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Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$180.64 -$0.41 (-0.23%) |Strong · 68
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (60/100) and AI Score (68/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Momentum · Biggest watch-out: Valuation.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $11.9B| P/E Ratio: 28.92| Vol: 522.7K| Target: $213.85 (+18.4%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $153.83 – $216.30

P/E 28.92 means the share price is 28.92 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $11.9B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.90: the stock has moved about 10% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) trades at $180.64 with MoonshotScore 68/100 (Grade B+). Texas Roadhouse, Inc. operates and franchises casual dining restaurants, including Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, and Jaggers. Market cap: $11.9B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. operates and franchises casual dining restaurants, including Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, and Jaggers. The company has a significant presence in the United States and internationally, focusing on providing a high-quality dining experience.

TXRH stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $213.85 for Texas Roadhouse, Inc., suggesting 18.4% upside from the current price of $180.64. The AI MoonshotScore is 68/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the TXRH film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 60/100 · B+

TXRH: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Izzy Englander bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 68/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (8/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Valuation (3/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) Consumer Business Overview

CEOGerald L. Morgan
Employees101,000
HeadquartersLouisville, KY, US
IPO Year2004
IndustryRestaurants

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is a leading casual dining restaurant chain known for its steak-focused menu, lively atmosphere, and value pricing. Operating primarily in the United States with a growing international presence, the company competes in the highly competitive restaurant industry, balancing company-owned and franchised locations.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for TXRH?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $11.9B and a P/E ratio of 28.92, the company demonstrates financial stability. A key value driver is the company's ability to maintain a strong profit margin of 6.8% and a gross margin of 18.7% in a competitive industry. Growth catalysts include continued expansion of both company-owned and franchised restaurants, as well as the potential for increased same-store sales. The company's dividend yield of 1.57% provides an additional incentive for investors. Potential risks include fluctuations in food costs and increased competition from other casual dining chains. The company's beta of 0.90 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TXRH Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $11.9B reflects strong investor confidence in the brand and its growth potential.

  • P/E Ratio of 28.92 indicates a premium valuation, suggesting expectations of future earnings growth.
  • Profit Margin of 6.8% demonstrates effective cost management and pricing strategies.
  • Gross Margin of 18.7% highlights the company's ability to control food and labor costs.
  • Dividend Yield of 1.57% provides a steady income stream for investors, enhancing the stock's attractiveness.

Who Are TXRH's Competitors?

TXRH is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
SN SharkNinja, Inc. $162.58 -3.97% $23.0B 945-pillar
HAS Hasbro, Inc. $91.54 +1.53% $12.9B 875-pillar
CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. $112.84 +0.94% $12.3B 745-pillar
GME GameStop Corp. $20.39 +2.51% $9.15B 675-pillar
DPZ Domino's Pizza, Inc. $314.74 -0.81% $10.4B 815-pillar
LKNCY Luckin Coffee Inc. $33.34 -1.88% $10.7B 529-signal
YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. $42.29 -0.68% $14.8B 735-pillar
EAT Brinker International, Inc. $212.96 -0.81% $9.13B 875-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are TXRH's Key Strengths?

Strong brand recognition and reputation.

  • Loyal customer base.
  • Efficient operations and cost management.
  • Combination of company-owned and franchised restaurants.

What Are TXRH's Weaknesses?

Vulnerability to fluctuations in food costs.

  • Dependence on the U.S. market.
  • Limited presence in certain geographic regions.
  • Exposure to economic downturns affecting consumer spending.

What Could Drive TXRH Stock Higher?

Continued expansion of restaurant locations, both domestically and internationally.

  • Enhancement of digital ordering and delivery services to drive sales growth.
  • Introduction of new menu items and limited-time offers to attract new customers.
  • Implementation of loyalty programs and customer engagement initiatives to enhance customer retention.

What Are the Key Risks for TXRH?

Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.

  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $6.5M recently.
  • Fluctuations in food costs impacting profitability.
  • Increased competition from other casual dining chains.
  • Economic downturns affecting consumer spending.
  • Regulatory changes impacting the restaurant industry.
  • Changing consumer preferences and dietary trends.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TXRH?

