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FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Stock Analysis

$35.07 -$0.36 (-1.02%) |Fair · 59
Bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (67/100) and AI Score (59/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ken Griffin bullish · Biggest watch-out: Momentum weak.
MCap: $976M| P/E Ratio: 10.2| Vol: 176.9K| Target: $45.00 (+28.3%)| 52-wk range: $29.95 – $42.34
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) trades at $35.07 with AI Score 59/100 (Grade B). FirstSun Capital Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Sunflower Bank, providing a range of commercial and consumer banking services. Market cap: $976M, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Jul 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
FirstSun Capital Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Sunflower Bank, providing a range of commercial and consumer banking services. The company focuses on serving small and medium-sized businesses across several states.

FSUN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $45.00 for FirstSun Capital Bancorp, suggesting 28.3% upside from the current price of $35.07. The AI MoonshotScore is 59/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the FSUN film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 67/100 · B+

FSUN: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 59/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Bullish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Financial Services Profile

CEONeal E. Arnold
Employees1,127
HeadquartersDenver, CO, US
IPO Year2022

FirstSun Capital Bancorp, through its Sunflower Bank subsidiary, delivers commercial and consumer banking solutions, including deposit products, loans, and wealth management services. With a presence in multiple states, the company targets small and medium-sized businesses, balancing traditional banking with modern treasury and cash management offerings in a competitive regional banking landscape.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for FSUN?

As of May 10, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

FirstSun Capital Bancorp presents a compelling investment case within the regional banking sector. With a market capitalization of $976M and a P/E ratio of 10.2, the company demonstrates solid profitability, supported by a profit margin of 16.7% and a gross margin of 69.3%. The company's low beta of 0.30 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market. Growth catalysts include expanding its wealth management and treasury services, as well as strategic expansion within its existing geographic footprint. However, investors should monitor potential risks such as interest rate sensitivity and competition from larger national banks and fintech companies. The absence of a dividend yield may deter some income-focused investors.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FSUN Key Highlights

  • Market Cap of $976M reflects investor valuation of FirstSun Capital Bancorp's overall business.
  • P/E ratio of 10.2 indicates the stock's valuation relative to its earnings, suggesting potential value.
  • Profit Margin of 16.7% demonstrates the company's ability to generate profit from its revenue.
  • Gross Margin of 69.3% highlights the efficiency of FirstSun Capital Bancorp's core banking operations.
  • Beta of 0.30 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, potentially appealing to risk-averse investors.

Who Are FSUN's Competitors?

FSUN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. $104.02 -1.00% $4.54B 92
TRST TrustCo Bank Corp NY $55.44 +0.95% $969M 94
HAFC Hanmi Financial Corporation $32.19 -1.35% $958M 97
CPF Central Pacific Financial Corp. $38.61 -1.23% $1.01B 96
HFWA Heritage Financial Corporation $30.56 +0.13% $1.04B 94
THFF First Financial Corporation $76.37 -0.10% $908M 94
FSBC Five Star Bancorp $49.04 +0.47% $1.05B 94
BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. $70.93 -0.85% $1.07B 95

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are FSUN's Key Strengths?

  • Established regional presence.
  • Diversified product and service offerings.
  • Strong focus on small and medium-sized businesses.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are FSUN's Weaknesses?

  • Limited geographic reach compared to national banks.
  • Reliance on traditional banking model.
  • Lack of dividend may deter some investors.
  • Smaller scale may limit investment in technology.

What Could Drive FSUN Stock Higher?

  • Expansion of digital banking platform to attract and retain customers.
  • Growth in wealth management services targeting high-net-worth individuals.
  • Strategic branch expansion in high-growth areas within existing markets.

What Are the Key Risks for FSUN?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.35 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Interest rate fluctuations impacting net interest margin.
  • Increased competition from larger national banks and fintech companies.
  • Economic downturn affecting loan demand and credit quality.
  • Regulatory changes impacting banking operations and compliance costs.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for FSUN?

