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Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$11.90 +$0.475 (+4.16%) |Weak · 10
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) bottom line: Bearish Lean — our Council read (29/100) and AI Score (10/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $4.54B| Vol: 3.85M| Target: $12.00 (+0.8%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $6.66 – $23.45

Market cap $4.54B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) trades at $11.90 with MoonshotScore 10/100 (Grade F). Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. is a digital asset technology company focused on mining cryptocurrencies within the blockchain ecosystem. Market cap: $4.54B, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. is a digital asset technology company focused on mining cryptocurrencies within the blockchain ecosystem. The company generates digital assets in the United States and held approximately 8,115 bitcoins as of December 31, 2021.

MARA stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $12.00 for Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc., suggesting 0.8% upside from the current price of $11.90. The AI MoonshotScore is 10/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the MARA film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bearish Lean 29/100 · F

MARA: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 10/100
Business Quality
Negative Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Negative Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Negative Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Weak Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (3/10, Weak). Weakest side: Business Quality (0/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) Financial Services Profile

CEOFrederick G. Thiel
Employees266
HeadquartersLas Vegas, NV, US
IPO Year2012

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. mines cryptocurrencies, focusing on the blockchain ecosystem and digital asset generation in the United States. Formerly Marathon Patent Group, the company rebranded in 2021 to reflect its strategic shift. It competes with other digital asset miners in the evolving cryptocurrency market.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for MARA?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Marathon Digital Holdings presents a high-beta investment opportunity within the cryptocurrency mining sector. The company's performance is closely correlated with Bitcoin prices, making it a leveraged play on the cryptocurrency market. Key value drivers include increasing mining efficiency, expanding hash rate capacity, and optimizing energy costs. Growth catalysts involve strategic partnerships, technological advancements in mining hardware, and favorable regulatory developments. However, potential risks include Bitcoin price volatility, regulatory uncertainty, increasing mining difficulty, and competition from other mining companies. Investors should closely monitor Bitcoin's price movements, Marathon's operational performance, and regulatory changes impacting the cryptocurrency industry. With a negative profit margin of -144.6% and a gross margin of 37.0%, the company's profitability remains sensitive to Bitcoin's price fluctuations.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MARA Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Marathon Digital Holdings operates as a digital asset technology company focused on mining cryptocurrencies.

  • As of December 31, 2021, the company held approximately 8,115 bitcoins.
  • The company rebranded from Marathon Patent Group, Inc. to Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. in February 2021.
  • Marathon's gross margin stands at 37.0%.
  • The company's beta is 5.30, indicating high volatility relative to the market.

Who Are MARA's Competitors?

MARA is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. $61.57 -2.10% $13.1B 905-pillar
BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. $24.20 -0.04% $13.8B
WULF TeraWulf Inc. $16.14 -5.78% $8.00B
BOKF BOK Financial Corporation $135.21 +0.52% $8.22B 905-pillar
PNFP Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. $99.14 +0.01% $15.0B 685-pillar
MC Moelis & Company $64.25 -1.74% $4.76B 725-pillar
PJT PJT Partners Inc. $163.21 -4.97% $4.17B 915-pillar
LAZ Lazard Ltd $41.38 -1.18% $4.03B 585-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are MARA's Key Strengths?

Significant Bitcoin holdings.

  • Established mining infrastructure.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Focus on North American operations.

What Are MARA's Weaknesses?

High dependence on Bitcoin price.

  • Negative profit margin.
  • High beta indicates significant volatility.
  • Energy-intensive operations.

What Could Drive MARA Stock Higher?

Potential regulatory clarity regarding cryptocurrency mining in the United States.

  • Increasing Bitcoin adoption by institutional investors.
  • Expansion of Marathon's mining capacity and hash rate.
  • Technological advancements in mining hardware and energy efficiency.

What Are the Key Risks for MARA?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -1.80 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Negative return on equity (-52.1%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Significant decline in Bitcoin price.
  • Increased regulatory scrutiny of cryptocurrency mining.
  • Rising energy costs and environmental concerns.
  • Competition from other cryptocurrency mining companies.
  • Fluctuations in mining difficulty.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for MARA?

