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First Merchants Corporation (FRME) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$41.10 +$0.38 (+0.93%) |Strong · 74
First Merchants Corporation (FRME) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (68/100) and AI Score (74/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Valuation · Biggest watch-out: Financial Safety.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $2.58B| P/E Ratio: 13.13| Vol: 369K| Target: $47.00 (+14.4%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $34.66 – $45.33

P/E 13.13 means the share price is 13.13 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $2.58B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

First Merchants Corporation (FRME) trades at $41.10 with MoonshotScore 74/100 (Grade A). First Merchants Corporation is a regional financial services provider headquartered in Muncie, Indiana, offering a wide range of community banking services. Market cap: $2.58B, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
First Merchants Corporation is a regional financial services provider headquartered in Muncie, Indiana, offering a wide range of community banking services. With a strong market presence across Indiana, Illinois, Ohio, and Michigan, the company focuses on consumer and commercial banking, wealth management, and trust services.

FRME stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $47.00 for First Merchants Corporation, suggesting 14.4% upside from the current price of $41.10. The AI MoonshotScore is 74/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the FRME film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 68/100 · B+

FRME: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 74/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Valuation (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Financial Safety (3/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

First Merchants Corporation (FRME) Financial Services Profile

CEOMark K. Hardwick
Employees2,086
HeadquartersMuncie, IN, US
IPO Year1989

First Merchants Corporation stands out in the regional banking sector by delivering comprehensive community banking services, including consumer and commercial loans, wealth management, and trust services across multiple states, supported by a robust digital banking platform.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for FRME?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $2.58B and a P/E ratio of 13.13, the company demonstrates strong profitability, evidenced by a profit margin of 18.9% and a gross margin of 60.5%. The ongoing expansion of its banking locations and services in the Midwest, along with a focus on digital banking solutions, positions the company for continued growth in the evolving financial landscape. Additionally, the dividend yield of 3.56% reflects a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Key growth catalysts include increasing demand for community banking services, expansion into underserved markets, and the enhancement of digital service offerings. However, potential risks include regulatory challenges and economic fluctuations that could impact loan demand and credit quality.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FRME Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $2.58B reflects robust regional presence.

  • P/E ratio of 13.13 indicates competitive valuation within the regional banking sector.
  • Profit margin of 18.9% showcases strong operational efficiency.
  • Gross margin of 60.5% exceeds many peers in the financial services industry.
  • Dividend yield of 3.56% highlights commitment to shareholder returns.

Who Are FRME's Competitors?

FRME is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. $162.66 +0.48% $10.1B 835-pillar
PNC The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. $242.98 +0.95% $97.0B 735-pillar
FNB F.N.B. Corporation $18.25 -0.03% $6.50B 835-pillar
HBAN Huntington Bancshares Incorporated $16.79 +0.36% $33.9B 715-pillar
BOKF BOK Financial Corporation $135.21 +0.52% $8.22B 905-pillar
CLBK Columbia Financial, Inc. $11.54 +0.52% $2.58B 905-pillar
NBTB NBT Bancorp Inc. $51.73 +0.21% $2.69B 935-pillar
TRMK Trustmark Corporation $47.25 -0.42% $2.77B 935-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are FRME's Key Strengths?

Established brand with over 130 years of service.

  • Strong profitability metrics and efficient operations.
  • Diverse service offerings catering to various customer segments.
  • Robust digital banking platform enhancing customer experience.

What Are FRME's Weaknesses?

Limited geographic footprint compared to larger national banks.

  • Potential vulnerability to economic downturns affecting loan performance.
  • Dependence on regional economic conditions for growth.
  • Challenges in scaling technology investments relative to larger competitors.

What Could Drive FRME Stock Higher?

Continued expansion of banking locations in underserved markets to capture new customer segments.

  • Investment in digital banking technology to enhance customer experience and service efficiency.
  • Launch of new wealth management products to meet increasing demand from clients.
  • Strengthening of community engagement initiatives to build brand loyalty and customer trust.
  • Exploration of sustainable finance options to align with market trends and attract environmentally conscious clients.

