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Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL)

$9.49 +$0.45 (+4.98%) |Fair · 49
Bottom line: BUY — our Council read (57/100) and AI Score (49/100) broadly agree. Strongest single signal: Ken Griffin bullish.
MCap: $14.83B| P/E Ratio: 71.8| Vol: 18.19M| Target: $16.23 (+71.0%)| 52-wk range: $7.95 – $21.08
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) trades at $9.49 with AI Score 49/100 (Grade C). Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an asset management firm specializing in direct lending, GP capital solutions, and real estate investments. Market cap: $14.83B, Sector: Financial services.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an asset management firm specializing in direct lending, GP capital solutions, and real estate investments. They cater to middle-market companies and large alternative asset managers through permanent capital vehicles and long-dated private funds.

OWL stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $16.23 for Blue Owl Capital Inc., suggesting 71.0% upside from the current price of $9.49. The AI MoonshotScore is 49/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
BUY 57/100 · B

OWL: 4/7 perspectives are bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Neutral
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) Financial Services Profile

CEODouglas Irving Ostrover
Employees1200
HeadquartersNew York City, NY, US
IPO Year2020

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is a leading asset manager focused on providing permanent capital solutions, including direct lending, GP capital solutions, and real estate strategies. Targeting middle-market companies and large alternative asset managers, Blue Owl distinguishes itself through its holistic platform and diverse investment offerings within the financial services sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for OWL?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. presents a compelling investment case based on its diversified asset management platform and focus on alternative investments. The company's direct lending business benefits from the growing demand for private credit among middle-market companies. GP capital solutions offer exposure to the expanding alternative asset management industry. Real estate investments provide diversification and stable income through sale-leaseback transactions. With a dividend yield of 8.52% and a beta of 1.21, OWL offers a blend of income and market sensitivity. Key catalysts include continued growth in private credit markets and expansion of its real estate investment strategies. A potential risk is the sensitivity of its investments to economic cycles and interest rate fluctuations.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

OWL Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $14.83B reflects Blue Owl's significant presence in the asset management industry.
  • P/E ratio of 71.8 indicates investor expectations for future earnings growth.
  • Gross margin of 64.4% demonstrates Blue Owl's efficient management of its investment strategies.
  • Dividend yield of 8.52% provides a substantial income stream for investors.
  • Beta of 1.21 suggests that Blue Owl's stock price is more volatile than the overall market.

Who Are OWL's Competitors?

OWL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
USB U.S. Bancorp $62.89 +1.88% $97.97B 80
ARES Ares Management Corporation $121.81 +4.20% $40.01B 52
STT State Street Corporation $175.44 +2.78% $48.55B 34
LPLA LPL Financial Holdings Inc. $303.07 +2.67% $24.24B 30
HBAN Huntington Bancshares Incorporated $17.89 +0.17% $36.27B 68
NXDT NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust $5.53 +3.08% $285.77M 73
GENB Generate Biomedicines, Inc. $17.03 -2.18% $2.18B 72
SII Sprott Inc. $118.11 +2.72% $3.05B 71

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are OWL's Key Strengths?

  • Diversified asset management platform.
  • Permanent capital base.
  • Experienced investment team.
  • Strong relationships with leading alternative asset managers.

What Are OWL's Weaknesses?

  • Sensitivity to economic cycles.
  • Reliance on key personnel.
  • Potential for conflicts of interest.
  • Complexity of investment strategies.

What Could Drive OWL Stock Higher?

  • Continued growth in private credit markets will drive demand for Blue Owl's direct lending products.
  • Increasing allocations to alternative investments by institutional investors will benefit Blue Owl's fundraising efforts.
  • Strategic acquisitions and partnerships will expand Blue Owl's product offerings and geographic reach.
  • Expansion of real estate investment strategies will provide diversification and stable income.

What Are the Key Risks for OWL?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.52 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 71.8 runs well above the Financial Services sector’s ~18x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Economic downturns could negatively impact the performance of Blue Owl's investments.
  • Increased competition from other asset managers could put pressure on fees and margins.
  • Changes in regulations could impact Blue Owl's business model.
  • Interest rate fluctuations could affect the value of Blue Owl's fixed-income investments.
  • Reliance on key personnel could create operational risks.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for OWL?