  • Expansion of Mining Capacity: Marathon can increase its bitcoin production by expanding its mining infrastructure. This involves deploying more mining rigs and securing access to cost-effective energy sources. The market for bitcoin mining is directly correlated to the price and adoption of Bitcoin, with potential for significant growth as institutional investment increases. The timeline for expansion depends on capital availability and supply chain constraints for mining hardware. Success hinges on Marathon's ability to efficiently deploy and manage its mining operations.
  • Technological Advancements: Investing in research and development to improve mining efficiency and reduce energy consumption can provide a competitive advantage. This includes exploring new mining algorithms, optimizing hardware configurations, and utilizing renewable energy sources. The market for energy-efficient mining technologies is growing rapidly, driven by environmental concerns and the increasing cost of electricity. The timeline for realizing these benefits depends on the pace of technological innovation and Marathon's ability to adopt new technologies.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Forming partnerships with technology providers, energy companies, and other stakeholders in the cryptocurrency ecosystem can create synergies and unlock new opportunities. This includes collaborating on research and development, securing access to energy resources, and expanding market reach. The market for strategic partnerships in the cryptocurrency industry is evolving rapidly, with increasing interest from traditional financial institutions and technology companies. The timeline for forming and executing these partnerships depends on Marathon's ability to identify and cultivate relationships with key players.
  • Geographic Diversification: Expanding mining operations to new locations with favorable regulatory environments and access to low-cost energy can mitigate risks and diversify revenue streams. This includes exploring opportunities in North America, Europe, and other regions with supportive policies for cryptocurrency mining. The market for cryptocurrency mining is becoming increasingly global, with new opportunities emerging in various jurisdictions. The timeline for geographic diversification depends on Marathon's ability to navigate regulatory complexities and secure access to resources in new locations.
  • Diversification into Related Services: Leveraging its expertise in blockchain technology and digital assets to offer related services, such as transaction processing, data analytics, and security solutions, can create new revenue streams and reduce reliance on bitcoin mining. The market for blockchain-related services is growing rapidly, driven by increasing adoption of blockchain technology across various industries. The timeline for diversification depends on Marathon's ability to develop and market these new services.

What Are MARA's Competitive Advantages?

  • Scale: Marathon's large-scale mining operations provide a cost advantage.
  • Infrastructure: Significant investment in mining hardware and data centers.
  • Expertise: Specialized knowledge in cryptocurrency mining and blockchain technology.

What Does MARA Do?

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc., established in 2010 and headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada, operates as a digital asset technology company specializing in cryptocurrency mining. Originally incorporated as Marathon Patent Group, Inc., the company underwent a significant transformation in February 2021, rebranding itself as Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. This change reflected its strategic pivot towards the blockchain ecosystem and the generation of digital assets. Marathon focuses on mining cryptocurrencies, primarily Bitcoin, within the United States. As of December 31, 2021, Marathon held approximately 8,115 bitcoins, including 4,794 bitcoins held in an investment fund. The company's operations are centered around deploying and managing high-powered computing infrastructure to solve complex cryptographic problems, thereby validating transactions on the blockchain and earning newly minted bitcoins as a reward. Marathon competes with other cryptocurrency mining companies, striving to increase its mining efficiency and overall bitcoin production. The company's success is closely tied to the price of Bitcoin and the overall health of the cryptocurrency market.

What Products and Services Does MARA Offer?

  • Mines cryptocurrencies, primarily Bitcoin.
  • Operates within the blockchain ecosystem.
  • Generates digital assets in the United States.
  • Deploys and manages high-powered computing infrastructure.
  • Validates transactions on the blockchain.
  • Earns newly minted bitcoins as a reward.

How Does MARA Make Money?

  • Generates revenue by mining Bitcoin.
  • Receives Bitcoin as a reward for validating transactions on the blockchain.
  • Monetizes its Bitcoin holdings through sales or investments.

What Industry Does MARA Operate In?

Marathon Digital Holdings operates within the financial capital markets industry, specifically in the cryptocurrency mining sector. This sector is characterized by rapid technological advancements, regulatory uncertainty, and intense competition. The market is heavily influenced by the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Companies like Marathon are striving to increase their mining efficiency and hash rate capacity to gain a competitive edge. The industry is also facing increasing scrutiny from regulators regarding energy consumption and environmental impact. The overall market size for cryptocurrency mining is difficult to quantify precisely but is estimated to be in the billions of dollars, with significant growth potential as cryptocurrencies gain wider adoption.

Who Are MARA's Key Customers?

