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Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$39.33 +$0.23 (+0.59%) |Weak · 44
Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (40/100) while the AI fundamental score is 44/100 (grade C); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $1.37B| Vol: 161K| Target: $51.00 (+29.7%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $19.55 – $52.21

Market cap $1.37B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.39: the stock has moved about 61% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) trades at $39.33 with MoonshotScore 44/100 (Grade C). Tamboran Resources Corporation is an Australian natural gas company focused on developing unconventional gas resources. Market cap: $1.37B, Sector: Energy.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Tamboran Resources Corporation is an Australian natural gas company focused on developing unconventional gas resources. The company holds working interests in exploration permits within the Betaloo Basin in the Northern Territory of Australia.

TBN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $51.00 for Tamboran Resources Corporation, suggesting 29.7% upside from the current price of $39.33. The AI MoonshotScore is 44/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the TBN film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 40/100 · C

TBN: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 44/100
Business Quality
Negative Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Negative Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (8/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Valuation (1/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Unfavorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) Energy Operations & Outlook

CEOTodd C. Abbott
Employees47
HeadquartersSydney, DE, US
IPO Year2007
SectorEnergy

Tamboran Resources Corporation focuses on developing unconventional natural gas resources within Australia's Northern Territory, holding significant working interests in the Betaloo Basin. With a market capitalization of $1.37B and a low beta of 0.39, the company is positioned to capitalize on growing energy demand in the region.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for TBN?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Tamboran Resources Corporation presents a notable research candidate based on its strategic positioning in the Betaloo Basin, a region with substantial untapped natural gas reserves. The company's focus on unconventional gas resources aligns with the increasing global demand for cleaner energy sources. With a market capitalization of $1.37B and a low beta of 0.39, TBN offers a potentially stable investment profile. Key value drivers include successful exploration and development of its existing permits, efficient production techniques, and favorable regulatory policies. Growth catalysts include potential partnerships, infrastructure development in the Betaloo Basin, and increasing natural gas prices. Potential risks include regulatory hurdles, environmental concerns, and fluctuations in commodity prices. Investors should carefully consider these factors when evaluating TBN's long-term growth potential.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TBN Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Tamboran Resources Corporation holds a 25% non-operated working interest in EP 161.

  • The company has a 38.75% working interest in EPs 76, 98, and 117, located in the Betaloo Basin.
  • Tamboran maintains a 100% working interest in EPs 136 and 143, as well as EP (A) 197.
  • The company is focused on developing unconventional gas resources in the Northern Territory of Australia.
  • Tamboran Resources Corporation has a market capitalization of $1.37B.

Who Are TBN's Competitors?

TBN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
BPT BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust $0.50 -2.33% $10.7M
UNEGF United Energy Group Limited $0.06 0.00% $1.41B 559-signal
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. $29.65 -0.03% $1.43B 965-pillar
BIREF Birchcliff Energy Ltd. $4.62 +0.43% $1.27B 519-signal
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP $15.10 -0.46% $1.49B 895-pillar
ATUUF Tenaz Energy Corp. $48.16 -10.03% $1.58B 689-signal
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. $43.36 +0.37% $941M 875-pillar
FRHLF Freehold Royalties Ltd. $12.76 -0.85% $2.09B 559-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are TBN's Key Strengths?

Strategic land position in the Betaloo Basin.

  • Expertise in unconventional gas development.
  • Strong working interests in multiple exploration permits.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are TBN's Weaknesses?

Limited operating history as a standalone company.

  • Dependence on successful exploration and development of its permits.
  • Exposure to commodity price volatility.
  • Relatively small workforce of 39 employees.

What Could Drive TBN Stock Higher?

Results from exploration and appraisal drilling in the Betaloo Basin.

  • Progress on infrastructure development in the Betaloo Basin.
  • Increasing global demand for natural gas.
  • Potential strategic partnerships with larger oil and gas companies.

What Are the Key Risks for TBN?

Negative return on equity (-8.6%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Regulatory hurdles and environmental concerns.
  • Fluctuations in commodity prices.
  • Competition from other oil and gas companies.
  • Dependence on successful exploration and development of its permits.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TBN?