  • Expansion of Wealth Management Services: FirstSun Capital Bancorp can grow its revenue by expanding its wealth management and trust products, including personal trust and agency accounts, and investment management services. The wealth management industry is projected to grow as the population ages and seeks retirement planning and investment advice. Targeting high-net-worth individuals and families within its existing markets could significantly increase fee-based income. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Branch Expansion: Expanding its branch network in high-growth areas within its current geographic footprint (Kansas, Colorado, New Mexico, Texas, and Arizona) can drive deposit growth and increase market share. Identifying underserved markets and establishing new branches or acquiring smaller community banks can provide a competitive advantage. This expansion should be coupled with enhanced digital banking capabilities to cater to a broader customer base. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Enhancement of Digital Banking Platform: Investing in and enhancing its digital banking platform can attract and retain customers, particularly younger demographics who prefer online and mobile banking solutions. Offering a seamless digital experience, including online account opening, mobile check deposit, and personalized financial management tools, can improve customer satisfaction and loyalty. This also allows for cost efficiencies by reducing reliance on physical branches. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Increased Focus on Treasury Management Services: Expanding its treasury management products and services for small and medium-sized businesses can generate significant revenue. Offering advanced cash management solutions, remote deposit capture, and online payment processing can attract businesses seeking to optimize their financial operations. This segment is particularly attractive as businesses increasingly require sophisticated tools to manage their cash flow. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Leveraging Technology for Loan Origination: Implementing advanced technology and data analytics in its loan origination process can improve efficiency, reduce risk, and increase loan volume. Utilizing AI-powered credit scoring and automated underwriting can streamline the loan application process and enable faster approvals. This can attract more borrowers and improve the overall quality of the loan portfolio. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Opportunities Does FSUN Have?

  • Expansion into new markets within its existing geographic footprint.
  • Increased adoption of digital banking solutions.
  • Growth in wealth management services.
  • Strategic acquisitions of smaller community banks.

What Threats Does FSUN Face?

  • Competition from larger national banks and fintech companies.
  • Interest rate fluctuations.
  • Regulatory changes.
  • Economic downturn impacting loan demand and credit quality.

What Are FSUN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established regional presence in Kansas, Colorado, New Mexico, Texas, and Arizona.
  • Long-standing history dating back to 1892, building customer trust and loyalty.
  • Comprehensive suite of banking and financial services.
  • Focus on serving small and medium-sized businesses, creating specialized expertise.

What Does FSUN Do?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp, founded in 1892 and headquartered in Denver, Colorado, operates as the bank holding company for Sunflower Bank. Originally known as Sunflower Financial, Inc., the company rebranded as FirstSun Capital Bancorp in June 2017. Sunflower Bank provides a comprehensive suite of commercial and consumer banking services tailored to small and medium-sized businesses. Its offerings include a variety of deposit products, such as noninterest-bearing accounts, interest-bearing demand products, checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, term certificate accounts, and certificates of deposit. The bank also provides a wide array of loan products, including commercial and industrial loans, owner-occupied and non-owner-occupied commercial real estate mortgages, 1-4 family mortgages, home equity loans, multi-family loans, and consumer loans. These consumer loans encompass direct consumer installment loans, credit card accounts, overdrafts, and other revolving loans. Beyond traditional banking services, FirstSun Capital Bancorp offers remote deposit and cash management products, treasury management products and services, and wealth management and trust products. These include personal trust and agency accounts, employee benefit and retirement-related trust and agency accounts, investment management and advisory agency accounts, and foundation and endowment trust and agency accounts. The company serves customers through branches located in Kansas, Colorado, New Mexico, Texas, and Arizona.

What Products and Services Does FSUN Offer?

  • Provides commercial and consumer banking services.
  • Offers a variety of deposit products, including checking, savings, and money market accounts.
  • Provides commercial and industrial loans.
  • Offers real estate mortgage loans for owner-occupied and non-owner-occupied properties.
  • Provides home equity and multi-family loans.
  • Offers consumer loans, including installment loans and credit card accounts.
  • Provides remote deposit and cash management products.
  • Offers wealth management and trust products.

How Does FSUN Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through interest income from loans.
  • Earns fees from deposit products and services.
  • Provides wealth management and trust services for fee income.
  • Offers treasury management services to businesses.

