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Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$16.12 -$0.27 (-1.65%) |Fair · 49
Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) bottom line: Split View — our Council read (53/100) and AI Score (49/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $435M| P/E Ratio: 71.17| Vol: 169.8K| Target: $26.25 (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $15.31 – $21.31

P/E 71.17 means the share price is 71.17 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $435M is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) trades at $16.12 with MoonshotScore 49/100 (Grade C). Tejon Ranch Co. is a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company operating in California. Market cap: $435M, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Tejon Ranch Co. is a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company operating in California. The company manages a large land portfolio, engaging in commercial/industrial and resort/residential real estate development, mineral resources, farming, and ranch operations.

TRC stock analysis for 2026: The stored analyst price target for Tejon Ranch Co. is $26.25; its date is unknown, so no upside or downside is derived from it against the current price of $16.12. The AI MoonshotScore is 49/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the TRC film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 53/100 · B

TRC: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 49/100
Business Quality
Weak Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Weak Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Financial Safety (6/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Growth Durability (2/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Unfavorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOMatthew Walker
Employees65
HeadquartersLebec, CA, US
IPO Year1980

Tejon Ranch Co., established in 1843, operates as a diversified real estate and agribusiness enterprise managing a vast land portfolio in California. The company's segments include commercial/industrial development, resort/residential development, mineral resources, farming, and ranch operations, positioning it uniquely within the industrials sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for TRC?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Tejon Ranch Co. presents a unique investment opportunity due to its vast land holdings and diversified operations. The company's strategic focus on real estate development, coupled with its agribusiness activities, provides multiple revenue streams. Key value drivers include the ongoing development of commercial and residential projects, which are expected to generate significant revenue in the coming years. The company's mineral resources segment also contributes to its financial stability through royalty income. However, potential risks include fluctuations in commodity prices, regulatory challenges related to land development, and economic downturns that could impact real estate demand. With a P/E ratio of 71.17 and a market cap of $435M as of May 10, 2026, investors should carefully consider these factors.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TRC Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Tejon Ranch Co. operates across five segments: Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development, Resort/Residential Real Estate Development, Mineral Resources, Farming, and Ranch Operations, providing diversified revenue streams.

  • The company manages approximately 270,000 acres of land in California, one of the largest private landholdings in the state.
  • Farming segment cultivates 1,036 acres of wine grapes, 2,262 acres of almonds, and 1,053 acres of pistachios, contributing to agribusiness revenue.
  • Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development segment leases land to various commercial tenants, including auto service stations and fast-food operations.
  • Market capitalization of $435M as of May 10, 2026, reflecting investor valuation of the company's assets and future growth potential.

Who Are TRC's Competitors?

TRC is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
HHC The Howard Hughes Corporation $78.76 +0.15% $3.94B
NX Quanex Building Products Corporation $21.09 -3.48% $969M 665-pillar
LAND Gladstone Land Corporation $9.48 +0.26% $409M 335-pillar
FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc. $3.30 +0.30% $390M
MATW Matthews International Corporation $20.04 -1.86% $625M 439-signal
NNBR NN, Inc. $3.56 -3.26% $294M
RCMT RCM Technologies, Inc. $39.12 -2.90% $277M 925-pillar
CRESY Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria $12.61 +5.79% $818M 455-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are TRC's Key Strengths?

Large land holdings.

  • Diversified revenue streams.
  • Strategic location.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are TRC's Weaknesses?

High debt levels.

  • Dependence on real estate market conditions.
  • Regulatory challenges.
  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations.

What Could Drive TRC Stock Higher?

Completion of new commercial/industrial development projects, expected to generate increased lease revenue.

  • Continued development of resort/residential communities, driving sales and long-term value appreciation.
  • Steady royalty income from mineral resources, providing a stable revenue stream.
  • Expansion of farming operations, increasing agricultural output and revenue.
  • Potential strategic land sales, generating capital for reinvestment.

What Are the Key Risks for TRC?

Rich valuation — a P/E of 71.17 runs well above the Industrials sector’s ~28.00x, leaving little room for a miss.

