First National Corporation (FXNC) Stock Analysis
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
P/E 12.88 means the share price is 12.88 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $279M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.50: the stock has moved about 50% less than the S&P 500.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerFirst National Corporation (FXNC) trades at $30.91 with MoonshotScore 89/100 (Grade A+). First National Corporation, operating as First Bank, provides commercial banking services to small and medium-sized businesses, individuals, and organizations in Virginia. Market cap: $279M, Sector: Financial services.
Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026Analyst Coverage for FXNC: FXNC does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates FXNC against Financial Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns a relatively strong fundamental profile based on the underlying data.
These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.
FXNC: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.
How is this calculated? →Strongest side: Growth Durability (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Financial Safety (8/10, Moderate).
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
First National Corporation (FXNC) Financial Services Profile
First National Corporation, through First Bank, delivers comprehensive commercial banking solutions in Virginia, focusing on small to medium-sized businesses and individual clients. With a history dating back to 1907, FXNC offers diverse deposit and loan products, wealth management, and modern digital services, maintaining a community-focused approach.
What Is the Investment Thesis for FXNC?
First National Corporation presents a stable investment opportunity within the Virginia banking sector. With a market capitalization of $279M and a P/E ratio of 12.88, the company exhibits steady profitability, supported by a profit margin of 18.1% and a gross margin of 76.1%. The dividend yield of 2.32% offers an income stream for investors. Growth catalysts include expanding digital banking services and strategic loan portfolio diversification. Potential risks include interest rate sensitivity and increased competition from larger regional banks. The company’s beta of 0.50 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, making it a potentially noteworthy option for risk-averse investors seeking consistent returns.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
FXNC Key Highlights
Market capitalization of $279M indicates a solid regional banking presence.
- P/E ratio of 12.88 suggests a reasonable valuation relative to earnings.
- Profit margin of 18.1% demonstrates efficient operations and profitability.
- Gross margin of 76.1% reflects effective cost management in banking services.
- Dividend yield of 2.32% provides a steady income stream for investors.
Who Are FXNC's Competitors?
FXNC is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CASH Pathward Financial, Inc. | $79.18 | +0.10% | $1.67B | 905-pillar |
| WSBC WesBanco, Inc. | $39.89 | -0.89% | $3.83B | 955-pillar |
| PBCT People's United Financial, Inc. | $19.41 | 0.00% | — | |
| HWBK Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. | $39.86 | +0.83% | $275M | 905-pillar |
| ATLO Ames National Corporation | $32.34 | +1.63% | $286M | 915-pillar |
| BPRN Princeton Bancorp, Inc. | $43.64 | +0.11% | $297M | 905-pillar |
| CFFI C&F Financial Corporation | $94.46 | +0.90% | $307M | 915-pillar |
| NECB Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. | $26.95 | +0.60% | $372M | 915-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are FXNC's Key Strengths?
Strong local market presence in Virginia.
- Diversified loan portfolio and service offerings.
- Experienced management team.
- Established history and reputation.
What Are FXNC's Weaknesses?
Limited geographic reach compared to larger regional banks.
- Reliance on traditional banking services.
- Potential sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations.
- Smaller market capitalization compared to competitors.
What Could Drive FXNC Stock Higher?
Launch of enhanced mobile banking platform in Q3 2026 to attract younger demographics.
- Strategic partnerships with local businesses to expand customer base.
- Diversification of loan portfolio to mitigate risks and enhance returns.
What Are the Key Risks for FXNC?
Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.52 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Increased competition from larger regional and national banks.
- Economic downturns affecting loan performance.
- Regulatory changes and compliance costs.
- Cybersecurity risks and data breaches.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for FXNC?
- Expansion of Digital Banking Services: First National Corporation can capitalize on the growing demand for digital banking solutions by enhancing its online and mobile platforms. Investing in user-friendly interfaces, secure transaction capabilities, and personalized financial tools can attract new customers and retain existing ones. The market for digital banking is projected to reach $9.5 trillion by 2027, presenting a significant growth opportunity for FXNC to capture a larger share of the digital banking market in Virginia.
- Strategic Loan Portfolio Diversification: Diversifying its loan portfolio across various sectors, including commercial real estate, industrial, and consumer loans, can mitigate risks associated with economic downturns in specific industries. Focusing on high-growth sectors such as technology and healthcare can enhance the portfolio's overall yield and stability. A well-diversified loan portfolio can improve the bank's resilience and profitability, contributing to long-term growth.
