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Burford Capital Limited (BUR) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$4.38 -$0.10 (-2.23%) |Weak · 30
Burford Capital Limited (BUR) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (45/100) while the AI fundamental score is 30/100 (grade D); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Growth Durability weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $960M| P/E Ratio: 14.34| Vol: 1.68M| Target: $5.00 (+14.2%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $3.59 – $13.10

P/E 14.34 means the share price is 14.34 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $960M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.24: the stock has moved about 24% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Burford Capital Limited (BUR) trades at $4.38 with MoonshotScore 30/100 (Grade D). Burford Capital Limited is a global finance firm focused on law. The company provides capital to businesses involved in litigation and arbitration. Market cap: $960M, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Burford Capital Limited is a global finance firm focused on law. The company provides capital to businesses involved in litigation and arbitration.

BUR stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $5.00 for Burford Capital Limited, suggesting 14.2% upside from the current price of $4.38. The AI MoonshotScore is 30/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the BUR film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 45/100 · C

BUR: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Growth Durability weak.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 30/100
Business Quality
Weak Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Negative Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Negative Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (2/10, Weak). Weakest side: Growth Durability (0/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Burford Capital Limited (BUR) Financial Services Profile

CEOChristopher Peter Bogart
Employees172
HeadquartersSaint Peter Port, GG
IPO Year2020

Burford Capital Limited, a leading global finance firm focused on law, offers asset management services, including core legal finance, complex strategies, and post-settlement finance. With a market capitalization of $960M and a presence in the asset management sector, Burford provides capital solutions to businesses involved in litigation and arbitration.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for BUR?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $960M and a P/E ratio of 14.34, Burford demonstrates financial stability and growth potential. The company's profit margin of 17.1% and gross margin of 66.8% indicate efficient operations and strong profitability. Key value drivers include the increasing demand for legal finance, Burford's expertise in managing legal assets, and its global presence. Growth catalysts include the expansion of legal finance into new markets and the development of innovative financial products. However, potential risks include the uncertainty of legal outcomes and the impact of regulatory changes. The company's beta of 1.24 suggests a higher level of volatility compared to the market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

BUR Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $960M indicates substantial size and investor confidence.

  • P/E ratio of 14.34 reflects a reasonable valuation relative to earnings.
  • Profit margin of 17.1% demonstrates efficient operations and profitability.
  • Gross margin of 66.8% signifies strong pricing power and cost management.
  • Dividend yield of 2.43% provides an income stream for investors.

Who Are BUR's Competitors?

BUR is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
MRX Marex Group plc $74.09 -2.15% $5.33B 985-pillar
SII Sprott Inc. $126.34 -2.76% $3.26B 845-pillar
GSBD Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. $9.58 -0.62% $1.08B 885-pillar
PSEC Prospect Capital Corporation $2.21 +1.61% $1.11B 925-pillar
CGBD Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. $11.43 +0.40% $794M 885-pillar
ASA ASA Gold and Precious Metals Limited $61.87 +2.65% $1.17B 765-pillar
TGONF Tetragon Financial Group Limited $14.12 0.00% $1.19B 599-signal
TYG Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corporation $43.93 +1.22% $757M 605-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are BUR's Key Strengths?

Expertise in legal finance.

  • Global presence.
  • Strong financial performance.
  • Innovative financial solutions.

What Are BUR's Weaknesses?

Dependence on legal outcomes.

  • Exposure to regulatory changes.
  • Complexity of legal asset management.
  • Potential for adverse legal judgments.

What Could Drive BUR Stock Higher?

Expansion into new geographic markets.

  • Development of new financial products and services.
  • Increasing awareness and acceptance of legal finance.
  • Strategic partnerships with law firms.
  • Leveraging technology to improve efficiency.

What Are the Key Risks for BUR?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.38 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 6 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Uncertainty of legal outcomes.
  • Competition from other legal finance providers.
  • Changes in legal regulations.
  • Economic downturn impacting legal activity.
  • Adverse legal judgments.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for BUR?

