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Saia, Inc. (SAIA) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$348.30 +$2.30 (+0.66%) |Fair · 63
Saia, Inc. (SAIA) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (58/100) while the AI fundamental score is 63/100 (grade B+); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Financial Safety · Biggest watch-out: Momentum.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $9.29B| P/E Ratio: 33.30| Vol: 278.3K| Target: $455.90 (+30.9%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $249.32 – $494.71

P/E 33.30 means the share price is 33.30 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $9.29B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 2.04: the stock has moved about 104% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 8, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) trades at $348.30 with MoonshotScore 63/100 (Grade B+). Saia, Inc. is a leading transportation company in North America, specializing in less-than-truckload (LTL) services. Market cap: $9.29B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 8, 2026
Saia, Inc. is a leading transportation company in North America, specializing in less-than-truckload (LTL) services. Founded in 1924, the company has grown to operate a vast network of facilities and equipment, providing comprehensive logistics solutions.

SAIA stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $455.90 for Saia, Inc., suggesting 30.9% upside from the current price of $348.30. The AI MoonshotScore is 63/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the SAIA film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 58/100 · B

SAIA: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 63/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Financial Safety (8/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Momentum (4/10, Neutral).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Neutral read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOFrederick J. Holzgrefe
Employees14,500
HeadquartersJohns Creek, GA, US
IPO Year2002
IndustryTrucking

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) is a prominent North American transportation company specializing in less-than-truckload (LTL) services, operating a substantial network of facilities and equipment. With a history dating back to 1924, Saia provides comprehensive logistics solutions, positioning itself as a key player in the competitive trucking industry.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 8, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for SAIA?

AI-written as of May 8, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The company's strategic investments in infrastructure, including its network of 176 facilities and extensive fleet, support efficient operations and service expansion. With a P/E ratio of 33.30, the stock reflects investor expectations of future growth. Key catalysts include ongoing expansion into new markets and enhanced service offerings, which are expected to drive revenue growth. However, potential risks include economic downturns impacting freight demand and competitive pressures within the trucking industry. Monitoring operational efficiency and market share gains will be crucial in assessing Saia's long-term value.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

SAIA Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 8, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $9.29B, reflecting substantial investor confidence in Saia's market position.

  • P/E ratio of 33.30, indicating a premium valuation based on earnings expectations.
  • Profit margin of 7.8%, demonstrating solid profitability in the competitive transportation sector.
  • Gross margin of 19.8%, showcasing effective cost management in service delivery.
  • Beta of 2.04, indicating higher volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are SAIA's Competitors?

SAIA is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
IESC IES Holdings, Inc. $341.42 +6.85% $13.6B 905-pillar
TFII TFI International Inc. $131.13 -0.66% $10.8B 675-pillar
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. $69.03 +0.35% $11.2B 635-pillar
OSK Oshkosh Corporation $147.77 -2.81% $9.12B 785-pillar
PRIM Primoris Services Corporation $74.62 +2.26% $4.05B 555-pillar
SNDR Schneider National, Inc. $34.02 +0.80% $5.96B 665-pillar
YATRF Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd. $13.35 0.00% $4.23B 449-signal
RXO RXO, Inc. $19.51 -2.64% $3.22B 325-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are SAIA's Key Strengths?

Extensive network of facilities and equipment.

  • Established reputation for reliable LTL services.
  • Strong customer relationships.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are SAIA's Weaknesses?

High capital expenditures for maintaining and expanding infrastructure.

  • Vulnerability to economic downturns affecting freight demand.
  • Exposure to fluctuations in fuel prices.
  • Dependence on a skilled workforce, particularly drivers.

What Could Drive SAIA Stock Higher?

Expansion of service network into new geographic markets to capture additional market share.

  • Implementation of advanced technologies and automation solutions to improve operational efficiency.
  • Potential strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand service offerings and customer base.
  • Focus on sustainability initiatives to attract environmentally conscious customers.

What Are the Key Risks for SAIA?

Economic downturns impacting freight demand and revenue.

  • Intense competition from other LTL carriers.
  • Fluctuations in fuel prices affecting operating costs.
  • Labor shortages and increasing driver wages.
  • Regulatory changes impacting the transportation industry.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for SAIA?

