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Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) Stock Analysis

$14.76 +$0.27 (+1.86%) |Strong · 67
Bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (61/100) and AI Score (67/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Valuation strong · Biggest watch-out: Momentum weak.
MCap: $401M| P/E Ratio: 9.5| Vol: 460.9K|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) trades at $14.76 with AI Score 67/100 (Grade B+). Shoe Carnival, Inc. operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States, offering a wide range of shoes and accessories. Market cap: $401M, Sector: Consumer cyclical.

Price as of Jul 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Shoe Carnival, Inc. operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States, offering a wide range of shoes and accessories. The company operates through its Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station banners, along with online sales channels.

Analyst Coverage for SCVL: SCVL does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates SCVL against Consumer Cyclical peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns a mixed fundamental profile based on the underlying data.

Watch the SCVL film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 61/100 · B+

SCVL: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Valuation strong.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 67/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Weak Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Neutral
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) Consumer Business Overview

CEOMark J. Worden
Employees2,500
HeadquartersEvansville, IN, US
IPO Year1993

Shoe Carnival, Inc. is a family footwear retailer operating under the Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station banners, offering a diverse range of shoes and accessories across the United States and online. With a focus on value and customer experience, the company navigates the competitive apparel retail landscape.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for SCVL?

As of May 10, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Shoe Carnival presents a compelling investment case based on its established market presence and consistent profitability. With a P/E ratio of 9.5 and a dividend yield of 3.46%, the company offers a blend of value and income potential. A profit margin of 4.6% and a gross margin of 36.6% demonstrate operational efficiency. Key growth catalysts include expansion of the Shoe Station banner and continued investment in its e-commerce platform. However, investors may want to evaluate the potential impact of economic downturns on consumer spending and the competitive pressures within the retail sector. The company's beta of 1.35 indicates higher volatility compared to the market, requiring a risk-aware approach.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

SCVL Key Highlights

  • Operates 372 stores under the Shoe Carnival banner across 35 states and Puerto Rico as of January 29, 2022, providing a strong retail footprint.
  • Maintains a gross margin of 36.6%, reflecting effective cost management and pricing strategies.
  • Offers a dividend yield of 3.46%, providing an attractive income stream for investors.
  • Achieved a profit margin of 4.6%, indicating solid profitability in a competitive retail environment.
  • Trades at a P/E ratio of 9.5, suggesting a potentially undervalued investment relative to earnings.

Who Are SCVL's Competitors?

SCVL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
HIBB Hibbett, Inc. $87.49 +0.01% $1.05B 45
GCO Genesco Inc. $37.38 +1.11% $415M 87
ZUMZ Zumiez Inc. $18.96 +1.44% $320M 74
CTRN Citi Trends, Inc. $65.48 +1.99% $545M 67
DBI Designer Brands Inc. $5.68 -0.70% $288M 64
BZTAF Boozt AB (publ) $10.46 +0.00% $616M 48
ESHDF Esprit Holdings Limited $0.08 -33.88% $226M 46
GES Guess', Inc. $16.81 -0.30% $877M 50

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are SCVL's Key Strengths?

  • Established brand recognition
  • Extensive store network
  • Focus on value pricing
  • Omnichannel presence

What Are SCVL's Weaknesses?

  • Reliance on brick-and-mortar sales
  • Exposure to economic downturns
  • Limited international presence
  • Dependence on fashion trends

What Could Drive SCVL Stock Higher?

  • Continued expansion of the Shoe Station banner through new store openings.
  • Ongoing investments in e-commerce platform enhancements and digital marketing initiatives.
  • Potential for increased consumer spending during back-to-school and holiday seasons.
  • Implementation of strategic partnerships with complementary businesses.

What Are the Key Risks for SCVL?

  • Economic downturns could negatively impact consumer spending on discretionary items like footwear.
  • Increasing competition from online retailers could erode market share.
  • Fluctuations in raw material costs and supply chain disruptions could impact profitability.
  • Changing consumer preferences and fashion trends could require adjustments to product offerings.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for SCVL?