  • Economic downturns impacting real estate demand and property values.
  • Rising interest rates increasing borrowing costs and reducing profitability.
  • Environmental regulations restricting land development and agricultural activities.
  • Fluctuations in commodity prices affecting revenue from mineral resources and agricultural products.
  • Competition from other developers and agribusiness companies.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TRC?

  • Expansion of Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development: Tejon Ranch Co. can capitalize on the growing demand for commercial and industrial properties in California by developing additional facilities on its land holdings. This includes constructing warehouses, distribution centers, and office buildings to attract tenants and generate lease revenue. The market for commercial real estate in California is projected to reach $850 billion by 2030, offering significant growth potential for TRC. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Development of Resort/Residential Projects: The company can develop resort and residential communities on its land, catering to the demand for housing and recreational amenities. This includes building single-family homes, apartments, and resort facilities to attract residents and tourists. The residential real estate market in California is estimated at $750 billion, providing a substantial growth opportunity. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Enhancement of Farming Operations: Tejon Ranch Co. can increase its agricultural output by expanding its farming operations and adopting advanced farming techniques. This includes planting additional acres of permanent crops such as almonds, pistachios, and wine grapes, as well as improving irrigation and fertilization methods. The market for almonds, pistachios, and wine grapes is projected to grow by 5% annually, offering attractive returns. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Optimization of Mineral Resources: The company can maximize its revenue from mineral resources by optimizing its oil and gas royalties, rock and aggregate royalties, and royalties from cement operations. This includes negotiating favorable royalty agreements and exploring new mineral extraction opportunities. The market for mineral resources in California is valued at $5 billion. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Land Sales: Tejon Ranch Co. can selectively sell portions of its land holdings to generate capital for reinvestment in other growth initiatives. This includes identifying parcels of land that are suitable for development by third parties and selling them at a premium. The market for land sales in California is estimated at $10 billion, providing a valuable source of capital. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are TRC's Competitive Advantages?

  • Vast land holdings in California.
  • Diversified business operations.
  • Strategic location near major transportation corridors.
  • Long-standing relationships with local communities.
  • Expertise in land development and agribusiness.

What Does TRC Do?

Founded in 1843, Tejon Ranch Co. has evolved from a historic ranching operation into a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company. Based in Lebec, California, the company manages approximately 270,000 acres of land, making it one of the largest private landholdings in the state. Tejon Ranch Co. operates through five segments: Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development, Resort/Residential Real Estate Development, Mineral Resources, Farming, and Ranch Operations. The Commercial/Industrial Real Estate Development segment focuses on planning, permitting, and construction of infrastructure and buildings for lease or sale. This segment also leases land for various commercial uses, including auto service stations, fast-food operations, and communication facilities. The Resort/Residential Real Estate Development segment is involved in land entitlement, planning, and pre-construction engineering for residential and resort projects. The Mineral Resources segment generates revenue from oil and gas royalties, rock and aggregate royalties, and royalties from a cement operation. The Farming segment cultivates permanent crops such as wine grapes, almonds, and pistachios, as well as managing alfalfa and forage mix farming. The Ranch Operations segment provides game management, grazing leases, filming opportunities, and guided hunts. Tejon Ranch Co.'s diversified business model allows it to capitalize on various land uses, contributing to its long-term sustainability and growth.

What Products and Services Does TRC Offer?

  • Develop commercial and industrial real estate properties.
  • Develop resort and residential communities.
  • Cultivate wine grapes, almonds, and pistachios.
  • Manage oil and gas royalties.
  • Provide game management and ancillary land services.
  • Lease land for various commercial uses.

How Does TRC Make Money?

  • Leasing commercial and industrial properties.
  • Selling developed land to third parties.
  • Generating royalties from mineral resources.
  • Selling agricultural products.
  • Providing ranch operations services.

What Industry Does TRC Operate In?

Tejon Ranch Co. operates within the conglomerates industry, which encompasses companies with diversified business activities across multiple sectors. The real estate development segment is influenced by market trends such as urbanization, population growth, and demand for commercial and residential properties. The agribusiness segment is affected by factors such as commodity prices, weather patterns, and agricultural technology advancements. Tejon Ranch Co.'s competitive landscape includes other real estate developers, agribusiness companies, and land management firms. The company's large land holdings and diversified operations provide a competitive advantage in capturing market opportunities.

