Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD) trades at $14.88 with AI Score 32/100 (Grade D). Heartland Express, Inc. is a truckload carrier operating in the United States and Canada. Market cap: $1.15B, Sector: Industrials.
Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026HTLD stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $10.67 for Heartland Express, Inc., suggesting 28.3% downside from the current price of $14.88. The AI MoonshotScore is 32/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
HTLD: 1/1 perspectives are bearish.
How is this calculated? →Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD) Industrial Operations Profile
Heartland Express, Inc. provides short-to-medium haul truckload services across the United States and Canada, focusing on dry van and temperature-controlled freight. Serving sectors like retail and manufacturing, Heartland Express operates under its namesake and Millis Transfer brands, emphasizing asset-based transportation solutions.
What Is the Investment Thesis for HTLD?
Heartland Express presents a mixed investment thesis. While the company operates in a stable industry with consistent demand, its recent financial performance raises concerns. The negative profit margin of -5.7% and gross margin of -0.8% indicate potential operational inefficiencies or pricing pressures. The dividend yield of 0.61% offers a modest return, but investors should weigh this against the company's financial challenges. Key catalysts include potential improvements in operational efficiency and strategic acquisitions to expand market share. However, the company faces risks related to fluctuating fuel costs, driver shortages, and increased competition within the trucking industry. Investors should closely monitor Heartland Express's ability to improve profitability and manage costs effectively.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
HTLD Key Highlights
- Market capitalization of $1.15B reflects Heartland Express's current valuation in the market.
- Negative profit margin of -5.7% indicates challenges in maintaining profitability.
- Negative gross margin of -0.8% suggests potential issues with cost of goods sold or pricing strategies.
- Dividend yield of 0.61% provides a modest income stream for investors.
- Beta of 1.10 indicates that the stock is slightly more volatile than the market.
Who Are HTLD's Competitors?
HTLD is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | $277.71 | -2.84% | $26.19B | 74 |
| KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. | $74.67 | -2.21% | $12.13B | 65 |
| WERN Werner Enterprises, Inc. | $42.89 | -0.72% | $2.57B | 36 |
| TFII TFI International Inc. | $140.87 | +1.24% | $11.58B | 58 |
| TSP TuSimple Holdings Inc. | $0.25 | -5.66% | $57.47M | 56 |
| SLGB Smart Logistics Global Limited | $0.69 | +9.52% | $29.67M | 55 |
| RXO RXO, Inc. | $26.59 | -0.08% | $4.39B | 50 |
| UNXP OZ Vision Inc. | $1.10 | +0.00% | $32.31M | 38 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are HTLD's Key Strengths?
- Established presence in the short-to-medium haul truckload market.
- Strong brand reputation for reliability and service quality.
- Asset-based operations provide control over fleet and equipment.
- Experienced workforce and management team.
What Are HTLD's Weaknesses?
- Negative profit and gross margins indicate financial challenges.
- Exposure to fluctuating fuel costs and driver shortages.
- Dependence on specific industries, such as retail and manufacturing.
- Limited diversification in service offerings.
What Could Drive HTLD Stock Higher?
- Implementation of new technologies to improve fuel efficiency and reduce operating costs.
- Efforts to optimize routes and improve driver productivity.
- Strategic initiatives to expand temperature-controlled service offerings.
- Potential acquisitions of smaller regional carriers to expand market presence.
What Are the Key Risks for HTLD?
- Negative return on equity (-5.7%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Fluctuations in fuel prices impacting operating costs.
- Driver shortages affecting capacity and service levels.
- Increased competition from larger national carriers.
- Economic downturns reducing demand for transportation services.
- Regulatory changes increasing compliance costs.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for HTLD?
- Expansion of Temperature-Controlled Services: The market for temperature-controlled truckload services is growing, driven by increasing demand for fresh and frozen goods. Heartland Express can capitalize on this trend by expanding its temperature-controlled fleet and service offerings. This expansion could target specific geographic regions or industries with high demand for these services, potentially increasing revenue by 10-15% over the next three years.
- Strategic Acquisitions: Heartland Express can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its market presence and service capabilities. Acquiring smaller regional carriers or specialized transportation providers can provide access to new markets, customers, and equipment. Successful acquisitions could add $50-100 million in annual revenue within two to four years.
- Enhanced Operational Efficiency: Improving operational efficiency can significantly enhance profitability. Implementing advanced technologies for route optimization, fuel management, and driver performance monitoring can reduce costs and improve service levels. A 5-10% reduction in operating expenses could translate to a significant improvement in the company's bottom line within the next two years.
