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TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$189.64 -$1.45 (-0.76%) |Strong · 72
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (66/100) and AI Score (72/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Growth Durability · Biggest watch-out: Momentum.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $14.2B| P/E Ratio: 62.80| Vol: 1.04M| Target: $227.00 (+19.7%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $176.00 – $226.94

P/E 62.80 means the share price is 62.80 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $14.2B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) trades at $189.64 with MoonshotScore 72/100 (Grade A). TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a sports and entertainment company, producing live events and content across various platforms. Market cap: $14.2B, Sector: Communication services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a sports and entertainment company, producing live events and content across various platforms. It focuses on media rights, content creation, and live event production, reaching approximately 170 countries.

TKO stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $227.00 for TKO Group Holdings, Inc., suggesting 19.7% upside from the current price of $189.64. The AI MoonshotScore is 72/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the TKO film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 66/100 · B+

TKO: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 72/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (5/10, Neutral).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) Media & Communications Profile

CEOAriel Zev Emanuel
Employees4,000
HeadquartersNew York City, NY, US
IPO Year2023

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is a sports and entertainment powerhouse specializing in live events, media content, sponsorships, and consumer product licensing. Operating globally, TKO leverages its premium sports and entertainment brands to deliver content across broadcast, streaming, and digital platforms, distinguishing itself through diverse revenue streams and extensive international reach.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for TKO?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The company's ability to generate revenue through media rights, live events, sponsorships, and consumer products provides a buffer against economic downturns. With a market capitalization of $14.2B and a profit margin of 4.5%, TKO demonstrates financial stability. Key growth catalysts include expanding media partnerships and increasing global viewership. However, investors may want to evaluate the competitive landscape and potential risks associated with content production and distribution. The company's P/E ratio of 62.80 suggests a premium valuation, indicating high investor expectations for future growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TKO Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $14.2B, reflecting substantial investor confidence in TKO's market position.

  • P/E ratio of 62.80, indicating a premium valuation based on earnings expectations.
  • Profit margin of 4.5%, demonstrating profitability in the competitive sports and entertainment industry.
  • Gross margin of 48.7%, showcasing efficient cost management in content production and distribution.
  • Dividend yield of 1.45%, providing a modest return to shareholders.

Who Are TKO's Competitors?

TKO is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
OMC Omnicom Group Inc. $78.49 +0.25% $21.5B 545-pillar
TWLO Twilio Inc. $231.13 +1.73% $35.1B 895-pillar
ROKU Roku, Inc. $154.12 +0.80% $22.9B 935-pillar
TLK Telkom Indonesia Persero Tbk PT ADR $14.99 -0.07% $14.8B 775-pillar
WMG Warner Music Group Corp. $27.84 -1.14% $14.5B 625-pillar
NWSA News Corporation $29.38 -0.78% $16.5B 725-pillar
PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation $10.38 +1.57% $11.3B
SIRI Sirius XM Holdings Inc. $28.88 +1.17% $9.73B 775-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are TKO's Key Strengths?

Strong brand portfolio and market position.

  • Diversified revenue streams.
  • Global reach and distribution network.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are TKO's Weaknesses?

High dependence on media rights agreements.

  • Vulnerability to economic downturns.
  • Exposure to content piracy and copyright infringement.
  • Potential for talent disputes and labor issues.

What Could Drive TKO Stock Higher?

Expansion of media rights agreements to new territories and platforms.

  • Continued growth in sponsorship revenue through strategic partnerships.
  • Launch of new digital content initiatives to engage wider audiences.
  • Potential acquisitions of complementary businesses to expand market reach.

What Are the Key Risks for TKO?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.53 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 4 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 62.80 runs well above the Communication Services sector’s ~17.60x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Economic downturns impacting consumer spending on entertainment.
  • Increased competition from other entertainment companies.
  • Dependence on key talent and potential labor disputes.
  • Changes in media consumption habits and technology.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TKO?

