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Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) Stock Analysis

$37.97 -$0.11 (-0.29%) |Weak · 40
Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) bottom line: Split View — our Council read (35/100) and AI Score (40/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $1.32B| Vol: 174.5K| Target: $55.00 (+44.9%)| 52-wk range: $19.28 – $52.21
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) trades at $37.97 with AI Score 40/100 (Grade C). Tamboran Resources Corporation is an Australian natural gas company focused on developing unconventional gas resources. Market cap: $1.32B, Sector: Energy.

Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Tamboran Resources Corporation is an Australian natural gas company focused on developing unconventional gas resources. The company holds working interests in exploration permits within the Betaloo Basin in the Northern Territory of Australia.

TBN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $55.00 for Tamboran Resources Corporation, suggesting 44.9% upside from the current price of $37.97. The AI MoonshotScore is 40/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the TBN film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 35/100 · D

TBN: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 40/100
Business Quality
Negative Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Negative Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Bearish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) Energy Operations & Outlook

CEOTodd C. Abbott
Employees39
HeadquartersSydney, DE, US
IPO Year2007
SectorEnergy

Tamboran Resources Corporation focuses on developing unconventional natural gas resources within Australia's Northern Territory, holding significant working interests in the Betaloo Basin. With a market capitalization of $1.32B and a low beta of 0.39, the company is positioned to capitalize on growing energy demand in the region.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for TBN?

As of May 10, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Tamboran Resources Corporation presents a notable research candidate based on its strategic positioning in the Betaloo Basin, a region with substantial untapped natural gas reserves. The company's focus on unconventional gas resources aligns with the increasing global demand for cleaner energy sources. With a market capitalization of $1.32B and a low beta of 0.39, TBN offers a potentially stable investment profile. Key value drivers include successful exploration and development of its existing permits, efficient production techniques, and favorable regulatory policies. Growth catalysts include potential partnerships, infrastructure development in the Betaloo Basin, and increasing natural gas prices. Potential risks include regulatory hurdles, environmental concerns, and fluctuations in commodity prices. Investors should carefully consider these factors when evaluating TBN's long-term growth potential.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TBN Key Highlights

Tamboran Resources Corporation holds a 25% non-operated working interest in EP 161.

  • The company has a 38.75% working interest in EPs 76, 98, and 117, located in the Betaloo Basin.
  • Tamboran maintains a 100% working interest in EPs 136 and 143, as well as EP (A) 197.
  • The company is focused on developing unconventional gas resources in the Northern Territory of Australia.
  • Tamboran Resources Corporation has a market capitalization of $1.32B.

Who Are TBN's Competitors?

TBN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
BPT BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust $0.50 -2.33% $10.7M 45
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. $28.59 +1.33% $1.38B 97
ATUUF Tenaz Energy Corp. $43.45 -0.50% $1.43B 68
FLMN Falcon Minerals Corporation $7.77 +0.52% $1.21B 59
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP $15.17 +0.86% $1.50B 88
MNR Mach Natural Resources LP $12.61 -0.16% $2.10B 61
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. $37.86 +1.18% $821M 82
ESTE Earthstone Energy, Inc. $21.17 +0.47% $2.98B 63

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are TBN's Key Strengths?

Strategic land position in the Betaloo Basin.

  • Expertise in unconventional gas development.
  • Strong working interests in multiple exploration permits.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are TBN's Weaknesses?

Limited operating history as a standalone company.

  • Dependence on successful exploration and development of its permits.
  • Exposure to commodity price volatility.
  • Relatively small workforce of 39 employees.

What Could Drive TBN Stock Higher?

Results from exploration and appraisal drilling in the Betaloo Basin.

  • Progress on infrastructure development in the Betaloo Basin.
  • Increasing global demand for natural gas.
  • Potential strategic partnerships with larger oil and gas companies.

What Are the Key Risks for TBN?

Negative return on equity (-8.6%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Regulatory hurdles and environmental concerns.
  • Fluctuations in commodity prices.
  • Competition from other oil and gas companies.
  • Dependence on successful exploration and development of its permits.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TBN?

