American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) — MoonshotScore 82/100 (Exceptional band), calculated Oct 6, 2026. Price $139.33 (+0.17%), as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session; market cap $11.6B. Expected results Nov 3, 2026.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market value / cash and short-term investments: 5.08× (market value Oct 5, 2026; cash Jun 30, 2026) · expected results Nov 3, 2026
American Financial Group, Inc. · AFG · NYSE · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
Research dated 2026-09-13: American Financial Group is a specialty property and casualty insurer whose policies cover commercial transportation, marine, agricultural, liability, professional, workers’ compensation, surety and credit risks, largely through independent agents and brokers. The case hinges on whether stronger underwriting earnings and excess capital generation can persist while revenue and operating cash flow remain uneven.
Price as of Oct 5, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · American Financial Group (AFG)
ExceptionalWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
High quality, at a dirt-cheap price, though the balance sheet is only middling. Business Quality: Elite; Financial Safety: Okay; Valuation: Cheap; Growth Durability: Flat; Momentum: Quiet.
- quarterly revenue $1.99B (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
- EPS beat 4 of 8
- Altman Z 0.33 · Piotroski F 6
Helping: business quality, an attractive price
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Exceptional | |
| 82 | Exceptional | |
| 82 | Exceptional | |
| 80 | Exceptional | |
| 80 | Exceptional | |
| 82 | Exceptional |
The score was 82 in the stored Oct 5, 2026 snapshot and remains 82 in the current publication computed Oct 6, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Momentum +2 and Business Quality -1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged. This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $139.33 | |
| Change on the day | +0.17% | |
| 52-week range | $123.09–$150.02 | |
| Market capitalisation | $11.6B | |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 12.17 | |
| Shares traded on the day | 715.8K | |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | 0.6 | |
| Dividends per share (last 12 months) | $7.02 | |
| Dividend yield (last 12 months) | 5.05% |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file or a dated event that is not a results report. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings call · management outlook
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
Management outlook
We expect our operations to continue to generate significant excess capital throughout the remainder of 2026, which provides ample opportunity for acquisitions, special dividends or share repurchases.
Stephen Craig Lindner · Statement from
Chronological order, not a duration scale. Statement dates identify the earnings call, not a deadline. Management expectations and provider estimates can change.
Read management statementsOther perspectives
Council score for American Financial Group (AFG): perspectives
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
5-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
3 lenses, 0 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Oct 3, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Sep 24, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On Sep 24, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 6, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the AFG film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is American Financial Group (AFG), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
AFG sells risk protection rather than consumer banking or a broad menu of financial services.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
AFG sells risk protection rather than consumer banking or a broad menu of financial services. Its customers include commercial vehicle operators, agricultural businesses, lenders, lessors and small to midsized enterprises seeking specialized coverage, while independent agents and brokers provide the principal distribution channel.
Property and casualty insurance produces nearly all segment revenue, with corporate and other activities contributing the remainder. Reported revenue therefore reflects insurance activity concentrated in specialty lines, while net income and operating profit also capture the economics of carrying claims obligations and a large investment portfolio.
What do the latest results show for American Financial Group (AFG)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $1.99B.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
The latest reported period brought a sequential recovery in revenue, operating profit, net income and diluted earnings. Revenue also moved above the comparable prior period, while profit measures improved more sharply, indicating better earnings conversion rather than growth alone.
The latest earnings release exceeded the prevailing revenue and earnings expectations after the preceding release fell short on both measures. Management separately said operations should continue producing significant excess capital, but that statement is an outlook for capital generation, not an explanation for every movement in reported revenue or profit.
Where is operating spending going?
Revenue alongside research and development, selling, general and administrative expenses, and the FMP standardized operating result.
