Lynas Rare Earths Limited (LYSCF) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
Lynas Rare Earths Limited (LYSCF) — price $8.84 (-4.43%), as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session; market cap $8.90B. Expected results Feb 19, 2027.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Lynas Rare Earths Limited · LYSCF · Basic Materials · Industrial Materials
Lynas Rare Earths Limited, alongside its subsidiary companies, manages the full spectrum of rare earth mineral operations.
Price as of Oct 5, 2026
Key Statistics
No publishable V2 score is available for this stock yet.
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $8.84 |
| Change on the day | -4.43% |
| 52-week range | $7.80–$16.20 |
| Market capitalisation | $8.90B |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 57.05 |
| Shares traded on the day | 7.2K |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | 0.71 |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file or a dated event that is not a results report. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings call · management outlook
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
Management outlook
So we rank -- I would say to summarize that which is in the report are basically the one investment that is decided, which is the heavy rare earths separation, so how much we will cash out next or this fiscal year on that, plus by priority, all the small business or quick wins CapEx that we have in the pulp so as to secure our production volume and further improve our cost position.
Pol Le Roux · Statement from
Statement dates identify the earnings call, not a deadline. Management expectations and provider estimates can change.
Read management statementsOther perspectives
Council score for Lynas Rare Earths (LYSCF): perspectives
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
9-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
6 lenses, 0 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Sep 8, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: May 17, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On May 17, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as overvalued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 6, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the LYSCF film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is Lynas Rare Earths (LYSCF), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
Lynas Rare Earths Limited, alongside its subsidiary companies, manages the full spectrum of rare earth mineral operations. Lynas Rare Earths Limited (LYSCF) is classified as Basic Materials / Industrial Materials. SEC filing business address: Level 7, 56 Pitt Street, Sydney, C3, NSW 2000. It employs 1,156 people and is led by Pol Le-Roux. In Q4 FY2026 it reported revenue of $393M and net income of $99M. The market values it at $8.90B.
What do the latest results show for Lynas Rare Earths (LYSCF)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q4 FY2026, carried revenue of $393M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 2 of 8 reports.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $390.26M Aug 25, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $440.50M Aug 25, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Below estimate Aug 25, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Below estimate Aug 25, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | $390.26M | $440.50M | $0.0969 | $0.1136 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $276.04M | $266.60M | $0.0544 | $0.0562 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | $198.72M | $187.28M | $0.0007 | $0.0111 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $157.34M | $156.81M | $0.0038 | $0.0187 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2026 | $393M | $99M | $0.10 (diluted) |
| Q2 FY2026 | $288M | $56M | $0.06 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $211M | $1M | $0.0016 (diluted) |
| Q2 FY2025 | $177M | $4M | $0.0043 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for Lynas Rare Earths (LYSCF)?
Short answer
The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 10.69 · Piotroski F 7. Trailing ratios: ROE 6.5% · ROA 5.1% · current ratio 9.35 · earnings yield 1.5% · free-cash-flow yield 1.2%.
Data-derived red flags
- Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 6 of the last 8 reported quarters.
- Rich valuation — a P/E of 57.05 runs well above the Basic Materials sector’s ~20.30x, leaving little room for a miss.
What should you watch next at Lynas Rare Earths (LYSCF)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Feb 19, 2027. Current published price targets run low $17.80 · high $24.00 · consensus $20.90 · median $20.90 against a quoted price of $8.84 (as of Oct 5, 2026).
What management is planning
Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Selected verbatim excerpts; dates follow the transcript provider.
So we rank -- I would say to summarize that which is in the report are basically the one investment that is decided, which is the heavy rare earths separation, so how much we will cash out next or this fiscal year on that, plus by priority, all the small business or quick wins CapEx that we have in the pulp so as to secure our production volume and further improve our cost position.
Pol Le Roux ·
What the records here don't tell us
- Detailed statement figures are not shown because their conversion to USD has not been verified.
- No insider Form 4 transaction falls inside the window this page reads.
- Fewer than two score snapshots exist, so no score trend is shown.
Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $17.80 – $24.00
- Consensus target
- $20.90
- Median target
- $20.90
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $8.84 (as of Oct 5, 2026).
What has been published about Lynas Rare Earths (LYSCF)?
Lynas Rare Earths Basic Materials Stock: Key Questions Answered
Research dated 2026-09-13; the answers below are from that research, and the full attribution is under Sources. The last 2 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
What does Lynas sell from Mount Weld?
Lynas turns material from Mount Weld into rare earth products that include neodymium, praseodymium, lanthanum, cerium and mixed heavy rare earth materials. Its economics therefore extend beyond extracting ore to concentration and advanced processing.