  • Expansion of Media Rights: TKO can capitalize on the increasing value of sports and entertainment media rights by securing new partnerships and expanding existing agreements. The global sports media rights market is projected to reach $85.7 billion by 2027, offering substantial revenue potential. TKO's strong portfolio of premium brands positions it to negotiate favorable deals and increase its media revenue streams. This expansion can be achieved through strategic partnerships with streaming platforms and broadcast networks, enhancing content distribution and reach.
  • Growth in Sponsorship Revenue: TKO has the opportunity to increase its sponsorship revenue by attracting new corporate partners and expanding existing relationships. The global sponsorship market is estimated at $66 billion annually, providing a significant revenue opportunity. TKO can leverage its live events and media platforms to offer compelling sponsorship packages, including in-venue advertising, content integration, and digital impressions. This growth can be driven by targeting specific industries and tailoring sponsorship offerings to meet their marketing objectives.
  • Consumer Products Licensing: TKO can further monetize its brands through consumer products licensing, including video games, apparel, equipment, and memorabilia. The global licensed merchandise market is valued at over $300 billion, offering a substantial revenue opportunity. TKO can expand its licensing program by partnering with leading manufacturers and retailers, developing innovative products, and leveraging its brand recognition to drive sales. This growth can be achieved through strategic partnerships and targeted marketing campaigns.
  • International Expansion: TKO can expand its global footprint by entering new markets and increasing its presence in existing international regions. The international sports and entertainment market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing disposable incomes and growing demand for premium content. TKO can leverage its existing content and distribution channels to reach new audiences, and can tailor its offerings to meet local preferences. This expansion can be achieved through strategic partnerships and localized marketing efforts.
  • Development of Digital Content: TKO can capitalize on the growing demand for digital content by developing new formats and platforms. The digital media market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing internet penetration and changing consumer behavior. TKO can develop short-form video content, interactive experiences, and social media campaigns to engage with audiences and generate revenue. This growth can be achieved through strategic investments in digital content creation and distribution.

What Threats Does TKO Face?

  • Intense competition from other entertainment companies.
  • Changing consumer preferences and media consumption habits.
  • Regulatory changes and legal challenges.
  • Economic instability and geopolitical risks.

What Are TKO's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong brand recognition and reputation in the sports and entertainment industry.
  • Extensive network of media partners and distribution channels.
  • Exclusive rights to premium sports and entertainment content.
  • Diversified revenue streams across multiple business segments.

What Does TKO Do?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. stands as a prominent sports and entertainment company, engaging in the creation, production, and distribution of live events and diverse content. The company operates through four key segments: Media and Content, Live Events, Sponsorships, and Consumer Products Licensing. Its foundation lies in producing live events, television programs, and both long-form and short-form video content, which are disseminated across broadcast, pay television, streaming services, and various digital and social media platforms, reaching audiences in approximately 170 countries. Beyond content creation, TKO is involved in merchandising a wide array of products, including video games, apparel, equipment, trading cards, memorabilia, digital goods, and toys. The company also facilitates the sale of travel packages and tickets related to its events. A significant aspect of TKO's revenue generation comes from corporate sponsorships and advertising, offering in-venue and in-broadcast advertising opportunities, content product integration, and digital impressions. Headquartered in New York, TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc., benefiting from the resources and expertise of its parent company. This structure allows TKO to maintain a strong market presence and continue expanding its global footprint in the sports and entertainment industry. TKO's strategic focus on content creation, media rights, and live event production positions it as a key player in the evolving media landscape.

What Products and Services Does TKO Offer?

  • Produces live sports and entertainment events globally.
  • Creates and distributes television programs and video content.
  • Offers content across broadcast, pay television, and streaming platforms.
  • Engages in merchandising of video games, apparel, and memorabilia.
  • Sells travel packages and tickets to events.
  • Facilitates corporate sponsorships and advertising opportunities.
  • Operates in approximately 170 countries.

How Does TKO Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through media rights agreements.
  • Earns income from live event ticket sales and sponsorships.
  • Monetizes content through advertising and subscriptions.
  • Derives revenue from consumer product licensing and merchandising.

What Industry Does TKO Operate In?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates within the dynamic and competitive entertainment industry, characterized by evolving media consumption habits and technological advancements. The industry is experiencing growth in streaming services and digital content, with companies vying for market share through content creation and distribution. TKO's focus on live events and media rights positions it favorably, leveraging the enduring appeal of sports and entertainment. Competitors like Warner Music Group (WMG) and Roku, Inc. (ROKU) also vie for audience attention and revenue, highlighting the need for TKO to innovate and maintain its competitive edge.

Who Are TKO's Key Customers?

  • Sports fans and entertainment enthusiasts worldwide.
  • Television networks and streaming services.
  • Corporate sponsors and advertisers.
  • Retailers and distributors of consumer products.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 39 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 72?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.48 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • +0.24 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.22 Interest cover (Financial Strength)

What is holding it back

  • -0.16 Debt to equity (Financial Strength)
  • -0.11 Price to book (Valuation)
  • -0.09 Gross profit per dollar of assets (Business Quality)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.05 Bankruptcy-risk score in the grey zone

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 69
2026-08-26 71
2026-08-29 68
2026-09-01 69
2026-09-04 70
2026-09-07 71
2026-09-10 73

What changed?

