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Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$46.98 +$0.24 (+0.51%) |Weak · 34
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (41/100) while the AI fundamental score is 34/100 (grade D); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $8.81B| P/E Ratio: 273.30| Vol: 3.39M| Target: $100.17 (+113.2%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $43.09 – $134.00

P/E 273.30 means the share price is 273.30 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $8.81B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.22: the stock has moved about 22% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) trades at $46.98 with MoonshotScore 34/100 (Grade D). Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. specializes in providing technology, products, and services primarily to the U.S. Department of Defense. Market cap: $8.81B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. specializes in providing technology, products, and services primarily to the U.S. Department of Defense. The company operates through two segments: Kratos Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems.

KTOS stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $100.17 for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc., suggesting 113.2% upside from the current price of $46.98. The AI MoonshotScore is 34/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the KTOS film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 41/100 · C

KTOS: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 34/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Financial Safety (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Growth Durability (2/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Overvalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOEric DeMarco
Employees4,300
HeadquartersSan Diego, US
IPO Year1999

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. is a specialized government contractor focusing on microwave electronics, satellite communications, cybersecurity, and unmanned systems. The company distinguishes itself by serving national security agencies and offering advanced technology solutions in the aerospace and defense sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for KTOS?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $8.81B and a P/E ratio of 273.30, the company's valuation reflects strong growth expectations. Key value drivers include ongoing government contracts and increasing demand for unmanned systems. The company's growth is further supported by its focus on high-growth areas such as cybersecurity and space communications. However, investors should be aware of potential risks, including reliance on government spending and competition within the defense industry. The company's gross margin of 21.8% and profit margin of 2.1% indicate areas for potential improvement in operational efficiency.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

KTOS Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $8.81B, reflecting investor confidence in future growth.

  • P/E ratio of 273.30, indicating a premium valuation based on earnings expectations.
  • Gross margin of 21.8%, showing the profitability of core services and products.
  • Profit margin of 2.1%, highlighting areas for potential improvement in operational efficiency.
  • Beta of 1.22, indicating higher volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are KTOS's Competitors?

KTOS is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
MTZ MasTec, Inc. $232.20 -3.52% $18.7B 575-pillar
WWD Woodward, Inc. $332.76 -1.45% $19.8B 705-pillar
APG APi Group Corporation $37.38 -1.66% $16.1B 565-pillar
ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. $20.57 -1.32% $16.3B 835-pillar
LUV Southwest Airlines Co. $38.69 +0.01% $18.9B 745-pillar
ACLLY Accelleron Industries AG $90.59 -2.49% $8.51B 609-signal
DRS Leonardo DRS, Inc. $36.31 +0.69% $9.69B 645-pillar
SARO StandardAero, Inc. $23.65 -2.35% $7.86B 615-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are KTOS's Key Strengths?

Strong relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense and other government agencies.

  • Specialized expertise in unmanned systems and defense technologies.
  • Diverse product and service offerings.
  • Established presence in the aerospace and defense industry.

What Are KTOS's Weaknesses?

Reliance on government contracts, which can be subject to budget cuts and political changes.

  • Relatively low profit margin compared to some competitors.
  • High P/E ratio may indicate overvaluation.
  • Exposure to economic cycles and defense spending trends.

What Could Drive KTOS Stock Higher?

Continued government spending on defense and national security.

  • Potential new contracts for unmanned systems and cybersecurity solutions.
  • Increasing demand for space and satellite communications.
  • Expansion into new international markets.

What Are the Key Risks for KTOS?

Rich valuation — a P/E of 273.30 runs well above the Industrials sector’s ~28.00x, leaving little room for a miss.

  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $34.3M recently.
  • Budget cuts in defense spending.
  • Competition from larger defense contractors.
  • Technological obsolescence.
  • Geopolitical risks and uncertainties.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for KTOS?

