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Cummins Inc. (CMI) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$550.03 -$4.73 (-0.85%) |Strong · 68
Cummins Inc. (CMI) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (61/100) and AI Score (68/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Growth Durability · Biggest watch-out: Valuation.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $75.9B| P/E Ratio: 27.99| Vol: 1.10M| Target: $787.50 (+43.2%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $389.52 – $737.76

P/E 27.99 means the share price is 27.99 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $75.9B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.14: the stock has moved about 14% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Cummins Inc. (CMI) trades at $550.03 with MoonshotScore 68/100 (Grade B+). Cummins Inc. is a global power leader that designs, manufactures, distributes, and services a broad portfolio of power solutions. Market cap: $75.9B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Cummins Inc. is a global power leader that designs, manufactures, distributes, and services a broad portfolio of power solutions. The company's offerings range from diesel and natural gas engines to electric and hybrid powertrains, serving diverse markets worldwide.

CMI stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $787.50 for Cummins Inc., suggesting 43.2% upside from the current price of $550.03. The AI MoonshotScore is 68/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the CMI film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 61/100 · B+

CMI: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 68/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (7/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Valuation (5/10, Neutral).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Neutral read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Cummins Inc. (CMI) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOJennifer W. Rumsey
Employees67,400
HeadquartersColumbus, IN, US
IPO Year1947

Cummins Inc. is a global leader in power technologies, manufacturing diesel and natural gas engines, electric and hybrid powertrains, and related components. With a strong presence across diverse markets, including heavy-duty trucks and power generation, Cummins is strategically positioned to capitalize on evolving energy demands and technological advancements.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for CMI?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Cummins Inc. presents a notable research candidate driven by its established market position, diversified product portfolio, and strategic investments in future technologies. With a market capitalization of $75.9B and a profit margin of 7.9%, Cummins demonstrates financial stability. The company's expansion into electric and hybrid powertrains, along with hydrogen production technologies, positions it to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable power solutions. While the P/E ratio of 27.99 suggests a premium valuation, the company's commitment to innovation and global reach support long-term growth. Key catalysts include increased adoption of electric vehicles and growing demand for reliable power generation systems. Potential risks include economic downturns impacting industrial sectors and increased competition from emerging technology companies.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

CMI Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $75.9B reflects Cummins' significant presence in the industrial machinery sector.

  • Profit Margin of 7.9% indicates solid profitability and operational efficiency.
  • Gross Margin of 25.4% demonstrates the company's ability to manage production costs effectively.
  • Dividend Yield of 1.15% provides a steady income stream for investors.
  • Beta of 1.14 suggests a slightly higher volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are CMI's Competitors?

CMI is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
FDX FedEx Corporation $313.31 +0.48% $74.1B 655-pillar
CSX CSX Corporation $49.04 +1.39% $90.9B 745-pillar
CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. $88.84 -1.37% $78.1B 665-pillar
ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. $265.20 +0.46% $76.3B 835-pillar
NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation $323.30 +0.05% $72.6B 705-pillar
MHVYF Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. $23.56 -5.66% $79.2B 529-signal
EMR Emerson Electric Co. $152.16 +2.55% $85.2B 675-pillar
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. $229.64 +0.76% $91.9B 785-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are CMI's Key Strengths?

Strong brand recognition and reputation.

  • Diversified product portfolio.
  • Extensive global distribution network.
  • Commitment to innovation and sustainability.

What Are CMI's Weaknesses?

Exposure to cyclical demand in industrial sectors.

  • Dependence on traditional engine technologies.
  • High capital expenditures for research and development.
  • Sensitivity to commodity price fluctuations.

What Could Drive CMI Stock Higher?

CMI catalyst: Increasing demand for electric and hybrid powertrains will drive revenue growth in the New Power segment.

  • Government incentives and regulations promoting sustainable energy solutions will benefit Cummins' hydrogen technologies.
  • Potential infrastructure investments in emerging markets will increase demand for Cummins' power generation systems.
  • Expansion of the aftermarket services network will drive recurring revenue and enhance customer loyalty.
  • Strategic partnerships with key OEMs will strengthen Cummins' market position and expand its customer base.

What Are the Key Risks for CMI?

Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $10.2M recently.

  • Economic downturns in key industrial sectors could negatively impact demand for Cummins' products.
  • Increased competition from new technology companies could erode Cummins' market share.
  • Stringent environmental regulations could increase compliance costs and limit the use of traditional engine technologies.
  • Disruptions in global supply chains could impact production and increase costs.
  • Fluctuations in commodity prices could affect Cummins' profitability.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for CMI?

