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FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$40.13 +$0.22 (+0.55%) |Exceptional · 84
FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) bottom line: Strongly Bullish — our Council read (77/100) and AI Score (84/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Valuation · Biggest watch-out: Business Quality.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $1.88B| P/E Ratio: 24.03| Vol: 295.1K| Target: $45.33 (+13.0%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $29.95 – $42.34

P/E 24.03 means the share price is 24.03 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $1.88B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.30: the stock has moved about 70% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) trades at $40.13 with MoonshotScore 84/100 (Grade A+). FirstSun Capital Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Sunflower Bank, providing a range of commercial and consumer banking services. Market cap: $1.88B, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
FirstSun Capital Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Sunflower Bank, providing a range of commercial and consumer banking services. The company focuses on serving small and medium-sized businesses across several states.

FSUN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $45.33 for FirstSun Capital Bancorp, suggesting 13.0% upside from the current price of $40.13. The AI MoonshotScore is 84/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the FSUN film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Strongly Bullish 77/100 · A

FSUN: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 84/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Valuation (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Business Quality (6/10, Neutral).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Financial Services Profile

CEONeal E. Arnold
Employees1,630
HeadquartersDenver, CO, US
IPO Year2022

FirstSun Capital Bancorp, through its Sunflower Bank subsidiary, delivers commercial and consumer banking solutions, including deposit products, loans, and wealth management services. With a presence in multiple states, the company targets small and medium-sized businesses, balancing traditional banking with modern treasury and cash management offerings in a competitive regional banking landscape.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for FSUN?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $1.88B and a P/E ratio of 24.03, the company demonstrates solid profitability, supported by a profit margin of 16.7% and a gross margin of 69.3%. The company's low beta of 0.30 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market. Growth catalysts include expanding its wealth management and treasury services, as well as strategic expansion within its existing geographic footprint. However, investors should monitor potential risks such as interest rate sensitivity and competition from larger national banks and fintech companies. The absence of a dividend yield may deter some income-focused investors.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FSUN Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $1.88B reflects investor valuation of FirstSun Capital Bancorp's overall business.

  • P/E ratio of 24.03 indicates the stock's valuation relative to its earnings, suggesting potential value.
  • Profit Margin of 16.7% demonstrates the company's ability to generate profit from its revenue.
  • Gross Margin of 69.3% highlights the efficiency of FirstSun Capital Bancorp's core banking operations.
  • Beta of 0.30 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, potentially appealing to risk-averse investors.

Who Are FSUN's Competitors?

FSUN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. $98.90 +1.37% $4.30B 905-pillar
GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. $49.70 +0.91% $1.87B 955-pillar
CHCO City Holding Company $143.65 -0.22% $2.03B 935-pillar
SRCE 1st Source Corporation $86.69 +0.90% $2.09B 965-pillar
QCRH QCR Holdings, Inc. $102.15 +0.22% $1.69B 965-pillar
RBCAA Republic Bancorp, Inc. $96.27 -1.00% $1.68B 915-pillar
CASH Pathward Financial, Inc. $79.18 +0.10% $1.67B 905-pillar
BLX Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A. $55.63 +0.51% $1.60B 915-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are FSUN's Key Strengths?

Established regional presence.

  • Diversified product and service offerings.
  • Strong focus on small and medium-sized businesses.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are FSUN's Weaknesses?

Limited geographic reach compared to national banks.

  • Reliance on traditional banking model.
  • Lack of dividend may deter some investors.
  • Smaller scale may limit investment in technology.

What Could Drive FSUN Stock Higher?

Expansion of digital banking platform to attract and retain customers.

  • Growth in wealth management services targeting high-net-worth individuals.
  • Strategic branch expansion in high-growth areas within existing markets.

What Are the Key Risks for FSUN?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.26 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 24.03 runs well above the Financial Services sector’s ~17.50x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Interest rate fluctuations impacting net interest margin.
  • Increased competition from larger national banks and fintech companies.
  • Economic downturn affecting loan demand and credit quality.
  • Regulatory changes impacting banking operations and compliance costs.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for FSUN?

