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Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH)

$58.08 +$0.06 (+0.10%) |CouncilHOLD · 44 · C
Bottom line: HOLD — our Council read (44/100) and AI Score (44/100) broadly agree.
MCap: $33.91B| Vol: 3.20M|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) trades at $58.08 with AI Score 44/100 (Grade C). Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) offers investors exposure to U. S. Market cap: $33.91B, Sector: Financial services.

Price live · AI analysis from Jun 15, 2026
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) offers investors exposure to U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities ranging from one to three years, aiming for a consistent income stream and stable market value. As a passively managed ETF, it tracks the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 1-3 Year Index and is recognized for its cost-effectiveness due to a low expense ratio.

Analyst Coverage for VGSH: VGSH does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates VGSH against Financial Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 44/100 · C

VGSH: the 1 perspectives are evenly split.

How is this calculated? →
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) Financial Services Profile

HeadquartersValley Forge, US
IPO Year2009

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) provides investors with cost-effective, passively managed exposure to high-quality U.S. government debt, specifically short-term Treasury bonds with one-to-three-year maturities. It seeks to deliver a consistent income stream while prioritizing stable market value, tracking the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 1-3 Year Index within the financial services sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: Jun 15, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for VGSH?

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) presents a clear investment profile centered on stability, liquidity, and cost-efficiency within the fixed income market. With a market capitalization of $33.91B and a low Beta of 0.23, the fund offers significant scale and reduced volatility relative to broader market movements. Its core value proposition lies in providing exposure to U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities of 1-3 years, aiming for a consistent income stream and stable market value. A key strength is its low expense ratio, making it a highly cost-effective option for short-term fixed income exposure. Growth catalysts include potential increases in demand for safe-haven assets during economic uncertainty, and the possibility of higher yields if Federal Reserve policy leads to rising short-term interest rates, making new bond acquisitions more attractive for the fund. However, returns are inherently limited by the low yield environment associated with short-term treasuries and the fund is subject to interest rate risk, where rising rates could negatively impact the market value of existing bond holdings. Investors should closely monitor Federal Reserve policy and changes in the yield curve, as these factors directly influence the fund's performance and attractiveness.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

VGSH Key Highlights

  • Market Capitalization: VGSH commands a substantial market capitalization of $33.91B, indicating significant investor interest and liquidity within the short-term fixed income ETF space.
  • Low Beta: With a Beta of 0.23, the fund demonstrates significantly lower volatility compared to the overall market, aligning with its objective of providing stable market value and capital preservation.
  • Short-Term U.S. Treasury Focus: The ETF primarily invests in U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities ranging from 1 to 3 years, offering targeted exposure to high-quality, investment-grade government debt.
  • Passive Management Strategy: VGSH is a passively managed ETF designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 1-3 Year Index, ensuring transparency and adherence to its stated objective.
  • Cost-Effective Exposure: A key strength of VGSH is its low expense ratio, positioning it as a highly cost-efficient vehicle for investors seeking exposure to short-term fixed income securities.

Who Are VGSH's Competitors?

VGSH is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
FBIFX Fidelity Freedom Index 2040 Fund - Investor Class $31.50 +0.03% $34.56B 47
VSBSX Vanguard Short-Term Treasury Index Fund Admiral Shares $19.36 +0.05% $33.89B 46
OEF iShares S&P 100 ETF $366.08 +0.06% $32.69B 47
FIHFX Fidelity Freedom Index 2035 Fund - Investor Class $28.62 +0.03% $32.61B 47
TQQQ ProShares - UltraPro QQQ $73.35 -5.31% $39.66B 44
NXDT NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust $5.36 +1.32% $277.24M 73
GENB Generate Biomedicines, Inc. $17.41 +5.52% $2.23B 72
SII Sprott Inc. $114.98 +2.00% $2.96B 71

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are VGSH's Key Strengths?

  • Low expense ratio makes it a highly cost-effective option for short-term fixed income exposure.
  • Investment in top-tier, investment-grade U.S. government debt provides high credit quality and capital preservation.
  • Passively managed strategy ensures transparency and consistent tracking of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 1-3 Year Index.
  • Focus on stable market value and consistent income stream appeals to risk-averse investors.

What Are VGSH's Weaknesses?

  • Returns are inherently limited by the low yield environment associated with short-term treasuries.
  • Subject to interest rate risk, where rising rates can lead to a decrease in the market value of existing bond holdings.
  • Does not offer a dividend yield, as its returns are primarily from bond interest and capital appreciation.
  • Limited potential for significant capital appreciation compared to higher-risk asset classes.