  • Expansion in Electric Powertrains: Cummins is investing heavily in the development and production of electric powertrains for commercial vehicles and other applications. By leveraging its engineering expertise and manufacturing capabilities, Cummins can capture a substantial share of this market and drive revenue growth.
  • Growth in Hydrogen Technologies: Cummins is also investing in hydrogen production and fuel cell technologies. The demand for hydrogen as a clean energy source is expected to increase significantly in the coming years, driven by government incentives and corporate sustainability initiatives. Cummins' expertise in fuel cell technology positions it to capitalize on this trend and become a leading provider of hydrogen-based power solutions.
  • Aftermarket Services and Parts: Cummins generates a significant portion of its revenue from aftermarket services and parts. As the installed base of Cummins engines and power systems grows, the demand for replacement parts and maintenance services will also increase. By expanding its service network and offering innovative aftermarket solutions, Cummins can drive recurring revenue and enhance customer loyalty.
  • Power Generation Systems: Cummins is a leading provider of power generation systems for a variety of applications, including standby power, prime power, and distributed generation. The demand for reliable power generation systems is expected to grow in emerging markets and in areas with aging infrastructure. By offering a comprehensive range of power generation solutions, Cummins can capitalize on this trend and expand its market share.
  • Global Expansion: Cummins has a strong presence in North America, Europe, and Asia. By expanding its operations in emerging markets, such as Africa and South America, Cummins can tap into new growth opportunities and diversify its revenue streams. The company's global distribution network and manufacturing capabilities provide a solid foundation for international expansion.

What Are CMI's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong brand reputation for reliability and performance.
  • Extensive global distribution and service network.
  • Significant investments in research and development.
  • Diversified product portfolio across multiple markets.
  • Long-standing relationships with key OEMs.

What Does CMI Do?

Founded in 1919 in Columbus, Indiana, Cummins Inc. has evolved from a small engine manufacturer into a global power leader. Initially focused on diesel engine technology, the company quickly gained recognition for its innovative designs and reliable performance. Over the decades, Cummins expanded its product portfolio to include natural gas engines, power generation systems, and related components. The company operates through five segments: Engine, Distribution, Components, Power Systems, and New Power. Cummins serves a wide array of markets, including heavy and medium-duty trucks, buses, recreational vehicles, light-duty automotive, construction, mining, marine, rail, oil and gas, defense, and agriculture. Its products include diesel and natural gas-powered engines under the Cummins and other customer brands. The company also provides aftermarket parts and services, including remanufactured parts and engines. In recent years, Cummins has invested heavily in developing electric and hybrid powertrains, as well as hydrogen production technologies, positioning itself for the future of sustainable power solutions. With a global distribution network and a commitment to innovation, Cummins continues to be a key player in the power industry.

What Products and Services Does CMI Offer?

  • Designs and manufactures diesel and natural gas engines.
  • Develops electric and hybrid powertrains.
  • Produces related components, including emission solutions and turbochargers.
  • Offers power generation systems.
  • Provides aftermarket parts and services.
  • Develops fuel cell and hydrogen production technologies.
  • Manufactures filtration and aftertreatment systems.

How Does CMI Make Money?

  • Sells engines and components to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).
  • Distributes products through a network of dealers and distributors.
  • Provides aftermarket services and parts to end-users.
  • Generates revenue from power generation systems and related services.

What Industry Does CMI Operate In?

Cummins Inc. operates within the industrial machinery sector, a segment characterized by cyclical demand and technological advancements. The industry is currently experiencing a shift towards more sustainable and efficient power solutions, driven by environmental regulations and customer preferences. Cummins competes with other major engine manufacturers and power system providers. The market is also seeing the emergence of new players focused on electric and alternative fuel technologies. Cummins' strategic investments in electric and hybrid powertrains position it to capitalize on the growing demand for these solutions, while its established presence in traditional engine markets provides a stable revenue base.

Who Are CMI's Key Customers?

  • Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the truck, bus, and automotive industries.
  • Construction and mining companies.
  • Marine and rail operators.
  • Oil and gas companies.
  • Defense and agricultural sectors.
Model self-rating on this text: 83% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 38 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 68?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.19 Free cash flow growth (Growth)
  • +0.17 Return on equity (Business Quality)
  • +0.17 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.11 Price to book (Valuation)
  • -0.07 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • -0.07 Earnings growth (Growth)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 67
2026-08-26 68
2026-08-29 68
2026-09-01 68
2026-09-04 67
2026-09-07 68
2026-09-10 68

What changed?

The grade moved from 67 to 68 (+1).

What moved it up or down:

  • +8 Growth Durability
  • +2 Financial Safety

Held back by:

  • -8 Valuation
  • -2 Momentum

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -5.6%.