  • Growth opportunity 1: Expansion in Unmanned Systems: Kratos is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for unmanned aerial and seaborne systems. The unmanned systems market is projected to reach $40 billion by 2030, driven by increasing adoption in military and commercial applications. Kratos's expertise in this area provides a competitive advantage, allowing it to secure lucrative contracts and expand its market share.
  • Growth opportunity 2: Cybersecurity and Warfare Solutions: With increasing cyber threats, the demand for cybersecurity solutions is rising. Kratos's cybersecurity/warfare segment offers significant growth potential. The global cybersecurity market is expected to reach $300 billion by 2027. Kratos can leverage its expertise to provide advanced cybersecurity solutions to government and commercial clients.
  • Growth opportunity 3: Space and Satellite Communications: The space and satellite communications market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing demand for satellite-based services and space exploration. Kratos's capabilities in this area position it to benefit from this trend. The global space economy is projected to reach $1 trillion by 2040. Kratos can expand its offerings in satellite communications and related services.
  • Growth opportunity 4: C5ISR/Modular Systems: The market for C5ISR (Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Cyber, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance) systems is growing due to the increasing need for advanced intelligence and surveillance capabilities. Kratos's expertise in C5ISR/modular systems allows it to secure contracts and expand its market presence. This market is expected to see steady growth over the next decade.
  • Growth opportunity 5: International Expansion: Kratos has the opportunity to expand its international presence by offering its products and services to international government agencies and commercial customers. The global defense market is vast, and Kratos can leverage its expertise to secure contracts in new markets. This expansion can diversify its revenue streams and reduce reliance on the U.S. Department of Defense.

What Are KTOS's Competitive Advantages?

  • Specialized expertise in unmanned systems and defense technologies.
  • Long-term government contracts provide a stable revenue stream.
  • High barriers to entry in the aerospace and defense industry.
  • Strong relationships with key government agencies.

What Does KTOS Do?

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc., incorporated in 1994 and headquartered in San Diego, California, operates as a government contractor, primarily serving the U.S. Department of Defense and other national security-related agencies. The company is structured into two main segments: Kratos Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems. The Kratos Government Solutions segment delivers a range of products and services, including microwave electronic products, space and satellite communications, training and cybersecurity/warfare solutions, C5ISR/modular systems, turbine technologies, and defense and rocket support services. The Unmanned Systems segment focuses on providing unmanned aerial systems, as well as unmanned ground and seaborne systems. Kratos serves a diverse clientele, including the Department of Defense, intelligence agencies, classified agencies, international government agencies, and both domestic and international commercial customers. The company has evolved to become a key player in providing advanced technology solutions for national security, leveraging its expertise in unmanned systems and defense technologies.

What Products and Services Does KTOS Offer?

  • Develop and provide microwave electronic products for defense applications.
  • Offer space and satellite communication solutions.
  • Provide training and cybersecurity/warfare solutions.
  • Design and manufacture C5ISR/modular systems.
  • Develop turbine technologies for various applications.
  • Offer defense and rocket support services.
  • Provide unmanned aerial systems (UAS).
  • Develop unmanned ground and seaborne systems.

How Does KTOS Make Money?

  • Kratos generates revenue through government contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense and other national security agencies.
  • The company earns income from providing products and services in its Kratos Government Solutions segment.
  • Revenue is also generated from the sale of unmanned systems through its Unmanned Systems segment.

What Industry Does KTOS Operate In?

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions operates within the aerospace and defense industry, a sector characterized by high barriers to entry, long-term government contracts, and significant technological advancements. The industry is experiencing growth driven by increasing global security concerns and rising defense budgets. Kratos competes with larger defense contractors and specialized technology firms. The company's focus on unmanned systems and advanced technology solutions positions it to capitalize on emerging trends in the defense sector.

Who Are KTOS's Key Customers?