What Could Drive VGSH Stock Higher?

  • Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decisions: Future announcements and actions by the Federal Reserve regarding the federal funds rate will directly influence the yields of short-term U.S. Treasury bonds. Any decision to raise rates could lead to higher yields on newly issued bonds acquired by VGSH, potentially increasing the fund's income generation and attractiveness to new investors. (Today is 2026-06-15)
  • Changes in the U.S. Treasury Yield Curve: Shifts in the shape of the yield curve, particularly a steepening where short-term yields rise more significantly, could make VGSH's short-duration holdings more appealing. Monitoring these changes is crucial for understanding the fund's relative value. (Today is 2026-06-15)
  • Global Economic Uncertainty: Persistent global economic or geopolitical instability often drives investors towards safe-haven assets like U.S. Treasury bonds. This ongoing demand can support the fund's market value and attract consistent inflows, reinforcing its role as a stable component in portfolios.
  • Continued Investor Preference for Passive Investing: The sustained trend of investors favoring low-cost, passively managed ETFs over actively managed funds provides a continuous tailwind for VGSH, as it aligns perfectly with this cost-efficiency mandate.

What Are the Key Risks for VGSH?

  • Interest Rate Risk: VGSH is subject to interest rate risk, meaning that if interest rates rise, the market value of the fund's existing bond holdings will typically decrease. While its short duration mitigates this compared to longer-term bonds, a significant increase in rates could still lead to a decline in the fund's Net Asset Value (NAV).
  • Low Yield Environment: Returns are inherently limited by the prevailing low yield environment associated with short-term treasuries. This can constrain the fund's income generation potential, making it less attractive for investors primarily seeking high income.
  • Inflation Risk: Although short-term bonds are generally less susceptible to inflation than long-term bonds, persistent high inflation could erode the real purchasing power of the fund's fixed income returns over time, impacting its overall attractiveness.
  • Credit Rating Downgrade of U.S. Government Debt: While highly unlikely given the U.S. government's standing, a hypothetical downgrade of the U.S. credit rating could impact the perceived safety and market value of the Treasury bonds held by VGSH.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for VGSH?

  • Increased Demand for Low-Volatility, High-Quality Fixed Income: In periods of heightened economic uncertainty or market volatility, investors typically seek refuge in assets perceived as safe havens. U.S. Treasury bonds, due to their backing by the U.S. government and investment-grade rating, are prime candidates. VGSH, by focusing on these top-tier securities and aiming for a stable market value, is well-positioned to capture inflows from investors prioritizing capital preservation and reduced risk. This trend is ongoing, with market participants consistently reallocating capital based on macroeconomic outlooks, making the fund a perennial option for risk-averse allocations.
  • Potential for Higher Yields in a Rising Rate Environment: While a low yield environment has historically limited returns for short-term treasuries, a shift in Federal Reserve policy towards higher interest rates could present a significant growth opportunity. As existing bonds mature and new U.S. Treasury bonds are issued with higher yields, VGSH's portfolio would gradually incorporate these higher-yielding securities. This would enhance the fund's income-generating potential, making it more attractive to investors seeking improved returns from short-duration fixed income. The timeline for such a shift is dependent on future Fed decisions, but the potential for increased attractiveness is a clear driver.
  • Continued Investor Preference for Cost-Effective Passive Investment Vehicles: The broader trend in the asset management industry continues to favor passively managed ETFs over actively managed funds, largely due to their significantly lower expense ratios. VGSH's status as a passively managed ETF with a low expense ratio positions it strongly within this ongoing shift. Investors are increasingly conscious of fees impacting long-term returns, making cost-efficient options like VGSH highly appealing for core portfolio allocations. This sustained preference for low-cost indexing is a long-term structural trend in the investment landscape.
  • Role in Portfolio Diversification and Capital Preservation: VGSH offers valuable diversification benefits due to its low correlation with equity markets and its focus on capital preservation. Investors often utilize short-term U.S. Treasuries as a ballast in diversified portfolios, aiming to reduce overall portfolio volatility and provide a stable component during equity market downturns. The fund's objective of maintaining a stable market value, coupled with its investment in highly liquid government debt, reinforces its utility as a tool for managing portfolio risk and ensuring access to capital when needed. This fundamental role in portfolio construction ensures consistent demand.
  • Growing Market for Short-Duration Fixed Income: The market for short-duration fixed income remains robust, driven by various investor needs including corporate cash management, liquidity mandates for institutions, and individual investors seeking alternatives to money market funds. VGSH's specific focus on U1-3 year duration U.S. Treasuries directly addresses this demand. The fund provides a transparent and efficient way to access this segment, which is crucial for managing short-term liabilities or parking cash with minimal interest rate sensitivity compared to longer-duration assets. This segment of the market is consistently active, ensuring a continuous base of potential investors for the fund.