Cummins Inc. (CMI) Valuation Context

Valued at $75.9B, CMI is classified as a large-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $700.00 to $894.00, with a consensus of $787.50. At the current price of $550.03, that implies approximately 43% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, CMI's quantitative score of 68/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 69/100.

CMI Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, CMI generated $9.46B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 12.6%. The company recorded net income of $932.0M, with diluted EPS of $6.72. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, CMI averaged $4.89 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Cummins Inc. operates in the Industrial - Machinery industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Columbus, US. The company is led by CEO Jennifer W. Rumsey. CMI has traded publicly since 1947.

ROE 22%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Cummins Inc. stands at 22.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 7.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. CMI trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 27.99, roughly in line with the Industrials sector average of ~28.00x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.71 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 2.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Cummins Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.64 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

7/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Cummins Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 13.6% above estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Cummins Inc. insiders filed 37 SEC Form 4 transactions — 26 sales and 11 purchases. On net that is roughly 13K shares disposed (about $10.2M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

CMI Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-1.3%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-28.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
-27.8%
P/E (TTM)
27.99
Return on Equity (TTM)
+22.0%
Current Ratio
1.7
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
19.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand recognition and reputation.
  • Diversified product portfolio.
  • Extensive global distribution network.
  • Commitment to innovation and sustainability.

Bear Case

  • Exposure to cyclical demand in industrial sectors.
  • Dependence on traditional engine technologies.
  • High capital expenditures for research and development.
  • Sensitivity to commodity price fluctuations.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

From the Earnings Call

“In summary, coming off a strong first quarter, we are raising our full year sales outlook to 8% to 11% increase and increasing our EBITDA margin guidance to a range of 17.75% to 18.5%. This reflects improving momentum in North America heavy and medium-duty truck markets, with volumes recovering from cyclical lows, faster than previously anticipated, a higher outlook for global power generation, improvement in Acceler…”

— Jennifer Rumsey, Chair and Chief Executive Officer

“Our international revenues increased by 16% in the first quarter of 2026 compared to a year ago. First quarter revenues in China, including joint ventures, were $2.1 billion, an increase of 19% year-over-year, driven by accelerating data center demand and strong off-highway export activity by our OEM customers.”

— Jennifer Rumsey, Chair and Chief Executive Officer

CMI Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-05-05

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $9.46B $932M $6.72
Q1 FY2026 $8.40B $654M $4.71
Q4 FY2025 $8.54B $593M $4.27
Q3 FY2025 $8.32B $536M $3.87

Q2 FY2026 · filed 4 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

CMI Latest News

CMI Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for CMI.

Price Targets

Low
$700.00
Consensus
$787.50
High
$894.00

Median: $765.00 (+43.2% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

CMI MoonshotScore

68/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. CMI scores 68/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Cummins Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Jennifer W. Rumsey

CEO

Jennifer W. Rumsey has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Cummins Inc. since August 1, 2022. Prior to this role, she served as President and Chief Operating Officer. Rumsey has held various leadership positions at Cummins, including Chief Technical Officer, Vice President of Engineering, and President of the Components Group. She holds a Bachelor's and Master's degree in Mechanical Engineering from Purdue University.

Track Record: Under Jennifer Rumsey's leadership, Cummins has accelerated its investments in electric and hydrogen technologies, positioning the company for long-term growth in sustainable power solutions. She has also focused on strengthening Cummins' relationships with key customers and expanding its global presence. Her strategic decisions have contributed to the company's continued success in a rapidly evolving industry.

Cummins Inc. Industrials Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for CMI?

CMI holds an AI Score of 68/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Cummins Inc. is a global power leader that designs, manufactures, distributes, and services a broad portfolio of power solutions.

Is CMI a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate CMI buy, sell or hold. Cummins Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 68/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

How does Cummins Inc. compare to competitors in its industry?

Cummins Inc. competes with other major engine manufacturers and power system providers. Key competitors include Caterpillar, Deere & Company, and Volvo Group.

What are the key factors to evaluate for CMI?

Cummins Inc. (CMI) holds a MoonshotScore of 68/100 (moderate). P/E: 27.99x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $787.50 (+43%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does CMI data refresh on this page?

CMI's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven CMI's recent stock price performance?

Cummins Inc. (CMI) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition and reputation. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider CMI overvalued or undervalued right now?

Cummins Inc. (CMI) trades at 27.99x earnings. Analysts target $787.50 (+43%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of CMI?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Cummins Inc. (CMI) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track CMI's earnings and financial reports?

Cummins Inc. (CMI) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for CMI earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on available data and is subject to change.
  • Investment decisions should be based on individual risk tolerance and financial circumstances.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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