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Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) Stock Analysis

$8.67 -$0.02 (-0.23%) |CouncilSplit View · 43 · C
Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) bottom line: Split View — our Council read (43/100) and AI Score (44/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Izzy Englander bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $8.32B|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) trades at $8.67 with AI Score 44/100 (Grade C). Fidelity SAI U. S. Market cap: $8.32B, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: Mar 17, 2026
Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) seeks to replicate the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index by investing in U.S. Treasury debt securities. The fund utilizes statistical sampling to match the index's characteristics while maintaining a dollar-weighted average maturity of one year or more.

Analyst Coverage for FUTBX: FUTBX does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates FUTBX against Financial Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.

Watch the FUTBX film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 43/100 · C

FUTBX: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Izzy Englander bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Neutral
Moon AI
Neutral
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) Financial Services Profile

HeadquartersBoston, US
IPO Year2016

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) aims to mirror the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index, focusing on U.S. Treasury debt with a dollar-weighted average maturity exceeding one year. It employs statistical sampling for efficient replication within the bond asset management sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: Mar 17, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for FUTBX?

As of Mar 17, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) presents a straightforward investment thesis centered on mirroring the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index. The fund's primary value driver is its ability to closely track the index's performance through statistical sampling, offering investors exposure to U.S. Treasury bonds with minimal tracking error. A key growth catalyst is the continued demand for low-cost, passive investment options, particularly in the fixed income space. As investors seek to diversify their portfolios and manage risk, FUTBX provides a convenient and transparent way to access the U.S. Treasury market. However, potential risks include interest rate fluctuations, which can impact bond values, and the possibility of tracking error, although the fund aims to minimize this through its sampling methodology. The fund's beta of 0.90 suggests moderate volatility relative to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FUTBX Key Highlights

FUTBX invests at least 80% of its assets in debt securities included in the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index.

  • The fund uses statistical sampling techniques to replicate the returns of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index.
  • FUTBX maintains a dollar-weighted average maturity of one year or more.
  • The fund's market capitalization is $8.19 billion, indicating significant investor interest.
  • FUTBX has a beta of 0.90, suggesting moderate volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are FUTBX's Competitors?

FUTBX is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
APGCX AB Large Cap Growth Fund $115.22 -0.75% $15.8B 47
FEMKX Fidelity Emerging Markets Fund $60.18 +1.66% $12.1B 44
FNBGX Fidelity Long-Term Treasury Bond Index Fund $8.89 +1.48% $5.06B 44
FUAMX Fidelity Intermediate Treasury Bond Index Fund $9.56 -0.42% $8.28B
JVASX JPMorgan Value Advantage Fund $42.53 -0.91% $8.64B 44
ICVT iShares Convertible Bond ETF $115.62 -0.19% $7.45B 50
BUFR FT Vest Laddered Buffer ETF $37.22 -0.27% $10.1B 47
TFLO iShares Treasury Floating Rate Bond ETF $50.60 +0.02% $6.60B 50

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are FUTBX's Key Strengths?

Low expense ratio.

  • Strong brand recognition of Fidelity.
  • Efficient index tracking.
  • High AUM, providing economies of scale.

What Are FUTBX's Weaknesses?

Limited potential for outperformance due to passive strategy.

  • Vulnerability to interest rate fluctuations.
  • Tracking error, although minimized through sampling.
  • Dependence on the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index.

What Could Drive FUTBX Stock Higher?

Continued growth in passive investing and ETF adoption.

  • Increasing demand for fixed income exposure in diversified portfolios.
  • Potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could boost bond prices.
  • Launch of new fixed income products by Fidelity to cater to different investor needs.

What Are the Key Risks for FUTBX?

Rising interest rates, which could negatively impact bond values.

  • Tracking error, which could cause the fund to underperform the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index.
  • Changes in the regulatory environment for bond funds.
  • Economic downturn impacting the creditworthiness of U.S. Treasury bonds.
  • Inflation eroding the real value of fixed income returns.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for FUTBX?

  • Increased Adoption of Passive Investing: The ongoing shift towards passive investing strategies presents a significant growth opportunity for FUTBX. As investors increasingly favor low-cost, index-tracking funds, FUTBX is well-positioned to attract assets. The market for passive fixed income funds is projected to continue growing at a rate of 10-15% annually over the next five years, offering substantial potential for FUTBX to expand its assets under management. This trend is driven by the desire for diversification, cost efficiency, and transparency.
  • Rising Demand for Fixed Income Exposure: As investors seek to balance risk in their portfolios, the demand for fixed income investments, particularly U.S. Treasury bonds, is expected to rise. FUTBX provides a convenient and liquid way to gain exposure to this asset class. With increasing uncertainty in the equity markets, investors are likely to allocate more capital to fixed income, benefiting funds like FUTBX. This demand is anticipated to grow steadily over the next 3-5 years.
  • Expansion of ETF Market: The continued growth of the exchange-traded fund (ETF) market creates opportunities for FUTBX to attract new investors. ETFs offer intraday liquidity and transparency, making them a noteworthy option for both institutional and retail investors. As the ETF market expands, FUTBX can leverage its existing infrastructure and distribution channels to increase its market share. The ETF market is projected to grow by 12-15% annually over the next five years.
  • Strategic Partnerships and Distribution Agreements: Fidelity could pursue strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and expand its distribution agreements to reach a wider audience. By collaborating with brokerage firms, wealth management platforms, and retirement plan providers, FUTBX can increase its visibility and accessibility to potential investors. These partnerships can provide access to new customer segments and accelerate asset growth. These partnerships are expected to materialize over the next 2-3 years.
  • Product Innovation and Diversification: Fidelity could consider expanding its suite of bond index funds to cater to different investor needs and risk profiles. This could involve launching funds with varying maturities, credit quality, or exposure to specific segments of the bond market. By offering a broader range of fixed income products, Fidelity can attract a wider range of investors and increase its overall market share. These new products are expected to be launched over the next 3-5 years.

