Target Corporation (TGT)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Target Corporation (TGT) trades at $130.20 with AI Score 66/100 (Grade B+). Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States, offering a variety of products through its stores and digital channels. Market cap: $59.14B, Sector: Consumer defensive.
Price live · AI analysis from May 5, 2026TGT stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $133.67 for Target Corporation, suggesting 2.7% upside from the current price of $130.20. The AI MoonshotScore is 66/100, indicating a bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
TGT: 1/1 perspectives are bullish.
How is this calculated? →Target Corporation (TGT) Consumer Business Overview
Target Corporation, a leading general merchandise retailer in the U.S., distinguishes itself through its curated product selection, including apparel, home décor, and food. Operating approximately 2,000 stores and a robust online platform, Target caters to a broad customer base, competing with other major retailers in the consumer defensive sector.
What Is the Investment Thesis for TGT?
Target Corporation presents a compelling investment case based on its established market position, consistent profitability, and growth opportunities in the consumer defensive sector. With a market capitalization of $59.14B and a P/E ratio of 17.7, Target demonstrates financial stability. The company's dividend yield of 3.55% offers an attractive return for investors. Key growth catalysts include expanding digital sales channels and enhancing in-store experiences to drive customer traffic. However, potential risks include increased competition from online retailers and fluctuations in consumer spending. Maintaining a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments will be crucial for Target to sustain its competitive edge and deliver long-term shareholder value.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
TGT Key Highlights
- Market Cap of $59.14B indicates a strong market valuation and investor confidence.
- P/E Ratio of 17.7 suggests the company is reasonably valued compared to its earnings.
- Profit Margin of 3.5% reflects the company's ability to generate profit from its revenue.
- Gross Margin of 27.9% demonstrates the efficiency of the company's operations in managing the cost of goods sold.
- Dividend Yield of 3.55% provides an attractive return for income-seeking investors.
Who Are TGT's Competitors?
TGT is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABEV Ambev S.A. | $3.10 | -0.32% | $48.35B | 49 |
| KR The Kroger Co. | $58.22 | +3.52% | $35.67B | 57 |
| CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC | $106.61 | +0.48% | $47.25B | 52 |
| KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. | $33.30 | -0.21% | $45.31B | 61 |
| HSY The Hershey Company | $182.14 | +1.94% | $36.95B | 64 |
| FIVE Five Below, Inc. | $182.43 | -0.11% | $10.09B | 62 |
| TBBB BBB Foods Inc. | $42.07 | +0.98% | $4.87B | 56 |
| DQJCF Pan Pacific International Holdings Corporation | $4.75 | +4.40% | $14.20B | 52 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are TGT's Key Strengths?
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Extensive store network and omnichannel presence.
- Successful private label brands.
- Efficient supply chain and distribution network.
What Are TGT's Weaknesses?
- Lower profit margins compared to some competitors.
- Vulnerability to economic downturns and changes in consumer spending.
- Dependence on the U.S. market.
- Exposure to inventory management challenges.
What Could Drive TGT Stock Higher?
- Continued expansion of digital sales channels and enhanced online shopping experience.
- Strategic partnerships to offer exclusive product lines and expand customer reach.
- Supply chain optimization efforts to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
- Remodeling and upgrading existing stores to enhance the in-store shopping experience.
What Are the Key Risks for TGT?
- Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $9.8M recently.
- Increased competition from online retailers and other discount stores.
- Fluctuations in consumer spending and economic conditions.
- Rising labor costs and supply chain disruptions.
- Changes in consumer preferences and shopping habits.
- Inventory management challenges and potential for markdowns.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for TGT?
- Growth opportunity 1: Expanding Digital Sales Channels: Target has a significant opportunity to further grow its digital sales through investments in its online platform and mobile app. The e-commerce market is projected to continue its growth trajectory, offering Target a large addressable market. By enhancing the online shopping experience, offering personalized recommendations, and streamlining the fulfillment process, Target can attract new customers and increase the loyalty of existing ones. This includes expanding same-day delivery options and leveraging its store network for online order fulfillment.
- Growth opportunity 2: Enhancing In-Store Experiences: Target can drive customer traffic and increase sales by investing in enhancing the in-store shopping experience. This includes remodeling stores to create a more inviting and engaging environment, expanding in-store amenities such as cafes and optical services, and offering personalized customer service. By creating a differentiated and enjoyable shopping experience, Target can attract customers who value the convenience and social aspects of brick-and-mortar retail.
- Growth opportunity 3: Expanding Private Label Brands: Target has a strong track record of developing successful private label brands that offer high-quality products at competitive prices. By expanding its private label offerings into new categories and enhancing the brand image of existing private label brands, Target can increase its gross margins and differentiate itself from competitors. This includes investing in product development, marketing, and supply chain management to ensure the quality and availability of its private label products.