Who Are TRC's Key Customers?

  • Commercial tenants leasing properties.
  • Residential buyers purchasing homes.
  • Companies extracting mineral resources.
  • Consumers purchasing agricultural products.
  • Individuals seeking game management and land services.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 36 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 49?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.29 Price to book (Valuation)
  • +0.20 Financial-health checklist (Financial Strength)
  • +0.19 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)

What is holding it back

  • -0.48 5-year revenue per share (Growth)
  • -0.29 Gross profit per dollar of assets (Business Quality)
  • -0.26 Net debt vs earnings (Financial Strength)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 49
2026-08-26 48
2026-08-29 48
2026-09-01 50
2026-09-04 49
2026-09-07 50
2026-09-10 50

What changed?

The grade moved from 49 to 50 (+1).

What moved it up or down:

  • +5 Business Quality
  • +5 Momentum
  • +2 Valuation

Held back by:

  • -15 Growth Durability
  • -2 Financial Safety

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -0.3%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Tejon Ranch Co. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 5 sales and 25 purchases. On net that is roughly 55K shares acquired (about $1.0M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Tejon Ranch Co.

Revenue for Tejon Ranch Co. came in at $14.3M during Q2 FY2026, a 50.0% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $2.6M, with diluted EPS of $0.10. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, TRC averaged $0.06 in diluted EPS.

TRC Valuation & Market Position

With a $435M market cap, Tejon Ranch Co. sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, TRC's quantitative score of 49/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 56/100.

ROE 1%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Tejon Ranch Co. stands at 1.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TRC trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 71.17, above the Industrials sector average of ~28.00x. Its free cash flow yield is -5.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.92 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 1.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 8/9

Financial Health

Tejon Ranch Co.'s Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.24 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Tejon Ranch Co. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 17.1% above estimates on average.

Company Profile

Tejon Ranch Co. operates in the Conglomerates industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Lebec, US. The company is led by CEO Matthew Walker. TRC has traded publicly since 1980.

TRC Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+18.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-97.2%
EPS Growth (FY)
-97.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-25.7%
P/E (TTM)
71.17
Return on Equity (TTM)
+1.3%
Current Ratio
2.9
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
30.0

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Large land holdings.
  • Diversified revenue streams.
  • Strategic location.
  • Experienced management team.

Bear Case

  • High debt levels.
  • Dependence on real estate market conditions.
  • Regulatory challenges.
  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $14M $3M $0.10
Q1 FY2026 $10M $151,000 $0.01
Q4 FY2025 $21M $2M $0.06
Q3 FY2025 $12M $2M $0.06

Q2 FY2026 · filed 6 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TRC Latest News

TRC Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for TRC.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $26.25

TRC MoonshotScore

49/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. TRC scores 49/100 (Grade C): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Nicholas Ortiz

Unknown

Further research would be needed to provide a comprehensive profile.

Track Record: Information about Nicholas Ortiz's track record is not available in the provided context. Further research would be needed to provide a detailed assessment.

Tejon Ranch Co. Industrials Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for TRC?

TRC holds an AI Score of 49/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Tejon Ranch Co. is a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company operating in California.

Is TRC a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate TRC buy, sell or hold. Tejon Ranch Co. carries a MoonshotScore of 49/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about TRC stock?

Analyst consensus on Tejon Ranch Co. stock is unavailable based on the provided information. Key valuation metrics to consider include the company's P/E ratio of 71.17, market capitalization of $435M, and profit margin of 0.8%.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TRC?

Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) holds a MoonshotScore of 49/100 (low). P/E: 71.17x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.

How frequently does TRC data refresh on this page?

TRC's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven TRC's recent stock price performance?

Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Large land holdings. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TRC overvalued or undervalued right now?

Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) trades at 71.17x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of TRC?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track TRC's earnings and financial reports?

Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for TRC earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on information available as of May 10, 2026.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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