Navistar International Corporation (NAV) Stock Analysis
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Navistar International Corporation (NAV) trades at $44.50 with AI Score 38/100 (Grade D). Navistar International Corporation manufactures and sells commercial trucks, diesel engines, and buses. The company operates through four segments: Truck, Parts, Global Operations, and Financial Services. Sector: Industrials.
Price as of Jul 23, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026NAV stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $20.00 for Navistar International Corporation, suggesting 55.1% downside from the current price of $44.50. The AI MoonshotScore is 38/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
NAV: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →Why this analysis is different
- A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Navistar International Corporation (NAV) Industrial Operations Profile
Navistar International Corporation, founded in 1902, manufactures commercial vehicles and engines, operating across truck, parts, global operations, and financial services segments. With a broad product portfolio and extensive dealer network, Navistar serves diverse markets including transportation, construction, and energy, facing competition in a cyclical industry.
What Is the Investment Thesis for NAV?
Navistar International Corporation presents a mixed investment thesis. While the company has a long-standing presence in the commercial vehicle market and a broad product portfolio, its negative profit margin of -4.6% raises concerns about profitability. The company's beta of 1.88 indicates high volatility, making it sensitive to market fluctuations. Key value drivers include the demand for commercial vehicles and aftermarket parts. Upcoming catalysts include potential infrastructure spending and economic recovery. Potential risks include cyclical industry downturns and increasing competition. Investors should carefully consider these factors before investing.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
NAV Key Highlights
- Navistar operates through four segments: Truck, Parts, Global Operations, and Financial Services.
- The company manufactures and distributes Class 4 through 8 trucks and buses under the International and IC brands.
- Navistar has a gross margin of 17.1%.
- The company operates approximately 1,052 outlets in the United States and Canada, and 89 outlets in Mexico.
- Navistar serves diverse markets including transportation, construction, and energy.
Who Are NAV's Competitors?
NAV is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JBTM JBT Marel Corporation | $134.33 | -0.67% | $6.99B | 59 |
| AL Air Lease Corporation | $65.00 | +0.00% | $7.28B | 56 |
| CSW CSW Industrials, Inc. | $290.29 | +2.83% | $4.73B | 61 |
| AJRD Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | $57.99 | +1.42% | $4.68B | 45 |
| AIMC Altra Industrial Motion Corp. | $61.98 | +0.00% | $4.05B | 46 |
| CAT Caterpillar Inc. | $894.54 | +0.59% | $412B | 72 |
| DE Deere & Company | $608.81 | +0.24% | $164B | 54 |
| VLVLY AB Volvo (publ) | $36.03 | +0.64% | $73.3B | 44 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are NAV's Key Strengths?
- Established brand in the commercial vehicle market.
- Extensive dealer network.
- Diverse product portfolio.
- Financial services segment provides additional revenue streams.
What Are NAV's Weaknesses?
- Negative profit margin.
- High beta indicates high volatility.
- Dependence on cyclical industries.
- Exposure to fluctuations in raw material prices.
What Could Drive NAV Stock Higher?
- Potential infrastructure spending boosting demand for commercial vehicles.
- Economic recovery driving increased freight activity and truck sales.
- Launch of new electric vehicle models.
- Expansion of aftermarket parts and services business.
What Are the Key Risks for NAV?
- Economic downturns reducing demand for commercial vehicles.
- Increasing competition from established and emerging manufacturers.
- Regulatory changes impacting emissions standards.
- Disruptions in the supply chain.
- Fluctuations in raw material prices.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for NAV?
- Growth opportunity 1: Expansion of Electric Vehicle (EV) Offerings: Navistar can capitalize on the growing demand for electric commercial vehicles by expanding its EV product line. The global electric truck market is projected to reach $35 billion by 2027, offering a substantial growth opportunity. Timeline: Ongoing, with continuous development and launch of new EV models. Competitive advantage: Leveraging existing brand recognition and dealer network.
- Growth opportunity 2: Aftermarket Parts and Services: Navistar can increase revenue by focusing on aftermarket parts and services. The global automotive aftermarket size was valued at USD 424.49 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow to USD 538.41 billion by 2032. Timeline: Ongoing, with continuous expansion of service offerings and distribution channels. Competitive advantage: Proprietary parts and established customer base.
