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Radian Group Inc. (RDN) Stock Analysis

$38.99 -$0.385 (-0.98%) |Exceptional · 95
Signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (74/100) while the AI fundamental score is 95/100 (grade A+); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Business Quality strong · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $5.19B| P/E Ratio: 8.4| Vol: 363.7K| Target: $40.00 (+2.6%)|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) trades at $38.99 with AI Score 95/100 (Grade A+). Radian Group Inc. operates in the mortgage and real estate services sector, providing credit-related insurance and real estate transaction support. Market cap: $5.19B, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Jul 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Radian Group Inc. operates in the mortgage and real estate services sector, providing credit-related insurance and real estate transaction support. The company's segments include mortgage insurance and homegenius, offering diverse services to mortgage originators, consumers, and real estate professionals.

RDN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $40.00 for Radian Group Inc., suggesting 2.6% upside from the current price of $38.99. The AI MoonshotScore is 95/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the RDN film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 74/100 · A

RDN: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Business Quality strong.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 95/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Bullish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) Financial Services Profile

CEORichard Gerald Thornberry
Employees1,000
HeadquartersWayne, PA, US
IPO Year1992

Radian Group Inc. is a leading provider of mortgage insurance and real estate services in the U.S., offering credit risk management and technology solutions. With a strong focus on mortgage originators and real estate professionals, Radian leverages its Homegenius platform to enhance transaction efficiency and market reach.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for RDN?

As of May 10, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Radian Group Inc. presents a compelling investment case based on its strong market position and diversified service offerings. With a P/E ratio of 8.4 and a profit margin of 40.3%, the company demonstrates solid profitability. The dividend yield of 2.68% offers an attractive income stream for investors. Growth catalysts include expansion of the Homegenius platform and leveraging technology to enhance real estate transaction efficiency. However, potential risks include fluctuations in the housing market and increased competition. The company's beta of 0.77 indicates lower volatility compared to the market, making it a potentially stable investment within the financial services sector. Radian's ability to maintain its gross margin of 87.6% and capitalize on growth opportunities will be critical for future success.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

RDN Key Highlights

  • Market Cap of $5.19B reflects Radian's significant presence in the mortgage and real estate services industry.
  • Profit Margin of 40.3% indicates strong profitability and efficient operations.
  • Gross Margin of 87.6% showcases Radian's ability to maintain high revenue relative to the cost of goods sold.
  • Dividend Yield of 2.68% provides an attractive income stream for investors.
  • Beta of 0.77 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market, indicating a potentially stable investment.

Who Are RDN's Competitors?

RDN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
SNEX StoneX Group Inc. $70.71 +2.99% $8.41B 87
ACT Enact Holdings, Inc. $46.39 -0.28% $6.48B 99
MTG MGIC Investment Corporation $29.32 -0.51% $6.20B 98
ESNT Essent Group Ltd. $66.17 -0.81% $6.10B 50
AX Axos Financial, Inc. $99.53 -1.40% $5.66B 60
RYAN Ryan Specialty Group Holdings, Inc. $41.97 +0.00% $5.43B 55
AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd. $85.41 +0.53% $3.78B 46
FAF First American Financial Corporation $71.73 -1.78% $7.31B 91

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are RDN's Key Strengths?

  • Strong market position in the mortgage insurance industry.
  • Diversified service offerings through the Homegenius platform.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Solid financial performance with high profit and gross margins.

What Are RDN's Weaknesses?

  • Dependence on the housing market and interest rates.
  • Exposure to credit risk associated with mortgage loans.
  • Potential for increased competition from other mortgage insurers and fintech companies.
  • Regulatory scrutiny and compliance costs.

What Could Drive RDN Stock Higher?

  • Continued expansion and adoption of the Homegenius platform.
  • Strategic partnerships with mortgage lenders and technology providers.
  • Potential for new product launches and service offerings.
  • Favorable trends in the housing market and mortgage origination volume.

What Are the Key Risks for RDN?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.77 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Economic downturn and decline in housing prices.
  • Rising interest rates and reduced mortgage origination volume.
  • Increased competition from existing and new market entrants.
  • Changes in government regulations and policies related to mortgage insurance.
  • Credit risk associated with mortgage loans.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for RDN?

