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Hercules Capital Inc (HCXY) Stock Price & Analysis

Hercules Capital Inc (HCXY) — MoonshotScore 61/100 (Fair band), calculated Oct 5, 2026. Price $24.79 (-0.64%), as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session; market cap $3.05B.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$24.79 −$0.16 (-0.64%) Market Cap $3.05B

Hercules Capital Inc · HCXY · NYSE

Hercules Capital, Inc. is a business development company (BDC) specializing in providing financing to venture capital-backed companies in technology, life sciences, and sustainable energy. The firm offers venture debt, senior secured loans, and growth capital to companies at various stages of development.

Price as of Oct 5, 2026

Key Statistics

61 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · Hercules Capital (HCXY)

Fair
Business Quality Elite (99)
Financial Safety Strained (31)
Valuation Cheap (90)
Growth Durability Fading (34)
Momentum Quiet (49)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Elite quality, at a dirt-cheap price, but a strained balance sheet and weak growth. Business Quality: Elite; Financial Safety: Strained; Valuation: Cheap; Growth Durability: Fading; Momentum: Quiet.

  • quarterly revenue $157M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
  • EPS beat 3 of 8
  • Altman Z 1.12 · Piotroski F 5

Holding back: balance-sheet strain, soft growth

Helping: business quality, an attractive price

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for HCXY (30 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
64Fair
61Fair
61Fair
64Fair
64Fair
61Fair

The score moved from 75 in the stored Oct 4, 2026 snapshot to 61 in the current publication computed Oct 5, 2026 (-14); the largest pillar moves were Momentum -27 and Growth Durability -17.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$24.79
Change on the day-0.64%
52-week range$24.36 – $25.71
Market capitalisation$3.05B
Price / earnings (trailing)8.01
Shares traded on the day6.5K

Price & events

Other perspectives

Council score for Hercules Capital (HCXY): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

5-Factor Breakdown

Growth Durability Neutral
Momentum Neutral
Business Quality Strong
Financial Safety Weak
Valuation Strong

Legends Council

3 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Favorable read

Read on: Oct 2, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Moderate
Margin of Safety Fairly Valued
Revenue Growth Strong

Read on: Oct 2, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Oct 2, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the HCXY film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Hercules Capital (HCXY), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. Hercules Capital Inc (HCXY) is listed on NYSE. It employs 108 people and is led by Scott Bluestein. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $157M and net income of $130M. The market values it at $3.05B.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Hercules Capital (HCXY)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $157M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 3 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$157M$130M$0.65 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$96M$43M$0.22 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$158M$91M$0.47 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$169M$120M$0.62 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Hercules Capital (HCXY)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate business quality, an attractive price as strengths. What is holding it back is balance-sheet strain, soft growth. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 1.12 · Piotroski F 5. Trailing ratios: ROE 17.2% · ROA 8.2% · current ratio 0.13 · earnings yield 12.2% · free-cash-flow yield 0.3%.

Data-derived red flags

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.12 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 3 of the last 8 reported quarters.
5 · Peer comparison

How does Hercules Capital compare with its peers?

Short answer

Hercules Capital's score ranks 13th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) Named competitor$115.28 Oct 5, 2026$7.22B98 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Federated Hermes, Inc. (FHI) Named competitor$56.50 Oct 5, 2026$4.29B95 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) Same industry, near in market value$12.38 Oct 5, 2026$3.24B90 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
AllianceBernstein Holding L.P. (AB) Named competitor$35.04 Oct 5, 2026$3.26B88 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Acadian Asset Management (AAMI) Same industry, near in market value$96.16 Oct 5, 2026$3.43B85 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) Same industry, near in market value$87.33 Oct 5, 2026$4.83B85 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) Same industry, near in market value$9.44 Oct 5, 2026$4.37B80 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Sprott Inc. (SII) Same industry, near in market value$115.76 Oct 5, 2026$2.98B79 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Same industry, near in market value$54.99 Oct 5, 2026$5.10B74 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. (TSLX) Same industry, near in market value$17.59 Oct 5, 2026$1.68B70 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Cohen & Steers, Inc. (CNS) Named competitor$73.02 Oct 5, 2026$3.78B67 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (APAM) Same industry, near in market value$34.40 Oct 5, 2026$2.44B66 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Hercules Capital (HCXY) — this page$24.79$3.05B61

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 17, 2026

Transactions
20
Identified insiders
6
Purchases
0
Sales
0
Other transactions
20

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about Hercules Capital (HCXY)?

Read these with our analysis →

Common Questions About HCXY

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the HCXY research dossier (written May 9, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for HCXY?

HCXY carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Fair band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is HCXY a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate HCXY buy, sell or hold. Hercules Capital Inc carries a MoonshotScore, in the Fair band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the HCXY stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Hercules Capital Inc (HCXY) is $24.79, as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What does Hercules Capital, Inc. do?

Hercules Capital, Inc. is a business development company (BDC) that provides venture debt, senior secured loans, and growth capital to venture capital-backed companies in technology, life sciences, and sustainable energy.

What are the key factors to evaluate for HCXY?

Hercules Capital Inc (HCXY) holds a MoonshotScore in the moderate range. P/E: 8.01x. Increased Investment in Sustainable Energy: With the growing focus on renewable energy and clean technology, Hercules Capital can increase its investments in sustainable energy companies. Not financial advice.

How frequently does HCXY data refresh on this page?

HCXY's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 5, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven HCXY's recent stock price performance?

Hercules Capital Inc (HCXY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: High gross margin and profit margin. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider HCXY overvalued or undervalued right now?

Hercules Capital Inc (HCXY) trades at 8.01x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of HCXY?

Fractional-share availability for Hercules Capital Inc (HCXY) depends on your brokerage, account and supported securities. Check the broker's current eligibility, minimums and fees before placing an order.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (18 figures)

The 18 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 10 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$24.79FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-05T21:44:40.440Z.
px.changeChange on the day-0.64%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$3.05BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-05T19:53:09.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-05T21:44:39.442Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars−$0.16FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$157MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)8.01FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day6.5KFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026$130MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP20 transactions · 0 purchases, 0 sales, 20 other transactions · 6 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 17, 2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 3 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-02 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 1.12 · Piotroski F 5UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-07-31 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$24.36 – $25.71UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-30
id.employeesEmployees108UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-30
id.ceoChief executiveScott BluesteinUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-30
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE 17.2% · ROA 8.2% · current ratio 0.13 · earnings yield 12.2% · free-cash-flow yield 0.3%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v261 of 100 · Fair · pillars 99 / 31 / 90 / 34 / 49OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement75 (stored snapshot Oct 4, 2026) → 61 (current publication computed Oct 5, 2026) (-14)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.