4 analysts' median target is $103[FMP target], stock is $98, +4.8% upside potential. After Q1 +2.1% EPS beat[FMP earnings], the stock moved -2.4%.
B+ = MoonshotScore 33[9-pillar formula] + Council 2/6[6-lens rule]. Form 4: 0 transactions[FMP Form 4].
Q1 consensus: revenue $4.2B[FMP est], EPS $2.02[FMP est]. 5 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].
Q1 EPS +2.1% beat[FMP] but the stock -2.4% D+1[FMP D+1]. Nelson Urdaneta promised $424.0M CapEx + a sequential decline in Q1 during the Q1 earnings call[Nelson Urdaneta capex transcript].
Watchlist
Volume Mix Growth
volume_mix_growth
Kimberly-Clark is experiencing strong momentum in volume and mix growth, driven by its innovation-focused strategies.
"Our Powering Care growth engine is enabling Kimberly-Clark to continue building industry-leading base business momentum. We are delivering differentiated science-backed innovation in all rungs of the Good, Better, Best ladder."
- Michael Hsu, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 28, 2026
Input Cost Inflation Mitigation
input_cost_inflation_mitigation
Kimberly-Clark has several levers to offset rising input costs, including revenue growth management, productivity initiatives, and strategic supplier relationships.
"As such, we have several levers in there. First one, revenue growth management. Second one, a very strong pipeline of productivity initiatives. We've delivered 2 years of 6% gross productivity back to back. And this first quarter of the year, we're already at 6%, and our plans are to deliver for the full year 6%. The pipeline is very rich."
- Nelson Urdaneta, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 28, 2026
Innovation Driving Volume Mix
innovation_driving_volume_mix
Kimberly-Clark's volume and mix growth is driven by innovation rather than promotions.
"And the important thing, I think, as you kind of embedded in your question is that, that volume mix growth is being driven by innovation, right? And we're not renting that through promotion. The promotion is supporting the innovation. And so that's kind of the big deal for us."
- Michael Hsu, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 28, 2026
Pricing Net Of Cost Discipline
pricing_net_of_cost_discipline
Kimberly-Clark aims to expand margins by maintaining pricing discipline despite rising input costs.
"And 1 concept that we've felt very important is PNOC or pricing not a commodity input cost discipline. And we expect that to be at least neutral over time, and we're going to leverage all the tools that we have to make sure that we continue to do that."
- Michael Hsu, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 28, 2026
North America Promo Intensity
north_america_promo_intensity
Kimberly-Clark's overall average promo intensity in North America is down versus pre-COVID levels, reflecting a focus on innovation.
"I would say that our overall pricing was in line in the first quarter, as you saw. And in fact, our overall weighted average promo intensity in North America is down versus pre-Covid versus category levels. And that's because we're focused on driving innovation."
- Russell Torres - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 28, 2026
Stock Expert AI - Methodology
9-pillar methodology. Cash Runway strong. Revenue Growth weak.
How is it calculated? ->6 investor frameworks. 2 bullish (Ray Dalio, Buffett), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 3 neutral (Jim Simons, Klarman, Munger).
How is it calculated? ->Quality business, trading at fair value.
How is it calculated? ->Past Performance
Q1 (April 28, 2026): EPS $1.97 vs $1.93 est[FMP], +2.1% beat. D+1 movement: -2.4%[FMP D+1]. Decline despite beat - market reacted to guidance, not numbers.
Q1: EPS $1.97 vs $1.93 beat[FMP], stock -2.4% D+1[FMP].
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.
Q1 CapEx $424.0M[FMP cashflow]. Q1 op margin 11.4%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.
Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.
Market Outlook
You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Friday evening - you know what you're looking at.
Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.
Data arrives on Friday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q1 EPS threshold $2.02[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $424.0M"[Nelson Urdaneta]. Two anchors, three scenarios.
Comparison Stock Expert AI Pro $24/month ($240/year), 77% cheaper than the total of three earnings-tracking tools ($1,059/year -> $240/year).
Seeking Alpha $299/yr - analyst opinions + earnings coverage TipRanks $360/yr - Smart Score (1-10) + analyst consensus + insider trades Trendspider $400/yr - AI pattern detection + automated TA + multi-timeframe alerts
Prices as of April 2026. Sources: seekingalpha.com/subscriptions - tipranks.com/pricing - trendspider.com/pricing
Stock Expert AI Pro: $24/month ($240/year). Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore 9-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.
Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Calendar
DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.
This KMB (KMB) earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.
Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.