What Industry Does FSUN Operate In?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp operates within the regional banking sector, which is characterized by increasing competition from both larger national banks and fintech companies. The industry is also influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rate fluctuations and regulatory changes. Regional banks like FirstSun Capital Bancorp differentiate themselves through localized service and specialized offerings for small and medium-sized businesses. The market is seeing a trend towards digital banking solutions and enhanced customer experience, requiring regional banks to invest in technology to remain competitive.

Who Are FSUN's Key Customers?

  • Small and medium-sized businesses.
  • Individual consumers.
  • High-net-worth individuals and families (wealth management clients).
  • Commercial real estate developers.
AI Confidence: 68% Updated: May 10, 2026

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project FirstSun Capital Bancorp revenue of about $675.6M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $3.31. The estimate reflects 3 contributing analysts.

F-Score 6/9Financial Health

FirstSun Capital Bancorp's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.35 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

ROE 8%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for FirstSun Capital Bancorp stands at 8.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. FSUN trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.24, below the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 6.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 5.00 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 8.9%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) Valuation Context

Valued at $976M, FSUN is classified as a small-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, FSUN's quantitative score of 59/100 is below the peer average of 95/100.

Company Profile

FirstSun Capital Bancorp operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Denver, US. The company is led by CEO Neal E. Arnold. FSUN has traded publicly since 2022.

FSUN Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+5.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+29.5%
EPS Growth (FY)
+29.7%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+8.6%
P/E (TTM)
11.3
Return on Equity (TTM)
+8.4%
Current Ratio
5.0
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
5.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Established regional presence.
  • Diversified product and service offerings.
  • Strong focus on small and medium-sized businesses.
  • Experienced management team.

Bear Case

  • Limited geographic reach compared to national banks.
  • Reliance on traditional banking model.
  • Lack of dividend may deter some investors.
  • Smaller scale may limit investment in technology.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

FSUN Latest News

FSUN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for FSUN.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $45.00

FSUN MoonshotScore

59/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates FSUN 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Neal E. Arnold

CEO

Neal E. Arnold serves as the CEO of FirstSun Capital Bancorp, bringing extensive experience in the banking and financial services industry. His career includes leadership roles in various financial institutions, focusing on strategic planning, risk management, and business development. Arnold's background equips him with a deep understanding of the regional banking landscape and the challenges and opportunities facing community banks. He is responsible for overseeing the overall strategic direction and operational performance of FirstSun Capital Bancorp and Sunflower Bank.

Track Record: Under Neal E. Arnold's leadership, FirstSun Capital Bancorp has focused on expanding its presence in key markets and enhancing its digital banking capabilities. He has overseen initiatives to improve operational efficiency and strengthen the company's risk management framework. His strategic decisions have contributed to the company's growth in assets and profitability, navigating a dynamic and competitive banking environment.

Common Questions About FSUN (Financial Services)

What does the AI Score mean for FSUN?

FSUN holds an AI Score of 59/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. FirstSun Capital Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Sunflower Bank, providing a range of commercial and consumer banking services. The company focuses on serving small …

What does FirstSun Capital Bancorp do?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Sunflower Bank, providing a range of commercial and consumer banking services to small and medium-sized businesses and individual customers. The company offers a variety of deposit products, loan services, and wealth management solutions through its branch network in Kansas, Colorado, New Mexico, Texas, and Arizona.

What do analysts say about FSUN stock?

Analyst coverage of FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) typically focuses on its regional banking performance, asset quality, and growth potential. Key valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio and price-to-book value are often compared to its peers in the regional banking sector.

What are the main risks for FSUN?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp faces several risks inherent to the regional banking sector. Interest rate risk is a significant concern, as fluctuations in interest rates can impact the company's net interest margin and profitability. Credit risk, or the risk of loan defaults, is another key consideration, particularly during economic downturns.

What are the key factors to evaluate for FSUN?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) holds an AI score of 59/100 (moderate). P/E: 10.2x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $45.00 (+28%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does FSUN data refresh on this page?

FSUN's price was last updated on Jul 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven FSUN's recent stock price performance?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established regional presence. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider FSUN overvalued or undervalued right now?

FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN) trades at 10.2x earnings. Analysts target $45.00 (+28%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research FSUN before investing?

Before investing in FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to change.
  • Financial data is as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources

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