  • Expansion of Restaurant Locations: Texas Roadhouse has the opportunity to continue expanding its restaurant footprint both domestically and internationally. The company can target underserved markets and leverage its franchising model to accelerate growth. The global restaurant market is projected to reach $4.16 trillion by 2027, offering significant potential for expansion. This expansion can drive revenue growth and increase brand awareness.
  • Enhancement of Digital Ordering and Delivery: Investing in digital ordering platforms and delivery services can enhance customer convenience and drive sales growth. The online food delivery market is expected to reach $220 billion by 2027, presenting a significant opportunity for Texas Roadhouse to capture a larger share of the market. By improving its digital capabilities, Texas Roadhouse can attract new customers and increase order frequency.
  • Menu Innovation and Limited-Time Offers: Introducing new menu items and limited-time offers can attract new customers and drive repeat business. The company can focus on developing innovative dishes that cater to changing consumer preferences and dietary trends. By regularly updating its menu, Texas Roadhouse can maintain its appeal and stay ahead of competitors.
  • Loyalty Programs and Customer Engagement: Implementing loyalty programs and engaging with customers through social media and email marketing can enhance customer retention and drive sales growth. The company can offer exclusive rewards and personalized promotions to loyal customers. By building stronger relationships with its customers, Texas Roadhouse can increase customer lifetime value.
  • Optimization of Operational Efficiency: Improving operational efficiency through technology and process improvements can reduce costs and increase profitability. The company can invest in automation and data analytics to streamline operations and optimize resource allocation. By enhancing its operational efficiency, Texas Roadhouse can improve its bottom line and maintain its competitive advantage.

What Are TXRH's Competitive Advantages?

  • Brand Recognition: Strong brand recognition and reputation for quality and value.
  • Loyal Customer Base: Established customer base with high levels of loyalty.
  • Franchise Network: Extensive franchise network providing a stable revenue stream.
  • Operational Efficiency: Efficient operations and cost management.

What Does TXRH Do?

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. was founded in 1993 in Louisville, Kentucky, by Kent Taylor with the opening of its first restaurant. The concept was built around providing high-quality, affordable steak dinners in a fun, family-friendly environment. Over the years, Texas Roadhouse has expanded its menu to include a variety of American cuisine, such as ribs, chicken, and seafood, while maintaining its focus on steak. The company operates through a combination of company-owned and franchised restaurants. As of December 28, 2021, Texas Roadhouse operated 566 domestic restaurants and 101 franchise restaurants. In addition to the Texas Roadhouse brand, the company also operates Bubba's 33, a sports restaurant concept, and Jaggers, a fast-casual restaurant. Texas Roadhouse has grown to become one of the largest steakhouse chains in the United States, known for its hand-cut steaks, made-from-scratch sides, and fresh-baked bread. The company's restaurants are designed to create a lively and engaging atmosphere, often featuring line dancing and peanut shells on the floor. Texas Roadhouse continues to expand its presence both domestically and internationally, focusing on maintaining its core values of quality, service, and value.

What Products and Services Does TXRH Offer?

  • Operates casual dining restaurants under the Texas Roadhouse brand.
  • Franchises restaurants under the Texas Roadhouse brand.
  • Operates Bubba's 33 sports restaurants.
  • Operates Jaggers fast-casual restaurants.
  • Provides a steak-focused menu with a variety of American cuisine.
  • Offers hand-cut steaks, made-from-scratch sides, and fresh-baked bread.
  • Creates a lively and engaging atmosphere in its restaurants.

How Does TXRH Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through sales at company-owned restaurants.
  • Collects franchise fees and royalties from franchised restaurants.
  • Focuses on providing high-quality food and service at affordable prices.
  • Maintains a balance between company-owned and franchised locations to drive growth.

What Industry Does TXRH Operate In?

Texas Roadhouse operates within the competitive restaurant industry, which is characterized by changing consumer preferences and economic conditions. The casual dining segment, in particular, faces pressure from fast-casual restaurants and evolving dining trends. Texas Roadhouse differentiates itself through its focus on quality steaks, value pricing, and a lively atmosphere. The industry is also influenced by factors such as food costs, labor costs, and regulatory changes. Texas Roadhouse's ability to manage these factors and maintain its brand reputation is crucial for its continued success.

Who Are TXRH's Key Customers?

  • Families seeking a casual dining experience.
  • Individuals looking for affordable steak dinners.
  • Sports fans who enjoy the atmosphere of Bubba's 33.
  • Customers seeking a fast-casual dining option at Jaggers.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 35 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 68?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.36 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.27 Financial-health checklist (Financial Strength)
  • +0.26 Return on assets (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.23 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)
  • -0.22 Gross margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.14 Price to book (Valuation)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 66
2026-08-26 66
2026-08-29 66
2026-09-01 67
2026-09-04 67
2026-09-07 67
2026-09-10 67

What changed?