  • Expansion of the Shoe Station Banner: Shoe Carnival acquired Shoe Station to expand its presence in the Southeast. Growing the Shoe Station footprint through new store openings and strategic acquisitions represents a significant growth opportunity. Successfully integrating and scaling the Shoe Station banner could drive revenue growth and increase market share. The company can leverage its existing infrastructure and expertise to optimize Shoe Station's operations and enhance its brand recognition in the region.
  • E-commerce Growth: Investing in and expanding its online platform, shoecarnival.com, and mobile application presents a substantial growth opportunity. Enhancing the online shopping experience, expanding product offerings online, and improving digital marketing efforts can attract new customers and drive online sales. As e-commerce continues to grow, Shoe Carnival can capitalize on this trend by providing a seamless omnichannel experience.
  • Private Label Expansion: Developing and expanding its private label offerings can improve margins and differentiate Shoe Carnival from its competitors. By offering exclusive, value-priced products, the company can attract price-sensitive customers and build brand loyalty. Successful private label expansion requires careful product development, quality control, and effective marketing.
  • Loyalty Program Enhancement: Strengthening and expanding its loyalty program can increase customer retention and drive repeat purchases. By offering exclusive rewards, personalized offers, and early access to sales, Shoe Carnival can incentivize customers to shop more frequently. A well-designed loyalty program can also provide valuable data insights to improve marketing and merchandising decisions.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Collaborating with complementary businesses, such as apparel retailers or athletic brands, can create synergistic growth opportunities. Partnering with other retailers can expand Shoe Carnival's reach and introduce its products to new customer segments. Collaborating with athletic brands can enhance its product offerings and attract sports enthusiasts.

What Opportunities Does SCVL Have?

  • Expansion of the Shoe Station banner
  • E-commerce growth
  • Private label expansion
  • Loyalty program enhancement

What Threats Does SCVL Face?

  • Increasing online competition
  • Changing consumer preferences
  • Fluctuations in raw material costs
  • Economic recession

What Are SCVL's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established brand recognition in the family footwear retail sector.
  • Extensive store network across 35 states and Puerto Rico.
  • Focus on value pricing and a diverse product assortment.
  • Omnichannel presence with brick-and-mortar stores and online platforms.

What Does SCVL Do?

Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Evansville, Indiana, Shoe Carnival, Inc. has evolved into a prominent player in the family footwear retail sector. The company operates through its two banners: Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station. Shoe Carnival stores, numbering 372 as of January 29, 2022, are located across 35 states and Puerto Rico. Shoe Station, acquired to expand its footprint, contributes an additional 21 locations primarily across the Southeast. Shoe Carnival offers a wide selection of footwear, including dress, casual, work, and athletic shoes, as well as sandals and boots for men, women, and children. The company also provides accessories such as socks, shoe care items, and handbags. In addition to its brick-and-mortar presence, Shoe Carnival sells its products through its e-commerce platform, shoecarnival.com, and a mobile application, enhancing accessibility and convenience for its customers. The company targets value-conscious families seeking a broad assortment of styles and brands at competitive prices, positioning itself as a destination for affordable and fashionable footwear.

What Products and Services Does SCVL Offer?

  • Operates retail stores under the Shoe Carnival banner.
  • Operates retail stores under the Shoe Station banner.
  • Offers a wide range of dress, casual, work, and athletic shoes.
  • Sells sandals and boots for men, women, and children.
  • Provides various accessories, including socks and shoe care items.
  • Sells products through its online platform, shoecarnival.com.
  • Sells products through its mobile application.

How Does SCVL Make Money?

  • Retail sales of footwear and accessories through brick-and-mortar stores.
  • E-commerce sales through shoecarnival.com and its mobile app.
  • Merchandising and marketing to attract customers to its stores and online platforms.
  • Inventory management to ensure product availability and minimize markdowns.

What Industry Does SCVL Operate In?

Shoe Carnival operates within the competitive apparel retail industry, characterized by evolving consumer preferences and increasing online competition. The industry is influenced by macroeconomic factors, fashion trends, and seasonal demand. Shoe Carnival differentiates itself through its focus on family footwear, value pricing, and a diverse product assortment. The company faces competition from large national chains, regional players, and online retailers. Success in this environment requires effective inventory management, strong brand recognition, and a seamless omnichannel experience.

Who Are SCVL's Key Customers?

  • Families seeking affordable and fashionable footwear.
  • Value-conscious consumers looking for competitive prices.
  • Individuals seeking a wide selection of styles and brands.
  • Customers who prefer the convenience of online shopping.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 10, 2026

Company Profile

Shoe Carnival, Inc. operates in the Apparel - Retail industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Evansville, US. The company is led by CEO Clifton E. Sifford. SCVL has traded publicly since 1993.