What is the LYSCF stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for Lynas Rare Earths Limited (LYSCF) is $8.84, as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the LYSCF price target?
The analyst consensus price target for Lynas Rare Earths Limited (LYSCF) is $20.90 (range $17.80 to $24.00, median $20.90), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-13. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (44 figures)
The 44 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 2 facts from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
prod.outlook | Management outlook — call excerpts | Pol Le Roux (Aug 25, 2026): So we rank -- I would say to summarize that which is in the report are basically the one investment that is decided, which is the heavy rare earths separation, so how much we will cash out next or this fiscal year on that, plus by priority, all the small business or quick wins CapEx that we have in the pulp so as to secure our production volume and further improve our cost position. | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | |
id.hq | SEC filing business address | Level 7, 56 Pitt Street, Sydney, C3, NSW 2000 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "45 Royal Street, Perth, WA, 6000, AU". |
FMP — 36 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
px.last | Latest provided price | $8.84 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-06T05:14:39.953Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | -4.43% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalisation | $8.90B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-05T20:00:00.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-06T05:14:37.622Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
earn.next | Next earnings date | Feb 19, 2027 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar — The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | |
id.business_summary | Business description (FMP excerpt) | Lynas Rare Earths Limited, alongside its subsidiary companies, manages the full spectrum of rare earth mineral operations. | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile — Deterministic excerpt derived from id.description; source and date describe the input fact, not a new provider observation | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | −$0.41 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $7.80–$16.20 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 57.05 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 7.2K | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | 0.71 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.sector | Sector / industry (provider taxonomy) | Basic Materials / Industrial Materials | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.employees | Employees | 1,156 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | Pol Le-Roux | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q4 FY2026 | $393M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
fin.q_income | Net income, Q4 FY2026 | $99M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-08-25 | $390.26M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-08-25 | $440.50M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-08-25 | $0.0969 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-08-25 | $0.1136 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-25.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-02-25 | $276.04M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-25.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-02-25 | $266.60M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-25.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-02-25 | $0.0544 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-25.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-02-25 | $0.0562 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-08-27.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-08-27 | $198.72M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-08-27.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-08-27 | $187.28M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-08-27.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-08-27 | $0.0007 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-08-27.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-08-27 | $0.0111 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-02-25.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-02-25 | $157.34M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-02-25.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-02-25 | $156.81M | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-02-25.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-02-25 | $0.0038 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-02-25.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-02-25 | $0.0187 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q4 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
earn.pt | Stored analyst price targets | low $17.80 · high $24.00 · consensus $20.90 · median $20.90 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $17.80 – $24.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $20.90 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $20.90 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied |
UNRECORDED — 3 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 2 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-04 · Expired observation | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 10.69 · Piotroski F 7 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-05 | |
fin.ratios | Return and yield ratios (trailing twelve months) | ROE 6.5% · ROA 5.1% · current ratio 9.35 · earnings yield 1.5% · free-cash-flow yield 1.2% | — | UNRECORDED | Stored key metrics — Date unknown |
COMPUTED — 2 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Below estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($390.26M) with the recorded estimate ($440.50M) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Below estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($0.0969) with the recorded estimate ($0.1136) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 1 fact from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
gap.statement_currency | Statement currency limitation | Detailed statement figures are not shown because their conversion to USD has not been verified. | OURS | Stock Expert AI currency-basis check |
Fact-family notes
- Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-08-25. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-25.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-25.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-25.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-25.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-25.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-08-27.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-08-27.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-08-27.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-08-27.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-02-25.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-02-25.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-02-25.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-02-25.eps_estimated.
- Published
- Research standards
- Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
- Report a number
- sedat@stockexpertai.com
Sources used for research written 2026-09-13
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business description | Lynas Rare Earths Limited, alongside its subsidiary companies, manages the full spectrum of rare earth mineral operations. This encompasses everything from discovering and developing deposits to the extraction and refining of these vital materials, with a primary operational focus in Australia and Malaysia. A significant asset for the company is its stake in Western Australia's Mount Weld project. Their product portfolio features essential rare earth elements like neodymium, praseodymium, lanthanum, and cerium, in addition to various mixed heavy rare earth materials. Furthermore, Lynas designs, constructs, and operates sophisticated facilities for material concentration and advanced processing. The firm also provides general corporate services. Founded in 1983 and originally named Lynas Corporation Limited, the company rebranded to Lynas Rare Earths Limited in November 2020. Its main corporate office is situated in East Perth, Australia. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
Data provided for informational purposes only.