Electronic Arts Inc.
EA - NASDAQ - $206.65 ▲ +%0.15
-
Earnings
Tue 4 Aug
Electronic opens the
books on Tuesday evening.
0 analysts' median target is $168[FMP target], stock is $207, -18.9% upside potential. After Q1 +-37.2% EPS beat[FMP earnings], the stock moved -0.4%.
↓
summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds
B
SELL
Council 2/6
-
Moonshot 56
B = MoonshotScore 56[multi-pillar formula] + Council 2/6[6-lens rule]. Form 4: 0 transactions[FMP Form 4].
Q1 consensus: revenue $1.5B[FMP est], EPS $0.78[FMP est]. 0 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].
$0.78
EPS Estimate
Last year $0.25 - +212% YoY YoY
-
Primary Segment Guidance
Previous quarter was 0%
0
Beat Streak
Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 0 quarters
Q1 EPS +-37.2% beat[FMP] but the stock -0.4% D+1[FMP D+1]. Andrew Wilson promised $61.0M CapEx + a sequential decline in Q1 during the Q1 earnings call[Andrew Wilson capex transcript].
Stock Expert AI - Methodology
Do our scoring pillars, 7 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?
MoonshotScore
56 / 100
multi-pillar methodology. Revenue Growth and Gross Margin strong. Operating Leverage weak.
How is it calculated? ->
Revenue Growth10.0
Q4 vs Q1: fast growth (+26.0%)
Gross Margin8.0
Q4: very high margin (83.9%, software/cloud territory)
Operating Leverage3.0
op margin healthy (25.7%)
Cash Runway10.0
FCF very strong ($0.5B, 8.5x CapEx)
R&D Intensity3.0
very high R&D (37.6%, margin pressure risk)
Price Momentum4.0
RSI 70.3 overbought, 50d above
News Sentiment1.0
majority sell/hold (5% buy)
Council Score
2 / 6 Bullish
6 investor frameworks. 2 bullish (Ken Griffin, Buffett), 3 bearish (Jim Simons, Klarman, Munger), 1 neutral (Ray Dalio).
How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside -18.9%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA above
Jim Simons quant - RSI 70
Klarman value - target upside -18.9%
Buffett quality - ROE score 4/5
Munger valuation - target upside -18.9%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Overvalued
Quality business, but price is high.
How is it calculated? ->
Interest CoverageAdequate
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning
What levels is the stock being tested at?
RSI(14)
70.3
RSI 70.3 overbought, 50d above
MACD
+1.90
price above 50d - support positive
50d MA
$203
stock 1.9% above - short-term support
200d MA
$202
stock 2.3% above - long-term support
Volume (10d)
-7%
decrease - low participation
Resistance
$168
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$207
Pre-earnings position
Support
$172
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$172-$168 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger
Past Performance
Electronic's last 8 quarters: 0 consecutive beats.
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$0.25 vs $0.11 est - +5.7%
MISS
Q2 FY26
$1.21 vs $1.30 est - -0.0%
BEAT
Q3 FY26
$4.82 vs $4.72 est - -2.3%
MISS
Q4 FY26
$1.50 vs $2.39 est - -0.4%
Q1 (July 29, 2025): EPS $1.50 vs $2.39 est[FMP], +-37.2% beat. D+1 movement: -0.4%[FMP D+1]. Decline despite beat - market reacted to guidance, not numbers.
Three scenarios: what could happen?
EPS < $0.76 (no guidance)
Q1: EPS $1.50 vs $2.39 beat[FMP], stock -0.4% D+1[FMP].
Backlog concentration
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.
Insider trading signal
Form 4 data is marked in the table - this page does not generate assumptions for this stock.
Our FMP plan does not provide Form 4 insider feed for this stock. This page does not generate assumptions - SEC EDGAR Form 4 can be monitored directly.
CapEx shock
Q1 CapEx $61.0M[FMP cashflow]. Q1 op margin 25.7%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.
Framework - Position discipline
After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows
Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.
Scenario A - Beat
Q1 EPS > $0.78 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $0.78[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $168[FMP target]; high target $210[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $0.78 + CapEx < $61.0M
Threshold: EPS approx $0.78[FMP est], Q1 CapEx < $61.0M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $207[FMP] and median $168[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $0.76 or CapEx >= $61.0M
Threshold: EPS < $0.76[FMP estx0.97].
Target: Current $207 below SMA200 $202[FMP], if rejection continues, $172[derived] support activates.
Sizing
Earnings volatility -> max portfolio 1-2%. Waiting for earnings is not a gamble, it's a position entrustment.
Timing
IV crush within 24 hours post-earnings. Waiting for premium decay makes options preferable to spot.
Staging
Don't go all-in at once, divide into 3: initial reaction, 24 hours later, after Friday's close.
Market Outlook
What do 0 analysts say?
Wall Street Consensus
$168
12-month median target price (-18.9% upside potential)
Risk Management
$172
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$203 - 50-day MA (above, +1.9%)
$202 - 200-day MA (above, +2.3%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - EA Q1 FY27
B
You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Tuesday evening - you know what you're looking at.
Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.
Data arrives on Tuesday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q1 EPS threshold $0.78[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $61.0M. Two anchors, three scenarios.
Comparison
Stock Expert AI Pro $24/month ($240/year), 77% cheaper than the total of three earnings-tracking tools ($1,059/year -> $240/year).
3 subscriptions. 1 platform.
Seeking Alpha $299/yr - analyst opinions + earnings coverage
TipRanks $360/yr - Smart Score (1-10) + analyst consensus + insider trades
Trendspider $400/yr - AI pattern detection + automated TA + multi-timeframe alerts
Prices as of April 2026. Sources: seekingalpha.com/subscriptions - tipranks.com/pricing - trendspider.com/pricing
Stock Expert AI Pro: $24/month ($240/year). Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore multi-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.
Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Calendar
Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look
Aug 4, 2026EARNINGSQ1 FY27 results (after market close) + earnings call
Aug 5, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Sep 18, 2026FILING10-Q deadline - segment breakdown + RPO detail (SEC rule: quarter-end + 45 days)
~Nov 4, 2026EARNINGSQ2 FY27 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)
DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the EA earnings preview cover?
This Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.
What should investors watch for in EA earnings?
Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.
Where do the numbers on this page come from?
Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.
Is this a buy or sell recommendation?
No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.