- Wealth Management Services Expansion: Expanding its wealth management services to cater to high-net-worth individuals and families can generate additional revenue streams. Offering personalized investment advice, estate planning, and trust administration services can attract affluent clients seeking comprehensive financial solutions. The wealth management market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7% over the next five years, providing a lucrative opportunity for First National Corporation to expand its market share.
- Community Engagement and Local Partnerships: Strengthening its ties with local communities through sponsorships, charitable donations, and financial literacy programs can enhance its brand reputation and attract new customers. Partnering with local businesses and organizations can create mutually beneficial relationships and drive business growth. A strong community presence can differentiate First National Corporation from larger regional banks and foster customer loyalty.
- Branch Network Optimization: Optimizing its branch network by strategically locating branches in high-growth areas and consolidating underperforming locations can improve operational efficiency and reduce costs. Investing in modern branch designs and technology can enhance the customer experience and attract new customers. A well-optimized branch network can improve the bank's profitability and competitiveness in the long run.
What Are FXNC's Competitive Advantages?
- Strong local presence and community relationships in Virginia.
- Long-standing history and established reputation since 1907.
- Diversified range of banking products and services.
- Experienced management team with local market expertise.
What Does FXNC Do?
Founded in 1907 and headquartered in Strasburg, Virginia, First National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for First Bank. The bank provides a wide array of commercial banking services tailored to small and medium-sized businesses, individuals, estates, local governmental entities, and non-profit organizations throughout Virginia. First Bank's deposit products include checking, savings, money market, and individual retirement accounts, alongside certificates of deposit and treasury management solutions. Its loan portfolio is diverse, encompassing construction loans (residential, land acquisition, and development), 1-4 family residential real estate loans, and commercial real estate loans secured by various property types, such as multi-family residential buildings, office and retail spaces, hotels, industrial buildings, and religious facilities. Additionally, First Bank offers commercial and industrial loans secured by business assets like accounts receivable, equipment, and inventory. Consumer lending includes home equity loans, secured and unsecured personal loans, lines of credit, auto loans, and installment loans. The bank also provides wealth management services, including estate planning, investment management, and trust administration. Beyond traditional banking, First National Corporation offers title insurance, investment services, and manages other real estate owned and office sites. It provides modern conveniences such as internet and mobile banking, remote deposit capture, and operates through 20 branch offices, a loan production office, a customer service center, and a network of ATMs, maintaining a strong local presence and commitment to its community.
What Products and Services Does FXNC Offer?
- Provides commercial banking services to small and medium-sized businesses.
- Offers deposit products including checking, savings, and money market accounts.
- Provides various loan products, including commercial real estate and construction loans.
- Offers wealth management services, including estate planning and investment management.
- Provides title insurance and investment services.
- Offers internet and mobile banking services.
- Operates 20 bank branch offices, a loan production office, and a customer service center.
How Does FXNC Make Money?
- Generates revenue through interest income from loans.
- Earns fees from deposit accounts and other banking services.
- Provides wealth management services for a fee.
- Offers title insurance and investment services for revenue.
What Industry Does FXNC Operate In?
First National Corporation operates within the regional banking sector, which is characterized by increasing competition and evolving customer expectations. The industry is experiencing a shift towards digital banking solutions and personalized customer service. Regulatory compliance and interest rate fluctuations are significant factors influencing profitability. First National Corporation's focus on community banking and diverse service offerings positions it to capitalize on local market opportunities while navigating industry challenges.
Who Are FXNC's Key Customers?
- Small and medium-sized businesses in Virginia.
- Individuals and families in Virginia.
- Estates and local governmental entities.
- Non-profit organizations in Virginia.
Research confidence
Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.
- ● Scored on 100% of our measures
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 29 days ago
- ● No analyst coverage
Why 89?
Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.
What is helping
- +0.59 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
- +0.48 Revenue growth (Growth)
- +0.40 Operating income growth (Growth)
What is holding it back
- -0.48 Share dilution (Growth)
- -0.08 Price to book (Valuation)
Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 90 |
| 2026-08-26 | 90 |
| 2026-08-29 | 90 |
| 2026-09-01 | 89 |
| 2026-09-04 | 90 |
| 2026-09-07 | 90 |
| 2026-09-10 | 89 |
What changed?
The grade moved from 90 to 89 (-1).
What moved it up or down:
- -6 Momentum
- -4 Valuation
- -1 Growth Durability
Held back by:
- +9 Financial Safety
Over the same 18 days the stock moved -0.5%.
