Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) Consumer Business Overview

Travel + Leisure Co. delivers hospitality services and vacation ownership experiences globally, operating through its Vacation Ownership and Travel & Membership segments. With a diverse portfolio of resorts, exchange brands, and travel technology platforms, the company caters to individual consumers and members, navigating a competitive landscape in the travel services industry.

What Is the Investment Thesis for TNL?

With a market capitalization of $4.09B and a P/E ratio of 17.52, the company demonstrates a stable financial profile. The dividend yield of 3.47% offers an attractive return for investors. Key growth catalysts include expansion within the vacation ownership market and leveraging its travel and membership services. However, the company faces potential risks related to economic cycles impacting travel demand and competition within the hospitality industry. Monitoring the company's ability to maintain its 5.9% profit margin and adapt to changing consumer preferences is crucial for assessing its long-term value.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TNL Key Highlights

Market Cap of $4.09B indicates a significant presence in the hospitality and travel sector.

• P/E ratio of 17.52 suggests a reasonable valuation compared to earnings.
• Gross Margin of 43.2% reflects efficient cost management in its operations.
• Dividend Yield of 3.47% provides an attractive income stream for investors.
• Beta of 1.34 indicates higher volatility compared to the market, potentially offering higher returns but also greater risk.

Who Are TNL's Competitors?

TNL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are TNL's Key Strengths?

Strong brand recognition in the travel and hospitality industry.

• Diverse revenue streams through vacation ownership and travel services.
• Extensive network of resorts and exchange partners.
• Established customer base and loyalty programs.

What Are TNL's Weaknesses?

Exposure to economic cycles and fluctuations in travel demand.

• High capital expenditures for resort development and maintenance.
• Competition from online travel agencies and alternative accommodation providers.
• Potential regulatory risks related to vacation ownership sales and financing.

What Could Drive TNL Stock Higher?

Expansion of vacation ownership programs into new markets.

• Development of new travel products and services to cater to evolving consumer preferences.
• Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to broaden service offerings and geographic reach.
• Implementation of new technology platforms to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.

What Are the Key Risks for TNL?

Negative return on equity (-24.8%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

• Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $20.6M recently.
• Economic downturns leading to reduced consumer spending on travel.
• Increased competition from online travel agencies and alternative accommodation providers.
• Geopolitical instability and travel restrictions impacting travel destinations.
• Natural disasters and health crises disrupting travel plans and operations.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TNL?

• Expansion of Vacation Ownership Programs: Travel + Leisure Co. can drive growth by expanding its vacation ownership programs to new geographic markets and demographic segments. This involves developing new resorts and enhancing existing properties to attract a broader customer base. The global vacation ownership market is projected to reach $25 billion by 2028, presenting a significant opportunity for the company to increase its market share through strategic expansions and innovative offerings. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Leveraging Travel and Membership Services: The company can capitalize on its travel and membership services by offering enhanced travel experiences and personalized services to its members. This includes expanding its network of travel partners and developing new travel technology platforms to improve customer engagement. The travel membership market is expected to grow substantially, driven by increasing demand for curated travel experiences and exclusive benefits. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Travel + Leisure Co. can pursue strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its service offerings and geographic reach. This involves collaborating with complementary businesses in the travel and hospitality sectors to create synergistic opportunities. The company can also acquire smaller players to consolidate its market position and gain access to new technologies and customer segments. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Enhancing Digital Presence and Technology: Investing in digital marketing and technology platforms is crucial for attracting and retaining customers in the digital age. Travel + Leisure Co. can enhance its online booking platforms, mobile apps, and social media presence to improve customer engagement and drive sales. The company can also leverage data analytics to personalize its marketing efforts and optimize its pricing strategies. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Focus on Sustainable Tourism Practices: As consumer awareness of environmental issues grows, Travel + Leisure Co. can differentiate itself by adopting sustainable tourism practices and promoting eco-friendly travel options. This includes reducing its carbon footprint, conserving natural resources, and supporting local communities. The company can also partner with environmental organizations to promote responsible travel and raise awareness among its customers. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are TNL's Competitive Advantages?

