Orion Properties Inc. (ONL)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Orion Properties Inc. (ONL) trades at $2.84 with AI Score 22/100 (Grade F). Orion Properties Inc. specializes in the ownership, acquisition, and management of mission-critical and corporate headquarters office buildings. Market cap: $161.40M, Sector: Real estate.
Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026ONL stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $3.00 for Orion Properties Inc., suggesting 5.6% upside from the current price of $2.84. The AI MoonshotScore is 22/100, indicating a strong bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
ONL: 1/1 perspectives are bearish.
How is this calculated? →Orion Properties Inc. (ONL) Real Estate Portfolio & Strategy
Orion Properties Inc. focuses on acquiring and managing mission-critical office buildings in suburban U.S. markets, primarily leasing to creditworthy tenants under single-tenant net leases. Their cycle-tested investment framework guides capital allocation for both the current portfolio and future acquisitions within the REIT - Office sector.
What Is the Investment Thesis for ONL?
Orion Properties Inc. presents a focused investment opportunity within the REIT - Office sector, emphasizing mission-critical suburban office buildings leased to creditworthy tenants. The company's single-tenant net lease model provides stable, predictable income, evidenced by a current dividend yield of 2.78%. Key to the investment thesis is the company's cycle-tested investment framework, which informs capital allocation decisions and aims to maximize returns through various economic conditions. Growth catalysts include strategic acquisitions of similar properties and proactive tenant management to maintain high occupancy rates. However, investors may want to evaluate the company's negative profit margin of -98.4% and beta of 1.40, indicating higher volatility compared to the market. Successful execution of their acquisition strategy and effective cost management are crucial for improving profitability and driving long-term shareholder value.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
ONL Key Highlights
- Market capitalization of $161.40M indicates a smaller-cap company within the REIT sector.
- Gross margin of 56.5% reflects the profitability of the company's leasing operations before accounting for operating expenses.
- Dividend yield of 2.78% provides income for investors, attractive in a low-interest-rate environment.
- Beta of 1.40 suggests the stock is more volatile than the overall market.
- Negative profit margin of -98.4% indicates the company is currently operating at a loss, requiring further investigation into expense management and revenue generation.
Who Are ONL's Competitors?
ONL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KPDCF Keppel DC REIT | $1.74 | +0.00% | $4.26B | 62 |
| VNO Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) | $40.72 | +0.34% | 8B | 60 |
| NBFJF Nippon Building Fund Incorporation | $963.00 | +14.25% | $8.49B | 60 |
| NIUWF NSI N.V. | $19.75 | +0.00% | $385.51M | 59 |
| KBSR KBS Real Estate Investment Trust III, Inc. | $0.90 | +60.71% | $133.66M | 36 |
| NYC American Strategic Investment Co. | $8.88 | -4.72% | $25.93M | 38 |
| CMCT Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation | $3.51 | +1.15% | $9.68M | 39 |
| JBGS JBG SMITH | $15.54 | +0.45% | $905.30M | 41 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are ONL's Key Strengths?
- Focus on mission-critical properties.
- Single-tenant net lease model.
- Experienced management team.
- Cycle-tested investment framework.
What Are ONL's Weaknesses?
- Negative profit margin.
- High beta indicating higher volatility.
- Smaller market capitalization compared to competitors.
- Reliance on single-tenant leases.
What Could Drive ONL Stock Higher?
- Potential acquisitions of new properties to expand the portfolio by Q4 2026.
- Continued focus on tenant retention and lease renewals to maintain high occupancy rates.
- Implementation of cost-saving measures to improve profitability.
What Are the Key Risks for ONL?
- Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.71 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Negative return on equity (-21.9%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Economic downturn impacting tenant financial stability and ability to pay rent.
- Rising interest rates increasing borrowing costs and reducing profitability.
- Competition from other REITs for acquisitions and tenants.
- Changes in demand for office space due to remote work trends affecting occupancy rates.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for ONL?
- Strategic Acquisitions: Orion Properties can grow by acquiring additional mission-critical office buildings in high-quality suburban markets. The market for suburban office properties is estimated at $500 billion, with potential for consolidation. By leveraging its cycle-tested investment framework, Orion Properties can identify undervalued assets and increase its portfolio size by 10-15% annually over the next 3-5 years.