  • Development of the Betaloo Basin: Tamboran's primary growth opportunity lies in the successful development of its exploration permits in the Betaloo Basin. The basin is estimated to hold significant natural gas reserves, and Tamboran's working interests in multiple permits position it to capitalize on this potential. Successful exploration and production could lead to substantial revenue growth over the next 5-10 years.
  • Infrastructure Development: The development of pipelines and other infrastructure in the Betaloo Basin is crucial for transporting natural gas to market. Tamboran can actively participate in these projects, either independently or through partnerships, to ensure efficient and reliable transportation of its gas. This infrastructure development will support long-term growth and profitability.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Tamboran can pursue strategic partnerships with larger oil and gas companies to accelerate the development of its resources. These partnerships can provide access to capital, technology, and expertise, enhancing Tamboran's ability to efficiently extract and market its natural gas. Such collaborations could significantly boost production within the next 3-5 years.
  • Increasing Natural Gas Demand: The global demand for natural gas is expected to increase in the coming years, driven by factors such as economic growth and the transition to cleaner energy sources. Tamboran is well-positioned to benefit from this trend by supplying natural gas to both domestic and international markets. This demand increase is projected to support higher gas prices and increased profitability for Tamboran over the next decade.
  • Technological Advancements: Advancements in drilling and completion techniques can improve the efficiency and productivity of natural gas extraction. Tamboran can invest in and implement these technologies to maximize its gas production and reduce costs. These technological improvements can lead to increased reserves and lower operating expenses within the next 2-3 years.

What Are TBN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strategic land position in the Betaloo Basin, a region with significant natural gas reserves.
  • Expertise in developing unconventional gas resources.
  • Strong relationships with local communities and regulatory bodies.
  • Access to advanced drilling and completion technologies.

What Does TBN Do?

Founded in 2009 and headquartered in Sydney, Australia, Tamboran Resources Corporation is a natural gas company dedicated to unlocking the potential of unconventional gas resources in the Northern Territory. The company's primary focus is the Betaloo Basin, a region recognized for its significant natural gas reserves. Tamboran holds a 25% non-operated working interest in EP 161 and a 38.75% working interest in EPs 76, 98, and 117. Additionally, it maintains a 100% working interest in EPs 136 and 143, as well as EP (A) 197, further solidifying its presence in the basin. Tamboran aims to become a major player in the Australian natural gas market by developing these resources and contributing to the nation's energy security. The company's strategy involves utilizing advanced drilling and completion techniques to maximize gas production while adhering to stringent environmental standards. With a team of 39 employees, Tamboran is committed to sustainable development and community engagement in the regions where it operates.

What Products and Services Does TBN Offer?

  • Explores for natural gas resources in the Northern Territory of Australia.
  • Focuses on developing unconventional gas resources in the Betaloo Basin.
  • Holds working interests in multiple exploration permits, including EP 161, EPs 76, 98, and 117, and EPs 136 and 143.
  • Aims to become a major supplier of natural gas to domestic and international markets.
  • Utilizes advanced drilling and completion techniques to maximize gas production.
  • Engages in sustainable development practices and community engagement.

How Does TBN Make Money?

  • Acquires and explores exploration permits in promising natural gas basins.
  • Develops and produces natural gas from its working interests in these permits.
  • Sells natural gas to domestic and international markets.
  • Forms strategic partnerships to accelerate development and access capital.

What Industry Does TBN Operate In?

Tamboran Resources Corporation operates within the oil and gas exploration and production industry, which is characterized by high capital expenditures and long development cycles. The industry is currently experiencing increased demand for natural gas as a transition fuel. Tamboran is positioned to capitalize on this trend through its focus on unconventional gas resources in the Betaloo Basin. The competitive landscape includes major oil and gas companies, as well as smaller exploration and production firms. Tamboran's success will depend on its ability to efficiently develop its resources and secure favorable market access.

Who Are TBN's Key Customers?

  • Domestic energy companies in Australia.
  • International energy companies seeking to secure natural gas supplies.
  • Industrial consumers of natural gas.
  • Potential future LNG export markets.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 89/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 92% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 121 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 44?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.60 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.15 12-month price trend (Momentum)
  • +0.14 Net debt vs earnings (Financial Strength)

What is holding it back

  • -0.60 Financial-health checklist (Financial Strength)
  • -0.48 Share dilution (Growth)
  • -0.41 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 40
2026-08-26 40
2026-08-29 40
2026-09-01 42
2026-09-04 43
2026-09-07 43
2026-09-10 44

What changed?

