Stock Expert AI
Broadcom Inc.
AVGO - NASDAQ - $422.01 ▲ +%1.90
-
Earnings Wed 3 Jun
Note: this preview was published before the 2026-06-03 earnings report. Results have since been released — verify against the latest filings.

Broadcom opens the
books on Wednesday evening.

3 analysts' median target is $456[FMP target], stock is $422, +8.1% upside potential. After Q1 +1.0% EPS beat[FMP earnings], the stock moved +4.8%.

summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds
B
HOLD Council 3/6 - Moonshot 74

B = MoonshotScore 74[multi-pillar formula] + Council 3/6[6-lens rule]. Form 4: 0 transactions[FMP Form 4].

Q4 consensus: revenue $22.0B[FMP est], EPS $2.40[FMP est]. 8 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$2.40 EPS Estimate Last year $1.95 - +52% YoY YoY
8 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 8 quarters

Q1 EPS +1.0% beat[FMP] but the stock +4.8% D+1[FMP D+1]. Kirsten Spears promised $250.0M CapEx + a sequential decline in Q4 during the Q1 earnings call[Kirsten Spears capex transcript].

Watchlist

6 metrics stand out this quarter.

47% Expectation / Guide

Q2 Revenue Guidance

q2_revenue_guidance

Broadcom is guiding for consolidated revenue of approximately $22 billion in Q2 2026, representing 47% year-on-year growth.

"So in summary, let me put it all together for Q2 2026, we expect consolidated revenue growth to accelerate to 47% year-on-year and reach approximately $22 billion, and we expect adjusted EBITDA to be approximately 68% of revenue."

- Hock Tan, President and CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - March 4, 2026
13% Investor Focus

Vmware Growth

vmware_growth

VMware revenue grew 13% year-on-year. Bookings continue to be strong and total contract value booked in Q1 exceeded $9.2 billion, sustaining an ARR, which is annual recurring revenue growth of 19% year-upon-year.

"VMware revenue grew 13% year-on-year. Bookings continue to be strong and total contract value booked in Q1 exceeded $9.2 billion, sustaining an ARR, which is annual recurring revenue growth of 19% year-upon-year."

- Hock Tan, President and CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - March 4, 2026
$100 billion Investor Focus

Ai Revenue 2027

ai_revenue_2027

Today, in fact, we have line of sight to achieve AI revenue from chips, just chips, in excess of $100 billion in 2027. We have also secured the supply chain required to achieve this.

"Today, in fact, we have line of sight to achieve AI revenue from chips, just chips, in excess of $100 billion in 2027. We have also secured the supply chain required to achieve this."

- Hock Tan, President and CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - March 4, 2026
$10.7 billion Investor Focus

Ai Semiconductor Growth

ai_semiconductor_growth

Broadcom expects Q2 AI semiconductor revenue of $10.7 billion, up approximately 140% year-on-year.

"Within this, we expect Q2 AI semiconductor revenue of $10.7 billion, up approximately 140% year-on-year."

- Kirsten Spears, Chief Financial Officer - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - March 4, 2026
$7.2 billion Investor Focus

Infrastructure Software Growth

infrastructure_software_growth

We expect Infrastructure Software revenue of approximately $7.2 billion, up 9% year-on-year.

"We expect Infrastructure Software revenue of approximately $7.2 billion, up 9% year-on-year."

- Kirsten Spears, Chief Financial Officer - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - March 4, 2026
$14.8 billion Investor Focus

Semiconductor Revenue Q2

semiconductor_revenue_q2

Broadcom forecasts semiconductor revenue of approximately $14.8 billion in Q2 2026, up 76% year-on-year.

"We forecast semiconductor revenue of approximately $14.8 billion, up 76% year-on-year."

- Kirsten Spears, Chief Financial Officer - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - March 4, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our scoring pillars, 7 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 3 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 3 bullish (Ray Dalio, Ken Griffin, Buffett), 0 bearish (none), 3 neutral (Jim Simons, Klarman, Munger).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +8.1%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA above
Jim Simons quant - RSI 56
Klarman value - target upside +8.1%
Buffett quality - ROE score 5/5
Munger valuation - target upside +8.1%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Fairly Valued

Quality business, trading at fair value.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthModerate
Margin of SafetyWeak
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCHealthy
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
56.4 RSI 56.4 positive momentum, 50d above
MACD
+11.30 price above 50d - support positive
50d MA
$379 stock 11.3% above - short-term support
200d MA
$350 stock 20.4% above - long-term support
Volume (10d)
+20% increase - pre-earnings positioning
Resistance
$456
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$422
Pre-earnings position
Support
$298
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$298-$456 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

Broadcom beat expectations in the last 8 quarters.

BEAT
Q2 FY25
$1.58 vs $1.57 est - -5.0%
BEAT
Q3 FY25
$1.69 vs $1.66 est - +9.4%
BEAT
Q4 FY25
$1.95 vs $1.87 est - -11.4%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$2.05 vs $2.03 est - +4.8%

Q1 (March 4, 2026): EPS $2.05 vs $2.03 est[FMP], +1.0% beat. D+1 movement: +4.8%[FMP D+1]. Decline despite beat - market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $2.33 (no guidance)

Q1: EPS $2.05 vs $2.03 beat[FMP], stock +4.8% D+1[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q1 CapEx $250.0M[FMP cashflow]. Q1 op margin 45.0%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q4 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q4 EPS > $2.40 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $2.40[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $456[FMP target]; high target $582[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $2.40 + CapEx < $250.0M
Threshold: EPS approx $2.40[FMP est], Q4 CapEx < $250.0M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $422[FMP] and median $456[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $2.33 or CapEx >= $250.0M
Threshold: EPS < $2.33[FMP estx0.97].
Target: Current $422 below SMA200 $350[FMP], if rejection continues, $298[derived] support activates.
Sizing
Earnings volatility -> max portfolio 1-2%. Waiting for earnings is not a gamble, it's a position entrustment.
Timing
IV crush within 24 hours post-earnings. Waiting for premium decay makes options preferable to spot.
Staging
Don't go all-in at once, divide into 3: initial reaction, 24 hours later, after Friday's close.

Market Outlook

What do 3 analysts say?

Wall Street Consensus
$456
12-month median target price (+8.1% upside potential)
44
BUY
3
HOLD
0
SELL
Risk Management
$298
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$379 - 50-day MA (above, +11.3%)
$350 - 200-day MA (above, +20.4%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - AVGO Q4 FY26
B

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Wednesday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Wednesday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q4 EPS threshold $2.40[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $250.0M"[Kirsten Spears]. Two anchors, three scenarios.

Comparison Stock Expert AI Pro $24/month ($240/year), 77% cheaper than the total of three earnings-tracking tools ($1,059/year -> $240/year).

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Prices as of April 2026. Sources: seekingalpha.com/subscriptions - tipranks.com/pricing - trendspider.com/pricing

Stock Expert AI Pro: $24/month ($240/year). Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore multi-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.

Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Jun 3, 2026EARNINGSQ4 FY26 results (after market close) + earnings call
Jun 4, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Jul 18, 2026FILING10-Q deadline - segment breakdown + RPO detail (SEC rule: quarter-end + 45 days)
~Sep 3, 2026EARNINGSQ1 FY27 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the AVGO earnings preview cover?

This Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in AVGO earnings?

Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.

Where do the numbers on this page come from?

Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.

Is this a buy or sell recommendation?

No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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