  • Expansion of Wealth Management Services: FirstSun Capital Bancorp can grow its revenue by expanding its wealth management and trust products, including personal trust and agency accounts, and investment management services. The wealth management industry is projected to grow as the population ages and seeks retirement planning and investment advice. Targeting high-net-worth individuals and families within its existing markets could significantly increase fee-based income. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Branch Expansion: Expanding its branch network in high-growth areas within its current geographic footprint (Kansas, Colorado, New Mexico, Texas, and Arizona) can drive deposit growth and increase market share. Identifying underserved markets and establishing new branches or acquiring smaller community banks can provide a competitive advantage. This expansion should be coupled with enhanced digital banking capabilities to cater to a broader customer base. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Enhancement of Digital Banking Platform: Investing in and enhancing its digital banking platform can attract and retain customers, particularly younger demographics who prefer online and mobile banking solutions. Offering a seamless digital experience, including online account opening, mobile check deposit, and personalized financial management tools, can improve customer satisfaction and loyalty. This also allows for cost efficiencies by reducing reliance on physical branches. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Increased Focus on Treasury Management Services: Expanding its treasury management products and services for small and medium-sized businesses can generate significant revenue. Offering advanced cash management solutions, remote deposit capture, and online payment processing can attract businesses seeking to optimize their financial operations. This segment is particularly attractive as businesses increasingly require sophisticated tools to manage their cash flow. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Leveraging Technology for Loan Origination: Implementing advanced technology and data analytics in its loan origination process can improve efficiency, reduce risk, and increase loan volume. Utilizing AI-powered credit scoring and automated underwriting can streamline the loan application process and enable faster approvals. This can attract more borrowers and improve the overall quality of the loan portfolio. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are FSUN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established regional presence in Kansas, Colorado, New Mexico, Texas, and Arizona.
  • Long-standing history dating back to 1892, building customer trust and loyalty.
  • Comprehensive suite of banking and financial services.
  • Focus on serving small and medium-sized businesses, creating specialized expertise.

What Does FSUN Do?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp, founded in 1892 and headquartered in Denver, Colorado, operates as the bank holding company for Sunflower Bank. Originally known as Sunflower Financial, Inc., the company rebranded as FirstSun Capital Bancorp in June 2017. Sunflower Bank provides a comprehensive suite of commercial and consumer banking services tailored to small and medium-sized businesses. Its offerings include a variety of deposit products, such as noninterest-bearing accounts, interest-bearing demand products, checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, term certificate accounts, and certificates of deposit. The bank also provides a wide array of loan products, including commercial and industrial loans, owner-occupied and non-owner-occupied commercial real estate mortgages, 1-4 family mortgages, home equity loans, multi-family loans, and consumer loans. These consumer loans encompass direct consumer installment loans, credit card accounts, overdrafts, and other revolving loans. Beyond traditional banking services, FirstSun Capital Bancorp offers remote deposit and cash management products, treasury management products and services, and wealth management and trust products. These include personal trust and agency accounts, employee benefit and retirement-related trust and agency accounts, investment management and advisory agency accounts, and foundation and endowment trust and agency accounts. The company serves customers through branches located in Kansas, Colorado, New Mexico, Texas, and Arizona.

What Products and Services Does FSUN Offer?

  • Provides commercial and consumer banking services.
  • Offers a variety of deposit products, including checking, savings, and money market accounts.
  • Provides commercial and industrial loans.
  • Offers real estate mortgage loans for owner-occupied and non-owner-occupied properties.
  • Provides home equity and multi-family loans.
  • Offers consumer loans, including installment loans and credit card accounts.
  • Provides remote deposit and cash management products.
  • Offers wealth management and trust products.

How Does FSUN Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through interest income from loans.
  • Earns fees from deposit products and services.
  • Provides wealth management and trust services for fee income.
  • Offers treasury management services to businesses.

What Industry Does FSUN Operate In?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp operates within the regional banking sector, which is characterized by increasing competition from both larger national banks and fintech companies. The industry is also influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rate fluctuations and regulatory changes. Regional banks like FirstSun Capital Bancorp differentiate themselves through localized service and specialized offerings for small and medium-sized businesses. The market is seeing a trend towards digital banking solutions and enhanced customer experience, requiring regional banks to invest in technology to remain competitive.

Who Are FSUN's Key Customers?