  • Expansion into new geographic markets represents a significant growth opportunity for Burford Capital. The legal finance market is still developing in many regions, offering potential for Burford to establish a presence and capture market share. This expansion could involve opening new offices, forming partnerships with local law firms, and tailoring its financial products to meet the specific needs of each market. The timeline for this expansion is ongoing, with Burford continuously evaluating new market opportunities.
  • Development of new financial products and services is another key growth driver for Burford Capital. The company can expand its offerings beyond core legal finance to include complex strategies and post-settlement finance. This could involve creating innovative financial solutions for specific types of legal claims or developing new ways to manage legal assets. The timeline for this development is ongoing, with Burford continuously innovating to meet the evolving needs of its clients.
  • Increasing awareness and acceptance of legal finance as a viable funding option is driving growth in the market. As more businesses and law firms become aware of the benefits of legal finance, the demand for Burford's services is likely to increase. This growth is supported by industry education and outreach efforts, as well as the increasing success of legal finance providers in resolving legal claims. The timeline for this growth is ongoing, with legal finance becoming increasingly mainstream.
  • Strategic partnerships with law firms and other industry players can accelerate Burford Capital's growth. By forming partnerships with law firms, Burford can gain access to a wider pool of potential clients and legal claims. These partnerships can also involve joint marketing efforts and the development of tailored financial solutions. The timeline for these partnerships is ongoing, with Burford continuously seeking new strategic alliances.
  • Leveraging technology to improve efficiency and scalability is a key growth opportunity for Burford Capital. By investing in technology, Burford can streamline its operations, improve its risk management capabilities, and enhance its client service. This could involve developing proprietary software for managing legal assets or using data analytics to identify promising legal claims. The timeline for this technology investment is ongoing, with Burford continuously adopting new technologies to improve its business.

What Are BUR's Competitive Advantages?

  • Expertise in legal finance.
  • Global presence and network.
  • Proprietary legal asset management capabilities.
  • Strong relationships with law firms.

What Does BUR Do?

Burford Capital Limited, incorporated in 2009 and based in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey, has established itself as a prominent player in the legal finance industry. The company provides a range of financial products and services to businesses and law firms involved in litigation and arbitration. Burford's core business revolves around providing capital to clients, allowing them to pursue legal claims without bearing the full financial risk. This includes funding for legal fees, expert witness costs, and other expenses associated with legal proceedings. The company's services extend to both plaintiffs and defendants, offering tailored financial solutions to meet their specific needs. Burford Capital operates globally, with a presence in key legal markets around the world. Its asset management services encompass core legal finance, complex strategies, and post-settlement finance. The company's evolution has been marked by strategic investments in legal claims and a growing portfolio of legal finance assets. Burford's competitive positioning is characterized by its expertise in legal finance, its global reach, and its ability to provide innovative financial solutions to clients.

What Products and Services Does BUR Offer?

  • Provides capital to businesses involved in litigation and arbitration.
  • Offers core legal finance solutions.
  • Develops complex strategies for legal finance.
  • Provides post-settlement finance options.
  • Manages legal finance assets.
  • Offers financial products and services to law firms.

How Does BUR Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through interest income on legal finance investments.
  • Earns fees for managing legal assets.
  • Profits from successful resolution of legal claims.
  • Provides tailored financial solutions to clients.

What Industry Does BUR Operate In?

Burford Capital Limited operates within the asset management industry, specifically focusing on legal finance. The legal finance market is experiencing growth as businesses and law firms increasingly seek external funding for legal claims. Burford competes with other legal finance providers, as well as traditional sources of funding such as banks and law firms. The company's competitive advantage lies in its expertise in managing legal assets and its global presence. The asset management industry is subject to regulatory oversight and market trends, which can impact Burford's operations and financial performance.

Who Are BUR's Key Customers?

  • Businesses involved in litigation.
  • Law firms seeking funding for legal claims.
  • Plaintiffs pursuing legal action.
  • Defendants requiring financial support.
Model self-rating on this text: 83% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 78/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 310 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 30?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.78 Net margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.40 Dividend yield (Valuation)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Return on equity (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Return on assets (Business Quality)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.44 Reported profit not backed by cash flow

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 50
2026-08-26 50
2026-08-29 50
2026-09-01 29
2026-09-04 30
2026-09-07 30
2026-09-10 30

What changed?

The grade moved from 50 to 30 (-20).

