National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Energy Operations & Outlook

National Fuel Gas Company is a diversified energy provider with a robust portfolio in exploration, production, pipeline, storage, and utility services, primarily serving the Appalachian region and New York, leveraging significant natural gas reserves and a strong market presence.

What Is the Investment Thesis for NFG?

With a market capitalization of $7.83B and a P/E ratio of 11.52, NFG demonstrates solid profitability, evidenced by a profit margin of 27.5% and a gross margin of 50%. The company’s extensive reserves of natural gas and oil provide a strong foundation for future growth, particularly as demand for cleaner energy sources increases. The ongoing expansion of its pipeline and storage capabilities positions NFG to capitalize on rising natural gas consumption in the northeastern United States. Additionally, the utility segment's stable revenue from approximately 753,000 customers provides a buffer against commodity price volatility. However, potential risks include fluctuations in energy prices and regulatory changes that may impact operations. Overall, NFG's strategic focus on enhancing its operational efficiency and expanding its market footprint is expected to drive long-term value.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

NFG Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $7.83B reflects strong investor confidence in NFG's diversified operations.

• P/E ratio of 11.52 indicates attractive valuation compared to industry peers.
• Profit margin of 27.5% showcases operational efficiency and strong profitability.
• Gross margin of 50% exceeds industry average, highlighting effective cost management.
• Dividend yield of 2.69% offers consistent returns to shareholders.

Who Are NFG's Competitors?

NFG is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are NFG's Key Strengths?

Strong profitability with a profit margin of 27.5%.

• Diverse operations across exploration, production, and utility segments.
• Significant natural gas reserves ensure long-term production capabilities.
• Established infrastructure for transportation and storage enhances operational efficiency.

What Are NFG's Weaknesses?

Exposure to commodity price fluctuations can impact revenue.

• Regulatory changes in the energy sector may pose operational challenges.
• Dependence on the northeastern U.S. market limits geographic diversification.
• High capital expenditures required for exploration and infrastructure development.

What Could Drive NFG Stock Higher?

Expansion of pipeline infrastructure to increase capacity for natural gas transportation.

• Development of new natural gas reserves in the Appalachian region.
• Strategic investments in renewable energy projects to diversify the energy portfolio.
• Continuous improvement in operational efficiency to enhance profit margins.
• Potential regulatory changes favoring natural gas as a cleaner energy source.

What Are the Key Risks for NFG?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.74 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

• Fluctuations in global oil and gas prices impacting revenue stability.
• Regulatory risks associated with environmental policies affecting operations.
• Economic downturns leading to reduced demand for natural gas services.
• Competition from alternative energy sources and other integrated energy companies.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for NFG?

• Expansion of Natural Gas Infrastructure: National Fuel Gas Company is poised to capitalize on the increasing demand for natural gas by expanding its pipeline and storage infrastructure. The U.S. natural gas market is projected to grow significantly, with an estimated market size of $1 trillion by 2030. NFG's strategic investments in its pipeline systems will enhance its capacity to transport natural gas, positioning the company to capture a larger market share.
• Increased Utility Customer Base: With approximately 753,000 customers, NFG's utility segment is well-positioned for growth as it continues to expand its service offerings. The demand for natural gas in residential and commercial sectors is expected to rise, driven by the transition to cleaner energy sources. NFG aims to enhance customer engagement and service reliability, potentially increasing its customer base by 5-10% over the next five years.
• Technological Advancements in Exploration: NFG's commitment to leveraging advanced technologies in exploration and production will enhance its operational efficiency. The adoption of innovative drilling techniques and data analytics can lead to improved recovery rates and reduced costs. This strategic focus is expected to drive production growth, particularly in the Appalachian region, where NFG holds significant reserves.
• Diversification into Renewable Energy: As the energy landscape evolves, NFG is exploring opportunities to diversify its portfolio into renewable energy sources. By investing in renewable projects, NFG can align with market trends and enhance its sustainability profile.
• Timber Asset Management: NFG's ownership of approximately 95,000 acres of timber property provides an additional revenue stream. The timber market is projected to grow, driven by increased demand for sustainable building materials. By effectively managing its timber assets, NFG can generate supplementary income, contributing to overall financial stability.

What Threats Does NFG Face?

• Volatility in oil and gas prices can affect profitability.
• Increased competition from other energy providers.
• Regulatory pressures related to environmental concerns.
• Economic downturns may lead to reduced energy consumption.