- Growth opportunity 4: Strategic Partnerships: Target can leverage strategic partnerships to expand its product offerings and reach new customer segments. This includes partnering with established brands to offer exclusive product lines, collaborating with technology companies to enhance the digital shopping experience, and partnering with local businesses to offer unique in-store experiences. By leveraging the expertise and resources of its partners, Target can accelerate its growth and innovation.
- Growth opportunity 5: Supply Chain Optimization: Optimizing its supply chain is crucial for Target to improve efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance its ability to meet customer demand. This includes investing in automation, data analytics, and transportation management systems to streamline its supply chain processes. By improving its supply chain efficiency, Target can reduce lead times, lower inventory costs, and improve its ability to respond to changing customer preferences.
What Opportunities Does TGT Have?
- Expanding digital sales channels and e-commerce capabilities.
- Enhancing in-store experiences and amenities.
- Developing new private label brands and product categories.
- Strategic partnerships and collaborations.
What Threats Does TGT Face?
- Intense competition from online retailers and other discount stores.
- Fluctuations in consumer spending and economic conditions.
- Rising labor costs and supply chain disruptions.
- Changes in consumer preferences and shopping habits.
What Are TGT's Competitive Advantages?
- Brand recognition and reputation for quality and style.
- Extensive network of stores across the United States.
- Strong private label brands that offer exclusive products.
- Loyal customer base attracted by the Target experience.
What Does TGT Do?
Target Corporation, founded in 1902 and headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, has evolved into a major general merchandise retailer in the United States. Originally known as Goodfellow Dry Goods, the company rebranded to Dayton's in 1911 and later introduced the first Target store in 1962 as a discount retail concept. Over the decades, Target has expanded its product offerings to include a wide array of categories, such as apparel, accessories, home décor products, electronics, toys, seasonal offerings, food, and beauty and household essentials. The company operates approximately 2,000 stores across the U.S., complemented by a strong digital presence through Target.com, enabling customers to shop both in-store and online. Target differentiates itself through its brand image, often collaborating with designers and offering exclusive product lines, enhancing its appeal to a broad customer base. In addition to its retail offerings, Target provides in-store amenities like Target Café, Target Optical, and Starbucks, creating a comprehensive shopping experience. Target's commitment to innovation and customer experience has solidified its position as a key player in the competitive retail landscape.
What Products and Services Does TGT Offer?
- Operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States.
- Offers food assortments, including perishables, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen items.
- Provides apparel, accessories, home décor products, electronics, and toys.
- Sells beauty and household essentials.
- Offers seasonal offerings and other merchandise.
- Provides in-store amenities such as Target Café, Target Optical, and Starbucks.
- Sells products through its stores and digital channels, including Target.com.
How Does TGT Make Money?
- Generates revenue through the sale of general merchandise products.
- Utilizes a combination of brick-and-mortar stores and digital channels to reach customers.
- Focuses on offering a curated selection of products at competitive prices.
- Emphasizes customer experience through in-store amenities and personalized service.
What Industry Does TGT Operate In?
Target Corporation operates within the competitive discount store industry, a segment of the broader consumer defensive sector. This sector is characterized by relatively stable demand, as consumers prioritize essential goods and services regardless of economic conditions. The industry is experiencing a shift towards omnichannel retail, with companies investing heavily in digital channels to complement their brick-and-mortar stores. Target competes with major retailers such as The Kroger Co. and faces increasing competition from online giants. The company's ability to differentiate itself through exclusive brands, enhanced customer experiences, and efficient supply chain management will be critical for success in this evolving landscape.
Who Are TGT's Key Customers?
- Value-conscious consumers seeking a wide variety of products.
- Families looking for apparel, home goods, and groceries.
- Customers who appreciate a convenient and enjoyable shopping experience.
- Digital shoppers who prefer online purchasing and delivery options.
Net sellingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, Target Corporation insiders filed 14 SEC Form 4 transactions — 7 sales and 7 purchases. On net that is roughly 31K shares disposed (about $9.8M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.
TGT Valuation & Market Position
With a $59.14B market cap, Target Corporation sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, TGT's quantitative score of 66/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 57/100.
ROE 22%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Target Corporation stands at 21.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 5.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TGT trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 17.74, below the Consumer Defensive sector average of ~29x. Its free cash flow yield is 5.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.93 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 5.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
F-Score 7/9Financial Health
Target Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.17 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
FY2027 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Target Corporation revenue of about $108.88B for fiscal 2027, with EPS near $8.39. The estimate reflects 27 contributing analysts.
Company Profile
Target Corporation operates in the Discount Stores industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Minneapolis, US. The company is led by CEO Michael J. Fiddelke. TGT has traded publicly since 1967.
TGT Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Insider buying has increased recently, signaling confidence from management in the company's future performance.
- Social sentiment around Target has been predominantly positive, with discussions focusing on strong brand loyalty and customer engagement.
- Recent reports highlight Target's effective inventory management, which has positioned the company well against supply chain challenges.
- The community is optimistic about Target's ongoing initiatives in e-commerce, which have shown resilience and growth potential.
Bear Case
- Concerns have arisen regarding rising operational costs, which could impact profit margins in the upcoming quarters.
- Social media discussions have highlighted potential risks related to consumer spending, particularly in the face of economic uncertainty.
- Some community members express skepticism about Target's ability to maintain its competitive edge amid increasing competition from discount retailers.
- Recent commentary suggests a cautious outlook on Target's expansion plans, with potential headwinds in new market entries.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · February 2026
From the Earnings Call
“On the operating income line, we're planning for a 2026 rate that's approximately 20 basis points higher than the 4.6% adjusted rate we earned in 2025 as the savings opportunities I outlined earlier are expected to fully fund our P&L investments.”
— James Lee
“Altogether, based on our expectations for the top line and operating margin, we're expecting to generate GAAP and adjusted EPS in a range from $7.50 to $8.50 in 2026.”
— James Lee
TGT Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript · 2026-03-03
TGT Latest News
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TGT Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for TGT.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $133.67
TGT MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates TGT's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Classification
Industry Discount StoresLatest News
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2 min readLeadership: Michael J. Fiddelke
Chief Operating Officer
Michael J. Fiddelke serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Target Corporation. He has a long history with Target, having held various leadership roles within the company. His experience spans across finance, strategy, and operations. Before becoming COO, he served as the Chief Financial Officer, overseeing Target's financial planning and analysis, internal audit, investor relations, and treasury functions. He holds a bachelor's degree from the University of Iowa and an MBA from the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University.
Track Record: As CFO, Fiddelke played a key role in driving Target's financial performance and strategic initiatives. He oversaw the company's investments in digital channels and supply chain optimization, contributing to its revenue growth and profitability. His leadership has been instrumental in navigating the challenges of the evolving retail landscape. He is now responsible for overseeing Target's stores, supply chain, and technology operations.
What Investors Ask About Target Corporation (TGT) — Consumer Defensive
What does Target Corporation do?
Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States, offering a wide variety of products through its stores and digital channels. The company's business model focuses on providing a curated selection of apparel, accessories, home décor products, electronics, toys, seasonal offerings, food, and beauty and household essentials. Target differentiates itself through its brand image, exclusive product lines, and in-store amenities, catering to value-conscious consumers and families seeking a convenient and enjoyable shopping experience.
What do analysts say about TGT stock?
Analyst consensus on Target Corporation (TGT) stock reflects a generally positive outlook, with expectations of continued growth in revenue and earnings. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio and dividend yield, suggest that the stock is reasonably valued compared to its peers in the consumer defensive sector. Growth considerations include Target's ability to expand its digital sales channels, enhance its in-store experiences, and manage its supply chain efficiently. However, analysts also acknowledge potential risks, such as increased competition and fluctuations in consumer spending. This information is for research purposes only and not investment advice.
What are the main risks for TGT?
Target Corporation faces several key risks, including intense competition from online retailers and other discount stores, which could pressure its profit margins and market share. Fluctuations in consumer spending and economic conditions could impact its revenue and profitability. Rising labor costs and supply chain disruptions could increase its operating expenses. Changes in consumer preferences and shopping habits could require Target to adapt its product offerings and marketing strategies. Effective risk management and strategic adaptation are crucial for Target to mitigate these challenges and sustain its competitive advantage.
What is TGT's dividend and shareholder return track record?
Target Corporation has a strong track record of dividend growth and shareholder returns. The company has consistently increased its dividend payout over the past several years, demonstrating its commitment to returning value to shareholders. Target's dividend yield of 3.55% is attractive compared to other companies in the consumer defensive sector. In addition to dividends, Target has also engaged in share buyback programs, further enhancing shareholder value. The company's financial stability and consistent profitability support its ability to maintain and grow its dividend and share buyback programs in the future.
How does Target Corporation manage its supply chain?
Target Corporation manages its supply chain through a combination of strategic sourcing, efficient logistics, and advanced technology. The company works closely with its suppliers to ensure the quality and availability of its products. Target utilizes a network of distribution centers and transportation partners to efficiently move products from suppliers to its stores and customers. The company has invested in automation, data analytics, and transportation management systems to streamline its supply chain processes. Effective supply chain management is crucial for Target to reduce costs, improve efficiency, and meet customer demand.
What are the key factors to evaluate for TGT?
Target Corporation (TGT) holds an AI score of 66/100 (moderate). P/E: 17.7x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $133.67 (+3%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does TGT data refresh on this page?
TGT prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven TGT's recent stock price performance?
Target Corporation (TGT) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- The information provided is based on available data and market analysis as of May 5, 2026.
- Future events and market conditions may impact the accuracy of this information.
- This is a research platform for informational purposes, not investment advice.