  • U.S. Department of Defense
  • National security-related agencies
  • Intelligence agencies
  • International government agencies
  • Domestic and international commercial customers
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 94% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 38 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 34?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.60 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)
  • +0.46 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.16 Revenue growth (Growth)

What is holding it back

  • -0.48 5-year revenue per share (Growth)
  • -0.48 Share dilution (Growth)
  • -0.24 Enterprise value vs EBITDA (Valuation)

Risk penalties applied

  • -1.08 Reported profit not backed by cash flow

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 33
2026-08-26 32
2026-08-29 32
2026-09-01 34
2026-09-04 38
2026-09-07 37
2026-09-10 34

What changed?

The grade moved from 33 to 34 (+1).

What moved it up or down:

  • +3 Business Quality

Held back by:

  • -9 Growth Durability
  • -4 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -18.2%.

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Financial Trajectory

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) reported $458.8M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 23.7% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $4.4M, with diluted EPS of $0.02. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this mid-cap Industrials company. Across the four most recent quarters, KTOS averaged $0.04 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in San Diego, US. The company is led by CEO Eric DeMarco. KTOS has traded publicly since 1999.

How Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Is Valued

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $8.81B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $75.00 to $135.00, with a consensus of $100.17. At the current price of $46.98, that implies approximately 113% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, KTOS's quantitative score of 34/100 is below the peer average of 66/100.

ROE 1%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. stands at 1.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.7%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. KTOS trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 273.30, above the Industrials sector average of ~28.00x. Its free cash flow yield is -1.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 5.63 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 0.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 8.68 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

8/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 28.4% above estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. insiders filed 100 SEC Form 4 transactions — 91 sales and 9 purchases. On net that is roughly 482K shares disposed (about $34.3M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

KTOS Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+18.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+35.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
+18.2%
P/E (TTM)
273.30
Return on Equity (TTM)
+1.3%
Current Ratio
5.6
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
79.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense and other government agencies.
  • Specialized expertise in unmanned systems and defense technologies.
  • Diverse product and service offerings.
  • Established presence in the aerospace and defense industry.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on government contracts, which can be subject to budget cuts and political changes.
  • Relatively low profit margin compared to some competitors.
  • High P/E ratio may indicate overvaluation.
  • Exposure to economic cycles and defense spending trends.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $459M $4M $0.02
Q1 FY2026 $371M $12M $0.07
Q4 FY2025 $345M $6M $0.03
Q3 FY2025 $348M $9M $0.05

Q2 FY2026 · filed 4 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

KTOS Latest News

KTOS Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for KTOS.

Price Targets

Low
$75.00
Consensus
$100.17
High
$135.00

Median: $102.00 (+113.2% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

KTOS MoonshotScore

34/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. KTOS scores 34/100 (Grade D): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Eric DeMarco

CEO

Eric DeMarco has served as the CEO of Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. since 2004. He has extensive experience in the defense and technology sectors. Before joining Kratos, DeMarco held various leadership positions in technology companies. His expertise includes strategic planning, business development, and financial management. DeMarco's leadership has been instrumental in transforming Kratos into a leading provider of advanced technology solutions for national security.

Track Record: Under Eric DeMarco's leadership, Kratos has achieved significant milestones, including expanding its presence in the unmanned systems market and securing key government contracts. He has overseen the company's growth and diversification, positioning it as a key player in the aerospace and defense industry. DeMarco has also focused on innovation and technological advancements, driving the development of cutting-edge solutions for national security.

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Industrials Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for KTOS?

KTOS holds an AI Score of 34/100 (Grade: D). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is KTOS a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate KTOS buy, sell or hold. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 34/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What are the main risks for KTOS?

The main risks for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. include its reliance on government contracts, which can be subject to budget cuts and political changes.

What are the key factors to evaluate for KTOS?

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) holds a MoonshotScore of 34/100 (low). P/E: 273.30x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $100.17 (+113%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does KTOS data refresh on this page?

KTOS's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven KTOS's recent stock price performance?

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong relationships with the U. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider KTOS overvalued or undervalued right now?

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) trades at 273.30x earnings. Analysts target $100.17 (+113%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of KTOS?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track KTOS's earnings and financial reports?

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for KTOS earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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