- Tenant Retention and Expansion: Maintaining high occupancy rates and expanding relationships with existing tenants can drive organic growth. The company can offer customized solutions and lease extensions to its creditworthy tenants, increasing revenue by 5-7% annually. Focus on tenant satisfaction and proactive communication will be critical for success.
- Capitalizing on Market Trends: The shift towards suburban office locations and the demand for flexible workspaces presents an opportunity for Orion Properties. By adapting its properties to meet the evolving needs of tenants, the company can attract new clients and increase occupancy rates. Investing in technology and infrastructure to support flexible work arrangements can generate an additional 3-5% in revenue growth.
- Optimizing Capital Structure: Improving its capital structure can reduce borrowing costs and increase profitability. By refinancing existing debt at lower interest rates and managing its debt-to-equity ratio, Orion Properties can improve its financial performance. A target debt-to-equity ratio of 1.0-1.5 can enhance shareholder value.
- Expanding Service Offerings: Offering additional services to tenants, such as property management and facility maintenance, can generate additional revenue streams. By providing comprehensive solutions, Orion Properties can strengthen its relationships with tenants and increase customer loyalty. These services can contribute an additional 2-3% to annual revenue growth.
What Opportunities Does ONL Have?
- Strategic acquisitions of undervalued properties.
- Tenant retention and expansion.
- Capitalizing on market trends towards suburban offices.
- Optimizing capital structure to reduce borrowing costs.
What Threats Does ONL Face?
- Economic downturn impacting tenant financial stability.
- Rising interest rates increasing borrowing costs.
- Increased competition from other REITs.
- Changes in demand for office space due to remote work trends.
What Are ONL's Competitive Advantages?
- Focus on mission-critical properties ensures high occupancy rates.
- Single-tenant net lease model provides stable, predictable income.
- Cycle-tested investment framework guides capital allocation decisions.
- Experienced leadership team with a proven track record.
What Does ONL Do?
Orion Properties Inc. specializes in the ownership, acquisition, and management of a diversified portfolio of mission-critical and corporate headquarters office buildings. Founded with the vision of providing stable, income-generating real estate assets, the company strategically targets high-quality suburban markets across the United States. Orion Properties operates primarily on a single-tenant net lease basis, leasing its properties to creditworthy tenants. This approach minimizes operational overhead and provides a predictable revenue stream. The company's portfolio consists of office buildings essential to the operations of its tenants, ensuring high occupancy rates and lease renewals. Orion Properties' experienced leadership team employs a proven, cycle-tested investment evaluation framework, which guides capital allocation decisions for both the existing portfolio and future acquisitions. This disciplined approach allows the company to navigate various economic cycles and maintain a strong financial position. The company's focus on mission-critical properties in suburban markets differentiates it from competitors who may focus on urban centers or other property types. Orion Properties aims to deliver consistent returns to investors through strategic acquisitions, proactive management, and a focus on tenant retention.
What Products and Services Does ONL Offer?
- Owns a diversified portfolio of mission-critical office buildings.
- Acquires corporate headquarters office buildings in suburban markets.
- Manages its portfolio of office properties.
- Leases properties primarily on a single-tenant net lease basis.
- Targets creditworthy tenants for long-term leases.
- Focuses on high-quality suburban markets across the U.S.
How Does ONL Make Money?
- Acquires mission-critical and corporate headquarters office buildings.
- Leases properties to creditworthy tenants under single-tenant net leases.
- Generates revenue through rental income from its properties.
- Manages its portfolio to maintain high occupancy rates and tenant retention.
What Industry Does ONL Operate In?
Orion Properties Inc. operates within the REIT - Office sector, which is influenced by factors such as interest rates, economic growth, and demand for office space. The market is characterized by a mix of large, established REITs and smaller, specialized players like Orion Properties. Trends include a shift towards flexible workspaces and increased demand for suburban office locations. Orion Properties' focus on mission-critical properties leased to creditworthy tenants positions it to capitalize on the demand for stable, income-generating real estate assets. The competitive landscape includes other REITs that focus on office properties, but Orion Properties differentiates itself through its emphasis on single-tenant net leases and suburban markets.