The grade moved from 69 to 73 (+4).

What moved it up or down:

  • +8 Financial Strength
  • +2 Growth

Held back by:

  • -8 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -1.1%.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, TKO Group Holdings, Inc. insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 11 sales and 4 purchases. On net that is roughly 50K shares disposed (about $12.7M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

2/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 8.2% below estimates on average.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.53 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

ROE 6%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for TKO Group Holdings, Inc. stands at 6.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TKO trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 62.80, above the Communication Services sector average of ~17.60x. Its free cash flow yield is 11.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.22 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 1.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) Valuation Context

Valued at $14.2B, TKO is classified as a large-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $210.00 to $235.00, with a consensus of $227.00. At the current price of $189.64, that implies approximately 20% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, TKO's quantitative score of 72/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 75/100.

TKO Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, TKO generated $1.55B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential decrease of 3.1%. The company recorded net income of $101.6M, with diluted EPS of $0.52. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Communication Services. Across the four most recent quarters, TKO averaged $0.29 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates in the Entertainment industry within the Communication Services sector. It is headquartered in New York City, US. The company is led by CEO Ariel Zev Emanuel. TKO has traded publicly since 2023.

TKO Financials

TKO earnings history & estimates →

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+68.9%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+148.0%
P/E (TTM)
62.80
Return on Equity (TTM)
+6.4%
Current Ratio
1.2
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
11.7

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand portfolio and market position.
  • Diversified revenue streams.
  • Global reach and distribution network.
  • Experienced management team.

Bear Case

  • High dependence on media rights agreements.
  • Vulnerability to economic downturns.
  • Exposure to content piracy and copyright infringement.
  • Potential for talent disputes and labor issues.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

From the Earnings Call

“As noted in our press release, based on our performance through the first 3 months of the year and our anticipated performance for the remainder of the year, we are reaffirming our expectations. For full year 2026, we continue to target revenue of $5.675 billion to $5.775 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.24 billion to $2.29 billion.”

— Andrew Schleimer, CFO

“Finally, turning to Zuffa Boxing, where our progress is exceeding our internal growth plan and time line. We've already signed more than 100 fighters. We've staged five events with solid viewership on Paramount+, and we've secured a multiyear deal with Sky Sports for the U.K. and Ireland, two of the most pivotal and important boxing markets in the world.”

— Mark Shapiro, President and COO

TKO Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-05-06

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $1.55B $102M $0.52
Q1 FY2026 $1.60B $89M $0.46
Q4 FY2025 $1.04B -$2M -$0.01
Q3 FY2025 $1.12B $41M $0.21

Q2 FY2026 · filed 3 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TKO Latest News

TKO Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for TKO.

Price Targets

Low
$210.00
Consensus
$227.00
High
$235.00

Median: $230.00 (+19.7% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

TKO MoonshotScore

72/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. TKO scores 72/100 (Grade A): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Ariel Zev Emanuel

CEO

Ariel Zev Emanuel is a prominent figure in the entertainment industry, known for his extensive experience and strategic leadership. He has a long and successful career in talent representation and media management. Prior to his role at TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Emanuel held key positions at Endeavor, where he played a crucial role in its growth and diversification. His background includes significant involvement in negotiating high-profile deals and shaping the entertainment landscape. He manages approximately 4000 employees.

Track Record: Under Ariel Zev Emanuel's leadership, TKO Group Holdings, Inc. has focused on expanding its media rights and content distribution. He has overseen strategic initiatives to enhance the company's market position and drive revenue growth. His tenure has been marked by a focus on innovation and adaptation to the evolving media landscape, with an emphasis on digital content and global expansion.

TKO Communication Services Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for TKO?

TKO holds an AI Score of 72/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a sports and entertainment company, producing live events and content across various platforms.

Is TKO a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate TKO buy, sell or hold. TKO Group Holdings, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 72/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does TKO Group Holdings, Inc. do?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a sports and entertainment company, focusing on the production and distribution of live events and content across various platforms.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TKO?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) holds an AI score of 72/100 (high). P/E: 62.80x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $227.00 (+20%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does TKO data refresh on this page?

TKO's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven TKO's recent stock price performance?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand portfolio and market position. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TKO overvalued or undervalued right now?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) trades at 62.80x earnings. Analysts target $227.00 (+20%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of TKO?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track TKO's earnings and financial reports?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for TKO earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of 2026-05-10.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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