What Are NFG's Competitive Advantages?

• Diverse portfolio across multiple energy segments reduces dependence on any single revenue source.
• Significant natural gas reserves provide a competitive advantage in production capabilities.
• Established infrastructure for transportation and storage enhances operational efficiency.
• Strong market presence in the northeastern U.S. supports customer loyalty and brand recognition.
• Long-term contracts with utility customers provide stable revenue streams.

What Does NFG Do?

Founded in 1902, National Fuel Gas Company operates as a diversified energy company headquartered in Williamsville, New York. The company has evolved significantly over the years, expanding its operations through four main segments: Exploration and Production, Pipeline and Storage, Gathering, and Utility. The Exploration and Production segment is focused on the exploration, development, and production of natural gas and oil, primarily in California and the Appalachian region. As of September 30, 2021, NFG reported proved reserves of 21,537 thousand barrels of oil and approximately 3.7 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. The Pipeline and Storage segment provides vital interstate natural gas transportation and storage services, utilizing an integrated pipeline system across Pennsylvania and New York. This segment also manages underground storage fields and transports gas for various utilities and industrial clients. The Gathering segment is dedicated to building and operating natural gas processing and pipeline facilities in the Appalachian region, while the Utility segment serves around 753,000 customers, providing natural gas sales and transportation services in key areas of New York and Pennsylvania. In addition to its core operations, NFG owns approximately 95,000 acres of timber property and manages an additional 2,500 acres of timber cutting rights, further diversifying its asset base. With a workforce of 2,311 employees, National Fuel Gas Company continues to adapt to the dynamic energy landscape, positioning itself for sustainable growth.

What Products and Services Does NFG Offer?

• Explore for and produce natural gas and oil in California and the Appalachian region.
• Provide interstate natural gas transportation and storage services in Pennsylvania and New York.
• Own and operate underground natural gas storage fields.
• Sell natural gas and provide transportation services to residential and commercial customers.
• Build and operate natural gas processing and pipeline gathering facilities.
• Manage timber assets for additional revenue generation.

How Does NFG Make Money?

• Generate revenue from the exploration and production of natural gas and oil.
• Earn fees from transporting and storing natural gas through pipeline systems.
• Sell natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
• Provide utility services to customers in New York and Pennsylvania.
• Leverage timber assets for supplementary income.

What Industry Does NFG Operate In?

The oil and gas integrated industry is experiencing significant transformation driven by the global shift towards cleaner energy sources and increased demand for natural gas. As countries implement stricter environmental regulations, companies like National Fuel Gas Company are well-positioned to benefit from the growing preference for natural gas over coal and oil. The U.S. natural gas market is projected to grow, with demand expected to increase by approximately 2% annually through 2030. NFG's strategic assets in the Appalachian region and New York enhance its competitive positioning, allowing it to effectively serve both residential and industrial customers while navigating the evolving energy landscape.

Who Are NFG's Key Customers?

• Residential customers in New York and Pennsylvania.
• Commercial and industrial clients requiring natural gas services.
• Utilities needing transportation and storage solutions.
• Public authorities and governmental entities.
• Wholesale customers in the energy market.

National Fuel Gas Company Financial Trajectory

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) reported $537.5M in revenue for Q3 FY2026, a decline of 37.4% compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $138.6M, with diluted EPS of $1.47. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Energy. Across the four most recent quarters, NFG averaged $1.80 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

National Fuel Gas Company operates in the Oil & Gas Integrated industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Williamsville, United States.

How National Fuel Gas Company Is Valued

National Fuel Gas Company carries a market capitalization of $7.83B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $76.00 to $101.00, with a consensus of $88.50. At the current price of $82.33, that implies approximately 7% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, NFG's quantitative score of 73/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 74/100.

Return on equity for National Fuel Gas Company stands at 18.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 6.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. NFG trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 11.52, below the Energy sector average of ~15.80x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.20 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 8.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

National Fuel Gas Company's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.74 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

National Fuel Gas Company has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 4.7% above estimates on average.

Over the past six months, National Fuel Gas Company insiders filed 29 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 29 purchases. On net that is roughly 11K shares acquired (about $376K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

NFG Financials

NFG Latest News

NFG Analyst Consensus

NFG MoonshotScore

What Investors Ask About National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) — Energy

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources