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Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$4.81 -$0.14 (-2.83%) |Weak · 19
Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (41/100) while the AI fundamental score is 19/100 (grade F); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Moon AI bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $82.6M| Vol: 8.7K| Target: $9.00 (+87.1%) (Aug 29, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $3.28 – $9.82

Market cap $82.6M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.43: the stock has moved about 43% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) trades at $4.81 with MoonshotScore 19/100 (Grade F). Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a dermatology therapeutics company focused on developing and commercializing treatments for skin diseases. Market cap: $82.6M, Sector: Healthcare.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a dermatology therapeutics company focused on developing and commercializing treatments for skin diseases. Their lead product, VP-102, targets molluscum contagiosum, with ongoing trials for other dermatological conditions.

VRCA stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $9.00 for Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc., suggesting 87.1% upside from the current price of $4.81. The AI MoonshotScore is 19/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the VRCA film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 41/100 · C

VRCA: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 19/100
Business Quality
Weak Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Negative Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Weak Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (8/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Financial Safety (2/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEOJayson Rieger
Employees76
HeadquartersWest Chester, PA, US
IPO Year2018

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a dermatology-focused biotechnology company developing and commercializing treatments for skin diseases, primarily targeting molluscum contagiosum with its lead product candidate VP-102. The company also has ongoing trials for external genital warts and common warts, positioning it within the competitive dermatology therapeutics market.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for VRCA?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. presents a focused investment opportunity within the dermatology therapeutics market. The company's lead product candidate, VP-102, targeting molluscum contagiosum, addresses a significant unmet need. Positive clinical trial results and potential FDA approval for VP-102 could drive substantial revenue growth. The company's gross margin of 90.8% indicates strong pricing power and profitability potential upon commercialization. Key growth catalysts include the successful completion of ongoing clinical trials for external genital warts and common warts, as well as expansion into new geographic markets through strategic collaborations. However, the company's negative profit margin of -50.3% and reliance on successful clinical trials and regulatory approvals pose significant risks. Investors should closely monitor clinical trial outcomes, regulatory decisions, and market adoption rates to assess the investment viability of Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

VRCA Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $82.6M reflects the company's current valuation in the biotechnology sector.

  • Gross margin of 90.8% indicates strong potential profitability upon successful commercialization of its products.
  • Negative profit margin of -50.3% highlights the company's current reliance on R&D and clinical trial expenses.
  • Beta of 1.43 suggests higher volatility compared to the overall market, typical for biotechnology companies.
  • No dividend yield reflects the company's focus on reinvesting earnings into research and development.

Who Are VRCA's Competitors?

VRCA is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
RLYB Rallybio Corporation $16.75 -1.30% $88.9M 825-pillar
ICCC ImmuCell Corporation $9.91 +0.05% $89.7M 775-pillar
ORMP Oramed Pharmaceuticals Inc. $4.74 -0.38% $194M 785-pillar
NAGE Niagen Bioscience Inc $3.04 -0.49% $242M 665-pillar
QTTB Q32 Bio Inc. $10.93 +1.96% $325M 685-pillar
NWPHF Newron Pharmaceuticals S.p.A. $20.00 0.00% $416M 689-signal
CRMD CorMedix Inc. $7.96 -0.06% $624M 885-pillar
MDXG MiMedx Group, Inc. $4.60 -1.71% $671M 875-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are VRCA's Key Strengths?

Proprietary cantharidin-based technology.

  • Lead product candidate targeting a significant unmet need.
  • Positive clinical trial results.
  • Strategic partnerships for geographic expansion.

What Are VRCA's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin.

  • Reliance on successful clinical trials and regulatory approvals.
  • Limited commercialization experience.
  • Small company size and limited resources.

What Could Drive VRCA Stock Higher?

FDA decision on VP-102 approval for molluscum contagiosum.

  • Completion of Phase II clinical trial for VP-102 in common warts.
  • Enrollment and progress in clinical trials for VP-103 in plantar warts.
  • Expansion of strategic partnerships for new markets.

What Are the Key Risks for VRCA?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -13.21 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Failure to obtain FDA approval for VP-102.
  • Unfavorable clinical trial results for VP-102 or VP-103.
  • Competition from existing and emerging dermatology therapeutics.
  • Dependence on strategic partners for commercialization.
  • Product liability claims.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for VRCA?

