Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) Financial Services Profile

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) is a business development company focused on providing tailored debt solutions to middle-market companies. With investments spanning healthcare, technology, and business services, CGBD offers investors exposure to a diversified portfolio of income-generating assets within the asset management sector, characterized by a high dividend yield.

What Is the Investment Thesis for CGBD?

With a current dividend yield of 13.79%, CGBD offers investors a significant income stream. The company's diversified portfolio across various sectors mitigates risk, while its focus on senior secured debt provides downside protection. The company's P/E ratio of 22.33 suggests a reasonable valuation compared to its earnings. Upcoming catalysts include potential interest rate hikes, which could increase the yield on CGBD's loan portfolio. Ongoing growth opportunities in the middle-market lending space, driven by increased demand for alternative financing solutions, could further boost CGBD's performance. However, potential risks include increased competition in the BDC sector and potential credit losses from its loan portfolio. Investors should monitor CGBD's asset quality and its ability to maintain its dividend payout in the face of economic uncertainty.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

CGBD Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $794M indicates a sizable presence in the asset management industry.

• P/E ratio of 22.33 suggests a potentially reasonable valuation relative to earnings.
• Profit margin of 35.4% demonstrates strong profitability in its lending operations.
• Gross margin of 70.9% indicates efficient management of interest income and expenses.
• Dividend yield of 13.79% provides a substantial income stream for investors.

Who Are CGBD's Competitors?

CGBD is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are CGBD's Key Strengths?

High dividend yield provides attractive income stream for investors.

• Diversified investment portfolio mitigates risk.
• Experienced management team with expertise in middle-market lending.
• Strong relationships with borrowers and financial intermediaries.

What Are CGBD's Weaknesses?

External management structure may create conflicts of interest.

• Reliance on debt financing increases financial leverage.
• Exposure to credit risk from its loan portfolio.
• Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations.

What Could Drive CGBD Stock Higher?

Potential interest rate hikes could increase the yield on CGBD's loan portfolio.

• Continued growth in the middle-market lending space.
• Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions.
• Increased investment in high-growth sectors.

What Are the Key Risks for CGBD?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.43 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

• Rich valuation — a P/E of 22.33 runs well above the Financial Services sector’s ~17.50x, leaving little room for a miss.
• Increased competition in the BDC sector.
• Economic downturn could lead to credit losses.
• Regulatory changes may impact the BDC sector.
• Rising interest rates could increase borrowing costs for portfolio companies.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for CGBD?

• Expansion of Middle-Market Lending: The middle-market lending space presents a significant growth opportunity for CGBD. As traditional banks tighten lending standards, middle-market companies increasingly seek alternative financing solutions from BDCs like CGBD. The middle market represents a multi-billion dollar opportunity, and CGBD's expertise in structuring and managing debt investments positions it to capture a larger share of this market. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Strategic Partnerships: Forming strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and private equity firms can expand CGBD's reach and access to deal flow. Collaborating with partners can provide CGBD with access to a broader network of potential borrowers and investment opportunities. These partnerships can also enhance CGBD's ability to provide comprehensive financing solutions to middle-market companies. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Increased Investment in High-Growth Sectors: Increasing investments in high-growth sectors such as technology and healthcare can drive portfolio growth and enhance returns. These sectors often require specialized financing solutions, which CGBD is well-positioned to provide. By focusing on companies with strong growth potential, CGBD can generate attractive returns for its shareholders. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Leveraging Technology and Data Analytics: Implementing advanced technology and data analytics can improve CGBD's ability to source, evaluate, and manage investments. Utilizing data analytics can enhance risk management and improve portfolio performance. Investing in technology can also streamline operations and reduce costs, further improving CGBD's profitability. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Geographic Expansion: Expanding its geographic footprint beyond the United States can provide CGBD with access to new investment opportunities and diversify its portfolio. Investing in international markets can also reduce CGBD's reliance on the U.S. economy and mitigate risk. CGBD's existing presence in Luxembourg, Cayman Islands, Cyprus, and the United Kingdom provides a foundation for further international expansion. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are CGBD's Competitive Advantages?