  • Expansion of Direct Lending Platform: Blue Owl can capitalize on the growing demand for private credit by expanding its direct lending platform. The middle-market lending space is estimated to be a multi-trillion dollar market, and Blue Owl's expertise in structuring and managing direct loans positions it well to capture a larger share. Ongoing: This expansion can be achieved through strategic partnerships, increased origination capabilities, and diversification of lending products.
  • Growth in GP Capital Solutions: Blue Owl's GP capital solutions business can benefit from the continued growth of the alternative asset management industry. As private equity and hedge fund managers seek capital to fund their own growth initiatives, Blue Owl can provide minority equity investments and debt financing. Ongoing: This growth opportunity involves expanding relationships with leading alternative asset managers and developing innovative capital solutions.
  • Scaling Real Estate Investment Strategies: Blue Owl can scale its real estate investment strategies by focusing on sale-leaseback transactions. The market for sale-leaseback transactions is substantial, with corporate real estate owners seeking to unlock capital from their properties. Ongoing: Blue Owl's expertise in structuring triple net leases and managing real estate assets positions it to capitalize on this trend.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Blue Owl can pursue strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand its product offerings and geographic reach. The asset management industry is consolidating, and Blue Owl can leverage its strong capital base to acquire complementary businesses or form partnerships with other firms. Upcoming: This strategy involves identifying attractive acquisition targets and negotiating favorable terms.
  • Increasing Institutional Investor Allocations: Blue Owl can benefit from increasing allocations to alternative investments by institutional investors. Pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds are seeking higher returns and diversification, leading them to increase their allocations to private credit, private equity, and real estate. Ongoing: Blue Owl's track record and expertise in these areas make it an attractive partner for institutional investors.

What Opportunities Does OWL Have?

  • Growth in private credit markets.
  • Increasing allocations to alternative investments by institutional investors.
  • Strategic acquisitions and partnerships.
  • Expansion of real estate investment strategies.

What Threats Does OWL Face?

  • Increased competition from other asset managers.
  • Changes in regulations.
  • Economic downturns.
  • Interest rate fluctuations.

What Are OWL's Competitive Advantages?

  • Permanent Capital Base: Blue Owl's permanent capital vehicles provide a stable and long-term source of funding, allowing it to pursue investment opportunities without the constraints of traditional fund structures.
  • Diversified Platform: Blue Owl's diversified platform, spanning direct lending, GP capital solutions, and real estate, provides multiple avenues for growth and reduces reliance on any single investment strategy.
  • Expertise and Track Record: Blue Owl's experienced investment team and strong track record in alternative investments enhance its credibility and attract capital from institutional investors.
  • Relationships with Leading Alternative Asset Managers: Blue Owl's GP capital solutions business provides access to leading alternative asset managers, creating a valuable network and pipeline of investment opportunities.

What Does OWL Do?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. was formed through the merger of Owl Rock Capital Group and Dyal Capital Partners, creating a diversified asset management platform. Owl Rock, founded in 2016, focused on direct lending to middle-market companies, while Dyal Capital Partners specialized in GP capital solutions, providing capital to large alternative asset managers. The merger in 2021 created Blue Owl, offering a comprehensive suite of investment solutions. The company's offerings include direct lending products, providing private credit through diversified, technology, first lien, and opportunistic lending strategies. They also offer GP capital solutions, including minority equity investments and debt financing to general partners. Additionally, Blue Owl provides real estate products, focusing on sale-leaseback transactions, including triple net leases. Blue Owl's permanent capital vehicles and long-dated private funds enable them to offer flexible and long-term investment solutions. Headquartered in New York City, Blue Owl serves a diverse client base, including institutional investors, wealth management platforms, and high-net-worth individuals.

What Products and Services Does OWL Offer?

  • Provides direct lending solutions to middle-market companies.
  • Offers GP capital solutions, including minority equity investments and debt financing, to large alternative asset managers.
  • Structures sale-leaseback transactions, including triple net leases, for corporate real estate owners and tenants.
  • Manages permanent capital vehicles and long-dated private funds.
  • Offers diversified, technology, first lien, and opportunistic lending products.
  • Provides capital solutions to professional sports minority investments.

How Does OWL Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through management fees and incentive fees (carried interest) from its investment funds and vehicles.
  • Deploys capital into direct loans, GP capital solutions, and real estate investments.
  • Structures investment products to meet the needs of institutional investors, wealth management platforms, and high-net-worth individuals.

What Industry Does OWL Operate In?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. operates within the asset management industry, which is experiencing growth driven by increasing demand for alternative investments. The industry is characterized by a competitive landscape with established players like U.S. Bancorp (USB), Ares Management Corporation (ARES), and State Street Corporation (STT). Blue Owl differentiates itself through its focus on direct lending, GP capital solutions, and real estate, catering to middle-market companies and large alternative asset managers. The market for private credit is expanding, driven by companies seeking alternatives to traditional bank financing.

Who Are OWL's Key Customers?

  • Middle-market companies seeking debt financing.
  • Large alternative asset managers seeking capital solutions.
  • Corporate real estate owners and tenants seeking sale-leaseback transactions.
  • Institutional investors, including pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds.
  • Wealth management platforms and high-net-worth individuals.
AI Confidence: 83% Updated: May 10, 2026

Company Profile

Blue Owl Capital Inc. operates in the Asset Management industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in New York City, US. The company is led by CEO Douglas Irving Ostrover. OWL has traded publicly since 2020.

F-Score 7/9Financial Health

Blue Owl Capital Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.52 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

ROE 4%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Blue Owl Capital Inc. stands at 3.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.7%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. OWL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 71.80, above the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 8.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.10 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 1.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

OWL Valuation & Market Position

With a $14.83B market cap, Blue Owl Capital Inc. sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, OWL's quantitative score of 49/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 53/100.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Blue Owl Capital Inc. revenue of about $2.84B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.88. The estimate reflects 7 contributing analysts.

