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The median of 10 price targets is $350[FMP target], stock is $275, +27.2% vs the analyst consensus median. Q1 FY26 EPS $3.60 vs $3.24 estimate: beat (+11.1%)[FMP earnings]. Stock move on D+1: +0.7%.
B — FMP rating [FMP ratings]. Form 4: unavailable[FMP Form 4].
Quick AnswerRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) Q2 consensus: revenue $4.8B[FMP est], EPS $3.99[FMP est]. 1 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].
Q1 FY26 EPS $3.60 vs $3.24 estimate: beat (+11.1%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: +0.7%[FMP D+1].
Watchlist
Net Yield Guidance
net_yield_guidance
Royal Caribbean adjusted its full year net yield expectations to grow 1.5% to 2.5% due to geopolitical events.
"Due to the geopolitical events affecting itineraries in the Mediterranean and the West Coast of Mexico, we've adjusted our full year net yield expectations."
- Jason Liberty, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 30, 2026
EPS Guidance
EPS_guidance
Royal Caribbean expects full year adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $17.10 to $17.50 for 2026.
"Full year adjusted earnings per share is expected to grow double digits and be in the range of $17.10 to $17.50."
- Jason Liberty, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 30, 2026
Digital Booking Growth
digital_booking_growth
Royal Caribbean's digital penetration of bookings has more than doubled since 2019, with most of that growth coming through our app.
"Digital penetration of bookings has more than doubled over that period with most of that growth coming through our app."
- Jason Liberty, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 30, 2026
Fuel Cost Impact
fuel_cost_impact
Royal Caribbean anticipates that increased fuel costs will reduce 2026 earnings by roughly $0.62 per share.
"While we are approximately 60% hedged for 2026, fuel prices at current spot levels are expected to increase costs by roughly $0.62 per share this year."
- Jason Liberty, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 30, 2026
Stock Expert AI - Methodology
Historical V1 earnings-model score (archived, May 9, 2026) — not the current MoonshotScore. Current MoonshotScore: RCL stock page
multi-pillar methodology. Cash Runway and News Sentiment strong. Revenue Growth weak.
How is it calculated? ->6 investor frameworks. 4 bullish (Ray Dalio, Klarman, Buffett, Munger), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 1 neutral (Jim Simons).
How is it calculated? ->Quality business, discounted price.
How is it calculated? ->Past Performance
Q1 FY26 (April 30, 2026) EPS $3.60 vs $3.24 estimate: beat (+11.1%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: +0.7%[FMP D+1].
Q1 FY26 EPS $3.60 vs $3.24 estimate: beat (+11.1%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: +0.7%[FMP].
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.
Q1 CapEx $500.0M[FMP cashflow]. Q1 op margin 26.1%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.
Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.
Market Outlook
You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Tuesday evening - you know what you're looking at.
Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.
Data arrives on Tuesday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q2 EPS threshold $3.99[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $500.0M". Two anchors, three scenarios.
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Stock Expert AI is free today — no credit card. Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore multi-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.
Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Calendar
DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.
This Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) Q2 FY26 earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL): Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL): Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL): No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.