• Established brand recognition and reputation in the travel and hospitality industry.
• Extensive network of vacation ownership resorts and exchange partners.
• Proprietary travel technology platforms and booking solutions.
• Loyal customer base through vacation ownership and membership programs.

What Does TNL Do?

Travel + Leisure Co., formerly known as Wyndham Destinations, Inc., was founded in 1990 and rebranded in February 2021 to align with its flagship Travel + Leisure brand. Headquartered in Orlando, Florida, the company operates as a leading provider of hospitality services and products across the United States and internationally. The company is structured into two primary segments: Vacation Ownership and Travel and Membership. The Vacation Ownership segment focuses on developing, marketing, and selling vacation ownership interests (VOIs) to individual consumers. This includes providing consumer financing options related to VOI sales and offering property management services at its resorts. The Travel and Membership segment encompasses a range of businesses, including three vacation exchange brands, a home exchange network, travel technology platforms, travel memberships, and direct-to-consumer rentals. As of January 26, 2022, Travel + Leisure Co. managed approximately 245 vacation ownership resorts. Additionally, the company offers private-label travel booking technology solutions, enhancing its service offerings within the broader travel industry. The company's evolution reflects a strategic shift towards leveraging its brand recognition and expanding its service portfolio to meet diverse consumer travel needs.

What Products and Services Does TNL Offer?

• Develops and markets vacation ownership interests (VOIs) to individual consumers.
• Provides consumer financing for the sale of VOIs.
• Offers property management services at vacation ownership resorts.
• Operates vacation exchange brands, allowing members to exchange vacation time at different resorts.
• Manages a home exchange network connecting homeowners for vacation rentals.
• Provides travel technology platforms for booking and managing travel arrangements.
• Offers travel memberships with exclusive benefits and discounts.
• Provides direct-to-consumer rental services.

How Does TNL Make Money?

• Generates revenue through the sale of vacation ownership interests (VOIs).
• Earns interest income from consumer financing related to VOI sales.
• Collects management fees for property management services at resorts.
• Receives fees from vacation exchange and home exchange services.

What Industry Does TNL Operate In?

Travel + Leisure Co. operates within the dynamic travel services industry, which is influenced by economic conditions, consumer spending habits, and global travel trends. The industry is characterized by intense competition among various players, including hotel chains, vacation rental platforms, and travel agencies. Travel + Leisure Co. differentiates itself through its vacation ownership model and comprehensive travel and membership services. The company's ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences and leverage technology will be crucial for maintaining its competitive edge in the evolving travel landscape. The global travel and tourism market is projected to reach significant growth in the coming years, presenting both opportunities and challenges for Travel + Leisure Co.

Who Are TNL's Key Customers?

• Individual consumers seeking vacation ownership opportunities.
• Members of vacation exchange and home exchange networks.
• Travelers looking for rental accommodations.
• Businesses utilizing private-label travel booking technology solutions.

Over the past six months, Travel + Leisure Co. insiders filed 42 SEC Form 4 transactions — 25 sales and 17 purchases. On net that is roughly 242K shares disposed (about $20.6M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

Travel + Leisure Co. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 2.9% above estimates on average.

Travel + Leisure Co.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.23 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

Return on equity for Travel + Leisure Co. stands at -24.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 3.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TNL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 17.52, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~32.70x. Its free cash flow yield is 15.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.15 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 5.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) Valuation Context

Valued at $4.09B, TNL is classified as a mid-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $77.00 to $87.00, with a consensus of $84.00. At the current price of $66.74, that implies approximately 26% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, TNL's quantitative score of 70/100 is above the peer average of 57/100.

TNL Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, TNL generated $1.06B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 10.6%. The company recorded net income of $109.0M, with diluted EPS of $1.72. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Consumer Cyclical. Across the four most recent quarters, TNL averaged $0.91 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Travel + Leisure Co. operates in the Travel Services industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Orlando, US. The company is led by CEO Michael D. Brown. TNL has traded publicly since 2006.

TNL Financials

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Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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