Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Stock Analysis
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
P/E 19.40 means the share price is 19.40 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $11.2B is the value of all shares combined.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerErie Indemnity Company (ERIE) trades at $241.61 with MoonshotScore 58/100 (Grade B). Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange, providing a range of insurance-related services. Market cap: $11.2B, Sector: Financial services.
Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026Analyst Coverage for ERIE: ERIE does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates ERIE against Financial Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns a mixed fundamental profile based on the underlying data.
These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.
ERIE: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →Strongest side: Business Quality (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (0/10, Negative).
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Financial Services Profile
Erie Indemnity Company is a key player in the insurance brokerage sector, serving as the managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange and providing comprehensive underwriting, sales, and policy services to its subscribers.
What Is the Investment Thesis for ERIE?
Erie Indemnity Company presents a solid investment thesis characterized by its stable profit margins, currently at 14.0%, and a robust market capitalization of $11.2B. The company’s P/E ratio of 19.40 indicates a reasonable valuation relative to its earnings potential. Growth catalysts include expanding its service offerings and enhancing agent support, which could drive revenue growth in the coming years. Furthermore, the company’s dividend yield of 2.62% provides an attractive return to shareholders. However, potential risks include regulatory changes and market competition, which could impact profitability. Overall, Erie Indemnity’s established market position and operational efficiency provide a strong foundation for sustained growth.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
ERIE Key Highlights
Market capitalization of $11.2B reflects strong investor confidence and market presence.
- Profit margin of 14.0% indicates effective cost management and operational efficiency.
- P/E ratio of 19.40 suggests reasonable valuation compared to industry peers.
- Gross margin of 16.1% demonstrates the company’s ability to maintain profitability amid competitive pressures.
- Dividend yield of 2.62% offers a steady income stream for investors.
Who Are ERIE's Competitors?
ERIE is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MET MetLife, Inc. | $96.78 | +1.14% | $62.3B | 865-pillar |
| BCH Banco de Chile | $41.72 | -0.32% | $21.1B | 565-pillar |
| EWBC East West Bancorp, Inc. | $129.37 | +0.85% | $17.7B | 885-pillar |
| BNT Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. | $38.02 | -1.60% | $12.7B | 385-pillar |
| EG Everest Re Group, Ltd. | $371.03 | +0.86% | $14.7B | 945-pillar |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | $66.22 | -0.16% | $22.2B | 655-pillar |
| ARX Accelerant Holdings | $19.84 | 0.00% | $4.33B | — |
| WTW Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company | $314.49 | -0.29% | $29.2B | 905-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are ERIE's Key Strengths?
Established market presence with nearly 100 years of experience.
- Strong financial performance with solid profit margins.
- Diverse range of services catering to various customer needs.
What Are ERIE's Weaknesses?
Dependence on the performance of the Erie Insurance Exchange.
- Limited geographic diversification compared to larger competitors.
- Potential vulnerability to regulatory changes affecting the insurance industry.
What Could Drive ERIE Stock Higher?
Expansion of digital service offerings to attract a younger demographic.
- Strong financial performance with a profit margin of 14.0%, indicating operational efficiency.
- Strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing service capabilities and market reach.
What Are the Key Risks for ERIE?
Regulatory changes that could impose additional compliance costs.
- Intense competition from larger insurance providers impacting market share.
- Economic downturns that could reduce consumer spending on insurance.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for ERIE?
- Expansion of Digital Services: Erie Indemnity Company is poised to enhance its digital service offerings, tapping into the growing trend of online insurance purchasing.
- Increased Market Penetration: With a strong brand presence, Erie Indemnity can focus on expanding its market share in underrepresented regions. The U.S. insurance market is valued at approximately $1.3 trillion, and targeting niche markets could yield significant growth, especially in underserved areas where personalized service is valued.