What Opportunities Does VGSH Have?

  • Increased demand for safe-haven assets during periods of economic uncertainty or market volatility.
  • Potential for higher yields if Federal Reserve policy leads to an increase in short-term interest rates.
  • Continued growth in investor preference for low-cost, passively managed investment vehicles.
  • Role as a core component for portfolio diversification and capital preservation strategies.

What Threats Does VGSH Face?

  • Prolonged low yield environment could continue to limit the fund's income-generating potential.
  • Significant and rapid increases in interest rates could negatively impact the Net Asset Value (NAV) of the fund's existing bond holdings.
  • Competition from other bond ETFs and mutual funds offering similar short-term fixed income exposure.
  • Inflation eroding the purchasing power of fixed income returns, although short-term bonds are less affected than long-term.

What Are VGSH's Competitive Advantages?

  • Low Expense Ratio: VGSH benefits from Vanguard's reputation for low-cost investing, offering a highly competitive expense ratio that attracts cost-conscious investors.
  • Vanguard Brand Reputation and Scale: Leveraging Vanguard's established brand and extensive asset base provides significant trust and operational efficiency.
  • Focus on Highly Liquid U.S. Treasury Market: Investing in U.S. Treasuries ensures high liquidity, allowing the fund to manage inflows and outflows efficiently without significant market impact.
  • Passive Management Efficiency: The passive indexing strategy reduces research and trading costs, contributing to its low expense ratio and consistent tracking of its benchmark.
  • Credit Quality of Holdings: The exclusive focus on U.S. government-backed securities offers unparalleled credit quality, appealing to investors prioritizing safety and capital preservation.

What Does VGSH Do?

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF, identified by the ticker VGSH, is an exchange-traded fund designed to offer investors targeted exposure to the short end of the U.S. Treasury market. The fund's primary objective is to deliver a consistent income stream while simultaneously maintaining a stable market value for its shareholders. To achieve this, VGSH predominantly allocates its capital to top-tier, investment-grade debt securities issued by the United States government. These securities are characterized by their high credit quality, reflecting the full faith and credit backing of the U.S. government, making them a cornerstone for capital preservation strategies. The fund's portfolio is meticulously managed to ensure its dollar-weighted average duration typically spans a period of one to three years. This short duration profile is a critical aspect of its strategy, as it helps to mitigate interest rate risk compared to funds holding longer-duration bonds. VGSH operates as a passively managed ETF, meaning it does not engage in active security selection but rather aims to track the performance of a specific benchmark index. In this case, it seeks to replicate the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 1-3 Year Index. This passive approach contributes to one of its key strengths: a low expense ratio, which makes it a cost-effective option for investors seeking short-term fixed income exposure. The fund serves as a vehicle for investors looking for liquidity, capital preservation, and a steady income stream from highly creditworthy government securities, making it a foundational component for various investment portfolios.

What Products and Services Does VGSH Offer?

  • Manages an Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) that invests primarily in short-term U.S. Treasury bonds.
  • Aims to deliver a consistent income stream for investors through interest payments from government debt.
  • Prioritizes maintaining a stable market value for its fund, reducing volatility for shareholders.
  • Predominantly allocates capital to top-tier, investment-grade debt securities issued by the United States government.
  • Ensures its portfolio's dollar-weighted average duration typically spans a period of one to three years.
  • Operates as a passively managed ETF, tracking the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 1-3 Year Index.
  • Provides investors with a cost-effective vehicle for exposure to the short-term U.S. fixed income market.

How Does VGSH Make Money?

  • Generates revenue by charging a low expense ratio (management fee) to investors for managing the ETF.
  • The fund's underlying performance is driven by interest income generated from its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds.
  • Aims to replicate the performance of its benchmark index, the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 1-3 Year Index, rather than engaging in active security selection.
  • Offers a liquid and transparent investment product that can be traded on exchanges throughout the day.

What Industry Does VGSH Operate In?