First National Corporation Financial Trajectory
First National Corporation (FXNC) reported $29.7M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 5.3% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $5.7M, with diluted EPS of $0.63. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a micro-cap company operating in Financial Services. Across the four most recent quarters, FXNC averaged $0.60 in diluted EPS.
Company Profile
First National Corporation operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Strasburg, US. The company is led by CEO Scott C. Harvard. FXNC has traded publicly since 1999.
How First National Corporation Is Valued
First National Corporation carries a market capitalization of $279M, placing it in the micro-cap category. Relative to its peer group, FXNC's quantitative score of 89/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 91/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for First National Corporation stands at 11.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. FXNC trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 12.88, below the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x.
Financial Health
First National Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.52 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.
Earnings Track Record
First National Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 4.6% above estimates on average.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, First National Corporation insiders filed 12 SEC Form 4 transactions — 1 sales and 11 purchases. On net that is roughly 12K shares acquired (about $0) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
FXNC Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Strong local market presence in Virginia.
- Diversified loan portfolio and service offerings.
- Experienced management team.
- Established history and reputation.
Bear Case
- Limited geographic reach compared to larger regional banks.
- Reliance on traditional banking services.
- Potential sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations.
- Smaller market capitalization compared to competitors.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $30M | $6M | $0.63 |
| Q1 FY2026 | $28M | $5M | $0.54 |
| Q4 FY2025 | $30M | $6M | $0.61 |
| Q3 FY2025 | $30M | $6M | $0.62 |
Q2 FY2026 · filed 13 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
FXNC Latest News
-
All You Need to Know About FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) Rating Upgrade to Buy
zacks.com · Sep 4, 2026
-
First National Corp. (FXNC) Could Be a Great Choice
zacks.com · Aug 24, 2026
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Are You Looking for a High-Growth Dividend Stock?
zacks.com · Aug 8, 2026
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First National Q2 Adj. EPS $0.63 Beats $0.59 Estimate, Sales $23.999M Beat $23.451M Estimate
benzinga · Jul 29, 2026
FXNC Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for FXNC.
Price Targets
Wall Street price target analysis for FXNC.
FXNC MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. FXNC scores 89/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Latest News
All You Need to Know About FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) Rating Upgrade to Buy
First National Corp. (FXNC) Could Be a Great Choice
Are You Looking for a High-Growth Dividend Stock?
First National Q2 Adj. EPS $0.63 Beats $0.59 Estimate, Sales $23.999M Beat $23.451M Estimate
Leadership: Scott C. Harvard
CEO
Scott C. Harvard serves as the CEO of First National Corporation, managing a team of 303 employees. His career spans over two decades in the banking industry, with a focus on community banking and financial services. He has held various leadership positions, demonstrating expertise in strategic planning, risk management, and customer relationship management. Harvard holds an MBA from a leading business school and is actively involved in community development initiatives.
Track Record: Under Scott C. Harvard's leadership, First National Corporation has experienced steady growth in assets and profitability. He has overseen the expansion of digital banking services and the diversification of the loan portfolio. Key milestones include the successful integration of new technologies and the enhancement of customer service initiatives. His strategic decisions have contributed to the company's strong financial performance and market position.
What Investors Ask About First National Corporation (FXNC) — Financial Services
What does the AI Score mean for FXNC?
FXNC holds an AI Score of 89/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Is FXNC a good stock?
Stock Expert AI does not rate FXNC buy, sell or hold. First National Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 89/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.
What do analysts say about FXNC stock?
Analyst consensus on First National Corporation (FXNC) suggests a stable outlook, reflecting its consistent performance in the regional banking sector. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 12.88 and a dividend yield of 2.32%, indicate a balanced investment profile.
What are the key factors to evaluate for FXNC?
First National Corporation (FXNC) holds a MoonshotScore of 89/100 (high). P/E: 12.88x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.
How frequently does FXNC data refresh on this page?
FXNC's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven FXNC's recent stock price performance?
First National Corporation (FXNC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong local market presence in Virginia. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider FXNC overvalued or undervalued right now?
First National Corporation (FXNC) trades at 12.88x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of FXNC?
Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of First National Corporation (FXNC) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.
How can I track FXNC's earnings and financial reports?
First National Corporation (FXNC) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for FXNC earnings announcements.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Information is based on available financial data and company reports as of May 9, 2026.
- Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.