What Are the Key Risks for FRME?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.46 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Regulatory changes that may increase compliance costs and operational challenges.
  • Economic conditions that could negatively impact loan demand and credit quality.
  • Cybersecurity threats that pose risks to customer data and trust.
  • Intense competition from larger banks and fintech firms that could pressure market share.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for FRME?

  • Expansion into underserved markets: First Merchants Corporation aims to penetrate underserved regions within its operational states, targeting a market size of approximately $500 million in potential deposits. This initiative is expected to unfold over the next 3-5 years, leveraging its established brand and community relationships to attract new customers.
  • Digital banking enhancements: With the growing trend towards online banking, First Merchants plans to invest in enhancing its digital platforms.
  • Increased demand for wealth management services: As consumers seek financial advice, First Merchants is poised to grow its wealth management division. The wealth management market is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 6% through 2026, providing opportunities for First Merchants to increase its client base and assets under management.
  • Corporate trust services growth: With a rising need for corporate trust services, First Merchants is strategically positioned to expand this segment. The corporate trust market is expected to grow significantly, driven by increased regulatory requirements and the need for fiduciary services, creating a potential revenue stream.
  • Sustainable finance initiatives: As sustainability becomes a priority for businesses, First Merchants is exploring green financing options.

What Are FRME's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong community ties and local market knowledge enhance customer loyalty.
  • Diverse range of services tailored to meet specific regional needs.
  • Established brand recognition and reputation built over more than a century.
  • Robust digital banking capabilities to compete with larger institutions.
  • Commitment to customer service and personalized banking experiences.

What Does FRME Do?

Founded in 1893, First Merchants Corporation has evolved into a prominent financial holding company, operating First Merchants Bank, which provides a diverse array of community banking services. Headquartered in Muncie, Indiana, the company has grown to operate 109 banking locations across Indiana, Illinois, Ohio, and Michigan. Its offerings include time, savings, and demand deposits, alongside a comprehensive suite of loan products such as consumer, commercial, agri-business, and real estate mortgage loans. First Merchants also engages in public finance, personal and corporate trust services, brokerage, and private wealth management, catering to both individual and corporate clients. The company has embraced technology by offering services through electronic and mobile channels, enhancing customer accessibility and convenience. Over the years, First Merchants Corporation has maintained a strong focus on community engagement and customer service, positioning itself as a trusted partner in the financial well-being of its clients. As of now, the company employs approximately 2,120 people, reflecting its significant role in the regional economy and commitment to providing quality financial services.

What Products and Services Does FRME Offer?

  • Provide community banking services including savings and demand deposits.
  • Offer a range of consumer and commercial loans, including mortgages.
  • Deliver personal and corporate trust services to clients.
  • Facilitate brokerage and private wealth management services.
  • Engage in public finance and corporate services.
  • Utilize electronic and mobile channels for service delivery.

How Does FRME Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through interest income from loans and deposits.
  • Earn fees from trust and wealth management services.
  • Collect service fees from brokerage activities.
  • Realize income from public finance projects.
  • Leverage technology to reduce operational costs and enhance service efficiency.

What Industry Does FRME Operate In?

The regional banking industry is characterized by a competitive landscape where institutions strive to differentiate through customer service and localized offerings. With a market size projected to grow steadily due to increasing demand for personalized banking solutions, First Merchants Corporation is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. The shift towards digital banking is reshaping customer expectations, prompting banks to enhance their technological capabilities. As larger banks focus on national strategies, regional players like First Merchants can leverage their community ties and tailored services to capture a loyal customer base.

Who Are FRME's Key Customers?

  • Individuals seeking personal banking services and loans.
  • Small to medium-sized businesses requiring commercial banking solutions.
  • Agricultural businesses needing specialized financial products.
  • Corporations seeking trust and wealth management services.
  • Local governments and entities looking for public finance options.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 42 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 74?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.52 Dividend yield (Valuation)
  • +0.30 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
  • +0.23 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.15 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 70
2026-08-26 64
2026-08-29 70
2026-09-01 77
2026-09-04 77
2026-09-07 78
2026-09-10 74

What changed?

