Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.
BR - NYSE - $149.50 ▼ -%2.22
-
Earnings Tue 4 Aug

Broadridge opens the
books on Tuesday evening.

2 analysts' median target is $230[FMP target], stock is $150, +53.5% upside potential. After Q2 +3.4% EPS beat[FMP earnings], the stock moved +0.8%.

↓ summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds
A-
BUY Council 4/6 - Moonshot 40

A- = MoonshotScore 40[9-pillar formula] + Council 4/6[6-lens rule]. Form 4: 0 transactions[FMP Form 4].

Q1 consensus: revenue $2.2B[FMP est], EPS $3.75[FMP est]. 8 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

Detailed analysis below ↓
$3.75 EPS Estimate Last year $1.51 - +6% YoY YoY
8 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 8 quarters

Q2 EPS +3.4% beat[FMP] but the stock +0.8% D+1[FMP D+1]. Ashima Ghei promised $13.6M CapEx + a sequential decline in Q1 during the Q2 earnings call[Ashima Ghei capex transcript].

Watchlist

6 metrics stand out this quarter.

9% Expectation / Guide

Adjusted Eps Growth Guidance

adjusted_eps_growth_guidance

Broadridge is raising its adjusted EPS growth guidance to 9% to 12% from 8% to 12% for fiscal year 2026.

"We are raising our adjusted EPS growth guidance to 9% to 12% from 8% to 12%."

- Ashima Ghei, CFO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 3, 2026
5% Expectation / Guide

Recurring Revenue Growth Guidance

recurring_revenue_growth_guidance

Broadridge expects recurring revenue growth constant currency to be at the higher end of the 5% to 7% range for fiscal year 2026.

"We are reaffirming our guidance for recurring revenue growth constant currency to be at the higher end of the 5% to 7% range."

- Ashima Ghei, CFO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 3, 2026
one Investor Focus

Digital Asset Revenue Contribution

digital_asset_revenue_contribution

Overall, we expect digital asset revenues to contribute approximately one point to capital markets growth in fiscal 2026.

"Overall, we expect digital asset revenues to contribute approximately one point to capital markets growth in fiscal 2026."

- Ashima Ghei, CFO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 3, 2026
$290 million Expectation / Guide

Closed Sales Guidance

closed_sales_guidance

Broadridge continues to expect closed sales of $290 million to $330 million for fiscal year 2026.

"And we continue to expect closed sales of $290 million to $330 million."

- Ashima Ghei, CFO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 3, 2026
2026 Investor Focus

Digital Asset Revenues Moderation

digital_asset_revenues_moderation

Broadridge expects digital asset revenues to moderate significantly in the second half of fiscal year 2026 as a result of scheduled changes in the Canton network minting curve.

"Looking to the second half of the year, we expect digital asset revenues to moderate significantly as a result of scheduled changes in the Canton network minting curve."

- Ashima Ghei, CFO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 3, 2026
$60 million Expectation / Guide

Event Driven Revenue Outlook

event_driven_revenue_outlook

Looking ahead to the second half of the year, we expect quarterly event-driven revenues to return to closer to the seven-year average of approximately $60 million.

"Looking ahead to the second half of the year, we expect quarterly event-driven revenues to return to closer to the seven-year average of approximately $60 million."

- Ashima Ghei, CFO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 3, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our 9 pillars, 7 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

MoonshotScore 40 / 100

9-pillar methodology. Cash Runway strong. Revenue Growth weak.

How is it calculated? ->
Revenue Growth0.0Q3 vs Q4: growth negative (-5.4%, contraction)
Gross Margin3.0Q3: average margin (32.1%)
Operating Leverage2.0op margin healthy (18.4%)
Cash Runway10.0FCF very strong ($0.3B, 21.1x CapEx)
R&D Intensity3.0low R&D investment (0.0%, weak innovation)
Price Momentum4.0RSI 34.0 weak momentum, 50d below
News Sentiment6.0majority buy (56%)
Council Score 4 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 4 bullish (Ray Dalio, Klarman, Buffett, Munger), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 1 neutral (Jim Simons).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +53.5%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA below
Jim Simons quant - RSI 34
Klarman value - target upside +53.5%
Buffett quality - ROE score 5/5
Munger valuation - target upside +53.5%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Undervalued

Quality business, discounted price.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthStrong
Margin of SafetyStrong
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCHealthy
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
34.0 RSI 34.0 weak momentum, 50d below
MACD
-10.20 price below 50d - resistance dominant
50d MA
$167 stock 10.2% below - short-term resistance
200d MA
$213 stock 29.7% below - long-term pressure
Volume (10d)
+21% increase - pre-earnings positioning
Resistance
$230
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$150
Pre-earnings position
Support
$181
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$181-$230 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

Broadridge beat expectations in the last 8 quarters.

BEAT
Q4 FY25
$3.55 vs $3.50 est - +0.6%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$1.51 vs $1.25 est - -1.9%
BEAT
Q2 FY26
$1.59 vs $1.34 est - +2.2%
BEAT
Q3 FY26
$2.72 vs $2.63 est - +0.8%

Q2 (February 3, 2026): EPS $2.72 vs $2.63 est[FMP], +3.4% beat. D+1 movement: +0.8%[FMP D+1]. Decline despite beat - market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $3.64 (no guidance)

Q2: EPS $2.72 vs $2.63 beat[FMP], stock +0.8% D+1[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q2 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q2 CapEx $13.6M[FMP cashflow]. Q2 op margin 18.4%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q1 EPS > $3.75 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $3.75[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $230[FMP target]; high target $257[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $3.75 + CapEx < $13.6M
Threshold: EPS approx $3.75[FMP est], Q1 CapEx < $13.6M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $150[FMP] and median $230[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $3.64 or CapEx >= $13.6M
Threshold: EPS < $3.64[FMP estx0.97].
Target: Current $150 below SMA200 $213[FMP], if rejection continues, $181[derived] support activates.
Sizing
Earnings volatility -> max portfolio 1-2%. Waiting for earnings is not a gamble, it's a position entrustment.
Timing
IV crush within 24 hours post-earnings. Waiting for premium decay makes options preferable to spot.
Staging
Don't go all-in at once, divide into 3: initial reaction, 24 hours later, after Friday's close.

Market Outlook

What do 2 analysts say?

Wall Street Consensus
$230
12-month median target price (+53.5% upside potential)
5
BUY
4
HOLD
0
SELL
Risk Management
$181
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$167 - 50-day MA (below, -10.2%)
$213 - 200-day MA (below, -29.7%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - BR Q1 FY27
A-

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Tuesday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Tuesday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q1 EPS threshold $3.75[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $13.6M"[Ashima Ghei]. Two anchors, three scenarios.

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Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Aug 4, 2026EARNINGSQ1 FY27 results (after market close) + earnings call
Aug 5, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Sep 18, 2026FILING10-Q deadline - segment breakdown + RPO detail (SEC rule: quarter-end + 45 days)
~Nov 4, 2026EARNINGSQ2 FY27 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the BR earnings preview cover?

This BR (BR) earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in BR earnings?

Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.