Stock Expert AI

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW)

CoreCivic, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities. The company provides solutions to government partners through corrections management, residential reentry services, and government real estate.

45/100 AI Score MCap $1.94B Vol 94.3K

Company Overview

CEOPatrick Swindle
Employees11649
HeadquartersBrentwood, TN, US
Founded1997

CoreCivic delivers essential government solutions, offering corrections and detention management, residential reentry services, and government real estate, addressing critical public needs with a focus on rehabilitation and recidivism reduction, trading at a P/E of 18.61 with a $2.00B market cap.

Investment Thesis

CoreCivic presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its strategic positioning in the corrections and detention industry, coupled with its focus on residential reentry services. The company's established relationships with government partners provide a stable revenue stream, while its commitment to rehabilitation programs enhances its social impact. With a market capitalization of $2.00 billion and a P/E ratio of 18.61, CoreCivic offers a potentially undervalued entry point. Growth catalysts include increasing demand for correctional facilities and reentry programs, driven by criminal justice reforms and rising inmate populations. Key value drivers include efficient facility management, expansion of service offerings, and strategic real estate investments. Investors should consider CoreCivic for its potential to generate long-term value through a combination of stable income and growth opportunities.

Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $2.00 billion, reflecting substantial investor interest in the company's market position.
  • P/E ratio of 18.61, suggesting a reasonable valuation relative to earnings.
  • Gross margin of 23.7%, indicating the company's ability to manage production costs effectively.
  • Operates 46 correctional and detention facilities, providing a strong foundation for revenue generation.
  • Offers residential reentry programs, addressing a critical need and potentially reducing recidivism rates.

Competitors

Agree Realty CorporationDynex Capital, Inc.EPR PropertiesEmpire State Realty Trust, Inc.Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.

Strengths

  • Established relationships with government partners.
  • Specialized expertise in corrections and detention management.
  • Comprehensive service offerings, including rehabilitation programs.
  • Scale of operations, allowing for cost efficiencies.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on government contracts, which are subject to political and regulatory changes.
  • Negative public perception associated with private prison operators.
  • Exposure to litigation and liability risks.
  • High debt levels.

Catalysts

  • Ongoing: Increasing demand for correctional facilities due to rising crime rates and stricter sentencing laws.
  • Ongoing: Expansion of residential reentry programs aimed at reducing recidivism.
  • Upcoming: Potential new contracts with government agencies to manage correctional facilities.
  • Ongoing: Implementation of cost-saving measures to improve profitability.

Risks

  • Potential: Changes in government policies regarding private prisons could reduce demand for CoreCivic's services.
  • Ongoing: Negative publicity and reputational damage could impact the company's ability to secure contracts.
  • Potential: Litigation and liability risks associated with the operation of correctional facilities.
  • Ongoing: High debt levels could limit the company's financial flexibility.

Growth Opportunities

  • Expansion of Residential Reentry Programs: CoreCivic has a significant opportunity to expand its residential reentry programs, addressing the growing need for effective recidivism reduction strategies. The market for reentry services is estimated to be worth billions of dollars annually, with increasing government funding allocated to support these initiatives. By leveraging its existing infrastructure and expertise, CoreCivic can capture a larger share of this market, providing valuable services and generating additional revenue. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Acquisitions of Complementary Businesses: CoreCivic can pursue strategic acquisitions of companies that offer complementary services, such as healthcare providers specializing in correctional settings or technology firms developing innovative rehabilitation tools. These acquisitions would enhance CoreCivic's service offerings and expand its market reach. The market for correctional healthcare is estimated to be substantial, with significant growth potential. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Development of New Correctional Facilities: CoreCivic can capitalize on the increasing demand for correctional facilities by developing new, state-of-the-art facilities that meet the evolving needs of government partners. These facilities can incorporate advanced security technologies and sustainable design features, enhancing their appeal to potential clients. The market for correctional facility development is driven by rising inmate populations and aging infrastructure. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Leveraging Technology to Improve Operational Efficiency: CoreCivic can invest in technology solutions to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs. This includes implementing advanced data analytics platforms to optimize resource allocation, deploying automated security systems to enhance safety, and utilizing telehealth services to improve healthcare delivery. The market for correctional technology is rapidly growing, with significant opportunities for innovation. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Expanding Government Real Estate Solutions: CoreCivic can further expand its government real estate solutions segment by acquiring and leasing properties to government agencies. This diversification strategy provides a stable revenue stream and reduces reliance on the corrections and detention markets. The market for government real estate is substantial, with ongoing demand for office space, administrative facilities, and other types of properties. Timeline: Ongoing.

