NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) — MoonshotScore 71/100 (Strong band), calculated Oct 5, 2026. Price $15.56 (-1.57%), as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session; market cap $293M.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. · NREF · NYSE
NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a real estate finance company that focuses on originating, structuring, and investing in real estate debt and equity instruments.
Price as of Oct 5, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)
StrongWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
Elite quality and elite growth, at a dirt-cheap price, but a fragile balance sheet; the market is already moving on it. Business Quality: Elite; Financial Safety: Fragile; Valuation: Cheap; Growth Durability: Compounding; Momentum: Rising.
- quarterly revenue $34M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
- EPS beat 5 of 8
- Altman Z 0.16 · Piotroski F 4
Holding back: balance-sheet strain
Helping: business quality, an attractive price, durable growth, positive momentum
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Strong | |
| 69 | Strong | |
| 69 | Strong | |
| 69 | Strong | |
| 69 | Strong | |
| 71 | Strong |
The score moved from 69 in the stored Oct 4, 2026 snapshot to 71 in the current publication computed Oct 5, 2026 (+2); the largest pillar moves were Momentum +3 and Growth Durability +1.
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $15.56 | |
| Change on the day | -1.57% | |
| 52-week range | $12.36 – $18.43 | |
| Market capitalisation | $293M | |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 4.42 | |
| Shares traded on the day | 19.4K |
Price & events
Other perspectives
Council score for NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF): perspectives
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
9-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
4 lenses, 0 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Sep 3, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Apr 29, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On Apr 29, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the NREF film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) is listed on NYSE. It employs 1 people and is led by James David Dondero. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $34M and net income of $16M. The market values it at $293M.
What do the latest results show for NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $34M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 5 of 8 reports.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $34M | $16M | $0.29 (diluted) |
| Q1 FY2026 | $34M | $20M | $0.42 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $34M | $21M | $0.48 (diluted) |
| Q3 FY2025 | $32M | $43M | $1.14 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)?
Short answer
The MoonshotScore pillars rate business quality, an attractive price, durable growth, positive momentum as strengths. What is holding it back is balance-sheet strain. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 0.16 · Piotroski F 4. Trailing ratios: ROE 17.2% · ROA 2.0% · current ratio 0.44 · earnings yield 35.6% · free-cash-flow yield 5.5%.
What should you watch next at NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)?
Short answer · as of
Current published price targets run low $16.00 · high $16.00 · consensus $16.00 · median $16.00 against a quoted price of $15.56 (as of Oct 5, 2026).
What the records here don't tell us
- No forward revenue or earnings estimate is on file.
- The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.
Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.
How does NexPoint Real Estate Finance compare with its peers?
Short answer
NexPoint Real Estate Finance's score ranks 4th of 12 in the bounded comparison shown, against 11 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| $7.35 Oct 5, 2026 | $742M | 92 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $2.60 Oct 5, 2026 | $97.0M | 87 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $5.05 Oct 5, 2026 | $881M | 78 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF) — this page | $15.56 | $293M | 71 |
| $6.23 Oct 5, 2026 | $812M | 70 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $9.81 Oct 5, 2026 | $214M | 62 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $8.52 Oct 5, 2026 | $1.09B | 52 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $10.29 Oct 5, 2026 | $74.7M | 44 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $9.18 Oct 5, 2026 | $775M | 40 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $7.25 Oct 5, 2026 | $182M | 35 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $3.70 Oct 5, 2026 | $212M | 34 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $1.10 Oct 5, 2026 | $187M | 20 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $11.01 Oct 5, 2026 | $1.84B | — Model unavailable |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $16.00 – $16.00
- Consensus target
- $16.00
- Median target
- $16.00
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $15.56 (as of Oct 5, 2026).
Insider activity
Form 4 records via FMP · Most recent available transactions
- Transactions
- 12
- Identified insiders
- 4
- Purchases
- 0
- Sales
- 0
- Other transactions
- 12
Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
What has been published about NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)?
- Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Market Perform on NexPoint Real Estate, Raises Price Target to $16
- NexPoint Real Estate Finance Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- Piper Sandler Maintains Neutral on NexPoint Real Estate, Raises Price Target to $17.5
- NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc (NREF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Core FFO Beats, ...
What Investors Ask About NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)
These answers are editorial: 2 of these 9 answers are drawn from the NREF research dossier (written May 4, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 7 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.
What does the MoonshotScore mean for NREF?
NREF carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Strong band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Is NREF a good stock to buy?
Stock Expert AI does not rate NREF buy, sell or hold. NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore, in the Strong band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.
What is the NREF stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) is $15.56, as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the NREF price target?
The analyst consensus price target for NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) is $16.00 (range $16.00 to $16.00, median $16.00), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
What do analysts say about NREF stock?
Analyst coverage of NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) typically focuses on the company's dividend yield, financial performance, and growth prospects within the real estate finance sector. Key valuation metrics include the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio and dividend yield.
What are the main risks for NREF?
NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) faces several risks inherent to the real estate finance sector. Rising interest rates could negatively impact the value of its mortgage-related investments. An economic downturn could reduce demand for real estate financing and affect the performance of underlying assets.
What are the key factors to evaluate for NREF?
NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) holds a MoonshotScore in the high range. P/E: 4.42x. Analysts target $16.00 (+3%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does NREF data refresh on this page?
NREF's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 5, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.
What has driven NREF's recent stock price performance?
NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 4, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (22 figures)
The 22 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
FMP — 14 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
px.last | Latest provided price | $15.56 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-05T18:24:40.701Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | -1.57% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalisation | $293M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-05T17:57:31.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-05T18:24:39.729Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | −$0.2478 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q2 FY2026 | $34M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 4.42 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 19.4K | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
fin.q_income | Net income, Q2 FY2026 | $16M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q2 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
earn.pt | Stored analyst price targets | low $16.00 · high $16.00 · consensus $16.00 · median $16.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $16.00 – $16.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $16.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $16.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.insiders | Insider transactions via FMP | 12 transactions · 0 purchases, 0 sales, 12 other transactions · 4 identified insiders · most recent available transactions | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent. |
UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 5 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-08-27 · Expired observation | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 0.16 · Piotroski F 4 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-03 · Expired observation | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $12.36 – $18.43 | UNRECORDED | Stored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29 | |
id.employees | Employees | 1 | UNRECORDED | Stored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29 | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | James David Dondero | UNRECORDED | Stored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29 | |
fin.ratios | Return and yield ratios (trailing twelve months) | ROE 17.2% · ROA 2.0% · current ratio 0.44 · earnings yield 35.6% · free-cash-flow yield 5.5% | — | UNRECORDED | Stored key metrics — Date unknown |
OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 71 of 100 · Strong · pillars 95 / 13 / 98 / 96 / 77 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 69 (stored snapshot Oct 4, 2026) → 71 (current publication computed Oct 5, 2026) (+2) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots |
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Data provided for informational purposes only.