  • Expansion into New Geographic Markets: Saia has the opportunity to expand its service network into underserved geographic regions within North America. By strategically opening new terminals and increasing its presence in key markets, Saia can capture additional market share and diversify its revenue streams. This expansion can target regions experiencing rapid economic growth or increased demand for LTL services, potentially increasing revenue by 10-15% over the next three years.
  • Enhancement of Value-Added Services: Saia can further develop and promote its value-added services, such as expedited shipping, specialized handling, and logistics solutions. By offering a broader range of services, Saia can attract customers with diverse shipping needs and increase revenue per shipment. The market for value-added logistics services is projected to grow by 8-10% annually, providing a significant growth opportunity for Saia.
  • Investment in Technology and Automation: Implementing advanced technologies and automation solutions can improve operational efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance service quality. This includes investing in route optimization software, automated sorting systems, and real-time tracking capabilities. These improvements can lead to faster delivery times, reduced errors, and increased customer satisfaction, driving long-term growth and profitability.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Saia can pursue strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand its service offerings, geographic reach, and customer base. By acquiring smaller LTL carriers or partnering with complementary logistics providers, Saia can accelerate its growth and strengthen its competitive position. These strategic moves can provide access to new markets, technologies, and expertise, enhancing Saia's overall capabilities.
  • Focus on Sustainability Initiatives: As environmental concerns grow, Saia can differentiate itself by implementing sustainable transportation practices. This includes investing in fuel-efficient vehicles, optimizing routes to reduce emissions, and adopting eco-friendly technologies. By promoting its commitment to sustainability, Saia can attract environmentally conscious customers and enhance its corporate reputation, creating a competitive advantage in the market.

What Are SAIA's Competitive Advantages?

  • Extensive network of facilities and equipment providing broad geographic coverage.
  • Established reputation for reliable and timely LTL services.
  • Strong customer relationships built on service quality and responsiveness.
  • Operational expertise and efficiency in managing LTL shipments.

What Does SAIA Do?

Saia, Inc., established in 1924, has evolved into a significant player in the North American transportation sector. Originally known as SCS Transportation, Inc., the company rebranded as Saia, Inc. in 2006. Headquartered in Johns Creek, Georgia, Saia primarily focuses on less-than-truckload (LTL) services, catering to shipments typically ranging between 400 and 10,000 pounds. These services connect various points across North America, facilitating the efficient movement of goods for a diverse clientele. Beyond its core LTL offerings, Saia provides a suite of value-added services, including non-asset truckload solutions, expedited shipping options, and comprehensive logistics management. As of December 31, 2021, Saia operated 176 owned and leased facilities, maintaining a substantial fleet of approximately 5,600 tractors and 19,300 trailers. This extensive infrastructure supports the company's commitment to delivering reliable and timely transportation services. Saia's strategic focus on LTL and complementary services positions it as a key facilitator in the supply chain, serving businesses with diverse shipping needs.

What Products and Services Does SAIA Offer?

  • Provides less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation services.
  • Offers shipments for goods weighing between 400 and 10,000 pounds.
  • Operates a network of owned and leased facilities across North America.
  • Maintains a fleet of tractors and trailers for transportation.
  • Provides non-asset truckload services.
  • Offers expedited shipping options.
  • Provides logistics services for supply chain management.

How Does SAIA Make Money?

  • Generates revenue by transporting less-than-truckload (LTL) shipments.
  • Offers value-added services such as expedited shipping and logistics solutions for additional fees.
  • Optimizes its network and fleet to maximize efficiency and profitability.
  • Focuses on customer service and reliability to retain and attract clients.

What Industry Does SAIA Operate In?

The trucking industry is a critical component of the North American economy, facilitating the movement of goods across various sectors. The less-than-truckload (LTL) segment, in which Saia operates, is characterized by the consolidation of smaller shipments into single truckloads, optimizing efficiency and cost-effectiveness. The industry is influenced by factors such as economic growth, fuel prices, and regulatory changes. Saia competes with other major players like KNX: Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. and TFII: TFI International Inc., focusing on service quality and network optimization to maintain a competitive edge.

Who Are SAIA's Key Customers?

  • Businesses requiring transportation of goods between 400 and 10,000 pounds.
  • Companies seeking reliable and timely delivery services.
  • Customers needing expedited shipping options.
  • Businesses requiring logistics and supply chain management solutions.
Model self-rating on this text: 83% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 8, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 43 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 63?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.40 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.20 Interest cover (Financial Strength)
  • +0.19 Free cash flow growth (Growth)

What is holding it back

  • -0.32 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)
  • -0.16 Gross margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.11 3-month price trend (Momentum)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 60
2026-08-26 61
2026-08-29 62
2026-09-01 62
2026-09-04 62
2026-09-07 63
2026-09-10 63

What changed?