What Are FUTBX's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established brand and reputation of Fidelity Investments.
  • Low expense ratio compared to actively managed bond funds.
  • Efficient replication of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index.
  • Significant assets under management, providing economies of scale.

What Does FUTBX Do?

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) is designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index. The fund achieves this by investing at least 80% of its assets in debt securities included in the index. FUTBX employs a statistical sampling technique, which involves selecting a smaller number of securities that, in aggregate, closely resemble the key characteristics of the entire index. These characteristics include duration, maturity, interest rate sensitivity, security structure, and credit quality. By using this approach, the fund aims to replicate the returns of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index in a cost-effective manner. The fund maintains a dollar-weighted average maturity of one year or more, ensuring a focus on intermediate-term U.S. Treasury bonds. This strategy makes FUTBX a suitable option for investors seeking exposure to the U.S. Treasury market with a focus on replicating index performance. The fund operates within the broader Fidelity Investments family, leveraging its established infrastructure and expertise in asset management. FUTBX provides investors with a relatively low-cost and transparent way to access the U.S. Treasury bond market.

What Products and Services Does FUTBX Offer?

  • Invests primarily in U.S. Treasury debt securities.
  • Tracks the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index.
  • Uses statistical sampling to replicate index returns.
  • Maintains a dollar-weighted average maturity of one year or more.
  • Offers a low-cost way to access the U.S. Treasury market.
  • Provides diversification benefits within a fixed income portfolio.

How Does FUTBX Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through management fees charged on assets under management (AUM).
  • Aims to provide returns that closely mirror the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index.
  • Utilizes a passive investment strategy, minimizing active management costs.

What Industry Does FUTBX Operate In?

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) operates within the asset management industry, specifically focusing on bond index funds. The market for bond ETFs and index funds has grown significantly as investors seek low-cost, passive investment options. The competitive landscape includes other firms offering similar U.S. Treasury bond index funds. FUTBX differentiates itself through its statistical sampling methodology and its affiliation with Fidelity Investments. The fund benefits from the trend towards passive investing and the increasing demand for fixed income exposure in diversified portfolios.

Who Are FUTBX's Key Customers?

  • Retail investors seeking exposure to U.S. Treasury bonds.
  • Institutional investors looking for low-cost fixed income solutions.
  • Financial advisors building diversified portfolios for their clients.
AI Confidence: 83% Updated: Mar 17, 2026

How Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund Is Valued

Relative to its peer group, FUTBX's quantitative score of 44/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 45/100.

FUTBX Financials

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the fund's stability and long-term performance.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting the fund's resilience amid market volatility.
  • The fund's focus on U.S. Treasury bonds aligns well with current economic uncertainties, appealing to risk-averse investors.
  • Increased demand for safe-haven assets like Treasury bonds indicates a bullish outlook for funds like FUTBX.

Bear Case

  • Concerns about rising interest rates could pressure bond prices, creating a bearish sentiment around bond funds.
  • Community discussions have raised alarms about potential inflation impacts on bond yields, affecting investor confidence.
  • Some analysts express skepticism about the fund's ability to outperform other investment vehicles in a rising rate environment.
  • Recent market developments show a preference for equities over fixed income, leading to a bearish outlook for bond-focused funds.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

FUTBX Latest News

No recent news available for FUTBX.

FUTBX Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for FUTBX.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for FUTBX.

FUTBX MoonshotScore

44/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates FUTBX 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for FUTBX?

FUTBX holds an AI Score of 44/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) seeks to replicate the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index by investing in U.S. Treasury debt securities. The fund utilizes …

What does Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund do?

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) is designed to replicate the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index. The fund invests primarily in U.S. Treasury debt securities and uses a statistical sampling technique to match the index's key characteristics, such as duration, maturity, and credit quality.

What do analysts say about FUTBX stock?

As a bond index fund, FUTBX does not have traditional 'analyst ratings' like individual stocks. Instead, its performance is evaluated based on its ability to track the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index, its expense ratio, and its liquidity. Key valuation metrics include its yield to maturity and its duration.

What are the main risks for FUTBX?

The primary risk for FUTBX is interest rate risk. Rising interest rates can negatively impact bond values, potentially leading to losses for investors. Another risk is tracking error, which could cause the fund to underperform the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index, although the fund aims to minimize this through its sampling methodology.

How does Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund generate revenue?

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) generates revenue primarily through management fees. These fees are calculated as a percentage of the fund's total assets under management (AUM). The fund charges a small percentage annually to cover the costs of managing the fund, including investment management, administration, and other operational expenses.

What regulatory challenges does Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund face?

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) faces regulatory challenges common to all registered investment companies. These include compliance with the Investment Company Act of 1940, which governs fund structure, operations, and reporting requirements. The fund must also adhere to SEC regulations regarding fund advertising, disclosure, and investor protection.

What are the key factors to evaluate for FUTBX?

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) holds an AI score of 44/100 (low). Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) presents a straightforward investment thesis centered on mirroring the Bloomberg U.S. Not financial advice.

How frequently does FUTBX data refresh on this page?

FUTBX's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven FUTBX's recent stock price performance?

Fidelity SAI U.S. Treasury Bond Index Fund (FUTBX) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Low expense ratio. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on publicly available sources and is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.
  • This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Data Sources

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