- Latest quarter · revenue
- $1.99B Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · FMP standardized operating result
- $316.00M Jun 30, 2026
| Period end | Revenue | R&D | SG&A | FMP standardized operating result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $1.99B | Not available | Not available | $316.00M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $1.84B | Not available | Not available | $239.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $2.04B | Not available | Not available | $379.00M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $2.30B | Not available | Not available | $268.00M |
USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $1.92B Aug 4, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $1.85B Aug 4, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Above estimate Aug 4, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Above estimate Aug 4, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $1.92B | $1.85B | $2.8200 | $2.3200 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $1.66B | $1.70B | $2.4700 | $2.5500 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $1.44B | $1.90B | $3.6500 | $3.1800 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $2.30B | $1.98B | $2.6900 | $2.5200 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $1.99B | $248M | $2.99 (diluted) |
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.84B | $191M | $2.29 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.04B | $299M | $3.59 (diluted) |
| Q3 FY2025 | $2.30B | $215M | $2.58 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for American Financial Group (AFG)?
Short answer
Cash and short-term investments were $2.28B at the Jun 30, 2026 balance-sheet date. Operating cash flow was $92.00M for the quarter ended Jun 30, 2026, meaning operations generated cash. These figures do not establish a cash runway.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
AFG combines positive operating cash generation with cash and short-term investments above total debt, plus a much larger pool of long-term investments. Cash generation has varied widely between periods, however, so the latest low reading should be assessed against the broader series rather than treated as a stable run rate.
The principal operating risk comes from the promises embedded in specialty insurance policies: adverse claims experience or liability costs can weaken profit even when policy demand holds up. The balance sheet also carries substantial insurance liabilities, making reserve discipline and investment quality more informative than a conventional current ratio viewed in isolation.
Capital returns are supported by recurring and special dividends, and management has identified acquisitions, special dividends and repurchases as possible uses of excess capital. Those choices compete with retaining capital against insurance obligations and future volatility.
How much cash does the business generate or use?
Quarterly operating cash flow shows cash generated or used by operations.
- Latest quarter · operating cash flow
- $92.00M Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · operating cash flow
- $474.00M Mar 31, 2026
| Period end | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (reported) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $92.00M | −$41.00M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $474.00M | −$17.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $784.00M | −$36.00M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $216.00M | −$41.00M |
Operating cash-flow bars share one scale and show magnitude; negative values mean cash used.
USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway.
What should you watch next at American Financial Group (AFG)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Nov 3, 2026.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Watch whether the next release extends the latest improvement in operating profit and net income while meeting a materially higher revenue expectation. Recent earnings history has alternated between beats and misses, so the relationship between revenue delivery and earnings conversion matters more than either result alone.
Operating cash flow, cash and short-term investments, and the deployment of excess capital deserve equal attention. Continued cash accumulation alongside dividends, repurchases or acquisitions would support management’s capital-generation message; a sustained cash-flow retreat or a declining liquid balance would weaken it.
Longer-range estimates imply revenue expansion but comparatively modest earnings progression after the near-term step-up. That pattern makes underwriting profitability and capital allocation the key checks on whether additional revenue is creating commensurate shareholder value.
What management is planning
Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Selected verbatim excerpts; dates follow the transcript provider.
We expect our operations to continue to generate significant excess capital throughout the remainder of 2026, which provides ample opportunity for acquisitions, special dividends or share repurchases.
Stephen Craig Lindner ·
How does American Financial Group compare with its peers?
Short answer
American Financial Group's score ranks 11th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
AFG differs from a broadly diversified financial group because property and casualty insurance accounts for nearly all segment revenue. It also differs from a plain commercial insurer through its collection of niche exposures, spanning transportation, marine, agriculture, professional liability, leasing-related risk, surety and trade credit.