- Growth opportunity 3: International Market Expansion: Navistar can expand its presence in international markets, particularly in emerging economies with growing infrastructure development. The global construction equipment market is projected to reach $230 billion by 2028. Timeline: 2026-2030, with strategic partnerships and market entry strategies. Competitive advantage: адаптиране на продуктите към местните нужди и изграждане на дистрибуторски мрежи.
- Growth opportunity 4: Government Contracts and Infrastructure Spending: Navistar can benefit from increased government spending on infrastructure projects and defense contracts. The U.S. government's infrastructure plan includes significant investments in transportation and construction. Timeline: Ongoing, with continuous bidding on government contracts. Competitive advantage: Proven track record and compliance with government regulations.
- Growth opportunity 5: Digitalization and Connectivity: Navistar can enhance its product offerings by integrating digital technologies and connectivity solutions. The global connected car market is projected to reach $225 billion by 2027. Timeline: Ongoing, with continuous development of connected vehicle platforms and data analytics services. Competitive advantage: Improved vehicle performance, predictive maintenance, and enhanced customer experience.
What Opportunities Does NAV Have?
- Expansion of electric vehicle offerings.
- Growth in aftermarket parts and services.
- International market expansion.
- Increased government spending on infrastructure.
What Threats Does NAV Face?
- Economic downturns affecting demand for commercial vehicles.
- Increasing competition from established and emerging manufacturers.
- Regulatory changes impacting emissions standards.
- Disruptions in the supply chain.
What Are NAV's Competitive Advantages?
- Established brand recognition in the commercial vehicle market.
- Extensive independent dealer network.
- Diverse product portfolio serving various market segments.
- Proprietary parts and service offerings.
What Does NAV Do?
Navistar International Corporation, established in 1902 and headquartered in Lisle, Illinois, is a prominent manufacturer of commercial trucks, diesel engines, school and commercial buses, and service parts. The company operates through four key segments: Truck, Parts, Global Operations, and Financial Services. The Truck segment focuses on manufacturing and distributing Class 4 through 8 trucks and buses under the International and IC brands, serving various markets such as common carrier, private carrier, government, leasing, construction, and energy. The Parts segment provides proprietary and standard aftermarket parts for trucks, trailers, and engines. The Global Operations segment manages international sales and manufacturing activities. The Financial Services segment offers retail, wholesale, and lease financing for Navistar products. Navistar's products are sold through an extensive independent dealer network, including 1,052 outlets in the United States and Canada, and 89 outlets in Mexico. The company also provides contract manufacturing services under the MWM brand. Navistar's commitment to innovation and customer service has solidified its position in the competitive commercial vehicle market.
What Products and Services Does NAV Offer?
- Manufactures and sells commercial trucks.
- Produces diesel engines.
- Manufactures school and commercial buses.
- Provides service parts for trucks and diesel engines.
- Offers retail, wholesale, and lease financing.
- Manufactures sheet metal components, including truck cabs and engines.
- Offers military parts and chassis.
How Does NAV Make Money?
- Sales of new and used commercial trucks and buses.
- Revenue from aftermarket parts and services.
- Financing income from retail, wholesale, and lease operations.
- Contract manufacturing services for engines.
What Industry Does NAV Operate In?
Navistar International Corporation operates in the competitive agricultural machinery industry, which is influenced by economic cycles, infrastructure development, and regulatory changes. The industry is characterized by intense competition among established players and emerging manufacturers. Market trends include the increasing adoption of electric and autonomous vehicles, as well as the growing demand for aftermarket parts and services. Navistar's position in the industry is supported by its established brand, extensive dealer network, and diverse product portfolio. Competitors include companies like JBT Marel Corporation and Air Lease Corporation.
Who Are NAV's Key Customers?
- Common carriers and private carriers.
- Government agencies.
- Leasing companies.
- Construction and energy companies.
- School districts and commercial transportation providers.
Navistar International Corporation (NAV) Valuation Context
Relative to its peer group, NAV's quantitative score of 38/100 is below the peer average of 53/100.
