Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) Stock Analysis
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
P/E 16.64 means the share price is 16.64 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $12.4B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.42: the stock has moved about 58% less than the S&P 500.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerBrown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) trades at $26.59 with MoonshotScore 50/100 (Grade B). Brown-Forman Corporation manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, and markets a diverse portfolio of alcoholic beverages. Market cap: $12.4B, Sector: Consumer defensive.
Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026BF-B stock analysis for 2026: The stored analyst price target for Brown-Forman Corporation is $28.32; its date is unknown, so no upside or downside is derived from it against the current price of $26.59. The AI MoonshotScore is 50/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
BF-B: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) Consumer Business Overview
Brown-Forman Corporation is a leading manufacturer and marketer of alcoholic beverages, distinguished by its iconic Jack Daniel's brand and a diverse portfolio of premium spirits and wines. With a global presence and a focus on brand building, the company competes in the consumer defensive sector.
What Is the Investment Thesis for BF-B?
The company's consistent profitability, demonstrated by a 20.6% profit margin and a 59.5% gross margin, underpins its financial stability. A dividend yield of 3.31% offers an attractive income stream for investors. Growth catalysts include the expansion of premium brands and increased penetration in emerging markets. However, investors may want to evaluate potential risks such as evolving consumer preferences and increased competition. The company's beta of 0.42 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
BF-B Key Highlights
Market capitalization of $12.4B reflects Brown-Forman's significant presence in the alcoholic beverage industry.
- A P/E ratio of 16.64 indicates a valuation that is in line with the broader consumer defensive sector.
- Gross margin of 59.5% demonstrates the company's ability to maintain profitability through efficient operations and strong brand pricing.
- Dividend yield of 3.31% provides a steady income stream for investors.
- Profit margin of 20.6% showcases Brown-Forman's effective cost management and brand strength.
Who Are BF-B's Competitors?
BF-B is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | $188.31 | -0.26% | $14.8B | 785-pillar |
| PFGC Performance Food Group Company | $94.83 | +0.50% | $14.9B | 605-pillar |
| HRL Hormel Foods Corporation | $20.50 | -1.63% | $11.3B | 575-pillar |
| BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | $91.49 | +2.05% | $11.7B | 705-pillar |
| CLX The Clorox Company | $87.76 | -1.14% | $10.6B | 505-pillar |
| PRNDY Pernod Ricard S.A. | $13.78 | +0.33% | $17.3B | 479-signal |
| STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. | $122.45 | -1.10% | $20.9B | 755-pillar |
| DEO Diageo plc | $86.31 | +0.24% | $48.0B | 745-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.
What Are BF-B's Key Strengths?
Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands like Jack Daniel's.
- Global distribution network providing access to key markets.
- Consistent profitability and strong financial performance.
- Experienced management team with a proven track record.
What Are BF-B's Weaknesses?
Dependence on the Jack Daniel's brand for a significant portion of revenue.
- Exposure to changing consumer preferences and trends.
- Vulnerability to regulatory changes and excise taxes.
- Limited presence in certain emerging markets.
What Could Drive BF-B Stock Higher?
BF-B catalyst: Expansion of Jack Daniel's product line into new flavor profiles and ready-to-drink offerings to attract younger consumers.
- Increased marketing investments in emerging markets to drive brand awareness and sales growth.
- Launch of new premium spirit brands in the next 12-18 months to diversify the product portfolio.
- Continued focus on sustainability initiatives to enhance brand reputation and appeal to environmentally conscious consumers.
What Are the Key Risks for BF-B?
Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.
- Changes in consumer preferences and trends could negatively impact demand for Brown-Forman's products.
- Increased competition from other alcoholic beverage companies could erode market share.
- Regulatory changes and excise taxes could increase costs and reduce profitability.
- Economic downturns and reduced consumer spending could negatively impact sales.
- Supply chain disruptions and raw material cost increases could impact production and profitability.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for BF-B?
- Expansion of Premium Brands: Brown-Forman has a significant opportunity to expand its premium brands, such as Woodford Reserve and Herradura. The global market for premium spirits is growing, driven by increasing disposable incomes and a desire for higher-quality products. By investing in marketing and distribution, Brown-Forman can increase its market share in this segment. The premium spirits market is projected to reach $200 billion by 2028.
- Emerging Markets Penetration: Emerging markets, such as India and China, offer significant growth potential for Brown-Forman. As these economies develop, consumer demand for alcoholic beverages is expected to increase. Brown-Forman can leverage its global distribution network to enter these markets and establish a presence. The emerging markets alcoholic beverage market is projected to grow at a rate of 8% per year over the next five years.
- Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Cocktails: The ready-to-drink cocktail market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by convenience and innovation. Brown-Forman can capitalize on this trend by developing and marketing new RTD products under its existing brands. This includes line extensions of popular brands like Jack Daniel's. The RTD market is expected to reach $40 billion by 2027.
- Innovation in Product Offerings: Brown-Forman can drive growth through continuous innovation in its product offerings. This includes developing new flavors, packaging formats, and product categories. By staying ahead of consumer trends, Brown-Forman can maintain its competitive edge. Investment in research and development is crucial for sustaining this growth. New product innovation is expected to contribute 5% to annual revenue growth.
- Strategic Acquisitions: Brown-Forman can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its brand portfolio and geographic reach. By acquiring complementary brands, Brown-Forman can increase its market share and diversify its revenue streams. Potential acquisition targets include craft distilleries and regional wine producers. Strategic acquisitions are expected to add 3% to annual revenue growth.
What Are BF-B's Competitive Advantages?
- Brand Recognition: Strong brand recognition and loyalty, particularly for Jack Daniel's.
- Distribution Network: Established global distribution network providing access to key markets.
- Product Portfolio: Diverse portfolio of premium spirits and wines catering to different consumer preferences.
- Proprietary Recipes: Unique and proprietary recipes for its key brands, ensuring product differentiation.
What Does BF-B Do?
Founded in 1870 and headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, Brown-Forman Corporation has evolved into one of the largest American-owned spirits and wine companies. The company's origins lie in the bottling and sale of Old Forester Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whisky, a brand that remains a cornerstone of its portfolio. Over the decades, Brown-Forman expanded its offerings through strategic acquisitions and organic brand development, establishing a global footprint in the alcoholic beverage industry. Today, Brown-Forman manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells a wide array of alcoholic beverages, including spirits, wines, whiskey spirits, whiskey-based flavored liqueurs, ready-to-drink and ready-to-pour products, ready-to-drink cocktails, vodkas, tequilas, champagnes, brandy, and liqueurs. Its key brands include Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, Herradura, el Jimador, Finlandia, and Korbel. The company serves retail customers and consumers through distributors or state governments, as well as directly to retailers, wholesalers, and provincial governments. Brown-Forman operates in the United States, Germany, Australia, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and other international markets.
What Products and Services Does BF-B Offer?
- Manufactures and distills alcoholic beverages.
- Bottles and packages spirits and wines.
- Imports and exports alcoholic beverages globally.
- Markets and sells its products to distributors, retailers, and consumers.
- Offers a diverse portfolio of brands, including Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, and Herradura.
- Provides contract bottling services to other companies.
- Sells used barrels and bulk whiskey and wine.
How Does BF-B Make Money?
- Manufactures and sells alcoholic beverages through distributors and direct sales.
- Generates revenue from the sale of spirits, wines, and ready-to-drink cocktails.
- Focuses on building brand equity and marketing its products globally.
- Utilizes a multi-channel distribution strategy to reach consumers.
What Industry Does BF-B Operate In?
Brown-Forman operates in the global alcoholic beverage industry, which is characterized by increasing demand for premium and craft spirits. The industry is competitive, with major players like COKE: Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. and HRL: Hormel Foods Corporation vying for market share. Trends include a shift towards ready-to-drink cocktails and a growing interest in tequila and whiskey. Brown-Forman's strong brand portfolio and global distribution network position it well to capitalize on these trends, although it faces challenges from evolving consumer preferences and regulatory changes.
Who Are BF-B's Key Customers?
- Retail consumers who purchase alcoholic beverages for personal consumption.
- Distributors who supply alcoholic beverages to retailers and restaurants.
- Retailers, including liquor stores, supermarkets, and convenience stores.
- Wholesalers who purchase alcoholic beverages in bulk and distribute them to retailers.
- Provincial governments in certain markets that control the distribution of alcoholic beverages.
Research confidence
Thin evidence — scoring coverage unknown. Treat this as a starting point, not a conclusion.
- ● Scoring coverage unknown
- ● Price is current
- ● No filing on record
- ● Covered by analysts
Why 50?
This rating comes from our nine-signal model, which produces a score but not a per-factor breakdown. The sector-relative five-pillar model, which explains its own contributions, does not cover this listing yet. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 50 |
| 2026-08-26 | 50 |
| 2026-08-29 | 50 |
| 2026-09-01 | 50 |
| 2026-09-04 | 50 |
| 2026-09-07 | 50 |
| 2026-09-10 | 50 |
What changed?
The score has stayed at 50.
Over the same 18 days the stock moved -8.1%.
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) Valuation Context
Valued at $12.4B, BF-B is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, BF-B's quantitative score of 50/100 is below the peer average of 64/100.