• Expertise in middle-market lending.
• Diversified investment portfolio across various industries.
• Strong relationships with borrowers and financial intermediaries.
• Experienced management team with a proven track record.

What Does CGBD Do?

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc., formerly known as TCG BDC, Inc., is a business development company (BDC) that specializes in providing financing solutions to middle-market companies. The company's investment strategy focuses on directly investing in first lien debt, senior secured loans, second lien senior secured loans, unsecured debt, mezzanine debt, and equities. CGBD targets companies with EBITDA between $25 million and $100 million, primarily operating in the United States, Luxembourg, Cayman Islands, Cyprus, and the United Kingdom. Carlyle Secured Lending's investment portfolio spans a diverse range of industries, including healthcare and pharmaceuticals, aerospace and defense, high-tech industries, business services, software, beverage, food and tobacco, hotel, gaming and leisure, banking, finance, insurance, and real estate. This diversification aims to mitigate risk and capitalize on opportunities across different sectors. The company's focus on middle-market companies allows it to provide customized financing solutions that may not be readily available from traditional lenders. By directly investing in these companies, CGBD seeks to generate attractive returns for its shareholders through a combination of current income and capital appreciation. CGBD operates as an externally managed BDC, leveraging the expertise and resources of its investment adviser to source, evaluate, and manage its investments. The company's investment objective is to generate current income and, to a lesser extent, capital appreciation through its debt and equity investments. Carlyle Secured Lending's approach involves a rigorous due diligence process and ongoing monitoring of its portfolio companies to ensure the quality and performance of its investments. The company's ability to navigate complex market conditions and identify attractive investment opportunities is critical to its long-term success.

What Products and Services Does CGBD Offer?

• Provides first lien debt financing to middle-market companies.
• Offers senior secured loans to businesses across various industries.
• Invests in second lien senior secured loans.
• Provides unsecured debt financing.
• Invests in mezzanine debt.
• Makes equity investments in select companies.
• Targets companies with EBITDA between $25 million and $100 million.

How Does CGBD Make Money?

• Generates income from interest payments on its debt investments.
• Realizes capital gains from the sale of equity investments.
• Externally managed by an investment advisor who sources and manages investments.
• Distributes a significant portion of its earnings to shareholders through dividends.

What Industry Does CGBD Operate In?

Carlyle Secured Lending operates within the asset management industry, specifically focusing on business development companies (BDCs). The BDC sector has experienced growth in recent years as middle-market companies seek alternative financing solutions beyond traditional banks. The competitive landscape includes other BDCs and private credit funds. CGBD's focus on senior secured debt and diversified industry exposure positions it to capitalize on the growing demand for middle-market lending. Market trends include increasing interest rates, which can positively impact the yield on BDC loan portfolios, and regulatory changes that may affect the BDC sector.

Who Are CGBD's Key Customers?

• Middle-market companies seeking debt financing.
• Companies in healthcare and pharmaceutical industries.
• Businesses in aerospace and defense sectors.
• Companies in high-tech industries.

Company Profile

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. operates in the Asset Management industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in New York City, US. The company is led by CEO Alex Chi. CGBD has traded publicly since 2017.

Return on equity for Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. stands at 4.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 4.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. CGBD trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 22.33, above the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x. A current ratio of 4.97 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations.

CGBD Valuation & Market Position

With a $794M market cap, Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $12.00 to $12.00, with a consensus of $12.00. At the current price of $11.43, that implies approximately 5% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, CGBD's quantitative score of 88/100 is above the peer average of 77/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.

Revenue for Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. came in at $60.3M during Jun 2026, a 10.4% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $60K, with diluted EPS of $-0.00. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Financial Services. Across the four most recent quarters, CGBD averaged $0.13 in diluted EPS.

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.43 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses.

Wall Street analysts project Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. revenue of about $250.5M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.41. The estimate reflects 5 contributing analysts.

Over the past six months, Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. insiders filed 9 SEC Form 4 transactions — 8 sales and 1 purchases. On net that is roughly 24K shares disposed (about $271K), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

CGBD Financials

CGBD Latest News

CGBD Analyst Consensus

CGBD MoonshotScore

Common Questions About CGBD (Financial Services)

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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