Opportunities

  • Expansion of residential reentry programs.
  • Strategic acquisitions of complementary businesses.
  • Development of new correctional facilities.
  • Leveraging technology to improve operational efficiency.

Threats

  • Changes in government policies regarding private prisons.
  • Decreasing inmate populations.
  • Increased competition from other private prison operators.
  • Negative publicity and reputational damage.

Competitive Advantages

  • Established relationships with government partners, providing a competitive advantage in securing contracts.
  • Specialized expertise in managing correctional and detention facilities, creating a barrier to entry for new competitors.
  • Scale of operations, allowing for economies of scale and cost efficiencies.
  • Commitment to rehabilitation programs, enhancing the company's reputation and social impact.

About

Founded in 1983, CoreCivic, Inc. has evolved into a leading provider of partnership corrections and detention management services, residential reentry centers, and government real estate solutions in the United States. The company operates through three segments: CoreCivic Safety, which focuses on correctional and detention facilities; CoreCivic Community, which manages residential reentry centers; and CoreCivic Properties, which leases real estate to government agencies. CoreCivic's founding vision was to offer innovative solutions to address the growing needs of the corrections and detention sectors. Over the years, the company has expanded its services to include comprehensive rehabilitation and educational programs, such as basic education, faith-based services, life skills and employment training, and substance abuse treatment. As of December 31, 2021, CoreCivic owned and operated 46 correctional and detention facilities, 26 residential reentry centers, and 10 properties for lease. Headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee, CoreCivic continues to focus on providing cost-effective and high-quality solutions to its government partners, contributing to public safety and community reintegration.

What They Do

  • Owns and operates correctional and detention facilities.
  • Manages residential reentry centers for individuals transitioning out of incarceration.
  • Provides real estate solutions to government partners.
  • Offers rehabilitation and educational programs to inmates.
  • Provides secure transportation services for inmates.
  • Manages facilities under contract with government agencies.

Business Model

  • Generates revenue through contracts with government agencies to manage correctional and detention facilities.
  • Receives payments for providing housing, security, and support services to inmates.
  • Leases real estate to government agencies, generating rental income.
  • Offers rehabilitation and educational programs, which may be funded by government grants or contracts.

Industry Context

CoreCivic operates within the REIT - Specialty industry, which is influenced by factors such as government spending on corrections, criminal justice reforms, and demographic trends. The market for correctional facilities and reentry services is driven by the need to manage inmate populations and reduce recidivism. The competitive landscape includes other private prison operators and government-run facilities. CoreCivic differentiates itself through its comprehensive service offerings, including rehabilitation programs and real estate solutions. The industry is subject to regulatory scrutiny and political considerations, which can impact demand and profitability.

Key Customers

  • Federal government agencies, such as the Bureau of Prisons.
  • State government agencies, such as departments of corrections.
  • Local government agencies, such as county sheriffs' offices.
  • Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).
AI Confidence: 72% Updated: 2/8/2026

Financials

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q4 2025 $604M $27M $0.26
Q3 2025 $580M $26M $0.24
Q2 2025 $538M $39M $0.35
Q1 2025 $489M $25M $0.23

Source: Company filings

Chart & Info

Price Chart

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) stock price: $18.57 (+0.00, +0.00%)

Why Bull

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in CoreCivic's future, indicating that executives believe the company's prospects are strong.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting potential growth in demand for correctional services amid changing policies.
  • Analysts note that CoreCivic's contracts with government entities provide a stable revenue stream, which is reassuring for long-term investors.
  • The increasing focus on criminal justice reform may lead to opportunities for CoreCivic to expand its services beyond traditional incarceration.