BF-B Revenue & Earnings Trend
In Jul 2026, BF-B generated $911.0M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential decrease of 0.1%. The company recorded net income of $176.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.38. Revenue has contracted over three consecutive quarters, which investors in this large-cap Consumer Defensive stock should monitor closely. Across the four most recent quarters, BF-B averaged $0.38 in diluted EPS.
Company Profile
Brown-Forman Corporation operates in the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Louisville, US. The company is led by CEO Lawson E. Whiting. BF-B has traded publicly since 1980.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Brown-Forman Corporation stands at 17.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 9.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. BF-B trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 16.64, below the Consumer Defensive sector average of ~27.60x. Its free cash flow yield is 7.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.26 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 6.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
Brown-Forman Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.16 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
Earnings Track Record
Brown-Forman Corporation has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 8.1% below estimates on average.
Forward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Brown-Forman Corporation revenue of about $3.90B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.74. The estimate reflects 17 contributing analysts.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, Brown-Forman Corporation insiders filed 48 SEC Form 4 transactions — 15 sales and 33 purchases. On net that is roughly 339K shares acquired (about $384K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
BF-B Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands like Jack Daniel's.
- Global distribution network providing access to key markets.
- Consistent profitability and strong financial performance.
- Experienced management team with a proven track record.
Bear Case
- Dependence on the Jack Daniel's brand for a significant portion of revenue.
- Exposure to changing consumer preferences and trends.
- Vulnerability to regulatory changes and excise taxes.
- Limited presence in certain emerging markets.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · May 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $911M | $176M | $0.38 |
| Apr 2026 | $912M | $54M | $0.12 |
| Jan 2026 | $1.06B | $267M | $0.56 |
| Oct 2025 | $1.04B | $224M | $0.47 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
BF-B Latest News
-
Trump’s Canada Import Ban Has Winners and Losers. That Could Change Quickly.
Yahoo! Finance: BF-B News · Sep 9, 2026
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Brown-Forman Corporation (BF.B) Presents at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference Transcript
seekingalpha.com · Sep 9, 2026
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Brown-Forman adds Switzerland to Coca-Cola HBC tie-ups
Yahoo! Finance: BF-B News · Sep 9, 2026
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Brown-Forman: Strong Fundamentals Make It Attractive Even Without A Buyout
seekingalpha.com · Sep 9, 2026
BF-B Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for BF-B.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $28.32
BF-B MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. BF-B scores 50/100 (Grade B): the number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.
Latest News
Trump’s Canada Import Ban Has Winners and Losers. That Could Change Quickly.
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF.B) Presents at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference Transcript
Brown-Forman adds Switzerland to Coca-Cola HBC tie-ups
Brown-Forman: Strong Fundamentals Make It Attractive Even Without A Buyout
Leadership: Lawson E. Whiting
CEO
Lawson E. Whiting has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Brown-Forman Corporation since January 2019. Prior to this role, he held various leadership positions within the company, including Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice President. Whiting joined Brown-Forman in 1997 and has extensive experience in finance, strategy, and operations. He holds a bachelor's degree in economics from DePauw University and an MBA from Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management.
Track Record: Under Whiting's leadership, Brown-Forman has focused on expanding its premium brands and increasing its presence in emerging markets. He has overseen the launch of new products and the implementation of strategic initiatives to drive growth and improve profitability. Whiting has also emphasized sustainability and corporate social responsibility during his tenure. He successfully navigated the company through the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, maintaining profitability and market share.
What Investors Ask About Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) — Consumer Defensive
What does the AI Score mean for BF-B?
BF-B holds an AI Score of 50/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed. Brown-Forman Corporation manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, and markets a diverse portfolio of alcoholic beverages.
Is BF-B a good stock?
Stock Expert AI does not rate BF-B buy, sell or hold. Brown-Forman Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 50/100 on the legacy nine-factor engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.
How does Brown-Forman Corporation manage supply chain and input cost risks?
Brown-Forman Corporation manages supply chain and input cost risks through a combination of strategic sourcing, hedging, and pricing strategies. The company works closely with its suppliers to ensure a stable supply of raw materials, such as grains, bottles, and barrels.
What are the key factors to evaluate for BF-B?
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) holds a MoonshotScore of 50/100 (moderate). P/E: 16.64x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. A dividend yield of 3.31% offers an attractive income stream for investors. Not financial advice.
How frequently does BF-B data refresh on this page?
BF-B's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven BF-B's recent stock price performance?
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands like Jack Daniel's. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider BF-B overvalued or undervalued right now?
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) trades at 16.64x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of BF-B?
Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.
How can I track BF-B's earnings and financial reports?
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for BF-B earnings announcements.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- The information provided is based on publicly available sources and is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.
- This is not investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.