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AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO) — MoonshotScore 31/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 5, 2026. Price $6.59 (+0.76%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $207M.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$6.59 +$0.05 (+0.76%) Market Cap $207M

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock · AIRO · NASDAQ

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is a U.S.-based aerospace and defense company operating in drones, avionics, pilot training, and electric air mobility (eVTOL). The company is headquartered in Albuquerque, NM.

Price as of Oct 2, 2026

Key Statistics

31 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO)

Weak
Business Quality Thin (22)
Financial Safety Strained (29)
Valuation Rich (27)
Growth Durability Growing (64)
Momentum Slipping (21)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Bottom-tier quality, a strained balance sheet and a full valuation, and the price trend has turned against it. Business Quality: Thin; Financial Safety: Strained; Valuation: Rich; Growth Durability: Growing; Momentum: Slipping.

Free cash flow yield is the main valuation drag relative to sector peers.

  • quarterly revenue $43M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
  • EPS beat 2 of 5
  • Altman Z 3.11 · Piotroski F 3

Holding back: weak fundamentals, balance-sheet strain, a rich price, weak price trend

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for AIRO (29 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
31Weak
31Weak
31Weak
31Weak
32Weak
32Weak

The score was 31 in the stored Oct 4, 2026 snapshot and remains 31 in the current publication computed Oct 5, 2026 (0). This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$6.59
Change on the day+0.76%
52-week range$5.71 – $22.47
Market capitalisation$207M
Price / earnings (trailing)20.52
Shares traded on the day370.0K

Price & events

Council Score · weighted blend of 2 available disciplines

Council score for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO): Split View

43/100 · C

Some lenses disagree with the MoonshotScore. Compare their readings below; each uses a different method.

5-Factor Breakdown

Growth Durability Moderate
Momentum Weak
Business Quality Weak
Financial Safety Weak
Valuation Weak

Legends Council

6 lenses, 6 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated) Jim Simons Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Favorable read

Read on: Oct 5, 2026

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Neutral
Margin of Safety Undervalued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Neutral
Debt/Equity Strong
ROE Negative
Gross Margin Moderate

Read on: Sep 9, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

Two of these lenses read this company more favourably than the MoonshotScore does: Dalio-style lens and Moon AI lens. Each lens is a separate scoring function over its own inputs, so a disagreement is a difference of method rather than a correction — the page's answer stays the MoonshotScore above.

On Sep 9, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the AIRO film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO) is listed on NASDAQ. It employs 223 people and is led by Captain Joseph D. Burns. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $43M and net income of -$2M. The market values it at $207M.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $43M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 2 of 5 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$43M-$2M-$0.06 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$9M-$15M-$0.49 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$48M-$39,658-$0.0017 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$6M-$8M-$0.28 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO)?

Short answer

What is holding it back is weak fundamentals, balance-sheet strain, a rich price, weak price trend. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 3.11 · Piotroski F 3. Trailing ratios: ROE -2.4% · ROA -2.3% · current ratio 2.94 · earnings yield -6.8% · free-cash-flow yield -17.2%.

Data-derived red flags

  • Negative return on equity (-2.4%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO)?

Short answer · as of

Current published price targets run low $13.00 · high $13.00 · consensus $13.00 · median $13.00 against a quoted price of $6.59 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

What the records here don't tell us

  • No forward revenue or earnings estimate is on file.
  • The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock compare with its peers?

Short answer

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock's score ranks 12th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) Same industry, near in market value$30.42 Oct 2, 2026$662M83 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Coda Octopus Group, Inc. (CODA) Same industry, near in market value$11.14 Oct 2, 2026$126M81 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) Same industry, near in market value$14.64 Oct 2, 2026$655M80 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Outdoor Holding Company (POWW) Same industry, near in market value$2.29 Oct 2, 2026$266M78 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
SIFCO Industries, Inc. (SIF) Same industry, near in market value$23.62 Oct 2, 2026$148M66 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Optex Systems Holdings, Inc. (OPXS) Same industry, near in market value$10.45 Oct 2, 2026$72.7M66 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
TAT Technologies Ltd. (TATT) Same industry, near in market value$35.19 Oct 2, 2026$457M65 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Starfighters Space Inc (FJET) Same industry, near in market value$1.72 Oct 2, 2026$94.6M41 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. (HOVR) Same industry, near in market value$1.68 Oct 2, 2026$112M40 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
CPI Aerostructures, Inc. (CVU) Same industry, near in market value$5.17 Oct 2, 2026$68.3M40 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Byrna Technologies Inc. (BYRN) Same industry, near in market value$3.48 Oct 2, 2026$79.0M37 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO) — this page$6.59$207M31
Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) Same industry, near in market value$0.59 Oct 2, 2026$75.6M26 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$13.00 – $13.00
Consensus target
$13.00
Median target
$13.00

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $6.59 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Available records within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 2, 2026 (coverage not recorded)

Transactions
16
Identified insiders
7
Purchases
0
Sales
8
Other transactions
8

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO)?

Read these with our analysis →

What Investors Ask About AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO)

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the AIRO research dossier (written May 10, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for AIRO?

AIRO carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Weak band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is AIRO a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate AIRO buy, sell or hold. AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock carries a MoonshotScore, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the AIRO stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO) is $6.59, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the AIRO price target?

The analyst consensus price target for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO) is $13.00 (range $13.00 to $13.00, median $13.00), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

What does AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock do?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is a U.S.-based aerospace and defense company that operates in four segments: drones, avionics, pilot training, and electric air mobility (eVTOL).

What are the key factors to evaluate for AIRO?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO) holds a MoonshotScore in the low range. P/E: 20.52x. Analysts target $13.00 (+97%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does AIRO data refresh on this page?

AIRO's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 2, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven AIRO's recent stock price performance?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diversified product portfolio across drones, avionics, pilot training, and eVTOL. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider AIRO overvalued or undervalued right now?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO) trades at 20.52x earnings. Analysts target $13.00 (+97%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (23 figures)

The 23 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 14 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$6.59FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T21:24:32.947Z.
px.changeChange on the day+0.76%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$207MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:00.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T21:24:31.887Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars+$0.05FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$43MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)20.52FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day370.0KFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026-$2MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $13.00 · high $13.00 · consensus $13.00 · median $13.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$13.00 – $13.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$13.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$13.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP16 transactions · 0 purchases, 8 sales, 8 other transactions · 7 identified insiders · available records within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 2, 2026 (coverage not recorded)FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 2 of 5UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-09-21 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 3.11 · Piotroski F 3UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$5.71 – $22.47UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29
id.employeesEmployees223UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29
id.ceoChief executiveCaptain Joseph D. BurnsUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE -2.4% · ROA -2.3% · current ratio 2.94 · earnings yield -6.8% · free-cash-flow yield -17.2%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 3 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v231 of 100 · Weak · pillars 22 / 29 / 27 / 64 / 21OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.valuation_driverRecorded valuation score driverFree cash flow yield is the main valuation drag relative to sector peers.OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine · stored factor contributions
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement31 (stored snapshot Oct 4, 2026) → 31 (current publication computed Oct 5, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

ETFs that hold AIRO

Funds in our ETF coverage that list AIRO among the top 10 holdings on their fund page, largest weight first. Each weight is the fund's reported holding weight as of the date in its row.

ETFWeightHoldings as of
REX Drone ETF (DRNZ)3.74%