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Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$241.61 +$1.21 (+0.50%) |Fair · 58
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (60/100) while the AI fundamental score is 58/100 (grade B); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Momentum weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $11.2B| P/E Ratio: 19.40| Vol: 15.0K| 52-wk range: $204.63 – $341.71

P/E 19.40 means the share price is 19.40 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $11.2B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) trades at $241.61 with MoonshotScore 58/100 (Grade B). Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange, providing a range of insurance-related services. Market cap: $11.2B, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange, providing a range of insurance-related services. Founded in 1925, the company has established a strong market presence in the U.S. insurance sector.

Analyst Coverage for ERIE: ERIE does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates ERIE against Financial Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns a mixed fundamental profile based on the underlying data.

Watch the ERIE film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 60/100 · B+

ERIE: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 58/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (0/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Neutral read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Financial Services Profile

CEOTimothy Gerard NeCastro
Employees6,667
HeadquartersErie, PA, US
IPO Year1995

Erie Indemnity Company is a key player in the insurance brokerage sector, serving as the managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange and providing comprehensive underwriting, sales, and policy services to its subscribers.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ERIE?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Erie Indemnity Company presents a solid investment thesis characterized by its stable profit margins, currently at 14.0%, and a robust market capitalization of $11.2B. The company’s P/E ratio of 19.40 indicates a reasonable valuation relative to its earnings potential. Growth catalysts include expanding its service offerings and enhancing agent support, which could drive revenue growth in the coming years. Furthermore, the company’s dividend yield of 2.62% provides an attractive return to shareholders. However, potential risks include regulatory changes and market competition, which could impact profitability. Overall, Erie Indemnity’s established market position and operational efficiency provide a strong foundation for sustained growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ERIE Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $11.2B reflects strong investor confidence and market presence.

  • Profit margin of 14.0% indicates effective cost management and operational efficiency.
  • P/E ratio of 19.40 suggests reasonable valuation compared to industry peers.
  • Gross margin of 16.1% demonstrates the company’s ability to maintain profitability amid competitive pressures.
  • Dividend yield of 2.62% offers a steady income stream for investors.

Who Are ERIE's Competitors?

ERIE is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
MET MetLife, Inc. $96.78 +1.14% $62.3B 865-pillar
BCH Banco de Chile $41.72 -0.32% $21.1B 565-pillar
EWBC East West Bancorp, Inc. $129.37 +0.85% $17.7B 885-pillar
BNT Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. $38.02 -1.60% $12.7B 385-pillar
EG Everest Re Group, Ltd. $371.03 +0.86% $14.7B 945-pillar
BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. $66.22 -0.16% $22.2B 655-pillar
ARX Accelerant Holdings $19.84 0.00% $4.33B
WTW Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company $314.49 -0.29% $29.2B 905-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are ERIE's Key Strengths?

Established market presence with nearly 100 years of experience.

  • Strong financial performance with solid profit margins.
  • Diverse range of services catering to various customer needs.

What Are ERIE's Weaknesses?

Dependence on the performance of the Erie Insurance Exchange.

  • Limited geographic diversification compared to larger competitors.
  • Potential vulnerability to regulatory changes affecting the insurance industry.

What Could Drive ERIE Stock Higher?

Expansion of digital service offerings to attract a younger demographic.

  • Strong financial performance with a profit margin of 14.0%, indicating operational efficiency.
  • Strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing service capabilities and market reach.

What Are the Key Risks for ERIE?

Regulatory changes that could impose additional compliance costs.

  • Intense competition from larger insurance providers impacting market share.
  • Economic downturns that could reduce consumer spending on insurance.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ERIE?

  • Expansion of Digital Services: Erie Indemnity Company is poised to enhance its digital service offerings, tapping into the growing trend of online insurance purchasing.
  • Increased Market Penetration: With a strong brand presence, Erie Indemnity can focus on expanding its market share in underrepresented regions. The U.S. insurance market is valued at approximately $1.3 trillion, and targeting niche markets could yield significant growth, especially in underserved areas where personalized service is valued.
  • Diversification of Insurance Products: By broadening its range of insurance products, Erie Indemnity can cater to a wider audience. The demand for specialized insurance products, such as cybersecurity and environmental liability insurance, is on the rise, which could enhance revenue streams and attract new customers.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Collaborating with technology firms and other financial service providers could enhance Erie’s service offerings and operational efficiency. Partnerships could facilitate access to innovative solutions, enabling Erie to remain competitive in a rapidly evolving industry.
  • Enhanced Customer Engagement: Investing in customer relationship management (CRM) systems can improve customer retention and satisfaction. With customer loyalty being crucial in the insurance sector, Erie’s focus on personalized service and engagement strategies can drive long-term growth.

What Are ERIE's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong brand reputation built over nearly a century in the insurance industry.
  • Established relationships with a large network of agents and policyholders.
  • Operational expertise in underwriting and risk management.
  • Comprehensive service offerings that enhance customer loyalty.

What Does ERIE Do?

Erie Indemnity Company, established in 1925, is headquartered in Erie, Pennsylvania. The company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange, which allows it to provide a diverse array of services to policyholders. Its core offerings include sales, underwriting, policy issuance, and renewal services, which are crucial for maintaining the operational efficiency of the Erie Insurance Exchange. Additionally, Erie Indemnity supports its agents with sales-related services, such as agent compensation and advertising support, enhancing the overall sales process. The company's underwriting services encompass both policy processing and risk assessment, ensuring that the policies issued are aligned with the company's risk management strategies. Erie Indemnity also provides customer service and administrative support, as well as information technology services to streamline operations. With a workforce of 6,715 employees, Erie Indemnity has positioned itself as a trusted partner in the insurance industry, leveraging its long-standing history and expertise to cater to a growing customer base across the United States.

