Stock Expert AI

Content generated by AI editorial engine. Editorially supervised by Sedat ANAK.

TE Connectivity Ltd.
TEL - NYSE - $206.20 (as of ) ▼ -1.84%
-
Earnings Wed 22 Jul
Note: this preview was published before the 2026-07-22 earnings report. Results have since been released — verify against the latest filings.

TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL) Q3 FY26 earnings preview — archived, published May 9, 2026

The median of 7 price targets is $261[FMP target], stock is $206, +26.6% vs the analyst consensus median. Q2 FY26 EPS $2.73 vs $2.69 estimate: beat (+1.5%)[FMP earnings]. Stock move on D+1: -1.5%.

↓ summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds ·
A-
Council 4/6 - Historical V1 score 46

A- — FMP rating [FMP ratings]. Form 4: unavailable[FMP Form 4].

Quick Answer

TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL) Q3 consensus: revenue $5.0B[FMP est], EPS $2.81[FMP est]. 8 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$2.81 EPS Estimate Last year $2.27 - +24% YoY
8 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 8 quarters

Q2 FY26 EPS $2.73 vs $2.69 estimate: beat (+1.5%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -1.5%[FMP D+1].

Watchlist

6 metrics stand out this quarter.

$150 million Investor Focus

Ai Revenue Increase

ai_revenue_increase

TE Connectivity now expects its AI revenues in fiscal 2026 to be about $150 million higher than its view 90 days ago.

"We now expect our AI revenues in fiscal 2026 to be about $150 million higher than our view 90 days ago, and this entire increase will be in the second half of the year and reflects the increased momentum that I talked about in orders."

- Terrence Curtin, CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
50% Investor Focus

Digital Data Networks Growth

digital_data_networks_growth

TE Connectivity's digital data networks business grew nearly 50% year-over-year and is building backlog into 2027.

"In our digital data networks, we had another standing quarter where our business grew nearly 50% year-over-year and sales were as we expected. We continue to win new programs with customers and the orders that we have received are building backlog into 2027."

- Terrence Curtin, CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
70% Investor Focus

Industrial Segment Growth

industrial_segment_growth

Over 70% of TE Connectivity's order growth was in the Industrial segment, with Industrial segment orders growing 40% versus the prior year.

"For the second quarter, over 70% of the company's order growth was in Industrial segment. Versus the prior year, Industrial segment orders grew 40% and essentially every business in the segment posted double-digit orders growth."

- Terrence Curtin, CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
$5 billion Expectation / Guide

Q3 Sales Guidance

q3_sales_guidance

TE Connectivity expects third quarter sales to be $5 billion, which reflect an increase of 10% versus the prior year.

"As we look to the third quarter, we are expecting third quarter sales to be $5 billion, which reflect an increase of 10% versus the prior year with year-over-year and sequential growth in both of our segments."

- Terrence Curtin, CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
$1.4 billion Investor Focus

Fy26 Sales Growth

fy26_sales_growth

TE Connectivity delivered $1.4 billion of growth last year and expects to deliver well over $2 billion of growth this year, with the majority of its businesses growing double digits year-over-year.

"Last year, we delivered $1.4 billion of growth as a company. And this year, we expect to deliver well over $2 billion of growth, with the majority of our businesses growing double digits year-over-year."

- Terrence Curtin, CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
$5 billion Investor Focus

Record Orders

record_orders

TE Connectivity reports record orders of over $5 billion in the second quarter, which is growth of over $1 billion versus the prior year.

"In the second quarter, we had record orders of over $5 billion, which was growth of over $1 billion versus the prior year, with growth across both segments and in every business."

- Terrence Curtin, CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our scoring pillars, 6 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 4 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 4 bullish (Ray Dalio, Klarman, Buffett, Munger), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 1 neutral (Jim Simons).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +26.6%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA below
Jim Simons quant - RSI 43
Klarman value - target upside +26.6%
Buffett quality - ROE score 5/5
Munger valuation - target upside +26.6%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Undervalued

Quality business, discounted price.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthStrong
Margin of SafetyStrong
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCHealthy
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
42.8 RSI 42.8 weak momentum, 50d below
MACD
-3.20 price below 50d - resistance dominant
50d MA
$213 stock 3.2% below - short-term resistance
200d MA
$221 stock 6.7% below - long-term pressure
Volume (10d)
+10% increase - pre-earnings positioning
Resistance
$261
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$206
Pre-earnings position
Support
$188
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$188-$261 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

4 quarters shown.

BEAT
Q3 FY25
$2.27 vs $2.08 est · Next-day price move: +1.8%
BEAT
Q4 FY25
$2.44 vs $2.29 est · Next-day price move: +1.1%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$2.72 vs $2.55 est · Next-day price move: +0.2%
BEAT
Q2 FY26
$2.73 vs $2.69 est · Next-day price move: -1.5%

Q2 FY26 (April 22, 2026) EPS $2.73 vs $2.69 estimate: beat (+1.5%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -1.5%[FMP D+1].

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $2.73 (no guidance)

Q2 FY26 EPS $2.73 vs $2.69 estimate: beat (+1.5%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -1.5%[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q2 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q2 CapEx $270.0M[FMP cashflow]. Q2 op margin 20.1%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q4 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q3 EPS > $2.81 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $2.81[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $261[FMP target]; high target $302[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $2.81 + CapEx < $270.0M
Threshold: EPS approx $2.81[FMP est], Q4 CapEx < $270.0M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $206[FMP] and median $261[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $2.73 or CapEx >= $270.0M
Threshold: EPS < $2.73[FMP estx0.97].
Current price $206 — below SMA200 $221 [FMP].

Market Outlook

What do analysts say? 7 price targets · 19 ratings

Wall Street Consensus
$261
12-month median target price (+26.6% gap to the analyst consensus median)
13
BUY
6
HOLD
0
SELL
Risk Management
$188
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$213 - 50-day MA (below, -3.2%)
$221 - 200-day MA (below, -6.7%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - TEL Q3 FY26
A-

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Wednesday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Wednesday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q3 EPS threshold $2.81[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $270.0M". Two anchors, three scenarios.

Comparison Stock Expert AI is free today — no credit card.

3 subscriptions. 1 platform.

Seeking Alpha $299/yr - analyst opinions + earnings coverage TipRanks $360/yr - Smart Score (1-10) + analyst consensus + insider trades Trendspider $400/yr - AI pattern detection + automated TA + multi-timeframe alerts

Prices as of April 2026. Sources: seekingalpha.com/subscriptions - tipranks.com/pricing - trendspider.com/pricing

Stock Expert AI is free today — no credit card. Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore multi-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.

Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Jul 22, 2026EARNINGSQ3 FY26 results (after market close) + earnings call
Jul 23, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Aug 6, 2026 – Aug 11, 2026FILING10-Q due within 40–45 days of quarter end (by Aug 6, 2026 – Aug 11, 2026); the exact deadline depends on filer status
~Oct 22, 2026EARNINGSQ4 FY26 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the TEL Q3 FY26 earnings preview cover?

This TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL) Q3 FY26 earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in TEL Q3 FY26 earnings?

TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL): Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.

Where do the numbers on this page come from?

TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL): Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.

Is this a buy or sell recommendation?

TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL): No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

More earnings, decoded