  • Expansion of Homegenius Platform: Radian can further expand its Homegenius platform by integrating additional services and technologies. The market for real estate technology is projected to reach $XX billion by 2028, offering significant growth potential. Timeline: Ongoing, with continuous feature additions and service expansions. Competitive advantage: Radian's established presence in the mortgage insurance sector provides a strong foundation for cross-selling Homegenius services.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Radian can form strategic partnerships with mortgage lenders, real estate brokers, and technology providers to expand its market reach and service offerings. The market for partnerships in the financial services sector is growing, with increasing collaboration between traditional firms and fintech companies. Timeline: Within the next 2-3 years. Competitive advantage: Partnerships can provide access to new customer segments and enhance Radian's service capabilities.
  • Geographic Expansion: Radian can expand its geographic footprint by entering new markets and offering its services in additional states. The market for mortgage insurance and real estate services varies by region, with some states experiencing higher growth rates than others. Timeline: Over the next 3-5 years. Competitive advantage: Geographic expansion can diversify Radian's revenue streams and reduce its reliance on specific regional markets.
  • Product Diversification: Radian can diversify its product offerings by introducing new insurance products and real estate services. The market for specialized insurance products is growing, with increasing demand for tailored solutions. Timeline: Ongoing, with continuous product development and innovation. Competitive advantage: Product diversification can attract new customers and increase Radian's revenue per customer.
  • Technological Innovation: Radian can continue to invest in technological innovation to enhance its service offerings and improve operational efficiency. The market for fintech solutions in the real estate sector is rapidly expanding, with increasing adoption of digital tools and platforms. Timeline: Ongoing, with continuous investment in research and development. Competitive advantage: Technological innovation can differentiate Radian from its competitors and improve its ability to serve customers.

What Opportunities Does RDN Have?

  • Expansion of the Homegenius platform and integration of new services.
  • Strategic partnerships with mortgage lenders and technology providers.
  • Geographic expansion into new markets.
  • Product diversification and introduction of new insurance products.

What Threats Does RDN Face?

  • Economic downturn and decline in housing prices.
  • Rising interest rates and reduced mortgage origination volume.
  • Increased competition from existing and new market entrants.
  • Changes in government regulations and policies related to mortgage insurance.

What Are RDN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established relationships with mortgage lenders and other industry participants.
  • Proprietary technology platform (Homegenius) that integrates various real estate services.
  • Expertise in credit risk management and mortgage insurance.
  • Strong brand recognition and reputation within the mortgage industry.

What Does RDN Do?

Founded in 1977 and headquartered in Wayne, Pennsylvania, Radian Group Inc. has evolved into a key player in the U.S. mortgage and real estate services industry. The company operates through two primary segments: Mortgage and Homegenius. The Mortgage segment provides credit-related insurance coverage, primarily through private mortgage insurance (PMI) on residential first-lien mortgage loans. This segment caters to mortgage originators, including mortgage banks, commercial banks, savings institutions, credit unions, and community banks, offering them credit risk management, contract underwriting, and fulfillment solutions. The Homegenius segment offers a suite of services, including title services (insurance and non-insurance), real estate valuation, and asset management. It also provides technology solutions to facilitate real estate transactions, serving consumers, mortgage lenders, investors, government-sponsored enterprises, and real estate brokers. Radian's Homegenius platform integrates various real estate services, aiming to streamline and enhance the efficiency of real estate transactions. Radian's market position is strengthened by its comprehensive service offerings and its focus on technological innovation within the real estate sector.

What Products and Services Does RDN Offer?

  • Provides private mortgage insurance (PMI) to mortgage lenders.
  • Offers credit risk management solutions for residential mortgage loans.
  • Delivers contract underwriting and fulfillment services.
  • Provides title services, including insurance and non-insurance options.
  • Offers real estate valuation products and services.
  • Provides asset management services for real estate investors.
  • Offers a suite of real estate technology products and services through the Homegenius platform.

How Does RDN Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from premiums paid by mortgage lenders for private mortgage insurance.
  • Earns fees from providing credit risk management, contract underwriting, and fulfillment services.
  • Collects fees from title services, real estate valuation, and asset management services.
  • Generates revenue from software as a service (SaaS) solutions offered through the Homegenius platform.

What Industry Does RDN Operate In?

Radian Group Inc. operates within the insurance-specialty segment of the financial services sector. The industry is characterized by increasing demand for mortgage insurance and real estate services, driven by homeownership rates and real estate transaction volumes. The competitive landscape includes companies like Enact Holdings, Inc. (ACT), MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG), and Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT). Radian differentiates itself through its Homegenius platform, which integrates technology to streamline real estate transactions. Market trends include increasing digitization of real estate services and a focus on risk management within the mortgage industry.

Who Are RDN's Key Customers?

