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Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$40.87 +$0.50 (+1.24%) |Exceptional · 87
Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (71/100) and AI Score (87/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Momentum · Biggest watch-out: Financial Safety.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $535M| P/E Ratio: 11.57| Vol: 40K| Target: $39.00 (-4.6%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $26.49 – $43.13

P/E 11.57 means the share price is 11.57 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $535M is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) trades at $40.87 with MoonshotScore 87/100 (Grade A+). Market cap: $535M, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) is a bank holding company for Bank of the Sierra, providing a range of retail and commercial banking services primarily in California. Established in 1977, it has grown to operate 35 full-service branches and offers diverse financial products to individuals and businesses.

BSRR stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $39.00 for Sierra Bancorp, suggesting 4.6% downside from the current price of $40.87. The AI MoonshotScore is 87/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the BSRR film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 71/100 · A

BSRR: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 87/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Financial Safety (6/10, Moderate).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) Financial Services Profile

CEOKevin J. McPhaill
Employees452
HeadquartersPorterville, CA, US
IPO Year1994

Sierra Bancorp is a California-based bank holding company that delivers comprehensive retail and commercial banking services, distinguished by its strong community focus and extensive suite of financial products tailored to meet the diverse needs of its customers.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for BSRR?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Sierra Bancorp presents a solid investment thesis characterized by its robust financial metrics, including a market capitalization of $535M and a P/E ratio of 11.57. The company's profit margin stands at 23.0%, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency. Growth catalysts include the expansion of its branch network and the introduction of new digital banking services, which are expected to enhance customer acquisition and retention. As the regional banking sector continues to grow, Sierra Bancorp is well-positioned to capitalize on increasing demand for personalized banking solutions. However, potential risks include regulatory changes and economic fluctuations that could impact loan demand and credit quality. Overall, Sierra Bancorp's strong market position and strategic initiatives suggest a favorable outlook for sustained growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

BSRR Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $535M reflects strong regional presence and growth potential.

  • P/E ratio of 11.57 indicates attractive valuation compared to industry peers.
  • Profit margin of 23.0% demonstrates effective operational efficiency and cost management.
  • Gross margin of 74.8% highlights strong revenue generation capabilities.
  • Dividend yield of 2.69% provides a steady income stream for investors.

Who Are BSRR's Competitors?

BSRR is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
PACW PacWest Bancorp $7.54 -2.71% $905M
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. $162.66 +0.48% $10.1B 835-pillar
FRC First Republic Bank $3.51 0.00% $654M
BANC Banc of California, Inc. $18.40 0.00% $2.83B 325-pillar
CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. $78.86 +0.90% $2.67B 665-pillar
BWFG Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. $67.65 +1.41% $539M 925-pillar
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. $69.47 +0.96% $547M 905-pillar
OBT Orange County Bancorp, Inc. $38.28 +1.00% $513M 925-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are BSRR's Key Strengths?

Established brand with a strong community presence.

  • Diverse product offerings catering to various customer segments.
  • Strong financial performance metrics, including high profit margins.
  • Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge.

What Are BSRR's Weaknesses?

Limited geographic presence outside California.

  • Dependence on the agricultural sector, which can be volatile.
  • Potential challenges in scaling digital banking services.
  • Relatively smaller size compared to national banks.

What Could Drive BSRR Stock Higher?

Expansion of branch network to increase market presence in underserved areas of California.

  • Enhancement of digital banking services to attract and retain tech-savvy customers.
  • Focus on agricultural lending growth to capitalize on the regional agricultural market.
  • Initiatives to strengthen small business lending in the post-pandemic recovery phase.
  • Community engagement programs aimed at building stronger local relationships.

What Are the Key Risks for BSRR?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.34 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Regulatory changes that could impact operational costs and compliance requirements.
  • Economic fluctuations affecting loan demand and credit quality.
  • Increased competition from larger banks and fintech companies in the regional market.
  • Cybersecurity threats that could compromise customer data and trust.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for BSRR?