Net buyingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Blue Owl Capital Inc. insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 2 sales and 13 purchases. On net that is roughly 6.1M shares acquired (about $0) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

OWL Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+25.0%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-28.1%
EPS Growth (FY)
-40.0%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+28.1%
P/E (TTM)
71.8
Return on Equity (TTM)
+3.9%
Current Ratio
2.1
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
19.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests those in the know see long-term value.
  • The community seems to believe OWL is well-positioned to capitalize on current market conditions.
  • Positive chatter indicates growing confidence in OWL's strategic direction.
  • Market perception suggests OWL is gaining recognition as a key player in its sector.

Bear Case

  • Some insiders have reduced their holdings, raising questions about short-term prospects.
  • Bearish community sentiment highlights concerns about increased competition.
  • Negative discussions reflect worries about potential regulatory challenges.
  • Market perception suggests OWL might be facing headwinds due to broader economic uncertainty.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · February 2026

OWL Latest News

OWL Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for OWL.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $16.23

OWL MoonshotScore

49/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates OWL's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Blue Owl Capital Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Douglas Irving Ostrover

Co-Chief Executive Officer

Douglas Ostrover is a Co-Founder and Co-Chief Executive Officer of Blue Owl. Prior to co-founding Blue Owl, Mr. Ostrover was one of the founders of GSO Capital Partners, the credit platform of The Blackstone Group. He served as a Senior Managing Director at Blackstone and was a member of Blackstone’s Board of Directors. He has extensive experience in credit markets and alternative investments. His leadership is instrumental in shaping Blue Owl's strategic direction and growth initiatives.

Track Record: Under Mr. Ostrover's leadership, Blue Owl has grown into a leading asset management firm with a diversified platform and a strong track record in alternative investments. He has overseen the successful integration of Owl Rock Capital Group and Dyal Capital Partners, creating a comprehensive suite of investment solutions. His strategic decisions have positioned Blue Owl to capitalize on the growing demand for private credit and alternative investments.

OWL Financial Services Stock FAQ

What does Blue Owl Capital Inc. do?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an asset management firm specializing in alternative investments. It provides direct lending solutions to middle-market companies, GP capital solutions to large alternative asset managers, and real estate investment strategies through sale-leaseback transactions. The company manages permanent capital vehicles and long-dated private funds, offering a diversified platform for institutional investors, wealth management platforms, and high-net-worth individuals. Blue Owl aims to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns by leveraging its expertise in private credit, private equity, and real estate.

What do analysts say about OWL stock?

Analyst consensus on Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) is generally positive, reflecting the company's strong growth prospects in the alternative asset management industry. Key valuation metrics, such as price-to-earnings ratio and dividend yield, are closely monitored. Analysts consider Blue Owl's diversified platform, permanent capital base, and experienced management team as key strengths. Growth considerations include the company's ability to capitalize on the increasing demand for private credit and alternative investments. However, potential risks, such as economic downturns and increased competition, are also taken into account.

What are the main risks for OWL?

The main risks for Blue Owl Capital Inc. include economic downturns, which could negatively impact the performance of its investments and reduce demand for its services. Increased competition from other asset managers could put pressure on fees and margins. Changes in regulations could impact Blue Owl's business model and increase compliance costs. Interest rate fluctuations could affect the value of Blue Owl's fixed-income investments. Additionally, reliance on key personnel could create operational risks if key employees leave the company or are unable to perform their duties.

How sensitive is OWL to interest rate changes?

Blue Owl Capital Inc.'s sensitivity to interest rate changes is an important consideration for investors. As an asset manager with significant investments in fixed-income securities, particularly through its direct lending business, OWL's net interest margin can be affected by rate movements. Rising interest rates can increase borrowing costs for middle-market companies, potentially leading to higher default rates and reduced profitability for OWL. Conversely, falling interest rates can compress net interest margins and reduce investment income. Therefore, monitoring interest rate trends and OWL's risk management strategies is crucial for assessing its financial performance.

What is Blue Owl Capital Inc.'s credit quality and risk management approach?

Blue Owl Capital Inc.'s credit quality and risk management approach are critical factors for evaluating its investment portfolio. As a direct lender to middle-market companies, OWL's loan portfolio quality is essential for maintaining stable returns. The company's provision levels, which are reserves set aside to cover potential loan losses, indicate its assessment of credit risk. OWL's risk management frameworks, including underwriting standards, diversification strategies, and monitoring processes, play a vital role in mitigating credit risk. Investors should assess OWL's historical loan performance, provision coverage ratios, and risk management policies to gauge its ability to manage credit risk effectively.

What are the key factors to evaluate for OWL?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) holds an AI score of 49/100 (low). P/E: 71.8x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $16.23 (+71%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does OWL data refresh on this page?

OWL prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven OWL's recent stock price performance?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diversified asset management platform. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to change.
  • Financial data is as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources

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