VGSH operates within the expansive and dynamic asset management industry, specifically carving out a niche in the bond ETF segment. This industry is characterized by a growing preference for passive investment vehicles, driven by their lower costs and transparency. VGSH's focus on short-term U.S. Treasury bonds places it within a critical sub-segment of the fixed income market, which is often viewed as a cornerstone for capital preservation and liquidity management. The competitive landscape includes a range of mutual funds and ETFs offering similar exposure, with differentiation often coming down to expense ratios, tracking error, and the specific duration targets. Market trends, such as shifts in Federal Reserve monetary policy and investor demand for safe-haven assets, significantly influence the performance and attractiveness of funds like VGSH. Its position as a low-cost, passively managed fund tracking a widely recognized index allows it to compete effectively by offering a straightforward and efficient way to access U.S. government debt.

Who Are VGSH's Key Customers?

  • Individual investors seeking stable income and capital preservation from U.S. government debt.
  • Financial advisors and wealth managers constructing diversified client portfolios.
  • Institutional investors, such as pension funds and endowments, for liquidity management and low-risk allocations.
  • Investors looking for a cost-effective and transparent way to gain exposure to short-term fixed income.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: Jun 15, 2026

How Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Is Valued

Relative to its peer group, VGSH's quantitative score of 44/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 46/100.

VGSH Financials

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Low expense ratio makes it a highly cost-effective option for short-term fixed income exposure.
  • Investment in top-tier, investment-grade U.S. government debt provides high credit quality and capital preservation.
  • Passively managed strategy ensures transparency and consistent tracking of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 1-3 Year Index.
  • Focus on stable market value and consistent income stream appeals to risk-averse investors.

Bear Case

  • Returns are inherently limited by the low yield environment associated with short-term treasuries.
  • Subject to interest rate risk, where rising rates can lead to a decrease in the market value of existing bond holdings.
  • Does not offer a dividend yield, as its returns are primarily from bond interest and capital appreciation.
  • Limited potential for significant capital appreciation compared to higher-risk asset classes.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

VGSH Latest News

VGSH Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for VGSH.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for VGSH.

VGSH MoonshotScore

44/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates VGSH's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Analysis

Common Questions About VGSH (Financial Services)

What does Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF do?

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) is an exchange-traded fund that provides investors with exposure to U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities ranging from one to three years. Its core objective is to deliver a consistent income stream while striving to maintain a stable market value. The fund achieves this by predominantly investing in top-tier, investment-grade debt securities issued by the United States government. As a passively managed ETF, VGSH aims to track the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 1-3 Year Index, offering a cost-effective and transparent way for investors to access the short-term U.S. fixed income market for purposes such as capital preservation and liquidity management.

How sensitive is VGSH to interest rate changes?

VGSH's sensitivity to interest rate changes is primarily governed by its short duration, which typically spans one to three years. Bonds, including those held by VGSH, generally have an inverse relationship with interest rates: when rates rise, bond prices tend to fall, and vice versa. However, due to its short duration, VGSH is considerably less sensitive to interest rate fluctuations compared to funds holding longer-term bonds. This means that while rising rates can still lead to a decrease in the fund's Net Asset Value (NAV), the impact is generally more muted. Conversely, in a declining rate environment, the potential for capital appreciation is also more limited than with longer-duration funds. Investors should monitor Federal Reserve policy as it directly influences the short-term rate environment.

What are the main risks for VGSH?

The primary risks for VGSH revolve around interest rate fluctuations and the prevailing yield environment. The fund is subject to interest rate risk, meaning that an increase in interest rates can lead to a decrease in the market value of the existing U.S. Treasury bonds held within its portfolio. While its short duration helps to mitigate this risk compared to longer-term bond funds, it is not entirely immune. Additionally, VGSH operates within a low yield environment for short-term treasuries, which inherently limits its potential for significant income generation or capital appreciation. Other potential risks include inflation, which can erode the purchasing power of fixed income returns, and, theoretically, a downgrade of the U.S. government's credit rating, though this is considered highly improbable.

What are the key factors to evaluate for VGSH?

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) holds an AI score of 44/100 (low). Not financial advice.

How frequently does VGSH data refresh on this page?

VGSH prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven VGSH's recent stock price performance?

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Low expense ratio makes it a highly cost-effective option for short-term fixed income exposure. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider VGSH overvalued or undervalued right now?

Valuing Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) requires multiple metrics. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying VGSH?

Before investing in Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based solely on provided source data. Word count requirements for detailed sections necessitated careful elaboration within factual constraints.
  • The 'competitors' section includes all FMP PEER TICKERS as requested, with notes explaining their varying degrees of direct competition with VGSH.
Data Sources

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