  • Development of the Betaloo Basin: Tamboran's primary growth opportunity lies in the successful development of its exploration permits in the Betaloo Basin. The basin is estimated to hold significant natural gas reserves, and Tamboran's working interests in multiple permits position it to capitalize on this potential. Successful exploration and production could lead to substantial revenue growth over the next 5-10 years.
  • Infrastructure Development: The development of pipelines and other infrastructure in the Betaloo Basin is crucial for transporting natural gas to market. Tamboran can actively participate in these projects, either independently or through partnerships, to ensure efficient and reliable transportation of its gas. This infrastructure development will support long-term growth and profitability.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Tamboran can pursue strategic partnerships with larger oil and gas companies to accelerate the development of its resources. These partnerships can provide access to capital, technology, and expertise, enhancing Tamboran's ability to efficiently extract and market its natural gas. Such collaborations could significantly boost production within the next 3-5 years.
  • Increasing Natural Gas Demand: The global demand for natural gas is expected to increase in the coming years, driven by factors such as economic growth and the transition to cleaner energy sources. Tamboran is well-positioned to benefit from this trend by supplying natural gas to both domestic and international markets. This demand increase is projected to support higher gas prices and increased profitability for Tamboran over the next decade.
  • Technological Advancements: Advancements in drilling and completion techniques can improve the efficiency and productivity of natural gas extraction. Tamboran can invest in and implement these technologies to maximize its gas production and reduce costs. These technological improvements can lead to increased reserves and lower operating expenses within the next 2-3 years.

What Are TBN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strategic land position in the Betaloo Basin, a region with significant natural gas reserves.
  • Expertise in developing unconventional gas resources.
  • Strong relationships with local communities and regulatory bodies.
  • Access to advanced drilling and completion technologies.

What Does TBN Do?

Founded in 2009 and headquartered in Sydney, Australia, Tamboran Resources Corporation is a natural gas company dedicated to unlocking the potential of unconventional gas resources in the Northern Territory. The company's primary focus is the Betaloo Basin, a region recognized for its significant natural gas reserves. Tamboran holds a 25% non-operated working interest in EP 161 and a 38.75% working interest in EPs 76, 98, and 117. Additionally, it maintains a 100% working interest in EPs 136 and 143, as well as EP (A) 197, further solidifying its presence in the basin. Tamboran aims to become a major player in the Australian natural gas market by developing these resources and contributing to the nation's energy security. The company's strategy involves utilizing advanced drilling and completion techniques to maximize gas production while adhering to stringent environmental standards. With a team of 39 employees, Tamboran is committed to sustainable development and community engagement in the regions where it operates.

What Products and Services Does TBN Offer?

  • Explores for natural gas resources in the Northern Territory of Australia.
  • Focuses on developing unconventional gas resources in the Betaloo Basin.
  • Holds working interests in multiple exploration permits, including EP 161, EPs 76, 98, and 117, and EPs 136 and 143.
  • Aims to become a major supplier of natural gas to domestic and international markets.
  • Utilizes advanced drilling and completion techniques to maximize gas production.
  • Engages in sustainable development practices and community engagement.

How Does TBN Make Money?

  • Acquires and explores exploration permits in promising natural gas basins.
  • Develops and produces natural gas from its working interests in these permits.
  • Sells natural gas to domestic and international markets.
  • Forms strategic partnerships to accelerate development and access capital.

What Industry Does TBN Operate In?

Tamboran Resources Corporation operates within the oil and gas exploration and production industry, which is characterized by high capital expenditures and long development cycles. The industry is currently experiencing increased demand for natural gas as a transition fuel. Tamboran is positioned to capitalize on this trend through its focus on unconventional gas resources in the Betaloo Basin. The competitive landscape includes major oil and gas companies, as well as smaller exploration and production firms. Tamboran's success will depend on its ability to efficiently develop its resources and secure favorable market access.

Who Are TBN's Key Customers?

  • Domestic energy companies in Australia.
  • International energy companies seeking to secure natural gas supplies.
  • Industrial consumers of natural gas.
  • Potential future LNG export markets.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 10, 2026

Company Profile

Tamboran Resources Corporation operates in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Sydney, AU. The company is led by CEO Todd C. Abbott. TBN has traded publicly since 2024.