- Focus on E-commerce Logistics: The growth of e-commerce is driving increased demand for last-mile delivery and regional distribution services. Heartland Express can leverage its existing infrastructure and expertise to provide specialized transportation solutions for e-commerce retailers. This could involve establishing dedicated delivery networks or partnering with e-commerce platforms to offer integrated logistics services, potentially increasing revenue by 8-12% over the next three years.
- Strengthening Customer Relationships: Building stronger relationships with key customers can lead to increased business and long-term revenue stability. Providing customized transportation solutions, proactive communication, and value-added services can enhance customer loyalty and attract new clients. A focus on customer retention and satisfaction can contribute to a 5-7% increase in annual revenue within the next two years.
What Opportunities Does HTLD Have?
- Expansion of temperature-controlled services to meet growing demand.
- Strategic acquisitions to expand market presence and service capabilities.
- Implementation of advanced technologies to improve operational efficiency.
- Focus on e-commerce logistics to capitalize on the growth of online retail.
What Threats Does HTLD Face?
- Intense competition from larger national carriers and regional players.
- Economic downturns that reduce demand for transportation services.
- Increasing regulatory requirements and compliance costs.
- Disruptions in the supply chain due to geopolitical events or natural disasters.
What Are HTLD's Competitive Advantages?
- Established Brand Reputation: Heartland Express has built a strong reputation for reliable service and efficient operations.
- Extensive Network: The company operates a nationwide network, providing comprehensive transportation solutions across the United States and Canada.
- Asset-Based Operations: Owning its fleet of trucks and equipment provides greater control over operations and service quality.
- Experienced Workforce: Heartland Express employs a skilled and experienced workforce, including drivers, mechanics, and logistics professionals.
What Does HTLD Do?
Heartland Express, Inc. was founded in 1978 and has grown into a significant truckload carrier in North America. The company specializes in providing short-to-medium haul transportation services, focusing on asset-based dry van and temperature-controlled truckload solutions. Heartland Express serves a diverse range of industries, including retailers, manufacturers, and automotive companies, transporting goods from key regions such as Washington to Florida and New England to California. Operating under the Heartland Express and Millis Transfer brands, the company offers nationwide service throughout the United States and Canada. Headquartered in North Liberty, Iowa, Heartland Express has established a strong presence in the trucking industry by focusing on reliable service and efficient operations. Their commitment to serving retailers and manufacturers in consumer goods, appliances, food products, and automotive industries has solidified their position in the market. The company's evolution has been marked by strategic growth and a dedication to providing comprehensive transportation solutions to its customer base.
What Products and Services Does HTLD Offer?
- Provides nationwide asset-based dry van truckload service.
- Offers temperature-controlled truckload services.
- Serves retailers and manufacturers in consumer goods.
- Transports appliances and food products.
- Provides services in the automotive industry.
- Operates under the Heartland Express and Millis Transfer brand names.
- Offers short-to-medium haul transportation solutions.
- Operates in the United States and Canada.
How Does HTLD Make Money?
- Generates revenue by providing truckload transportation services.
- Focuses on asset-based operations, utilizing its own fleet of trucks and equipment.
- Serves a diverse range of industries, including retail, manufacturing, and automotive.
- Offers both dry van and temperature-controlled transportation solutions.
What Industry Does HTLD Operate In?
The trucking industry is a vital component of the North American economy, facilitating the movement of goods across various sectors. The market is characterized by intense competition, fluctuating fuel costs, and evolving regulations. Heartland Express operates in this dynamic environment, facing challenges from larger national carriers and regional players. The industry is also experiencing a driver shortage, impacting operational efficiency and costs. Despite these challenges, the demand for trucking services remains steady, driven by e-commerce growth and consumer spending. Heartland Express's focus on short-to-medium haul routes positions it to capitalize on regional transportation needs.
Who Are HTLD's Key Customers?
- Retailers requiring transportation of consumer goods.
- Manufacturers needing to transport raw materials and finished products.
- Food producers requiring temperature-controlled transportation.
- Automotive companies needing to transport parts and vehicles.
How Heartland Express, Inc. Is Valued
Heartland Express, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $1.15B, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, HTLD's quantitative score of 32/100 is below the peer average of 58/100.
ROE -6%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Heartland Express, Inc. stands at -5.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -3.7%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -5.4%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.27 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -3.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
F-Score 6/9Financial Health
Heartland Express, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.29 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Heartland Express, Inc. revenue of about $729.5M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.03. The estimate reflects 4 contributing analysts.
Net buyingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, Heartland Express, Inc. insiders filed 17 SEC Form 4 transactions — 7 sales and 10 purchases. On net that is roughly 4.5M shares acquired (about $489K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
HTLD Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Established presence in the short-to-medium haul truckload market.
- Strong brand reputation for reliability and service quality.
- Asset-based operations provide control over fleet and equipment.
- Experienced workforce and management team.
Bear Case
- Negative profit and gross margins indicate financial challenges.
