is expected to grow significantly, driven by the need for faster and more efficient delivery services.
  • Growth opportunity 3: Focus on specialized services for high-growth industries, such as healthcare and e-commerce. UPS can leverage its expertise in supply chain management to offer customized solutions for these industries, including temperature-controlled shipping for pharmaceuticals and last-mile delivery for online retailers. By catering to the specific needs of these industries, UPS can differentiate itself from competitors and capture a larger share of the market. The healthcare logistics market is projected to grow substantially, driven by the increasing demand for pharmaceuticals and medical devices.
  • Growth opportunity 4: Development of sustainable logistics solutions to meet the growing demand for environmentally friendly delivery services. UPS can invest in electric vehicles, alternative fuels, and carbon offset programs to reduce its environmental impact and appeal to environmentally conscious customers. By promoting its sustainability initiatives, UPS can enhance its brand image and attract new customers. The market for sustainable logistics is growing rapidly, driven by increasing awareness of environmental issues and government regulations.
  • Growth opportunity 5: Leveraging data analytics to improve decision-making and optimize operations. UPS can use data analytics to gain insights into customer behavior, predict demand patterns, and optimize delivery routes. By leveraging these insights, UPS can improve its efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance customer satisfaction. The market for data analytics in logistics is growing rapidly, driven by the increasing availability of data and the need for more efficient supply chain management.

What Opportunities Does UPS Have?

  • Expansion in emerging markets.
  • Growth in e-commerce.
  • Development of sustainable logistics solutions.
  • Leveraging data analytics to improve efficiency.

What Threats Does UPS Face?

  • Intense competition from other logistics providers.
  • Economic downturns affecting shipping volumes.
  • Geopolitical risks and trade tensions.
  • Cybersecurity threats.

What Are UPS's Competitive Advantages?

  • Extensive global network and infrastructure.
  • Strong brand recognition and reputation for reliability.
  • Advanced technology and automation capabilities.
  • Long-standing relationships with key customers.

What Does UPS Do?

Founded in 1907 in Seattle, Washington, as the American Messenger Company, United Parcel Service (UPS) initially focused on package delivery for retail stores. Over the decades, UPS evolved from a local delivery service to a global logistics giant. The company expanded its operations to include air delivery in 1929 and international services in 1975. Today, UPS operates through two primary segments: U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment provides time-definite delivery of letters, documents, small packages, and palletized freight via air and ground services within the United States. The International Package segment offers guaranteed day and time-definite international shipping services across Europe, Asia Pacific, Canada, Latin America, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, and Africa. UPS also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, distribution, post-sales, mail, and consulting services. The company's extensive infrastructure includes a fleet of approximately 121,000 package cars, vans, tractors, and motorcycles, as well as 59,000 containers for air cargo. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, UPS continues to innovate in logistics and supply chain solutions, serving a wide range of industries globally.

What Products and Services Does UPS Offer?

  • Provides letter and package delivery services globally.
  • Offers transportation and logistics solutions.
  • Operates through U.S. Domestic Package and International Package segments.
  • Provides time-definite delivery of documents, packages, and freight.
  • Offers international air and ocean freight forwarding.
  • Provides customs brokerage and distribution services.
  • Offers supply chain solutions to the healthcare and life sciences industry.
  • Provides shipping, visibility, and billing technologies.

How Does UPS Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from package delivery services.
  • Offers a range of transportation and logistics solutions to businesses and individuals.
  • Provides value-added services such as customs brokerage and supply chain management.
  • Leverages its extensive network and infrastructure to deliver packages efficiently.

What Industry Does UPS Operate In?

UPS operates in the integrated freight and logistics industry, which is characterized by intense competition and evolving customer demands. The industry is experiencing growth driven by e-commerce expansion and global trade. UPS competes with companies like FDX: FedEx Corporation, which also offers comprehensive logistics solutions. Market trends include increasing demand for faster delivery times, advanced tracking capabilities, and sustainable logistics practices. UPS's extensive network and technology investments position it to capitalize on these trends, but it must continually adapt to maintain its competitive edge.

Who Are UPS's Key Customers?

  • Businesses of all sizes, from small retailers to large corporations.
  • E-commerce companies that require reliable delivery services.
  • Healthcare providers and pharmaceutical companies.
  • Individuals who need to send or receive packages.
AI Confidence: 83% Updated: May 10, 2026

UPS Valuation & Market Position

With a $81.81B market cap, United Parcel Service, Inc. sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, UPS's quantitative score of 59/100 is below the peer average of 70/100.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project United Parcel Service, Inc. revenue of about $90.10B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $7.10. The estimate reflects 18 contributing analysts.

F-Score 5/9Financial Health

United Parcel Service, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.91 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

ROE 33%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for United Parcel Service, Inc. stands at 33.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 7.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. UPS trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 13.66, below the Industrials sector average of ~30x. Its free cash flow yield is 5.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.21 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 5.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Net buyingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, United Parcel Service, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 14 sales and 16 purchases. On net that is roughly 72K shares acquired (about $893K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

UPS Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-2.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-3.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
-3.0%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-23.3%
P/E (TTM)
17.9
Return on Equity (TTM)
+33.0%
Current Ratio
1.2
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
9.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in UPS's future performance, indicating that executives believe in a positive outlook.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively as discussions around e-commerce growth and increased package demand gain traction.
  • Analysts are noting UPS's strategic investments in technology that enhance operational efficiency, which could boost long-term profitability.
  • The recent expansion into international markets is seen as a strong move to diversify revenue streams and capitalize on global logistics opportunities.