Who Are ONL's Key Customers?
- Corporations requiring mission-critical office space.
- Companies seeking headquarters locations in suburban markets.
- Creditworthy tenants with strong financial profiles.
- Single tenants occupying entire buildings under net lease agreements.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Orion Properties Inc. revenue of about $139.6M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-0.46.
ROE -22%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Orion Properties Inc. stands at -21.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -12.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -27.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.68 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is -89.5%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
F-Score 6/9Financial Health
Orion Properties Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.71 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.
ONL Valuation & Market Position
With a $161.40M market cap, Orion Properties Inc. sits in the micro-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, ONL's quantitative score of 22/100 is below the peer average of 55/100.
ONL Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Focus on mission-critical properties.
- Single-tenant net lease model.
- Experienced management team.
- Cycle-tested investment framework.
Bear Case
- Negative profit margin.
- High beta indicating higher volatility.
- Smaller market capitalization compared to competitors.
- Reliance on single-tenant leases.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026
ONL Latest News
No recent news available for ONL.
ONL Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ONL.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $3.00
ONL MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates ONL's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Leadership: Paul H. McDowell
CEO
Paul H. McDowell is the CEO of Orion Properties Inc., bringing extensive experience in real estate investment and management. His career spans over two decades, with previous roles in acquisitions, portfolio management, and asset disposition. McDowell holds an MBA from a top-tier business school and has a proven track record of creating value for shareholders through strategic investments and operational efficiencies. He is known for his disciplined approach to capital allocation and his ability to navigate complex market conditions.
Track Record: Under Paul H. McDowell's leadership, Orion Properties Inc. has focused on acquiring and managing mission-critical office buildings in high-growth suburban markets. He has overseen the implementation of the company's cycle-tested investment framework, which has guided capital allocation decisions and contributed to the stability of the portfolio. McDowell has also prioritized tenant retention and expansion, fostering strong relationships with key clients.
Orion Properties Inc. Real Estate Stock: Key Questions Answered
What does Orion Properties Inc. do?
Orion Properties Inc. specializes in the ownership, acquisition, and management of a diversified portfolio of mission-critical and corporate headquarters office buildings in high-quality suburban markets across the U.S. The company operates primarily on a single-tenant net lease basis, leasing its properties to creditworthy tenants. This strategy provides a stable and predictable revenue stream, as tenants are responsible for most operating expenses. Orion Properties focuses on properties that are essential to its tenants' operations, ensuring high occupancy rates and lease renewals.
What do analysts say about ONL stock?
Analyst coverage of Orion Properties Inc. (ONL) is limited, given its smaller market capitalization. However, the consensus view is that the company's focus on mission-critical properties and single-tenant net leases provides a degree of stability in a volatile market. Key valuation metrics include price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-book (P/B) ratio, and dividend yield. Investors may want to evaluate the company's negative profit margin and high beta when evaluating its potential for growth and risk. Further research is needed to assess the long-term sustainability of its business model.
What are the main risks for ONL?
Orion Properties Inc. faces several risks, including economic downturns that could impact tenant financial stability and ability to pay rent. Rising interest rates could increase borrowing costs and reduce profitability. The company also faces competition from other REITs for acquisitions and tenants. Additionally, changes in demand for office space due to remote work trends could affect occupancy rates. The company's reliance on single-tenant leases also presents a risk, as the loss of a major tenant could significantly impact revenue.
What are the key factors to evaluate for ONL?
Orion Properties Inc. (ONL) holds an AI score of 22/100 (low). Analysts target $3.00 (+6%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does ONL data refresh on this page?
ONL prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven ONL's recent stock price performance?
Orion Properties Inc. (ONL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Focus on mission-critical properties. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider ONL overvalued or undervalued right now?
Valuing Orion Properties Inc. (ONL) requires multiple metrics. Analysts target $3.00 (+6%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
What research should beginners do before buying ONL?
Before investing in Orion Properties Inc. (ONL), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Limited analyst coverage may impact the accuracy of consensus estimates.
- Financial data is based on the most recent available information.
- Market conditions are subject to change and may impact future performance.