  • Small and medium-sized businesses.
  • Individual consumers.
  • High-net-worth individuals and families (wealth management clients).
  • Commercial real estate developers.
Model self-rating on this text: 68% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 32 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 84?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
  • +0.54 Free cash flow yield (Valuation)
  • +0.38 Price to book (Valuation)

What is holding it back

  • -0.17 Return on assets (Business Quality)
  • -0.12 Dividend yield (Valuation)
  • -0.12 Return on equity (Business Quality)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 81
2026-08-26 81
2026-08-29 82
2026-09-01 85
2026-09-04 85
2026-09-07 86
2026-09-10 85

What changed?

The grade moved from 81 to 85 (+4).

What moved it up or down:

  • +17 Financial Safety

Held back by:

  • -2 Business Quality
  • -1 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -0.2%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, FirstSun Capital Bancorp insiders filed 25 SEC Form 4 transactions — 6 sales and 19 purchases. On net that is roughly 1.3M shares acquired (about $6.4M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

FirstSun Capital Bancorp has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 3.9% above estimates on average.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

FirstSun Capital Bancorp's Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.26 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

ROE 8%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for FirstSun Capital Bancorp stands at 8.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. FSUN trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 24.03, above the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 6.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 5.00 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 8.9%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Valuation Context

Valued at $1.88B, FSUN is classified as a small-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $44.00 to $47.00, with a consensus of $45.33. At the current price of $40.13, that implies approximately 13% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, FSUN's quantitative score of 84/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 93/100.

FSUN Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, FSUN generated $155.8M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 13.0%. The company recorded a net loss of $22.9M, with diluted EPS of $-0.81. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Financial Services. Across the four most recent quarters, FSUN averaged $0.41 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

FirstSun Capital Bancorp operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Denver, US. The company is led by CEO Neal E. Arnold. FSUN has traded publicly since 2022.

FSUN Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+5.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+29.5%
EPS Growth (FY)
+29.7%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+8.6%
P/E (TTM)
24.03
Return on Equity (TTM)
+8.4%
Current Ratio
5.0
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
5.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Established regional presence.
  • Diversified product and service offerings.
  • Strong focus on small and medium-sized businesses.
  • Experienced management team.

Bear Case

  • Limited geographic reach compared to national banks.
  • Reliance on traditional banking model.
  • Lack of dividend may deter some investors.
  • Smaller scale may limit investment in technology.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $156M -$23M -$0.81
Q1 FY2026 $138M $22M $0.76
Q4 FY2025 $146M $25M $0.88
Q3 FY2025 $147M $23M $0.82

Q2 FY2026 · filed 10 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FSUN Latest News

FSUN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for FSUN.

Price Targets

Low
$44.00
Consensus
$45.33
High
$47.00

Median: $45.00 (+13.0% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

FSUN MoonshotScore

84/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. FSUN scores 84/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Neal E. Arnold

CEO

Neal E. Arnold serves as the CEO of FirstSun Capital Bancorp, bringing extensive experience in the banking and financial services industry. His career includes leadership roles in various financial institutions, focusing on strategic planning, risk management, and business development. Arnold's background equips him with a deep understanding of the regional banking landscape and the challenges and opportunities facing community banks. He is responsible for overseeing the overall strategic direction and operational performance of FirstSun Capital Bancorp and Sunflower Bank.

Track Record: Under Neal E. Arnold's leadership, FirstSun Capital Bancorp has focused on expanding its presence in key markets and enhancing its digital banking capabilities. He has overseen initiatives to improve operational efficiency and strengthen the company's risk management framework. His strategic decisions have contributed to the company's growth in assets and profitability, navigating a dynamic and competitive banking environment.

Common Questions About FSUN (Financial Services)

What does the AI Score mean for FSUN?

FSUN holds an AI Score of 84/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is FSUN a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate FSUN buy, sell or hold. FirstSun Capital Bancorp carries a MoonshotScore of 84/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about FSUN stock?

Analyst coverage of FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) typically focuses on its regional banking performance, asset quality, and growth potential. Key valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio and price-to-book value are often compared to its peers in the regional banking sector.

What are the key factors to evaluate for FSUN?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) holds a MoonshotScore of 84/100 (high). P/E: 24.03x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $45.33 (+13%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does FSUN data refresh on this page?

FSUN's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven FSUN's recent stock price performance?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established regional presence. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider FSUN overvalued or undervalued right now?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) trades at 24.03x earnings. Analysts target $45.33 (+13%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of FSUN?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track FSUN's earnings and financial reports?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for FSUN earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to change.
  • Financial data is as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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