  • Expansion into New Therapeutic Areas: Verrica has the opportunity to expand its pipeline by developing treatments for other dermatological conditions beyond molluscum contagiosum, plantar warts, external genital warts and common warts. This could involve exploring new therapeutic targets or leveraging its existing cantharidin-based technology. The dermatology market is vast, with numerous unmet needs in areas such as acne, psoriasis, and eczema, offering significant growth potential. Timeline: Ongoing, with potential new product candidates entering clinical development within the next 2-3 years.
  • Geographic Expansion: Verrica's collaboration with Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. for the Japanese market provides a template for expanding into other international markets. Europe and other regions with high healthcare spending and unmet dermatological needs represent attractive growth opportunities. Establishing partnerships or subsidiaries in these regions could significantly increase Verrica's revenue and market share. Timeline: 3-5 years, contingent on regulatory approvals and market access strategies.
  • Strategic Acquisitions or Licensing: Verrica could accelerate its growth by acquiring or licensing complementary technologies or product candidates. This could involve acquiring smaller biotechnology companies with promising dermatology assets or licensing innovative drug delivery systems. Such acquisitions or licensing deals could broaden Verrica's pipeline and enhance its competitive position. Timeline: Opportunistic, dependent on available assets and strategic fit.
  • Direct-to-Consumer Marketing: As Verrica's products gain regulatory approval and commercial traction, the company could explore direct-to-consumer marketing strategies to increase awareness and drive sales. This could involve online advertising, social media campaigns, and partnerships with dermatology clinics. Effective direct-to-consumer marketing could significantly boost Verrica's brand recognition and market share. Timeline: 1-2 years following successful product launches.
  • Development of Combination Therapies: Verrica could explore the development of combination therapies that combine its existing product candidates with other treatments to enhance efficacy and address complex dermatological conditions. This could involve combining VP-102 with other antiviral or anti-inflammatory agents to improve treatment outcomes for molluscum contagiosum or other skin infections. Combination therapies could offer a competitive advantage and address unmet needs in the dermatology market. Timeline: 3-5 years, contingent on research and development efforts.

What Threats Does VRCA Face?

  • Competition from established pharmaceutical companies.
  • Regulatory hurdles and delays.
  • Clinical trial failures.
  • Product liability risks.

What Are VRCA's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary cantharidin-based technology platform.
  • Clinical trial data demonstrating efficacy and safety.
  • Strategic partnerships for geographic expansion.
  • Intellectual property protection (patents).
  • First-mover advantage in specific dermatology niches.

What Does VRCA Do?

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc., established in 2013 and headquartered in West Chester, Pennsylvania, is a dermatology therapeutics company dedicated to developing and commercializing innovative treatments for skin diseases. The company's primary focus is on addressing unmet needs in dermatology through its proprietary product candidates. Verrica's lead product candidate, VP-102, is being developed for the treatment of molluscum contagiosum, a common viral skin infection. VP-102 has completed Phase II clinical trials for external genital warts and is in Phase II clinical trials for common warts, demonstrating its potential across multiple dermatological indications. In addition to VP-102, Verrica is also developing VP-103, a cantharidin-based product candidate for treating plantar warts. These product candidates leverage Verrica's expertise in dermatology and its commitment to providing effective solutions for patients with skin diseases. Verrica has also established strategic collaborations to expand its reach and pipeline. The company has a license and collaboration agreement with Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. for the development and commercialization of its product candidates in Japan, focusing on molluscum contagiosum and common warts. Additionally, Verrica has a license agreement with Lytix Biopharma AS to develop and commercialize LTX-315 for dermatological oncology indications, further diversifying its therapeutic focus. With a team of 71 employees, Verrica is focused on advancing its pipeline and commercializing its products to improve the lives of individuals affected by skin diseases.

What Products and Services Does VRCA Offer?

  • Develops and commercializes dermatology therapeutics.
  • Focuses on treatments for skin diseases.
  • Lead product candidate: VP-102 for molluscum contagiosum.
  • Conducts clinical trials for external genital warts and common warts.
  • Developing VP-103 for plantar warts.
  • Collaborates with Torii Pharmaceutical for Japanese market.
  • Partners with Lytix Biopharma for dermatological oncology.

How Does VRCA Make Money?

  • Develops proprietary dermatology therapeutics.
  • Conducts clinical trials to demonstrate safety and efficacy.
  • Seeks regulatory approvals for commercialization.
  • Commercializes products directly or through partnerships.
  • Generates revenue through product sales and licensing agreements.

What Industry Does VRCA Operate In?

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. operates within the dermatology therapeutics market, a segment experiencing growth driven by increasing prevalence of skin diseases and demand for innovative treatments. The market is characterized by intense competition among established pharmaceutical companies and emerging biotechnology firms. Verrica's focus on molluscum contagiosum and other common skin conditions positions it within a niche market with significant potential. The company's success depends on its ability to navigate the competitive landscape, secure regulatory approvals, and effectively commercialize its products.

Who Are VRCA's Key Customers?