The grade moved from 40 to 44 (+4).

What moved it up or down:

  • +27 Momentum
  • +3 Business Quality
  • +3 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +3.0%.

Company Profile

Tamboran Resources Corporation operates in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Sydney, AU. The company is led by CEO Todd C. Abbott. TBN has traded publicly since 2024.

Tamboran Resources Corporation Financial Trajectory

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) reported $0 in revenue for Q3 FY2026, based on the latest filing compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $9.4M, with diluted EPS of $-0.42. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Energy. Across the four most recent quarters, TBN averaged $-0.47 in diluted EPS.

How Tamboran Resources Corporation Is Valued

Tamboran Resources Corporation carries a market capitalization of $1.37B, placing it in the small-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $47.00 to $55.00, with a consensus of $51.00. At the current price of $39.33, that implies approximately 30% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, TBN's quantitative score of 44/100 is below the peer average of 72/100.

ROE -9%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Tamboran Resources Corporation stands at -8.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -4.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -14.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.01 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -3.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 1/9

Financial Health

Tamboran Resources Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 8.56 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

2/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Tamboran Resources Corporation has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 32.4% below estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Tamboran Resources Corporation insiders filed 32 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 32 purchases. On net that is roughly 529K shares acquired (about $4.7M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

TBN Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Net Income Growth (FY)
-68.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
-10.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-86.1%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-8.6%
Current Ratio
2.0

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strategic land position in the Betaloo Basin.
  • Expertise in unconventional gas development.
  • Strong working interests in multiple exploration permits.
  • Experienced management team.

Bear Case

  • Limited operating history as a standalone company.
  • Dependence on successful exploration and development of its permits.
  • Exposure to commodity price volatility.
  • Relatively small workforce of 39 employees.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 FY2026 $0 -$9M -$0.42
Q2 FY2026 $0 -$7M -$0.33
Q1 FY2026 $0 -$8M -$0.47
Q4 FY2025 $0 -$10M -$0.65

Q3 FY2026 · filed 13 May 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TBN Latest News

TBN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for TBN.

Price Targets

Low
$47.00
Consensus
$51.00
High
$55.00

Median: $51.00 (+29.7% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

TBN MoonshotScore

44/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. TBN scores 44/100 (Grade C): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Todd C. Abbott

CEO

Todd C. Abbott serves as the CEO of Tamboran Resources Corporation. His background includes extensive experience in the oil and gas industry, with a focus on exploration and production. He has held leadership positions in various energy companies, where he was responsible for overseeing operations, strategic planning, and business development. Abbott's expertise lies in developing and executing growth strategies, managing complex projects, and building strong relationships with stakeholders. His educational background includes a degree in engineering and an MBA from a leading business school.

Track Record: Under Todd C. Abbott's leadership, Tamboran Resources Corporation has focused on expanding its presence in the Betaloo Basin and advancing the development of its unconventional gas resources. He has overseen the acquisition of key exploration permits and the implementation of advanced drilling techniques. Abbott has also prioritized sustainable development practices and community engagement. His strategic decisions have positioned Tamboran for long-term growth and success.

Common Questions About TBN (Energy)

What does the AI Score mean for TBN?

TBN holds an AI Score of 44/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Tamboran Resources Corporation is an Australian natural gas company focused on developing unconventional gas resources.

Is TBN a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate TBN buy, sell or hold. Tamboran Resources Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 44/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about TBN stock?

Analyst coverage of Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) is still emerging, given its relatively recent focus on the Betaloo Basin. Current sentiment reflects optimism regarding the potential of the basin and TBN's strategic positioning.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TBN?

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) holds an AI score of 44/100 (low). Analysts target $51.00 (+30%). With a market capitalization of $1.37B and a low beta of 0.39, TBN offers a potentially stable investment profile. Not financial advice.

How frequently does TBN data refresh on this page?

TBN's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven TBN's recent stock price performance?

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strategic land position in the Betaloo Basin. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TBN overvalued or undervalued right now?

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $51.00 (+30%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of TBN?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track TBN's earnings and financial reports?

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for TBN earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to change.
  • Financial data is limited due to the company's stage of development.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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