That breadth spreads activity across specialized markets, yet it does not remove the shared exposure to claims severity, pricing discipline and reserve adequacy. Independent-agent distribution also means AFG reaches customers through intermediaries rather than relying mainly on a direct retail channel.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| $323.39 Oct 5, 2026 | $13.4B | 99 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $220.40 Oct 5, 2026 | $7.67B | 96 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $102.54 Oct 5, 2026 | $5.68B | 96 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $94.36 Oct 5, 2026 | $33.0B | 95 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $162.14 Oct 5, 2026 | $24.9B | 94 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $15.11 Oct 5, 2026 | $5.37B | 92 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $266.41 Oct 5, 2026 | $13.2B | 91 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $69.77 Oct 5, 2026 | $26.0B | 91 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $56.08 Oct 5, 2026 | $5.15B | 88 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $23.30 Oct 5, 2026 | $11.1B | 84 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| American Financial Group (AFG) — this page | $139.33 | $11.6B | 82 |
| $332.42 Oct 5, 2026 | $7.57B | 78 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $105.67 Oct 5, 2026 | $21.7B | 73 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $156.00 – $156.00
- Consensus target
- $156.00
- Median target
- $156.00
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $139.33 (as of Oct 5, 2026).
Insider activity
Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 16, 2026
- Transactions
- 16
- Identified insiders
- 12
- Purchases
- 0
- Sales
- 7
- Other transactions
- 9
Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Who holds the shares?
Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.
- Institutional ownership
- 72.4% Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · ownership
- 67.8% Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
- Reporting holders
- 521 Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · holders
- 498 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
| Holders in provider snapshot | Shares |
|---|---|
| Blackrock, INC. | 7,712,799 |
| Fmr LLC | 5,466,871 |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 3,580,166 |
| State Street Corp | 3,080,102 |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 3,026,309 |
Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
What has been published about American Financial Group (AFG)?
AFG Financial Services Stock FAQ
Research dated 2026-09-13; the answers below are from that research, and the full attribution is under Sources. The last 2 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
What does AFG sell through independent agents and brokers?
AFG sells specialized commercial property and casualty policies, including transportation, marine, agricultural, liability, workers’ compensation, surety, trade credit and lender-related coverage. The network connects those niche products with businesses seeking tailored risk protection.
Why does property and casualty insurance define AFG’s results?
That segment contributes nearly all reported segment revenue, while corporate and other activities are comparatively small. Changes in insurance profitability therefore have far more influence on the companywide result than the broad financial-services label suggests.
How should investors read AFG’s cash and investment balance?
Cash and short-term investments exceed total debt, and long-term investments make the broader asset pool much larger. For an insurer, those investments sit alongside substantial policy-related liabilities, so liquidity, reserve demands and asset quality need to be considered together.
Can AFG use excess capital for special dividends or repurchases?
Management has named special dividends, repurchases and acquisitions as potential uses of expected excess capital. Recent payments show that special distributions are already part of the capital-return pattern, although future deployment remains a management decision.
What is the AFG stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) is $139.33, as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the AFG price target?
The analyst consensus price target for American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) is $156.00 (range $156.00 to $156.00, median $156.00), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-13. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (77 figures)
The 77 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 2 facts from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
prod.outlook | Management outlook — call excerpts | Stephen Craig Lindner (Aug 5, 2026): We expect our operations to continue to generate significant excess capital throughout the remainder of 2026, which provides ample opportunity for acquisitions, special dividends or share repurchases. | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | |
id.hq | SEC filing business address | Great American Insurance Group Tower, 301 E. 4TH Street, Cincinnati, OH, 45202 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH, 45202, US". |
FMP — 66 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.next | Next earnings date | Nov 3, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar — The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | |
px.last | Latest provided price | $139.33 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-05T21:44:38.561Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | +0.17% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalisation | $11.6B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-05T20:00:03.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-05T21:44:35.858Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | +$0.23 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q2 FY2026 | $1.99B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $123.09–$150.02 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 12.17 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 715.8K | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | 0.6 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | Stephen Craig Lindner | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.employees | Employees | 8,500 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing | |
fin.annual | Revenue and net result by fiscal year | 5 fiscal years, FY2021 through FY2025: FY2021 revenue $6.23B, net result $2.00B; FY2022 revenue $6.77B, net result $898.00M; FY2023 revenue $7.73B, net result $852.00M; FY2024 revenue $8.28B, net result $887.00M; FY2025 revenue $8.12B, net result $842.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements | |
fin.rev_mix | Reported revenue segments | Corporate and Other $380.00M · Property and Casualty Insurance $7.78B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K | |