  • Expansion of Branch Network: Sierra Bancorp plans to increase its physical presence by opening additional branches in underserved areas of California. This expansion is expected to enhance customer accessibility and drive deposit growth. The regional banking market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5% over the next five years, presenting a favorable environment for branch expansion.
  • Digital Banking Services Enhancement: The company is investing in its digital banking platform to improve customer experience and streamline operations. By integrating advanced technologies, Sierra Bancorp aims to attract tech-savvy customers and increase online transactions. The digital banking market is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a CAGR of 12% over the next three years.
  • Agricultural Lending Growth: Given its strong presence in California's agricultural sector, Sierra Bancorp is focusing on expanding its agricultural loan offerings. The agricultural lending market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4% as farmers seek financing solutions for operational needs and equipment purchases, positioning Sierra Bancorp to capture this demand.
  • Small Business Lending Initiatives: The bank is emphasizing small business loans, particularly in light of the post-pandemic recovery. With small businesses representing a significant portion of the U.S. economy, Sierra Bancorp's targeted lending initiatives are expected to drive loan growth. The small business lending market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 6% over the next four years.
  • Community Engagement Programs: Sierra Bancorp is committed to community development through various engagement programs. By strengthening its ties with local businesses and organizations, the bank aims to enhance its brand reputation and customer loyalty, which are crucial for long-term growth in the competitive banking landscape.

What Opportunities Does BSRR Have?

  • Expansion into new markets within California.
  • Increased demand for digital banking solutions.
  • Growing agricultural lending market due to rising demand for food production.
  • Potential partnerships with fintech companies to enhance service offerings.

What Threats Does BSRR Face?

  • Intense competition from larger national banks and fintechs.
  • Regulatory changes impacting banking operations.
  • Economic downturns affecting loan demand and credit quality.
  • Cybersecurity threats to digital banking platforms.

What Are BSRR's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong community ties and local market knowledge enhance customer loyalty.
  • Diverse range of financial products tailored to meet local needs.
  • Established brand reputation built over decades of service.
  • Focus on personalized customer service differentiates from larger banks.
  • Strategic partnerships with local businesses and organizations strengthen market position.

What Does BSRR Do?

Founded in 1977 and headquartered in Porterville, California, Sierra Bancorp serves as the bank holding company for Bank of the Sierra. The company has evolved significantly since its inception, expanding its footprint to operate 35 full-service branches, an online branch, and specialized centers for agricultural credit and small business administration. Sierra Bancorp offers a wide range of banking services, including various deposit products such as checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, and retirement accounts. Its loan portfolio is diverse, encompassing agricultural, commercial, consumer, real estate, construction, and mortgage loans, catering to both individual and business clients. Additionally, the bank provides modern banking conveniences such as automated teller machines, electronic point-of-sale services, online banking, and remote deposit capture. This comprehensive service offering positions Sierra Bancorp as a key player in the regional banking sector, with a strong commitment to supporting local communities and businesses. The company's focus on customer service and community engagement has allowed it to maintain a competitive edge in the financial services industry, making it a trusted partner for financial needs in California.

What Products and Services Does BSRR Offer?

  • Provide retail banking services including checking and savings accounts.
  • Offer commercial banking services tailored for businesses.
  • Facilitate a variety of loan products, including agricultural and real estate loans.
  • Operate a network of 35 full-service branches across California.
  • Deliver online and mobile banking solutions for convenient access.
  • Support local communities through various engagement and development programs.

How Does BSRR Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through interest income from loans and fees from banking services.
  • Offer a diverse range of deposit products to attract customer funds.
  • Leverage technology to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience.
  • Focus on community engagement to build strong customer relationships.
  • Utilize a comprehensive suite of financial products to meet varied customer needs.

What Industry Does BSRR Operate In?

The regional banking industry is experiencing a resurgence as local banks focus on personalized services and community engagement. With a market size projected to grow steadily, Sierra Bancorp is strategically positioned within this landscape. Increasing demand for small business loans and consumer banking services, coupled with a shift towards digital banking solutions, presents significant growth opportunities. Competitively, Sierra Bancorp faces both challenges and opportunities from larger national banks and fintech companies, but its community-oriented approach allows it to differentiate itself effectively.

Who Are BSRR's Key Customers?