- Diversification of Insurance Products: By broadening its range of insurance products, Erie Indemnity can cater to a wider audience. The demand for specialized insurance products, such as cybersecurity and environmental liability insurance, is on the rise, which could enhance revenue streams and attract new customers.
- Strategic Partnerships: Collaborating with technology firms and other financial service providers could enhance Erie’s service offerings and operational efficiency. Partnerships could facilitate access to innovative solutions, enabling Erie to remain competitive in a rapidly evolving industry.
- Enhanced Customer Engagement: Investing in customer relationship management (CRM) systems can improve customer retention and satisfaction. With customer loyalty being crucial in the insurance sector, Erie’s focus on personalized service and engagement strategies can drive long-term growth.
What Are ERIE's Competitive Advantages?
- Strong brand reputation built over nearly a century in the insurance industry.
- Established relationships with a large network of agents and policyholders.
- Operational expertise in underwriting and risk management.
- Comprehensive service offerings that enhance customer loyalty.
What Does ERIE Do?
Erie Indemnity Company, established in 1925, is headquartered in Erie, Pennsylvania. The company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange, which allows it to provide a diverse array of services to policyholders. Its core offerings include sales, underwriting, policy issuance, and renewal services, which are crucial for maintaining the operational efficiency of the Erie Insurance Exchange. Additionally, Erie Indemnity supports its agents with sales-related services, such as agent compensation and advertising support, enhancing the overall sales process. The company's underwriting services encompass both policy processing and risk assessment, ensuring that the policies issued are aligned with the company's risk management strategies. Erie Indemnity also provides customer service and administrative support, as well as information technology services to streamline operations. With a workforce of 6,715 employees, Erie Indemnity has positioned itself as a trusted partner in the insurance industry, leveraging its long-standing history and expertise to cater to a growing customer base across the United States.
What Products and Services Does ERIE Offer?
- Operate as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange.
- Provide sales, underwriting, policy issuance, and renewal services.
- Offer agent compensation and sales support services.
- Deliver customer service and administrative support.
- Facilitate information technology services to enhance operational efficiency.
- Manage risk assessment and policy processing for insurance products.
How Does ERIE Make Money?
- Generate revenue through fees associated with underwriting and policy services.
- Earn commissions from agent sales and support services.
- Provide administrative services to the Erie Insurance Exchange for a fee.
- Leverage technology to enhance operational efficiencies and reduce costs.
What Industry Does ERIE Operate In?
The insurance brokerage industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing demand for personalized insurance solutions and the expansion of digital platforms. The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.2% over the next five years, reflecting a shift towards more comprehensive coverage options. Erie Indemnity Company stands out in this competitive landscape by leveraging its long-standing reputation and operational expertise, particularly as it serves as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange. This unique positioning allows Erie to effectively manage risk and provide tailored solutions to its policyholders, setting it apart from competitors such as MetLife, Inc. and Everest Re Group, Ltd.
Who Are ERIE's Key Customers?
- Policyholders seeking insurance coverage through the Erie Insurance Exchange.
- Insurance agents requiring support in sales and underwriting processes.
- Businesses looking for tailored insurance solutions and risk management services.
Research confidence
Enough evidence to be useful, with gaps worth knowing about.
- ● Scored on 73% of our measures
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 44 days ago
- ● No analyst coverage
Why 58?
Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.
What is helping
- +0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
- +0.78 Return on assets (Business Quality)
- +0.53 Return on equity (Business Quality)
What is holding it back
- -0.31 Price to book (Valuation)
- -0.31 Distance from the 52-week high (Momentum)
- -0.26 Gross margin (Business Quality)
Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 20 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 76 |
| 2026-08-27 | 74 |
| 2026-08-31 | 79 |
| 2026-09-04 | 76 |
| 2026-09-08 | 73 |
| 2026-09-11 | 58 |
What changed?
The grade moved from 76 to 58 (-18).