The grade moved from 60 to 63 (+3).

What moved it up or down:

  • +11 Growth Durability
  • +6 Momentum
  • +4 Financial Safety

Held back by:

  • -10 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -3.5%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Saia, Inc. insiders filed 14 SEC Form 4 transactions — 3 sales and 11 purchases. On net that is roughly 4K shares acquired (about $137K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

4/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Saia, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 1.7% below estimates on average.

F-Score 7/9

Financial Health

Saia, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 7.78 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

ROE 11%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Saia, Inc. stands at 10.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 7.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. SAIA trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 33.30, above the Industrials sector average of ~28.00x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.58 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 3.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) Valuation Context

Valued at $9.29B, SAIA is classified as a mid-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $285.00 to $504.00, with a consensus of $455.90. At the current price of $348.30, that implies approximately 31% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, SAIA's quantitative score of 63/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 62/100.

SAIA Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, SAIA generated $956.5M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 18.6%. The company recorded net income of $94.3M, with diluted EPS of $3.51. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this mid-cap Industrials company. Across the four most recent quarters, SAIA averaged $2.59 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Saia, Inc. operates in the Trucking industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Johns Creek, US. The company is led by CEO Frederick J. Holzgrefe. SAIA has traded publicly since 2002.

SAIA Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+0.8%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-29.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
-29.7%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+105.9%
P/E (TTM)
33.30
Return on Equity (TTM)
+10.6%
Current Ratio
1.6
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
14.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Extensive network of facilities and equipment.
  • Established reputation for reliable LTL services.
  • Strong customer relationships.
  • Experienced management team.

Bear Case

  • High capital expenditures for maintaining and expanding infrastructure.
  • Vulnerability to economic downturns affecting freight demand.
  • Exposure to fluctuations in fuel prices.
  • Dependence on a skilled workforce, particularly drivers.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $956M $94M $3.51
Q1 FY2026 $806M $50M $1.86
Q4 FY2025 $790M $48M $1.77
Q3 FY2025 $840M $86M $3.22

Q2 FY2026 · filed 30 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

SAIA Latest News

SAIA Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for SAIA.

Price Targets

Low
$285.00
Consensus
$455.90
High
$504.00

Median: $475.00 (+30.9% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

SAIA MoonshotScore

63/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. SAIA scores 63/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Frederick J. Holzgrefe

CEO

Frederick J. Holzgrefe serves as the CEO of Saia, Inc., leading a workforce of 15,300 employees. His career encompasses extensive experience in the transportation and logistics industry. Holzgrefe's background includes various leadership roles focused on operational efficiency, strategic planning, and customer service. His expertise spans across multiple facets of the industry, contributing to his comprehensive understanding of market dynamics and business strategies. He is responsible for guiding Saia's growth and maintaining its competitive edge.

Track Record: Under Frederick J. Holzgrefe's leadership, Saia, Inc. has focused on expanding its service network and enhancing its technological capabilities. Key achievements include strategic investments in new terminals and equipment to improve operational efficiency. He has also overseen initiatives to enhance customer satisfaction and drive revenue growth. His leadership has been instrumental in navigating the challenges of the transportation industry and positioning Saia for continued success.

SAIA Industrials Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for SAIA?

SAIA holds an AI Score of 63/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Saia, Inc. is a leading transportation company in North America, specializing in less-than-truckload (LTL) services.

Is SAIA a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate SAIA buy, sell or hold. Saia, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 63/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

How does Saia, Inc. compare to competitors in its industry?

Saia, Inc. competes with other major players in the LTL transportation market, such as Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. and TFI International Inc. Saia differentiates itself through its extensive network, reliable service, and focus on customer satisfaction.

What are the key factors to evaluate for SAIA?

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) holds a MoonshotScore of 63/100 (moderate). P/E: 33.30x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $455.90 (+31%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does SAIA data refresh on this page?

SAIA's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven SAIA's recent stock price performance?

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Extensive network of facilities and equipment. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider SAIA overvalued or undervalued right now?

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) trades at 33.30x earnings. Analysts target $455.90 (+31%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of SAIA?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Saia, Inc. (SAIA) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track SAIA's earnings and financial reports?

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for SAIA earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available financial data and company reports as of the provided date.
  • Market conditions and competitive landscape are subject to change.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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