Why Bear

  • Concerns over potential regulatory changes loom large, as shifts in criminal justice policies could adversely affect CoreCivic's operations.
  • Community sentiment includes skepticism about the ethical implications of private prisons, which may lead to reputational risks.
  • Recent bearish discussions emphasize the company's dependency on government contracts, making it vulnerable to budget cuts or policy shifts.
  • Insider selling in previous months raised red flags for some investors, suggesting uncertainty about the company's short-term outlook.

Latest News

Technical Analysis

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Rationale

AI-generated technical analysis for CXW including trend direction, momentum, and pattern recognition.

What to Watch

Key support and resistance levels, volume signals, and upcoming events.

Risk Management

Position sizing, stop-loss levels, and risk-reward assessment.

Community

Discussion

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Sentiment

Community sentiment and discussion activity for CXW.

Make a Prediction

Set your price target for CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW), choose a timeframe, and track your prediction accuracy.

Current price: $18.57

Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for CXW.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for CXW.

Insider Flow (30d)

Emkes Mark A
Insider
4 days ago
BOUGHT
168,450 shares
Hernandez-Blades Catherine
Insider
4 days ago
BOUGHT
24,639 shares
FISCHER ALEXANDER R
Insider
4 days ago
BOUGHT
30,775 shares
Hylton Stacia
Insider
4 days ago
BOUGHT
91,320 shares
Lappin Harley G.
Insider
4 days ago
BOUGHT
75,360 shares
MARSHALL THURGOOD JR
Insider
4 days ago
BOUGHT
52,374 shares
Murphy Devin Ignatius
Insider
4 days ago
BOUGHT
71,924 shares
Stacey Tank
Insider
4 days ago
BOUGHT
14,833 shares
Tran Nina A
Insider
4 days ago
BOUGHT
14,833 shares
Smith S. Dawn
Insider
4 days ago
BOUGHT
14,833 shares
Swindle, Patrick D.
Insider
5 days ago
BOUGHT
295,177 shares
GARFINKLE DAVID
Insider
5 days ago
BOUGHT
375,978 shares
Grande Anthony L
Insider
5 days ago
BOUGHT
173,146 shares
Carter, Cole G.
Insider
5 days ago
BOUGHT
243,988 shares
Mayberry Lucibeth
Insider
5 days ago
BOUGHT
248,150 shares
Swenson Daren
Insider
5 days ago
BOUGHT
156,450 shares
Groschen Laura A
Insider
5 days ago
BOUGHT
77,720 shares
Groschen Laura A
Insider
1 month ago
BOUGHT
50,968 shares
$1000K
FISCHER ALEXANDER R
Insider
1 month ago
BOUGHT
22,424 shares
$429K

MoonshotScore

44.5/100

Score Factors

  • Revenue Growth 4/100

    Revenue grew only 12.7% YoY, suggesting the company is in a slower growth phase.

  • Gross Margin 6/100

    Gross margin of 23.5% is acceptable but leaves limited room for R&D and marketing investment.

  • Operating Leverage 4/100

    Limited operating leverage due to slower revenue growth, keeping profit scaling constrained.

  • Cash Runway 5/100

    Cash position data is currently unavailable for this company.

  • R&D Intensity 5/100

    R&D spending data is currently unavailable for this company.

  • Insider Activity 6/100

    No significant insider buying or selling recently, which is neutral for the stock outlook.

  • Short Interest 5/100

    Float and volume data unavailable for liquidity analysis.

  • Price Momentum 0/100

    No bullish technical signals detected. The stock lacks upward price momentum currently.

  • News Sentiment 5/100

    No sentiment data available

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates CXW's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Classification

Sector Real Estate Industry REIT - Specialty

Competitors & Peers

Latest News

Frequently Asked Questions

What does CoreCivic, Inc. do?