The grade moved from 66 to 67 (+1).

What moved it up or down:

  • +2 Business Quality
  • +2 Financial Safety

Held back by:

  • -6 Valuation
  • -4 Growth Durability

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -11.8%.

Company Profile

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. operates in the Restaurants industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Louisville, US. The company is led by CEO Gerald L. Morgan. TXRH has traded publicly since 2004.

ROE 28%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Texas Roadhouse, Inc. stands at 27.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 11.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TXRH trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 28.92, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~32.70x. Its free cash flow yield is 3.4%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.46 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 3.5%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

TXRH Valuation & Market Position

With a $11.9B market cap, Texas Roadhouse, Inc. sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $175.00 to $235.00, with a consensus of $213.85. At the current price of $180.64, that implies approximately 18% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, TXRH's quantitative score of 68/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 77/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Texas Roadhouse, Inc.

Revenue for Texas Roadhouse, Inc. came in at $1.68B during Q2 FY2026, a 2.9% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $121.9M, with diluted EPS of $1.85. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Consumer Cyclical company. Across the four most recent quarters, TXRH averaged $1.56 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 7/9

Financial Health

Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 6.00 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

3/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 2.3% below estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Texas Roadhouse, Inc. insiders filed 26 SEC Form 4 transactions — 23 sales and 3 purchases. On net that is roughly 35K shares disposed (about $6.5M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

TXRH Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+9.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-6.5%
EPS Growth (FY)
-6.0%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-14.3%
P/E (TTM)
28.92
Return on Equity (TTM)
+27.6%
Current Ratio
0.5
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
16.5

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand recognition and reputation.
  • Loyal customer base.
  • Efficient operations and cost management.
  • Combination of company-owned and franchised restaurants.

Bear Case

  • Vulnerability to fluctuations in food costs.
  • Dependence on the U.S. market.
  • Limited presence in certain geographic regions.
  • Exposure to economic downturns affecting consumer spending.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $1.68B $122M $1.85
Q1 FY2026 $1.63B $123M $1.87
Q4 FY2025 $1.48B $85M $1.28
Q3 FY2025 $1.44B $83M $1.25

Q2 FY2026 · filed 7 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TXRH Latest News

TXRH Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for TXRH.

Price Targets

Low
$175.00
Consensus
$213.85
High
$235.00

Median: $220.00 (+18.4% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

TXRH MoonshotScore

68/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. TXRH scores 68/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Gerald L. Morgan

CEO

Gerald L. Morgan serves as the CEO of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. He has extensive experience in the restaurant industry, having held various leadership positions within the company. His career at Texas Roadhouse has spanned several years, during which he has demonstrated a strong understanding of the company's operations and strategic direction. Morgan's background includes a focus on operational efficiency, customer service, and employee development. He is known for his hands-on approach and commitment to maintaining the company's culture and values.

Track Record: Under Gerald L. Morgan's leadership, Texas Roadhouse has continued to expand its restaurant footprint and maintain its strong brand reputation. He has overseen the implementation of various initiatives to enhance customer experience and improve operational efficiency. Morgan has also played a key role in navigating the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic and adapting the company's business model to meet changing consumer needs.

TXRH Consumer Cyclical Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for TXRH?

TXRH holds an AI Score of 68/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Texas Roadhouse, Inc. operates and franchises casual dining restaurants, including Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, and Jaggers.

Is TXRH a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate TXRH buy, sell or hold. Texas Roadhouse, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 68/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about TXRH stock?

Analysts generally view Texas Roadhouse, Inc. favorably, citing its strong brand reputation, consistent performance, and growth potential. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 28.92, suggest that the stock is trading at a premium, reflecting expectations of future earnings growth.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TXRH?

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) holds a MoonshotScore of 68/100 (moderate). P/E: 28.92x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $213.85 (+18%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does TXRH data refresh on this page?

TXRH's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven TXRH's recent stock price performance?

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition and reputation. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TXRH overvalued or undervalued right now?

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) trades at 28.92x earnings. Analysts target $213.85 (+18%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of TXRH?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track TXRH's earnings and financial reports?

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for TXRH earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data as of 2026-05-10.
  • Financial data is based on the most recent available reports.
  • Future performance is subject to various market and economic conditions.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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