6 analysts' median target is $418[FMP target], stock is $311, +34.1% upside potential. After Q4 +7.5% EPS beat[FMP earnings], the stock moved -2.3%.
B = MoonshotScore 39[multi-pillar formula] + Council 4/6[6-lens rule]. Form 4: 0 transactions[FMP Form 4].
Q4 consensus: revenue $41.6B[FMP est], EPS $3.42[FMP est]. 1 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].
Q4 EPS +7.5% beat[FMP] but the stock -2.3% D+1[FMP D+1]. Richard McPhail promised $1.1B CapEx + a sequential decline in Q4 during the Q4 earnings call[Richard McPhail capex transcript].
Watchlist
Fy26 Sales Growth
fy26_sales_growth
The company expects total sales growth of approximately 2.5% to 4.5% for fiscal year 2026.
"Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, we expect total sales growth of approximately 2.5% to 4.5%, comparable sales growth of approximately flat to 2% and adjusted diluted earnings per share to grow approximately flat to 4%."
- Edward Decker, Chair, President and CEO - Q4 FY25 Earnings Call - February 24, 2026
Fy26 Comp Sales Growth
fy26_comp_sales_growth
The company expects comparable sales growth of approximately flat to 2% for fiscal year 2026.
"Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, we expect total sales growth of approximately 2.5% to 4.5%, comparable sales growth of approximately flat to 2% and adjusted diluted earnings per share to grow approximately flat to 4%."
- Edward Decker, Chair, President and CEO - Q4 FY25 Earnings Call - February 24, 2026
Fy26 Eps Growth
fy26_eps_growth
The company expects adjusted diluted earnings per share to grow approximately flat to 4% for fiscal year 2026.
"Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, we expect total sales growth of approximately 2.5% to 4.5%, comparable sales growth of approximately flat to 2% and adjusted diluted earnings per share to grow approximately flat to 4%."
- Edward Decker, Chair, President and CEO - Q4 FY25 Earnings Call - February 24, 2026
Capital Expenditures Guidance
capital_expenditures_guidance
The company plans to continue investing in our business with capital expenditures of approximately 2.5% of sales for fiscal 2026.
"We plan to continue investing in our business with capital expenditures of approximately 2.5% of sales for fiscal 2026."
- Richard McPhail, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer - Q4 FY25 Earnings Call - February 24, 2026
New Store Expansion
new_store_expansion
The company plans to open approximately 15 new stores and 40 to 50 new SRS locations in fiscal 2026.
"We plan to open approximately 15 new stores and 40 to 50 new SRS locations."
- Richard McPhail, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer - Q4 FY25 Earnings Call - February 24, 2026
Stock Expert AI - Methodology
multi-pillar methodology. Cash Runway strong. Revenue Growth weak.
How is it calculated? ->6 investor frameworks. 4 bullish (Ray Dalio, Klarman, Buffett, Munger), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 1 neutral (Jim Simons).
How is it calculated? ->Quality business, discounted price.
How is it calculated? ->Past Performance
Q4 (February 24, 2026): EPS $2.72 vs $2.53 est[FMP], +7.5% beat. D+1 movement: -2.3%[FMP D+1]. Decline despite beat - market reacted to guidance, not numbers.
Q4: EPS $2.72 vs $2.53 beat[FMP], stock -2.3% D+1[FMP].
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q4 earnings call.
Q4 CapEx $1.1B[FMP cashflow]. Q4 op margin 10.1%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q4 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.
Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.
Market Outlook
You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Tuesday evening - you know what you're looking at.
Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.
Data arrives on Tuesday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q4 EPS threshold $3.42[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $1.1B"[Richard McPhail]. Two anchors, three scenarios.
Comparison Stock Expert AI Pro $24/month ($240/year), 77% cheaper than the total of three earnings-tracking tools ($1,059/year -> $240/year).
Seeking Alpha $299/yr - analyst opinions + earnings coverage TipRanks $360/yr - Smart Score (1-10) + analyst consensus + insider trades Trendspider $400/yr - AI pattern detection + automated TA + multi-timeframe alerts
Prices as of April 2026. Sources: seekingalpha.com/subscriptions - tipranks.com/pricing - trendspider.com/pricing
Stock Expert AI Pro: $24/month ($240/year). Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore multi-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.
Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Calendar
DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.
This The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.
Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.
Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.
No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.