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +3.9%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Burford Capital Limited insiders filed 29 SEC Form 4 transactions — 14 sales and 15 purchases. On net that is roughly 50K shares acquired (about $245K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Burford Capital Limited

Revenue for Burford Capital Limited came in at $53.3M during Q4 FY2025, a 69.5% contraction versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $19.2M, with diluted EPS of $-0.09. Revenue has contracted over three consecutive quarters, which investors in this small-cap Financial Services stock should monitor closely.

BUR Valuation & Market Position

With a $960M market cap, Burford Capital Limited sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $5.00 to $5.00, with a consensus of $5.00. At the current price of $4.38, that implies approximately 14% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, BUR's quantitative score of 30/100 is below the peer average of 81/100.

ROE 3%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Burford Capital Limited stands at 2.5%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. BUR trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 14.34, below the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x. Its free cash flow yield is -9.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.78 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 7.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 3/9

Financial Health

Burford Capital Limited's Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.38 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

2/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Burford Capital Limited has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 67.9% below estimates on average.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Burford Capital Limited revenue of about $585.3M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-6.78.

Company Profile

Burford Capital Limited operates in the Asset Management industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in St. Peter Port, GG. The company is led by CEO Christopher Bogart. BUR has traded publicly since 2020.

BUR Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-28.0%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-57.3%
EPS Growth (FY)
-56.7%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-113.6%
P/E (TTM)
14.34
Return on Equity (TTM)
+2.5%
Current Ratio
1.8
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
29.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Expertise in legal finance.
  • Global presence.
  • Strong financial performance.
  • Innovative financial solutions.

Bear Case

  • Dependence on legal outcomes.
  • Exposure to regulatory changes.
  • Complexity of legal asset management.
  • Potential for adverse legal judgments.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q4 FY2025 $53M -$19M -$0.09
Q2 FY2025 $175M $88M $0.39
Q4 FY2024 $227M $136M $0.61

Q4 FY2025 · filed 5 Nov 2025 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

BUR Latest News

BUR Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for BUR.

Price Targets

Low
$5.00
Consensus
$5.00
High
$5.00

Median: $5.00 (+14.2% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

BUR MoonshotScore

30/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. BUR scores 30/100 (Grade D): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Christopher Peter Bogart

CEO

Christopher Peter Bogart serves as the CEO of Burford Capital Limited, bringing extensive experience in the legal and financial sectors. His background includes a strong foundation in law, coupled with expertise in finance and investment management. Prior to joining Burford Capital, Bogart held leadership positions in various financial institutions, where he focused on investment strategies and risk management. His educational credentials include advanced degrees in law and finance, providing him with a comprehensive understanding of the legal finance landscape.

Track Record: Under Christopher Peter Bogart's leadership, Burford Capital Limited has achieved significant milestones, including expanding its global presence and developing innovative financial products. He has overseen strategic investments in legal claims, contributing to the company's growth and profitability. Bogart's leadership has also been instrumental in navigating regulatory challenges and maintaining Burford's competitive position in the legal finance market.

Burford Capital Limited Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for BUR?

BUR holds an AI Score of 30/100 (Grade: D). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Burford Capital Limited is a global finance firm focused on law.

Is BUR a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate BUR buy, sell or hold. Burford Capital Limited carries a MoonshotScore of 30/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Burford Capital Limited do?

Burford Capital Limited is a global finance firm focused on law. The company provides capital to businesses involved in litigation and arbitration, allowing them to pursue legal claims without bearing the full financial risk.

What are the key factors to evaluate for BUR?

Burford Capital Limited (BUR) holds a MoonshotScore of 30/100 (low). P/E: 14.34x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $5.00 (+14%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does BUR data refresh on this page?

BUR's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven BUR's recent stock price performance?

Burford Capital Limited (BUR) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Expertise in legal finance. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider BUR overvalued or undervalued right now?

Burford Capital Limited (BUR) trades at 14.34x earnings. Analysts target $5.00 (+14%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of BUR?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Burford Capital Limited (BUR) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track BUR's earnings and financial reports?

Burford Capital Limited (BUR) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for BUR earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest available reporting period.
  • Analyst opinions are based on publicly available data and may vary.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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