- Exposure to fluctuating fuel costs and driver shortages.
- Dependence on specific industries, such as retail and manufacturing.
- Limited diversification in service offerings.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026
HTLD Latest News
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1 High-Flying Stock to Target This Week and 2 We Avoid
Yahoo! Finance: HTLD News · Jun 17, 2026
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3 Unprofitable Stocks That Concern Us
Yahoo! Finance: HTLD News · Jun 15, 2026
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Heartland Express, Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend
globenewswire.com · Jun 12, 2026
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Heartland Express (HTLD) Valuation Check After Strong Recent Share Price Momentum
Yahoo! Finance: HTLD News · Jun 5, 2026
HTLD Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for HTLD.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $10.67
HTLD MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates HTLD's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Latest News
1 High-Flying Stock to Target This Week and 2 We Avoid
3 Unprofitable Stocks That Concern Us
Heartland Express, Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend
Heartland Express (HTLD) Valuation Check After Strong Recent Share Price Momentum
Leadership: Michael J. Gerdin
CEO
Michael J. Gerdin has served as the CEO of Heartland Express, Inc. He has extensive experience in the transportation industry, having held various leadership positions within the company. His expertise includes operational management, strategic planning, and financial oversight. Gerdin is known for his focus on efficiency, customer service, and employee development. He has been instrumental in guiding Heartland Express through periods of growth and change, maintaining its position as a leading truckload carrier.
Track Record: Under Michael J. Gerdin's leadership, Heartland Express has expanded its service offerings and geographic reach. He has overseen strategic acquisitions and investments in technology to improve operational efficiency. Gerdin has also focused on building strong relationships with key customers and fostering a culture of safety and compliance. Despite recent financial challenges, he remains committed to improving profitability and delivering value to shareholders.
Common Questions About HTLD (Industrials)
What does Heartland Express, Inc. do?
Heartland Express, Inc. is a truckload carrier that provides transportation services throughout the United States and Canada. The company specializes in short-to-medium haul routes, focusing on asset-based dry van and temperature-controlled truckload solutions. Heartland Express serves a diverse range of industries, including retailers, manufacturers, and automotive companies. Operating under the Heartland Express and Millis Transfer brands, the company offers nationwide service and emphasizes reliable and efficient transportation solutions for its customers.
What do analysts say about HTLD stock?
Analyst ratings for Heartland Express (HTLD) are mixed, reflecting the company's current financial performance and industry challenges. Some analysts express concerns about the negative profit and gross margins, while others highlight the company's strong brand reputation and asset-based operations. Valuation metrics such as price-to-earnings and price-to-sales ratios are closely monitored. Growth considerations include the company's ability to improve operational efficiency, expand service offerings, and capitalize on market opportunities. Analyst consensus varies, with some recommending a hold rating and others suggesting a cautious buy based on potential improvements in profitability.
What are the main risks for HTLD?
Heartland Express faces several key risks, including fluctuating fuel prices, which can significantly impact operating costs. Driver shortages pose an ongoing challenge, affecting capacity and service levels. Increased competition from larger national carriers and regional players can put pressure on pricing and market share. Economic downturns can reduce demand for transportation services, impacting revenue. Regulatory changes and compliance costs also present risks, requiring ongoing investment and adaptation. These factors collectively influence Heartland Express's financial performance and market position.
How does Heartland Express, Inc. compare to competitors in its industry?
Heartland Express differentiates itself through its focus on short-to-medium haul routes and asset-based operations. While competitors like J.B. Hunt and Knight-Swift offer a broader range of transportation services, including intermodal and brokerage, Heartland Express emphasizes reliable truckload service with its own fleet. The company's negative profit and gross margins are a concern compared to some competitors, but its strong brand reputation and experienced workforce provide a competitive edge. Heartland Express's ability to improve operational efficiency and expand its service offerings will be crucial for maintaining its position in the industry.
What are the key financial metrics investors watch for HTLD?
Investors closely monitor several key financial metrics for Heartland Express (HTLD). Profit margin and gross margin are critical indicators of the company's profitability and operational efficiency. Revenue growth provides insights into the company's ability to expand its market presence and increase sales. Earnings per share (EPS) reflects the company's profitability on a per-share basis. The dividend yield is also important for income-seeking investors. Additionally, investors track the company's debt levels and cash flow to assess its financial stability and ability to invest in future growth.
What are the key factors to evaluate for HTLD?
Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD) holds an AI score of 32/100 (low). Analysts target $10.67 (-28%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does HTLD data refresh on this page?
HTLD prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven HTLD's recent stock price performance?
Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established presence in the short-to-medium haul truckload market. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Financial data may be subject to change.
- Analyst ratings and opinions may vary.
- This is not financial advice.