How Tamboran Resources Corporation Is Valued

Tamboran Resources Corporation carries a market capitalization of $1.32B, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, TBN's quantitative score of 40/100 is below the peer average of 71/100.

ROE -9%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Tamboran Resources Corporation stands at -8.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -4.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -15.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.01 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -3.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 1/9

Financial Health

Tamboran Resources Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 8.45 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

2/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Tamboran Resources Corporation has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 28.4% below estimates on average.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Tamboran Resources Corporation revenue of about $6.2M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-238.99. The estimate reflects 3 contributing analysts.

TBN Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Net Income Growth (FY)
-68.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
-10.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-86.1%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-8.6%
Current Ratio
2.0

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Tamboran's recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future, indicating that those closest to the business see potential upside.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting the company's innovative approach to natural gas extraction.
  • Recent partnerships with established players in the energy sector have bolstered investor confidence, signaling strong growth prospects.
  • The ongoing demand for cleaner energy solutions positions Tamboran favorably as it aligns with global trends towards sustainability.

Bear Case

  • Concerns around regulatory hurdles in the energy sector have surfaced, potentially impacting Tamboran's operational timelines and costs.
  • Market sentiment remains cautious due to the volatility in energy prices, which can affect profitability and project viability.
  • Some community members express skepticism about the scalability of Tamboran's technology, questioning its long-term effectiveness in a competitive market.
  • Recent news cycles have highlighted environmental concerns related to natural gas extraction, which could lead to public backlash and increased scrutiny on operations.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026

TBN Latest News

TBN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for TBN.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $55.00

TBN MoonshotScore

40/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates TBN 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Todd C. Abbott

CEO

Todd C. Abbott serves as the CEO of Tamboran Resources Corporation. His background includes extensive experience in the oil and gas industry, with a focus on exploration and production. He has held leadership positions in various energy companies, where he was responsible for overseeing operations, strategic planning, and business development. Abbott's expertise lies in developing and executing growth strategies, managing complex projects, and building strong relationships with stakeholders. His educational background includes a degree in engineering and an MBA from a leading business school.

Track Record: Under Todd C. Abbott's leadership, Tamboran Resources Corporation has focused on expanding its presence in the Betaloo Basin and advancing the development of its unconventional gas resources. He has overseen the acquisition of key exploration permits and the implementation of advanced drilling techniques. Abbott has also prioritized sustainable development practices and community engagement. His strategic decisions have positioned Tamboran for long-term growth and success.

Common Questions About TBN (Energy)

What does the AI Score mean for TBN?

TBN holds an AI Score of 40/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Tamboran Resources Corporation is an Australian natural gas company focused on developing unconventional gas resources. The company holds working interests in exploration permits within the Betaloo …

What does Tamboran Resources Corp do?

Tamboran Resources Corporation is a natural gas company focused on developing unconventional gas resources in the Northern Territory of Australia, specifically within the Betaloo Basin. The company holds working interests in several exploration permits, including EP 161, EPs 76, 98, and 117, and EPs 136 and 143.

What do analysts say about TBN stock?

Analyst coverage of Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) is still emerging, given its relatively recent focus on the Betaloo Basin. Current sentiment reflects optimism regarding the potential of the basin and TBN's strategic positioning. Key valuation metrics are closely tied to the successful development of its exploration permits and the prevailing natural gas prices.

What are the main risks for TBN?

Tamboran Resources Corporation faces several risks inherent to the oil and gas exploration and production industry. These include regulatory hurdles and environmental concerns related to unconventional gas development, fluctuations in commodity prices that can impact profitability, and competition from larger, more established oil and gas companies.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TBN?

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) holds an AI score of 40/100 (low). Analysts target $55.00 (+45%). Tamboran Resources Corporation presents a notable research candidate based on its strategic positioning in the Betaloo Basin, a region with substantial untapped natural gas reserves. Not financial advice.

How frequently does TBN data refresh on this page?

TBN's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven TBN's recent stock price performance?

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strategic land position in the Betaloo Basin. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TBN overvalued or undervalued right now?

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $55.00 (+45%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research TBN before investing?

Before investing in Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to change.
  • Financial data is limited due to the company's stage of development.
Data Sources

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