ROE 9%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Navistar International Corporation stands at 9.2%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -5.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. A current ratio of 1.36 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -7.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
NAV Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Navistar's recent strategic partnerships suggest a strong push into new markets, potentially boosting long-term revenue streams.
- Positive community sentiment indicates strong belief in Navistar's management and their ability to execute their strategic vision.
- Recent insider buying activity could signal that those with the most knowledge of the company's prospects see significant upside.
- The overall market perception of the trucking industry is improving, possibly due to infrastructure developments, which could benefit Navistar.
Bear Case
- Increased competition in the electric vehicle space may hinder Navistar's ability to gain significant market share in the long run.
- Negative community sentiment surrounding supply chain issues could indicate ongoing challenges in meeting production demands.
- Recent insider selling activity might suggest concerns about near-term performance, even if long-term prospects appear positive.
- Uncertainty surrounding regulatory changes in the trucking industry could create headwinds for Navistar's operations and profitability.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026
NAV Latest News
NAV Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for NAV.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $20.00
NAV MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates NAV 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.
Leadership: Troy Clarke
CEO
Troy Clarke has served as the CEO of Navistar International Corporation, managing a workforce of 13,869 employees. His career includes extensive experience in the automotive and manufacturing industries. Prior to becoming CEO, Clarke held various leadership positions within Navistar, including President and Chief Operating Officer. His background encompasses strategic planning, operational management, and financial oversight. Clarke's expertise has been instrumental in guiding Navistar through challenging market conditions and strategic transformations.
Track Record: Under Troy Clarke's leadership, Navistar has focused on improving operational efficiency, expanding its product portfolio, and strengthening its financial position. Key achievements include the development of new truck and engine technologies, the expansion of the company's aftermarket parts and services business, and the implementation of cost-saving initiatives. Clarke has also overseen strategic partnerships and acquisitions aimed at enhancing Navistar's competitiveness and market share.
Navistar International Corporation Industrials Stock: Key Questions Answered
What does the AI Score mean for NAV?
NAV holds an AI Score of 38/100 (Grade: D). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Navistar International Corporation manufactures and sells commercial trucks, diesel engines, and buses. The company operates through four segments: Truck, Parts, Global Operations, and Financial …
What does Navistar International Corporation do?
Navistar International Corporation manufactures and sells commercial trucks, diesel engines, school and commercial buses, and service parts for trucks and diesel engines worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Truck, Parts, Global Operations, and Financial Services. Navistar serves diverse markets, including transportation, construction, and energy, through an extensive dealer network. The company also provides financing services and contract manufacturing for engines, contributing to its diversified revenue streams.
What do analysts say about NAV stock?
Analyst consensus on Navistar International Corporation is mixed, reflecting the company's challenges and opportunities. Key valuation metrics include price-to-sales and price-to-book ratios, which are compared to industry averages. Growth considerations include the company's ability to improve profitability, expand its electric vehicle offerings, and capitalize on infrastructure spending. Analysts also monitor the company's debt levels and cash flow generation.
What are the main risks for NAV?
Navistar International Corporation faces several key risks, including economic downturns that can reduce demand for commercial vehicles, increasing competition from established and emerging manufacturers, and regulatory changes impacting emissions standards. Disruptions in the supply chain and fluctuations in raw material prices also pose significant challenges. The company's negative profit margin and high beta further amplify these risks, making it vulnerable to market volatility and economic uncertainty.
What are the key factors to evaluate for NAV?
Navistar International Corporation (NAV) holds an AI score of 38/100 (low). Analysts target $20.00 (-55%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does NAV data refresh on this page?
NAV's price was last updated on Jul 23, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven NAV's recent stock price performance?
Navistar International Corporation (NAV) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established brand in the commercial vehicle market. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider NAV overvalued or undervalued right now?
Navistar International Corporation (NAV) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $20.00 (-55%) — downside risk seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
How do I research NAV before investing?
Before investing in Navistar International Corporation (NAV), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Information is based on provided sources and may not be exhaustive.
- Financial data is as of the last available reporting period.