How Shoe Carnival, Inc. Is Valued

Shoe Carnival, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $401M, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, SCVL's quantitative score of 67/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 67/100.

ROE 5%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Shoe Carnival, Inc. stands at 5.5%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 3.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. SCVL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.46, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~37x. Its free cash flow yield is 15.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 4.02 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 9.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 5/9Financial Health

Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.02 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

FY2027 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Shoe Carnival, Inc. revenue of about $1.13B for fiscal 2027, with EPS near $1.50.

SCVL Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-5.6%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-29.1%
EPS Growth (FY)
-29.8%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-61.7%
P/E (TTM)
11.1
Return on Equity (TTM)
+5.5%
Current Ratio
4.0
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
7.5

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Shoe Carnival's recent insider buying suggests management believes the stock is undervalued, signaling confidence in the company's future prospects.
  • The community sentiment seems to lean towards a positive outlook, with many anticipating a strong back-to-school season for footwear sales.
  • Market perception indicates that Shoe Carnival is well-positioned to capture market share in the value-oriented footwear segment, especially as consumers become more price-conscious.
  • Recent developments suggest the company's expansion strategy, focusing on new store openings and enhanced online presence, is resonating positively with investors.

Bear Case

  • Some community members express concern that rising inflation could negatively impact consumer spending on discretionary items like footwear.
  • The athletic footwear market is becoming increasingly competitive, with major brands aggressively vying for market share, potentially squeezing Shoe Carnival's margins.
  • Recent market developments indicate a slowdown in overall retail sales, which could translate to weaker-than-expected earnings for Shoe Carnival.
  • There's a bearish sentiment among some traders who believe the stock's recent performance is unsustainable, anticipating a correction in the near future.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · February 2026

SCVL Latest News

SCVL Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for SCVL.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for SCVL.

SCVL MoonshotScore

67/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates SCVL 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Clifton E. Sifford

CEO

Clifton E. Sifford serves as the CEO of Shoe Carnival, Inc., bringing extensive experience in the retail industry. His career includes various leadership roles within the company, providing him with a deep understanding of its operations and market dynamics. Sifford's background encompasses expertise in merchandising, marketing, and strategic planning, positioning him to effectively lead Shoe Carnival in a competitive environment. His leadership is focused on driving growth, enhancing customer experience, and optimizing operational efficiency.

Track Record: Under Clifton E. Sifford's leadership, Shoe Carnival has focused on expanding its retail footprint and enhancing its online presence. Key achievements include the acquisition of Shoe Station and investments in e-commerce capabilities. Sifford has also emphasized improving customer loyalty and driving sales growth through strategic marketing initiatives. His tenure has been marked by a commitment to maintaining Shoe Carnival's value proposition and adapting to evolving consumer preferences.

Common Questions About SCVL (Consumer Cyclical)

What does the AI Score mean for SCVL?

SCVL holds an AI Score of 67/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Shoe Carnival, Inc. operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States, offering a wide range of shoes and accessories. The company operates through its Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station …

What does Shoe Carnival, Inc. do?

Shoe Carnival, Inc. operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States, offering a wide range of shoes and accessories for men, women, and children. The company operates through its Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station banners, with a focus on providing value and a diverse product assortment.

What do analysts say about SCVL stock?

Analyst coverage of Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) typically focuses on the company's growth prospects, profitability, and competitive positioning within the apparel retail industry. Key valuation metrics such as P/E ratio and dividend yield are often considered. Analysts may also assess the potential impact of economic conditions and consumer spending patterns on the company's performance.

What are the main risks for SCVL?

Shoe Carnival, Inc. faces several risks inherent to the retail industry. Economic downturns could reduce consumer spending on discretionary items like footwear, impacting sales and profitability. Increasing competition from online retailers poses a threat to market share. Fluctuations in raw material costs and supply chain disruptions could affect margins.

What are the key factors to evaluate for SCVL?

Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) holds an AI score of 67/100 (moderate). P/E: 9.5x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.

How frequently does SCVL data refresh on this page?

SCVL's price was last updated on Jul 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven SCVL's recent stock price performance?

Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established brand recognition. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider SCVL overvalued or undervalued right now?

Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) trades at 9.5x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research SCVL before investing?

Before investing in Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data as of 2026-05-10.
  • Financial data is based on the most recent available filings.
  • Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.
Data Sources

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