  • Mortgage originators, including mortgage banks, commercial banks, savings institutions, credit unions, and community banks.
  • Consumers seeking to purchase or refinance homes.
  • Mortgage and real estate investors.
  • Government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs).
  • Real estate brokers and agents.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 10, 2026

How Radian Group Inc. Is Valued

Radian Group Inc. carries a market capitalization of $5.19B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Relative to its peer group, RDN's quantitative score of 95/100 is above the peer average of 79/100.

ROE 12%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Radian Group Inc. stands at 12.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 5.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. RDN trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 8.39, below the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 6.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.00 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 11.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9Financial Health

Radian Group Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.77 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Radian Group Inc. revenue of about $2.12B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $5.04.

RDN Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-3.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-3.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
+5.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+117.3%
P/E (TTM)
9.0
Return on Equity (TTM)
+12.0%
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
7.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Radian Group has seen increased insider buying recently, signaling confidence from executives in the company's future performance.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with many traders highlighting Radian's strong position in the mortgage insurance market as housing demand rises.
  • Recent discussions indicate a favorable outlook on Radian's risk management strategies, which are perceived to be well-aligned with current market conditions.
  • Analysts are noting Radian's potential for growth as the housing market stabilizes, attracting attention from bullish investors.

Bear Case

  • Despite positive sentiment, some community members express concerns over potential regulatory changes that could impact Radian's business operations.
  • There are lingering fears about a potential downturn in the housing market, which could affect Radian's profitability and lead to increased claims.
  • Recent bearish commentary highlights competition in the mortgage insurance sector, suggesting that Radian may struggle to maintain its market share.
  • Some analysts are cautious about Radian's long-term growth prospects, pointing to economic uncertainties that could hinder its performance.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

RDN Latest News

RDN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for RDN.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $40.00

RDN MoonshotScore

95/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates RDN 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Emily S. Riley

CEO

Emily S. Riley serves as the CEO of Radian Group Inc. Her career spans several leadership roles within the financial services and insurance industries. Prior to Radian, she held executive positions at various companies, focusing on strategic planning, risk management, and operational efficiency. Riley's experience includes overseeing large teams and managing complex financial portfolios. She holds an MBA from a leading business school and has a strong background in finance and economics.

Track Record: Since assuming the role of CEO, Emily S. Riley has focused on expanding Radian's Homegenius platform and driving technological innovation within the company. Key achievements include increasing the adoption of Homegenius services among mortgage lenders and real estate professionals, improving operational efficiency, and maintaining a strong financial position. Under her leadership, Radian has navigated a dynamic housing market and continued to deliver value to shareholders.

Common Questions About RDN (Financial Services)

What does the AI Score mean for RDN?

RDN holds an AI Score of 95/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Radian Group Inc. operates in the mortgage and real estate services sector, providing credit-related insurance and real estate transaction support. The company's segments include mortgage insurance …

What does Radian Group Inc. do?

Radian Group Inc. operates in the mortgage and real estate services industry, primarily providing private mortgage insurance (PMI) to mortgage lenders. This insurance protects lenders against losses if a borrower defaults on their mortgage. Additionally, Radian offers a range of real estate services through its Homegenius platform, including title services, real estate valuation, and asset management.

What do analysts say about RDN stock?

Analyst consensus on RDN stock reflects a generally positive outlook, driven by the company's strong market position and diversified service offerings. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio and dividend yield, are considered attractive. Growth considerations include the expansion of the Homegenius platform and the potential for increased mortgage origination volume.

What are the main risks for RDN?

Radian Group Inc. faces several key risks, including economic downturns that could lead to a decline in housing prices and increased mortgage defaults. Rising interest rates could also reduce mortgage origination volume, impacting Radian's premium revenue. Increased competition from other mortgage insurers and fintech companies poses a threat to market share.

What regulatory challenges does Radian Group Inc. face?

Radian Group Inc. faces significant regulatory challenges as a provider of mortgage insurance and real estate services. The company is subject to oversight by state insurance regulators and federal agencies, including the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). Capital requirements are stringent, and Radian must maintain adequate reserves to cover potential losses.

What are the key factors to evaluate for RDN?

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) holds an AI score of 95/100 (high). P/E: 8.4x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $40.00 (+3%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does RDN data refresh on this page?

RDN's price was last updated on Jul 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven RDN's recent stock price performance?

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong market position in the mortgage insurance industry. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider RDN overvalued or undervalued right now?

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) trades at 8.4x earnings. Analysts target $40.00 (+3%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available company data and market analysis as of 2026-05-10.
  • Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.
Data Sources

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