What Products and Services Does ERIE Offer?

  • Operate as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange.
  • Provide sales, underwriting, policy issuance, and renewal services.
  • Offer agent compensation and sales support services.
  • Deliver customer service and administrative support.
  • Facilitate information technology services to enhance operational efficiency.
  • Manage risk assessment and policy processing for insurance products.

How Does ERIE Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through fees associated with underwriting and policy services.
  • Earn commissions from agent sales and support services.
  • Provide administrative services to the Erie Insurance Exchange for a fee.
  • Leverage technology to enhance operational efficiencies and reduce costs.

What Industry Does ERIE Operate In?

The insurance brokerage industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing demand for personalized insurance solutions and the expansion of digital platforms. The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.2% over the next five years, reflecting a shift towards more comprehensive coverage options. Erie Indemnity Company stands out in this competitive landscape by leveraging its long-standing reputation and operational expertise, particularly as it serves as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange. This unique positioning allows Erie to effectively manage risk and provide tailored solutions to its policyholders, setting it apart from competitors such as MetLife, Inc. and Everest Re Group, Ltd.

Who Are ERIE's Key Customers?

  • Policyholders seeking insurance coverage through the Erie Insurance Exchange.
  • Insurance agents requiring support in sales and underwriting processes.
  • Businesses looking for tailored insurance solutions and risk management services.
Model self-rating on this text: 72% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

Medium 67/100

Enough evidence to be useful, with gaps worth knowing about.

  • Scored on 73% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 44 days ago
  • No analyst coverage

Why 58?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • +0.78 Return on assets (Business Quality)
  • +0.53 Return on equity (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.31 Price to book (Valuation)
  • -0.31 Distance from the 52-week high (Momentum)
  • -0.26 Gross margin (Business Quality)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 20 snapshots

2026-08-23 76
2026-08-27 74
2026-08-31 79
2026-09-04 76
2026-09-08 73
2026-09-11 58

What changed?

The grade moved from 76 to 58 (-18).

What moved it up or down:

  • -17 Momentum
  • -13 Valuation

Held back by:

  • +9 Financial Safety

Over the same 19 days the stock moved -8.8%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Erie Indemnity Company insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 15 purchases. On net that is roughly 502 shares acquired (about $12K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Erie Indemnity Company

Revenue for Erie Indemnity Company came in at $1.09B during Q2 FY2026, a 7.7% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $180.3M, with diluted EPS of $3.45. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Financial Services company. Across the four most recent quarters, ERIE averaged $2.74 in diluted EPS.

ERIE Valuation & Market Position

With a $11.2B market cap, Erie Indemnity Company sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, ERIE's quantitative score of 58/100 is below the peer average of 74/100.

ROE 25%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Erie Indemnity Company stands at 25.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 16.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ERIE trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 19.40, above the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 4.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.20 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 5.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Erie Indemnity Company's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 9.56 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

4/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Erie Indemnity Company has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 16.4% below estimates on average.

Company Profile

Erie Indemnity Company operates in the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Erie, US. The company is led by CEO Timothy G. NeCastro. ERIE has traded publicly since 1995.

ERIE Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+7.2%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-6.8%
EPS Growth (FY)
-6.8%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+17.4%
P/E (TTM)
19.40
Return on Equity (TTM)
+25.0%
Current Ratio
1.2
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
13.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Established market presence with nearly 100 years of experience.
  • Strong financial performance with solid profit margins.
  • Diverse range of services catering to various customer needs.
  • Upcoming: Expansion of digital service offerings to attract a younger demographic.

Bear Case

  • Dependence on the performance of the Erie Insurance Exchange.
  • Limited geographic diversification compared to larger competitors.
  • Potential vulnerability to regulatory changes affecting the insurance industry.
  • Potential: Regulatory changes that could impose additional compliance costs.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $1.09B $180M $3.45
Q1 FY2026 $1.01B $150M $2.86
Q4 FY2025 $951M $63M $1.20
Q3 FY2025 $1.07B $183M $3.47

Q2 FY2026 · filed 30 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ERIE Latest News

ERIE Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for ERIE.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for ERIE.

ERIE MoonshotScore

58/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. ERIE scores 58/100 (Grade B): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Timothy Gerard NeCastro

CEO

Timothy Gerard NeCastro has been at the helm of Erie Indemnity Company, bringing extensive experience in the insurance sector. He holds a degree in Business Administration and has held various leadership roles within the company, focusing on strategic growth and operational efficiency.

Track Record: Under his leadership, Erie Indemnity has seen consistent growth in revenue and profitability, alongside the successful implementation of technology-driven solutions to enhance customer engagement and operational processes.

Erie Indemnity Company Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for ERIE?

ERIE holds an AI Score of 58/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange, providing a range of insurance-related services.

Is ERIE a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate ERIE buy, sell or hold. Erie Indemnity Company carries a MoonshotScore of 58/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about ERIE stock?

Analysts generally view ERIE stock positively, citing its strong financial metrics, including a profit margin of 14.0% and a P/E ratio of 19.40.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ERIE?

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) holds a MoonshotScore of 58/100 (moderate). P/E: 19.40x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.

How frequently does ERIE data refresh on this page?

ERIE's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 calculations are scheduled daily at 10:15 UTC; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven ERIE's recent stock price performance?

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established market presence with nearly 100 years of experience. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ERIE overvalued or undervalued right now?

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) trades at 19.40x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of ERIE?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track ERIE's earnings and financial reports?

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for ERIE earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial metrics are subject to change based on market conditions and company performance.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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