CoreCivic, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in owning and operating partnership correctional, detention, and residential reentry facilities. The company provides a range of solutions to government partners, including corrections and detention management, residential reentry services, and government real estate solutions. CoreCivic's facilities offer rehabilitation and educational programs, such as basic education, life skills training, and substance abuse treatment, aimed at reducing recidivism and improving public safety. The company operates through three segments: CoreCivic Safety, CoreCivic Community, and CoreCivic Properties.

Is CXW stock a good buy?

CXW stock presents a mixed investment profile. The company's established position in the corrections and detention industry and its focus on residential reentry services offer potential for stable revenue and growth. With a market capitalization of $2.00 billion and a P/E ratio of 18.61, the stock may be reasonably valued. However, investors should consider the risks associated with government contracts, negative public perception, and high debt levels. A balanced analysis of these factors is crucial before making an investment decision, considering both the potential upside and the inherent risks.

What are the main risks for CXW?

The main risks for CoreCivic include potential changes in government policies regarding private prisons, which could significantly reduce demand for its services. Negative publicity and reputational damage, often associated with the private prison industry, could impact the company's ability to secure and renew contracts. Litigation and liability risks related to the operation of correctional facilities pose a constant threat. Additionally, CoreCivic's high debt levels could limit its financial flexibility and ability to pursue growth opportunities. These factors require careful consideration by investors.

Is CXW a good stock to buy?

Whether CXW is a good investment depends on your financial goals, risk tolerance, and investment horizon. Review the Investment Thesis, SWOT analysis, and Risk sections on this page. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before investing.

What is the CXW MoonshotScore?

MoonshotScore is our proprietary AI-powered rating system that evaluates stocks based on growth potential, financial health, market momentum, and risk factors. It helps investors quickly identify high-potential opportunities. Check the MoonshotScore badge on this page for the current rating.

How often is CXW data updated?

Stock prices are updated in real-time during market hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET). Company fundamentals, analyst ratings, and AI insights are refreshed daily. News is updated continuously throughout the day.

What are the growth catalysts for CXW?

Growth catalysts vary by company and may include new product launches, market expansion, earnings surprises, partnerships, or industry tailwinds. Check the Catalysts section on this page for specific drivers relevant to CoreCivic, Inc..

Who are CXW's main competitors?

CoreCivic, Inc.'s competitors depend on its industry and market segments. Check the Competitors section on this page for a list of direct competitors and how CXW compares.

What do analysts say about CXW?

Analyst ratings and price targets for CXW are aggregated from multiple sources. Check the Analyst Consensus tab for buy/hold/sell ratings and the current consensus price target.

What is CXW's market cap?

Market capitalization reflects the total market value of CXW's outstanding shares. Check the Key Statistics section at the top of this page for the current market cap and other key financial metrics.

How has CXW stock performed recently?

Check the Chart & Info tab for CXW's recent price action, including daily, weekly, and monthly performance charts with technical indicators.

What are the risks of investing in CXW?

Every stock carries risk. Check the Risks and Weaknesses sections on this page for CXW-specific risk factors. Consider macroeconomic conditions, industry trends, and company-specific challenges.

Are insiders buying or selling CXW?

Insider activity can signal management confidence. Check the Insider Flow tab for recent insider buys, sells, and exercise transactions for CXW.

Is CXW a good stock for beginners?

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) can be suitable for beginner investors depending on several factors. Look at the MoonshotScore on this page for an overall AI-powered assessment of growth potential and risk. Beginners should also check the company's market cap (larger companies tend to be less volatile), gross margin (higher margins mean stronger business fundamentals), and cash position (healthy cash reduces bankruptcy risk). Always start with a small position size and never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

How risky is CXW for first-time investors?

Every stock carries risk, including CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW). First-time investors should review the Risk Factors section on this page for company-specific risks. Key risk indicators include price volatility (check the chart for daily swings), insider selling activity (see Insider Flow tab), and cash runway (see MoonshotScore breakdown). A diversified portfolio with an index fund like the S&P 500 as a core holding is generally recommended before adding individual stocks like CXW.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Data provided for informational purposes only.

AI Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on information available as of 2021 and may not reflect the most current performance.
  • The analysis is based on publicly available information and does not constitute financial advice.
  • Investment decisions should be made in consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
Data Sources
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