Bear Case

  • Concerns about rising operational costs have been prevalent, with discussions around inflation impacting profit margins.
  • Community sentiment reflects anxiety over potential labor disputes, which could disrupt operations and affect service reliability.
  • There is skepticism regarding UPS's ability to maintain its market share amidst increasing competition from rivals like FedEx and Amazon.
  • Market perception has been cautious due to macroeconomic uncertainties, leading to worries about overall demand for shipping services.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026

From the Earnings Call

“DAP gives us access to over 8 million SMBs and in the first quarter, we generated $1.2 billion in global DAP revenue, marking the second quarter in a row of delivering GAAP revenue over $1 billion.”

— Carol Tomé, CEO

“Today, we are reaffirming 2026 consolidated financial goals. For the year, we expect to generate consolidated revenue of approximately $89.7 billion, and a consolidated operating margin of approximately 9.6%.”

— Carol Tomé, CEO

UPS Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-04-28

UPS Latest News

UPS Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for UPS.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $114.00

UPS MoonshotScore

59/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates UPS's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest United Parcel Service, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Carol Tome

Chief Executive Officer

Carol Tomé has served as the Chief Executive Officer of UPS since June 2020. Prior to joining UPS, she served as the Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President of The Home Depot from 2001 to 2019. She has extensive experience in finance, operations, and strategy. Tomé also serves on the boards of several companies and organizations, bringing a wealth of knowledge and leadership skills to UPS.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO, Carol Tomé has focused on streamlining operations, improving efficiency, and enhancing customer service. She has led UPS through a period of significant growth, driven by the surge in e-commerce. Tomé has also emphasized sustainability and social responsibility, positioning UPS as a leader in environmentally friendly logistics. Her strategic decisions have contributed to the company's strong financial performance and market position.

Common Questions About UPS (Industrials)

What does United Parcel Service, Inc. do?

United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global leader in logistics and package delivery, operating through two main segments: U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The company provides a wide array of services, including time-definite delivery, freight forwarding, customs brokerage, and supply chain solutions. UPS serves businesses and individuals in approximately 200 countries and territories, leveraging its extensive network and infrastructure to facilitate the movement of goods worldwide. UPS's commitment to technology and innovation allows it to offer efficient and reliable delivery services, making it a key player in the global economy.

What do analysts say about UPS stock?

Analyst consensus on UPS stock reflects a generally positive outlook, acknowledging the company's strong market position and growth potential. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 13.7 and dividend yield of 6.51%, suggest a blend of value and income. Growth considerations include the continued expansion of e-commerce and UPS's investments in technology and automation. However, analysts also note potential risks such as economic downturns and increased competition. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, recognizing UPS's strengths while acknowledging the challenges it faces in a dynamic industry.

What are the main risks for UPS?

UPS faces several key risks that could impact its financial performance and market position. Economic downturns can significantly reduce shipping volumes, affecting revenue and profitability. Increased competition from other logistics providers, such as FDX: FedEx Corporation, puts pressure on pricing and market share. Fluctuations in fuel prices can increase operating costs, squeezing margins. Labor disputes and union negotiations pose a risk to operational stability. Additionally, cybersecurity threats and data breaches could disrupt operations and damage the company's reputation. Effective risk management is crucial for UPS to navigate these challenges and maintain its competitive edge.

How does United Parcel Service, Inc. compare to competitors in its industry?

United Parcel Service (UPS) competes with other major players in the integrated freight and logistics industry, most notably FDX: FedEx Corporation. While both companies offer similar services, UPS distinguishes itself through its extensive global network and strong focus on technology and automation. UPS has a larger ground fleet, while FedEx has a larger air fleet. UPS also places a greater emphasis on sustainability initiatives. Both companies face similar challenges, such as economic fluctuations and rising fuel costs. However, UPS's strong brand reputation and commitment to innovation position it well in the competitive landscape.

What are the key financial metrics investors watch for UPS?

Investors closely monitor several key financial metrics to assess UPS's performance and investment potential. Revenue growth is a critical indicator of the company's ability to expand its market share and capitalize on growth opportunities. Profit margin and gross margin reflect the efficiency of UPS's operations and its ability to control costs. The P/E ratio provides insight into the company's valuation relative to its earnings. Dividend yield is an important metric for income-seeking investors. Additionally, investors track UPS's capital expenditures and cash flow to assess its financial health and ability to invest in future growth initiatives. These metrics provide a comprehensive view of UPS's financial performance and investment attractiveness.

What are the key factors to evaluate for UPS?

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) holds an AI score of 59/100 (moderate). P/E: 13.7x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $114.00 (+4%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does UPS data refresh on this page?

UPS prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven UPS's recent stock price performance?

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Global brand recognition and reputation. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of 2026-05-10.
Data Sources

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