United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Industrial Operations Profile

United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global leader in package delivery and supply chain management, offering time-definite services through its U.S. Domestic and International Package segments. With a vast network and a focus on technology, UPS serves diverse industries across approximately 200 countries and territories, maintaining a significant market share.

What Is the Investment Thesis for UPS?

UPS presents a compelling, albeit mature, investment case supported by its extensive global network and strong brand recognition. With a current P/E ratio of 19.4 and a dividend yield of 6.51%, UPS offers a blend of value and income. Growth catalysts include expansion in emerging markets and continued investment in technology to enhance efficiency and customer experience. The company's ability to maintain a solid profit margin of 5.9% and gross margin of 18.1% underscores its operational efficiency. However, investors may want to evaluate potential risks such as economic downturns affecting shipping volumes and increasing competition from other logistics providers. The company's beta of 1.10 indicates slightly higher volatility compared to the market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

UPS Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $86.7B, reflecting its significant presence in the logistics industry.

• P/E ratio of 19.4, indicating a reasonable valuation compared to earnings.
• Dividend yield of 6.51%, offering a substantial income stream for investors.
• Profit margin of 5.9%, demonstrating the company's ability to generate profit from its operations.
• Gross margin of 18.1%, highlighting the efficiency of its core delivery services.

Who Are UPS's Competitors?

UPS is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are UPS's Key Strengths?

Global brand recognition and reputation.

• Extensive network and infrastructure.
• Strong financial performance.
• Advanced technology and automation capabilities.

What Are UPS's Weaknesses?

High operating costs.

• Dependence on economic conditions.
• Exposure to fuel price fluctuations.
• Labor union negotiations.

What Could Drive UPS Stock Higher?

Continued expansion of e-commerce driving increased shipping volumes.

• Investments in technology and automation improving efficiency and reducing costs.
• Potential acquisitions or partnerships to expand service offerings.
• Focus on sustainability initiatives attracting environmentally conscious customers.

What Are the Key Risks for UPS?

Economic downturns affecting shipping volumes and revenue.

• Increased competition from other logistics providers.
• Fluctuations in fuel prices impacting operating costs.
• Labor disputes and union negotiations.
• Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for UPS?

• Growth opportunity 1: Expansion in emerging markets represents a significant growth opportunity for UPS. As e-commerce and international trade continue to grow in regions like Asia Pacific and Latin America, UPS can leverage its existing infrastructure and expertise to capture a larger market share. This expansion involves establishing new facilities, strengthening partnerships with local businesses, and tailoring services to meet the specific needs of these markets.
• Growth opportunity 2: Investment in technology and automation to improve efficiency and reduce costs. By implementing advanced technologies such as AI-powered route optimization, automated sorting systems, and drone delivery, UPS can streamline its operations and enhance customer service. These technologies can also help UPS reduce its carbon footprint and improve sustainability. The market for logistics automation is expected to grow significantly, driven by the need for faster and more efficient delivery services.
• Growth opportunity 3: Focus on specialized services for high-growth industries, such as healthcare and e-commerce. UPS can leverage its expertise in supply chain management to offer customized solutions for these industries, including temperature-controlled shipping for pharmaceuticals and last-mile delivery for online retailers. By catering to the specific needs of these industries, UPS can differentiate itself from competitors and capture a larger share of the market. The healthcare logistics market is projected to grow substantially, driven by the increasing demand for pharmaceuticals and medical devices.
• Growth opportunity 4: Development of sustainable logistics solutions to meet the growing demand for environmentally friendly delivery services. UPS can invest in electric vehicles, alternative fuels, and carbon offset programs to reduce its environmental impact and appeal to environmentally conscious customers. By promoting its sustainability initiatives, UPS can enhance its brand image and attract new customers. The market for sustainable logistics is growing rapidly, driven by increasing awareness of environmental issues and government regulations.
• Growth opportunity 5: Leveraging data analytics to improve decision-making and optimize operations. UPS can use data analytics to gain insights into customer behavior, predict demand patterns, and optimize delivery routes. By leveraging these insights, UPS can improve its efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance customer satisfaction. The market for data analytics in logistics is growing rapidly, driven by the increasing availability of data and the need for more efficient supply chain management.