  • Individuals seeking personal banking solutions.
  • Small to medium-sized businesses requiring commercial banking services.
  • Farmers and agricultural businesses needing specialized loans.
  • Local communities looking for a bank that supports regional development.
  • Online customers who prefer digital banking solutions.
Model self-rating on this text: 72% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 75/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • No filing on record
  • Covered by analysts

Why 87?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.35 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • +0.34 Dividend yield (Valuation)
  • +0.28 Net margin (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.13 Free cash flow growth (Growth)
  • -0.12 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)
  • -0.08 Price to book (Valuation)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 90
2026-08-26 89
2026-08-29 90
2026-09-01 88
2026-09-04 87
2026-09-07 88
2026-09-10 86

What changed?

The grade moved from 90 to 86 (-4).

What moved it up or down:

  • -7 Financial Safety
  • -6 Valuation
  • -2 Business Quality

Held back by:

  • +1 Momentum

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +1.1%.

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) Valuation Context

Valued at $535M, BSRR is classified as a small-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $39.00 to $39.00, with a consensus of $39.00. At the current price of $40.87, that implies roughly 5% downside from the consensus target. Relative to its peer group, BSRR's quantitative score of 87/100 is above the peer average of 76/100.

BSRR Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Jun 2026, BSRR generated $49.5M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 0.7%. The company recorded net income of $9.9M, with diluted EPS of $0.76. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Financial Services. Across the four most recent quarters, BSRR averaged $0.85 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Sierra Bancorp operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Porterville, US. The company is led by CEO Kevin J. McPhaill. BSRR has traded publicly since 1994.

ROE 13%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Sierra Bancorp stands at 12.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. BSRR trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 11.57, below the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 0.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.19 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 8.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 8/9

Financial Health

Sierra Bancorp's Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.34 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

4/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Sierra Bancorp has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 1.7% above estimates on average.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Sierra Bancorp revenue of about $156.7M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $3.56. The estimate reflects 3 contributing analysts.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Sierra Bancorp insiders filed 11 SEC Form 4 transactions — 8 sales and 3 purchases. On net that is roughly 26K shares disposed (about $995K), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

BSRR Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+5.7%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+4.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
+10.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-42.5%
P/E (TTM)
11.57
Return on Equity (TTM)
+12.7%
Current Ratio
0.2
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
12.2

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Established brand with a strong community presence.
  • Diverse product offerings catering to various customer segments.
  • Strong financial performance metrics, including high profit margins.
  • Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge.

Bear Case

  • Limited geographic presence outside California.
  • Dependence on the agricultural sector, which can be volatile.
  • Potential challenges in scaling digital banking services.
  • Relatively smaller size compared to national banks.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Jun 2026 $50M $10M $0.76
Mar 2026 $49M $13M $0.96
Dec 2025 $51M $13M $0.97
Sep 2025 $50M $10M $0.71

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

BSRR Latest News

BSRR Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for BSRR.

Price Targets

Low
$39.00
Consensus
$39.00
High
$39.00

Median: $39.00 (-4.6% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

BSRR MoonshotScore

87/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. BSRR scores 87/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Kevin J. McPhaill

President and CEO

Kevin J. McPhaill has been leading Sierra Bancorp since its inception, bringing over 30 years of banking experience to the role. He holds a degree in Business Administration from California State University, Fresno, and has held various leadership positions in regional banks prior to joining Sierra Bancorp. His extensive knowledge of the banking industry and commitment to community service have been instrumental in shaping the company's strategic direction.

Track Record: Under McPhaill's leadership, Sierra Bancorp has achieved significant growth in both assets and deposits, expanding its branch network and enhancing its service offerings. His strategic focus on community engagement and customer service has strengthened the bank's reputation and market position.

Sierra Bancorp Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for BSRR?

BSRR holds an AI Score of 87/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is BSRR a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate BSRR buy, sell or hold. Sierra Bancorp carries a MoonshotScore of 87/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Sierra Bancorp do?

Sierra Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Bank of the Sierra, providing a wide range of retail and commercial banking services.

What are the key factors to evaluate for BSRR?

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) holds a MoonshotScore of 87/100 (high). P/E: 11.57x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $39.00 (-5%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does BSRR data refresh on this page?

BSRR's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven BSRR's recent stock price performance?

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established brand with a strong community presence. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider BSRR overvalued or undervalued right now?

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) trades at 11.57x earnings. Analysts target $39.00 (-5%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of BSRR?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track BSRR's earnings and financial reports?

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for BSRR earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information presented is based on the latest available data and may be subject to change.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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