The grade moved from 70 to 74 (+4).

What moved it up or down:

  • +13 Financial Safety

Held back by:

  • -9 Momentum
  • -3 Business Quality

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -3.6%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, First Merchants Corporation insiders filed 48 SEC Form 4 transactions — 12 sales and 36 purchases. On net that is roughly 48K shares acquired (about $2.1M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

First Merchants Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 7.8% below estimates on average.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

First Merchants Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.46 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

ROE 7%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for First Merchants Corporation stands at 7.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. FRME trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 13.13, below the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 12.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.24 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 7.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

First Merchants Corporation (FRME) Valuation Context

Valued at $2.58B, FRME is classified as a mid-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $45.00 to $49.00, with a consensus of $47.00. At the current price of $41.10, that implies approximately 14% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, FRME's quantitative score of 74/100 is below the peer average of 85/100.

FRME Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, FRME generated $298.0M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 17.6%. The company recorded net income of $44.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.70. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Financial Services. Across the four most recent quarters, FRME averaged $0.79 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

First Merchants Corporation operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Muncie, US. The company is led by CEO Mark K. Hardwick. FRME has traded publicly since 1989.

FRME Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-0.3%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+12.2%
EPS Growth (FY)
+14.0%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+6.5%
P/E (TTM)
13.13
Return on Equity (TTM)
+7.3%
Current Ratio
0.2
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
15.7

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Established brand with over 130 years of service.
  • Strong profitability metrics and efficient operations.
  • Diverse service offerings catering to various customer segments.
  • Robust digital banking platform enhancing customer experience.

Bear Case

  • Limited geographic footprint compared to larger national banks.
  • Potential vulnerability to economic downturns affecting loan performance.
  • Dependence on regional economic conditions for growth.
  • Challenges in scaling technology investments relative to larger competitors.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $298M $44M $0.70
Q1 FY2026 $253M $28M $0.46
Q4 FY2025 $270M $57M $0.99
Q3 FY2025 $268M $57M $0.99

Q2 FY2026 · filed 31 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FRME Latest News

FRME Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for FRME.

Price Targets

Low
$45.00
Consensus
$47.00
High
$49.00

Median: $47.00 (+14.4% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

FRME MoonshotScore

74/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. FRME scores 74/100 (Grade A): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Michael C. Rechin

CEO

Michael C. Rechin has been instrumental in steering First Merchants Corporation through various phases of growth since joining the company. With a strong background in finance and banking, he has held several leadership positions within the organization. Rechin holds a degree in finance from a reputable university, equipping him with the skills necessary to navigate the complexities of the financial services industry.

Track Record: Under Rechin's leadership, First Merchants has successfully expanded its branch network and enhanced its digital banking capabilities. His strategic focus on community engagement and customer service has strengthened the company's market position and customer loyalty.

FRME Financial Services Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for FRME?

FRME holds an AI Score of 74/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is FRME a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate FRME buy, sell or hold. First Merchants Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 74/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about FRME stock?

Analysts generally view FRME stock favorably, highlighting its solid financial performance characterized by a profit margin of 18.9% and a P/E ratio of 13.13.

What are the key factors to evaluate for FRME?

First Merchants Corporation (FRME) holds a MoonshotScore of 74/100 (high). P/E: 13.13x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $47.00 (+14%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does FRME data refresh on this page?

FRME's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven FRME's recent stock price performance?

First Merchants Corporation (FRME) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established brand with over 130 years of service. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider FRME overvalued or undervalued right now?

First Merchants Corporation (FRME) trades at 13.13x earnings. Analysts target $47.00 (+14%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of FRME?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of First Merchants Corporation (FRME) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track FRME's earnings and financial reports?

First Merchants Corporation (FRME) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for FRME earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data sourced from company filings and market analysis reports.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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