What Are UPS's Competitive Advantages?

• Extensive global network and infrastructure.
• Strong brand recognition and reputation for reliability.
• Advanced technology and automation capabilities.
• Long-standing relationships with key customers.

What Does UPS Do?

Founded in 1907 in Seattle, Washington, as the American Messenger Company, United Parcel Service (UPS) initially focused on package delivery for retail stores. Over the decades, UPS evolved from a local delivery service to a global logistics giant. The company expanded its operations to include air delivery in 1929 and international services in 1975. Today, UPS operates through two primary segments: U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment provides time-definite delivery of letters, documents, small packages, and palletized freight via air and ground services within the United States. The International Package segment offers guaranteed day and time-definite international shipping services across Europe, Asia Pacific, Canada, Latin America, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, and Africa. UPS also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, distribution, post-sales, mail, and consulting services. The company's extensive infrastructure includes a fleet of approximately 121,000 package cars, vans, tractors, and motorcycles, as well as 59,000 containers for air cargo. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, UPS continues to innovate in logistics and supply chain solutions, serving a wide range of industries globally.

What Products and Services Does UPS Offer?

• Provides letter and package delivery services globally.
• Offers transportation and logistics solutions.
• Operates through U.S. Domestic Package and International Package segments.
• Provides time-definite delivery of documents, packages, and freight.
• Offers international air and ocean freight forwarding.
• Provides customs brokerage and distribution services.
• Offers supply chain solutions to the healthcare and life sciences industry.
• Provides shipping, visibility, and billing technologies.

How Does UPS Make Money?

• Generates revenue from package delivery services.
• Offers a range of transportation and logistics solutions to businesses and individuals.
• Provides value-added services such as customs brokerage and supply chain management.
• Leverages its extensive network and infrastructure to deliver packages efficiently.

What Industry Does UPS Operate In?

UPS operates in the integrated freight and logistics industry, which is characterized by intense competition and evolving customer demands. The industry is experiencing growth driven by e-commerce expansion and global trade. UPS competes with companies like FDX: FedEx Corporation, which also offers comprehensive logistics solutions. Market trends include increasing demand for faster delivery times, advanced tracking capabilities, and sustainable logistics practices. UPS's extensive network and technology investments position it to capitalize on these trends, but it must continually adapt to maintain its competitive edge.

Who Are UPS's Key Customers?

• Businesses of all sizes, from small retailers to large corporations.
• E-commerce companies that require reliable delivery services.
• Healthcare providers and pharmaceutical companies.
• Individuals who need to send or receive packages.

Company Profile

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Atlanta, US. The company is led by CEO Carol Tomé. UPS has traded publicly since 1999.

Return on equity for United Parcel Service, Inc. stands at 29.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 6.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. UPS trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 19.38, below the Industrials sector average of ~32x. Its free cash flow yield is 6.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.18 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 5.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

UPS Valuation & Market Position

With a $86.7B market cap, United Parcel Service, Inc. sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, UPS's quantitative score of 55/100 is below the peer average of 70/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: United Parcel Service, Inc.

Revenue for United Parcel Service, Inc. came in at $22.83B during Q2 2026, a 7.7% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $604.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.71. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, UPS averaged $1.34 in diluted EPS.

United Parcel Service, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.91 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

United Parcel Service, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 9.6% above estimates on average.

Wall Street analysts project United Parcel Service, Inc. revenue of about $91.46B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $7.19. The estimate reflects 19 contributing analysts.

Over the past six months, United Parcel Service, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 14 sales and 16 purchases. On net that is roughly 72K shares acquired (about $893K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

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Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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