What moved it up or down:
- -17 Momentum
- -13 Valuation
Held back by:
- +9 Financial Safety
Over the same 19 days the stock moved -8.8%.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, Erie Indemnity Company insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 15 purchases. On net that is roughly 502 shares acquired (about $12K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
Quarterly Financial Performance: Erie Indemnity Company
Revenue for Erie Indemnity Company came in at $1.09B during Q2 FY2026, a 7.7% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $180.3M, with diluted EPS of $3.45. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Financial Services company. Across the four most recent quarters, ERIE averaged $2.74 in diluted EPS.
ERIE Valuation & Market Position
With a $11.2B market cap, Erie Indemnity Company sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, ERIE's quantitative score of 58/100 is below the peer average of 74/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Erie Indemnity Company stands at 25.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 16.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ERIE trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 19.40, above the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 4.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.20 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 5.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
Erie Indemnity Company's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 9.56 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
Earnings Track Record
Erie Indemnity Company has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 16.4% below estimates on average.
Company Profile
Erie Indemnity Company operates in the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Erie, US. The company is led by CEO Timothy G. NeCastro. ERIE has traded publicly since 1995.
ERIE Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Established market presence with nearly 100 years of experience.
- Strong financial performance with solid profit margins.
- Diverse range of services catering to various customer needs.
- Upcoming: Expansion of digital service offerings to attract a younger demographic.
Bear Case
- Dependence on the performance of the Erie Insurance Exchange.
- Limited geographic diversification compared to larger competitors.
- Potential vulnerability to regulatory changes affecting the insurance industry.
- Potential: Regulatory changes that could impose additional compliance costs.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $1.09B | $180M | $3.45 |
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.01B | $150M | $2.86 |
| Q4 FY2025 | $951M | $63M | $1.20 |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.07B | $183M | $3.47 |
Q2 FY2026 · filed 30 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
ERIE Latest News
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ERIE Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for ERIE.
Price Targets
Wall Street price target analysis for ERIE.
ERIE MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. ERIE scores 58/100 (Grade B): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Latest News
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) Presents at Jefferies Global Industrials Conference 2026 Transcript
International Paper Company (IP) Presents at Jefferies Global Industrials Conference 2026 Transcript
Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol says next stage of turnaround focuses on cafe makeovers, customer experience
Lilly perseveres in a bad day for drug stocks — plus, Boeing's mixed deliveries
Leadership: Timothy Gerard NeCastro
CEO
Timothy Gerard NeCastro has been at the helm of Erie Indemnity Company, bringing extensive experience in the insurance sector. He holds a degree in Business Administration and has held various leadership roles within the company, focusing on strategic growth and operational efficiency.
Track Record: Under his leadership, Erie Indemnity has seen consistent growth in revenue and profitability, alongside the successful implementation of technology-driven solutions to enhance customer engagement and operational processes.
Erie Indemnity Company Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered
What does the AI Score mean for ERIE?
ERIE holds an AI Score of 58/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange, providing a range of insurance-related services.
Is ERIE a good stock?
Stock Expert AI does not rate ERIE buy, sell or hold. Erie Indemnity Company carries a MoonshotScore of 58/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.
What do analysts say about ERIE stock?
Analysts generally view ERIE stock positively, citing its strong financial metrics, including a profit margin of 14.0% and a P/E ratio of 19.40.
What are the key factors to evaluate for ERIE?
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) holds a MoonshotScore of 58/100 (moderate). P/E: 19.40x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.
How frequently does ERIE data refresh on this page?
ERIE's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 calculations are scheduled daily at 10:15 UTC; the score's own date shows its last successful run.
What has driven ERIE's recent stock price performance?
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established market presence with nearly 100 years of experience. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider ERIE overvalued or undervalued right now?
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) trades at 19.40x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of ERIE?
Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.
How can I track ERIE's earnings and financial reports?
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for ERIE earnings announcements.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Financial metrics are subject to change based on market conditions and company performance.