fin.gross_margin | Gross margin (trailing twelve months) | 26.0% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-06-30 | $1.99B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-06-30 | $316.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-03-31 | $1.84B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-03-31 | $239.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-12-31 | $2.04B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-12-31 | $379.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-09-30 | $2.30B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-09-30 | $268.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-08-04 | $1.92B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-08-04 | $1.85B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-08-04 | $2.8200 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-08-04 | $2.3200 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-29.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-04-29 | $1.66B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-29.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-04-29 | $1.70B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-29.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-04-29 | $2.4700 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-29.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-04-29 | $2.5500 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-03.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-02-03 | $1.44B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-03.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-02-03 | $1.90B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-03.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-02-03 | $3.6500 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-03.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-02-03 | $3.1800 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-11-04 | $2.30B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-11-04 | $1.98B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-11-04 | $2.6900 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-11-04 | $2.5200 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q2 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
fin.cash_investments | Cash and short-term investments | $2.28B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. | |
fin.opcf_latest | Latest-quarter operating cash flow | $92.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Period end: 2026-06-30. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. This figure is not a cash-runway estimate. | |
fin.long_term_investments | Long-term investments (classification unverified) | $14.79B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.total_debt | Total debt | $1.82B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.price_to_book | Price to book value | 2.39× | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-06-30 | $92.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-03-31 | $474.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-06-30 | −$41.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-03-31 | −$17.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-12-31 | $784.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-12-31 | −$36.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-09-30 | $216.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-09-30 | −$41.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $156.00 – $156.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $156.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $156.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.insiders | Insider transactions via FMP | 16 transactions · 0 purchases, 7 sales, 9 other transactions · 12 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 16, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent. | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct | Institutional ownership | 72.4% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · ownership | 67.8% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders | Reporting holders | 521 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · holders | 498 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.shares | Blackrock, INC. — shares in provider snapshot | 7,712,799 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.shares | Fmr LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 5,466,871 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.shares | Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 3,580,166 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.shares | State Street Corp — shares in provider snapshot | 3,080,102 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.shares | Vanguard Capital Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 3,026,309 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. |
UNRECORDED — 2 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 4 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-01 · Expired observation | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 0.33 · Piotroski F 6 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04 · Expired observation |
COMPUTED — 5 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fin.mcap_to_cash | Market value per dollar of cash and short-term investments | 5.08× | — | COMPUTED | Computed on this page from the figures above — The market capitalisation printed on this page divided by cash and short-term investments of $2.28B at Jun 30, 2026. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. Balance-sheet reference date: 2026-06-30. The inputs do not establish a single common source date for this ratio. |
div.ttm_per_share | Dividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted) | $7.02 | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history — Sum of 6 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-10-05, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate. | |
div.ttm_yield | Dividend yield, last 12 months | 5.05% | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history and quote — Split-adjusted dividends with ex-dates in the trailing 365-day window divided by the packet price, on the same current-share basis. Price date follows the quote, latest price bar or packet-build day when unstamped. Not a forecast or declared annual rate. | |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($1.92B) with the recorded estimate ($1.85B) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($2.8200) with the recorded estimate ($2.3200) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 82 of 100 · Exceptional · pillars 87 / 50 / 91 / 55 / 50 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 82 (stored snapshot Oct 5, 2026) → 82 (current publication computed Oct 6, 2026) (0) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive. |
Fact-family notes
- Quarterly statement note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k. - Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-08-04. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-04-29.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-04-29.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-04-29.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-04-29.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-03.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-03.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-03.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-03.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_estimated. - Cash-flow note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m.