  • The primary 'customer' is the Bitcoin network itself, as Marathon validates transactions.
  • Investors who purchase MARA stock are indirectly investing in Marathon's ability to mine Bitcoin.
  • Potential customers for future blockchain-related services.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 36 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 10?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.48 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • +0.33 6-month price trend (Momentum)
  • +0.21 Free cash flow growth (Growth)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Return on equity (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Return on assets (Business Quality)

Risk penalties applied

  • -2.00 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 9
2026-08-26 9
2026-08-29 8
2026-09-01 9
2026-09-04 10
2026-09-07 10
2026-09-10 10

What changed?

The grade moved from 9 to 10 (+1).

What moved it up or down:

  • +10 Momentum
  • +4 Growth Durability

Held back by:

  • -1 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +3.5%.

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) Valuation Context

Valued at $4.54B, MARA is classified as a mid-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $6.00 to $17.00, with a consensus of $12.00. At the current price of $11.90, that implies approximately 1% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, MARA's quantitative score of 10/100 is below the peer average of 78/100.

MARA Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, MARA generated $174.9M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 0.2%. The company recorded a net loss of $609.7M, with diluted EPS of $-1.60. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Financial Services. Across the four most recent quarters, MARA averaged $-2.37 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. operates in the Financial - Capital Markets industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Hallandale Beach, US. The company is led by CEO Frederick G. Thiel. MARA has traded publicly since 2012.

ROE -52%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. stands at -52.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -41.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -24.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.84 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -38.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 3/9

Financial Health

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of -1.80 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

3/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 377.5% above estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. insiders filed 38 SEC Form 4 transactions — 38 sales and 0 purchases. On net that is roughly 977K shares disposed (about $11.4M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

MARA Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+38.2%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-342.3%
EPS Growth (FY)
-297.3%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+66.4%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-52.1%
Current Ratio
1.8

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Significant Bitcoin holdings.
  • Established mining infrastructure.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Focus on North American operations.

Bear Case

  • High dependence on Bitcoin price.
  • Negative profit margin.
  • High beta indicates significant volatility.
  • Energy-intensive operations.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $175M -$610M -$1.60
Q1 FY2026 $175M -$1.26B -$3.31
Q4 FY2025 $202M -$1.71B -$4.81
Q3 FY2025 $252M $123M $0.26

Q2 FY2026 · filed 6 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MARA Latest News

MARA Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for MARA.

Price Targets

Low
$6.00
Consensus
$12.00
High
$17.00

Median: $12.50 (+0.8% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

MARA MoonshotScore

10/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. MARA scores 10/100 (Grade F): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Frederick G. Thiel

Chief Executive Officer

Frederick G. Thiel serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Marathon Digital Holdings, bringing extensive experience in finance and technology. Prior to joining Marathon, Thiel held various leadership positions in the financial services industry, including roles at investment banks and private equity firms. His background includes expertise in corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions, and capital markets. Thiel's experience also encompasses technology-related ventures, providing him with a strong understanding of the digital asset landscape. He is responsible for overseeing Marathon's strategic direction and operational execution.

Track Record: Since assuming the role of CEO, Frederick G. Thiel has overseen Marathon's strategic shift towards becoming a leading cryptocurrency mining company. Key achievements include expanding the company's mining capacity, increasing its Bitcoin holdings, and strengthening its financial position. Under his leadership, Marathon has navigated the volatile cryptocurrency market and positioned itself for long-term growth. Thiel has also focused on improving the company's operational efficiency and reducing its energy costs.

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for MARA?

MARA holds an AI Score of 10/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. is a digital asset technology company focused on mining cryptocurrencies within the blockchain ecosystem.

Is MARA a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate MARA buy, sell or hold. Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 10/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about MARA stock?

Analyst coverage of Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) typically reflects the high-growth potential and inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency mining sector. Key metrics include hash rate capacity, energy efficiency, and Bitcoin price forecasts.

What are the key factors to evaluate for MARA?

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) holds a MoonshotScore of 10/100 (low). Analysts target $12.00 (+1%). The company rebranded from Marathon Patent Group, Inc. to Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. in February 2021. Not financial advice.

How frequently does MARA data refresh on this page?

MARA's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven MARA's recent stock price performance?

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Significant Bitcoin holdings. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider MARA overvalued or undervalued right now?

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $12.00 (+1%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of MARA?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track MARA's earnings and financial reports?

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for MARA earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data as of 2026-05-10.
  • Financial data based on available information as of December 31, 2021.
  • The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and subject to rapid changes.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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