  • Patients with skin diseases (molluscum contagiosum, warts).
  • Dermatologists and other healthcare providers.
  • Pharmacies and distributors.
  • Strategic partners (Torii Pharmaceutical, Lytix Biopharma).
Model self-rating on this text: 66% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 94% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 36 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 19?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Gross profit per dollar of assets (Business Quality)
  • +0.48 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • +0.24 Operating income growth (Growth)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Net margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.48 Share dilution (Growth)

Risk penalties applied

  • -1.89 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone
  • -2.00 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 22
2026-08-26 17
2026-08-29 22
2026-09-01 18
2026-09-04 18
2026-09-07 19
2026-09-10 19

What changed?

The grade moved from 22 to 19 (-3).

Held back by:

  • +10 Valuation
  • +7 Momentum

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +2.5%.

Company Profile

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. operates in the Biotechnology industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in West Chester, US. The company is led by CEO Jayson Rieger. VRCA has traded publicly since 2018.

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. Financial Trajectory

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) reported $5.9M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 16.7% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $13.2M, with diluted EPS of $-0.62. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a micro-cap company operating in Healthcare. Across the four most recent quarters, VRCA averaged $-0.46 in diluted EPS.

How Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. Is Valued

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. carries a market capitalization of $82.6M, placing it in the micro-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $9.00 to $9.00, with a consensus of $9.00. At the current price of $4.81, that implies approximately 87% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, VRCA's quantitative score of 19/100 is below the peer average of 77/100.

Key Financial Metrics

Return on assets is -86.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -15.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.45 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -29.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 4/9

Financial Health

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -13.21 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

4/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 63.9% below estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. insiders filed 13 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 13 purchases. On net that is roughly 1.0M shares acquired (about $8.1M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

VRCA Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+370.2%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+76.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
+88.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+71.1%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-444.4%
Current Ratio
1.5

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Proprietary cantharidin-based technology.
  • Lead product candidate targeting a significant unmet need.
  • Positive clinical trial results.
  • Strategic partnerships for geographic expansion.

Bear Case

  • Negative profit margin.
  • Reliance on successful clinical trials and regulatory approvals.
  • Limited commercialization experience.
  • Small company size and limited resources.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $6M -$13M -$0.62
Q1 FY2026 $5M -$10M -$0.45
Q4 FY2025 $5M -$8M -$0.76
Q3 FY2025 $14M -$274,000 -$0.03

Q2 FY2026 · filed 6 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

VRCA Latest News

VRCA Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for VRCA.

Price Targets

Low
$9.00
Consensus
$9.00
High
$9.00

Median: $9.00 (+87.1% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 29, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

VRCA MoonshotScore

19/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. VRCA scores 19/100 (Grade F): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Jayson Rieger

CEO

Jayson Rieger serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. His background includes extensive experience in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries, with a focus on commercialization and strategic development. He has held leadership positions at various companies, contributing to the launch and growth of several pharmaceutical products. Rieger's expertise spans across multiple therapeutic areas, including dermatology. His educational background includes a strong foundation in business and science, providing him with the necessary skills to lead a biotechnology company.

Track Record: Under Jayson Rieger's leadership, Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. has focused on advancing its pipeline of dermatology therapeutics, particularly VP-102 for the treatment of molluscum contagiosum. Key milestones include the completion of Phase II clinical trials for external genital warts and the ongoing Phase II clinical trial for common warts. Rieger has also overseen strategic collaborations with Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. and Lytix Biopharma AS to expand the company's reach and pipeline.

Common Questions About VRCA (Healthcare)

What does the AI Score mean for VRCA?

VRCA holds an AI Score of 19/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a dermatology therapeutics company focused on developing and commercializing treatments for skin diseases.

Is VRCA a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate VRCA buy, sell or hold. Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 19/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What are the main risks for VRCA?

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. faces several key risks, including the potential failure to obtain FDA approval for VP-102, which would significantly impact the company's prospects. Unfavorable clinical trial results for VP-102 or VP-103 could also derail the company's development plans.

What are the key factors to evaluate for VRCA?

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) holds a MoonshotScore of 19/100 (low). Analysts target $9.00 (+87%). Positive clinical trial results and potential FDA approval for VP-102 could drive substantial revenue growth. Not financial advice.

How frequently does VRCA data refresh on this page?

VRCA's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven VRCA's recent stock price performance?

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Proprietary cantharidin-based technology. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider VRCA overvalued or undervalued right now?

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) is loss-making, so its trailing P/E is negative (-4.53x) and not usable for valuation — lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $9.00 (+87%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of VRCA?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track VRCA's earnings and financial reports?

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for VRCA earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Analyst opinions and ratings are not recommendations to buy or sell securities.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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