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Sources used for research written 2026-09-13
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business description | American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) operates as an insurance holding company, specializing in providing a broad array of property and casualty insurance solutions across the United States. Its comprehensive product portfolio encompasses various lines of business, including property and transportation coverage, which offers protection for physical damage and liability concerning vehicles like buses and trucks, along with inland and ocean marine policies, agricultural-related products, and other commercial property and niche transportation insurance types. The company's specialty casualty segment delivers products such as excess and surplus lines, executive and professional liability, general liability, and umbrella and excess liability policies. It also develops customized programs for small to mid-sized enterprises and provides workers' compensation coverage. Furthermore, AFG extends specialty financial insurance products, including risk management solutions tailored for lending and leasing institutions, fidelity and surety bonds, and trade credit insurance. Distribution of these property and casualty policies is primarily conducted through a network of independent insurance agents and brokers. Established in 1872, American Financial Group, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Cincinnati, Ohio. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Revenue by segment | Corporate and Other: $380.00M; Property and Casualty Insurance: $7.78B | 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K |
| Quarterly income statement (USD thousands) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements |
| Operating cash flow by quarter (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements |
| Management outlook — dated call excerpts | Captured record · 1 entry
Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | 2026-08-05 | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) |
| Sector / industry (provider taxonomy) | Financial Services / Insurance - Property & Casualty The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 6331 — Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Annual revenue and net result (USD millions) | Captured record · 5 entries
| 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements |
| Cash, investments and debt | Total debt: $1.82B; Liquidity basis: cash and short-term investments; Total liabilities: $28.21B; Cash and short-term investments: $2.28B; Cash and investments: $17.07B; Long-term investments: $14.79B; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet |
| Cash and investment components | Total basis: cash short and long-term investments; Total: $17.07B; Cash and short-term investments: $2.28B; Long-term investments: $14.79B; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Sums the balance sheet's cash and short-term investments with its long-term investments.; The long-term investment field does not establish marketability; the sum is not a measure of available liquidity.; These provider fields do not establish investment access restrictions or explain differences from third-party cash figures. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet |
| Reported versus estimated, last 8 quarters | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-08-04 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings |
| Recent SEC filings |
| 2026-08-06 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer submissions |
| Most recent periodic reports | Annual: Document: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1042046/000104204626000010/afg-20251231.htm, Filed: 2026-02-25, Period end: 2025-12-31; Quarterly: Document: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1042046/000104204626000024/afg-20260630.htm, Filed: 2026-08-06, Period end: 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer submissions |
| Cash and short-term investments over time (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's quarterly balance sheets |
| Trailing twelve-month ratio set | Quick ratio: 0.5; Current ratio: 0.5; Debt to equity: 0.38; Net margin: 11.7%; Gross margin: 26%; Operating margin: 14.7%; Return on assets: 2.9%; Return on equity: 20% Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm |
| Recent dividends paid | Captured record · 4 entries
Declared amounts per share on their ex-dates. A single payment does not establish an annual rate, and a special dividend is not separated here. | 2026-07-15 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) dividend history |
| Dividends per share, last 12 months | $7.02 Sum of 6 payments with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-09-13. A past window, not a declared annual rate; a special dividend inside it is included. | 2026-07-15 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) dividend history |
| Dividend yield, last 12 months | 4.95% Payments made in the last 12 months divided by the close this page was built from. Backward-looking; it is not a forecast and the company has not declared it as a rate. | 2026-07-15 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) dividend history and quote |
| Next earnings report | Date: 2026-11-03; EPS estimate: $3.5 per share; Revenue estimate: $2.40B The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar |
| Analyst revenue and earnings estimates (average) | Captured record · 4 entries
| 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) analyst estimates |
Data provided for informational purposes only.
ETFs that hold AFG
Funds in our ETF coverage that list AFG among the top 10 holdings on their fund page, largest weight first. Each weight is the fund's reported holding weight as of the date in its row.
| ETF | Weight | Holdings as of |
|---|---|---|
| SOVF ETF | 2.50% |