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Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY)

$18.62 +$0.83 (+4.67%) |CouncilHOLD · 54 · B
Bottom line: HOLD — our Council read (54/100) and AI Score (51/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Moon AI bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.
MCap: $1.54B| P/E Ratio: 15.9| Vol: 3.04M| Target: $31.25 (+67.8%)| 52-wk range: $10.40 – $44.99
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) trades at $18.62 with AI Score 51/100 (Grade B). Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is a financial technology company that utilizes artificial intelligence to transform asset origination for its partners. Market cap: $1.54B, Sector: Technology.

Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is a financial technology company that utilizes artificial intelligence to transform asset origination for its partners. The company's AI-driven platform enables financial institutions and fintech companies to streamline lending processes and expand access to capital.

PGY stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $31.25 for Pagaya Technologies Ltd., suggesting 67.8% upside from the current price of $18.62. The AI MoonshotScore is 51/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 54/100 · B

PGY: 3/7 perspectives are bullish. Dominant signal: Moon AI bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Neutral
Moon AI
Bullish
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Technology Profile & Competitive Position

CEOGal Krubiner
Employees527
HeadquartersTel Aviv, IL
IPO Year2021

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. leverages proprietary AI to enhance loan origination for financial institutions and fintech companies, differentiating itself through advanced technology and a focus on expanding credit access. The company operates in the competitive software infrastructure sector, providing solutions for more efficient and inclusive lending practices.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for PGY?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. presents a compelling investment thesis centered on its innovative AI-driven platform for loan origination. With a market capitalization of $1.54B and a P/E ratio of 15.9, the company demonstrates potential for growth within the fintech sector. Key value drivers include the increasing adoption of AI in financial services and Pagaya's ability to improve loan performance for its partners, reflected in its 7.6% profit margin and 41.4% gross margin. Growth catalysts include expanding partnerships with financial institutions and fintech companies, as well as entering new asset classes and geographic markets. Potential risks include competition from other AI-driven lending platforms and regulatory changes impacting the financial technology industry. The company's high beta of 5.76 indicates significant volatility, requiring careful consideration of market conditions and risk tolerance.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

PGY Key Highlights

  • Market Cap of $1.54B reflects investor valuation of Pagaya's AI-driven lending platform.
  • P/E Ratio of 15.9 indicates the price investors are willing to pay for each dollar of Pagaya's earnings.
  • Profit Margin of 7.6% demonstrates Pagaya's ability to generate profit from its revenue.
  • Gross Margin of 41.4% reflects the efficiency of Pagaya's technology in loan origination.
  • Beta of 5.76 indicates high volatility compared to the market average.

Who Are PGY's Competitors?

PGY is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. $18.80 +3.04% $24.11B
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. $33.67 -3.19% $3.22B
LC LendingClub Corporation $19.21 +2.13% $2.22B 50
CFLT Confluent, Inc. $30.99 +0.00% 12B 71
NET Cloudflare, Inc. $245.87 +1.43% $87.27B 67
XNDU Xanadu Quantum Technologies Limited Class B Subordinate Voting Shares $11.85 +1.94% $268.17M 67
CINT CI&T Inc. $3.40 -2.99% $438.07M 66
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. $53.09 +3.53% $14.35B 59

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are PGY's Key Strengths?

  • Proprietary AI technology for loan origination.
  • Established partnerships with financial institutions.
  • Scalable platform infrastructure.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are PGY's Weaknesses?

  • Reliance on partnerships for revenue generation.
  • Limited geographic diversification.
  • High beta indicating significant volatility.
  • Relatively short operating history.

What Could Drive PGY Stock Higher?

  • Expansion into new asset classes, such as mortgages and auto loans.
  • Strategic partnerships with leading financial institutions.
  • Enhancement of AI capabilities and platform performance.
  • Geographic expansion into new markets in Europe and Asia.

What Are the Key Risks for PGY?

  • Competition from other AI-driven lending platforms.
  • Regulatory changes impacting the financial technology industry.
  • Economic downturn affecting loan performance.
  • Data privacy and security risks.
  • Dependence on key partnerships for revenue generation.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for PGY?

  • Expansion into New Asset Classes: Pagaya has the opportunity to extend its AI-driven platform to new asset classes beyond consumer loans, such as mortgages, auto loans, and small business loans. Each of these markets represents a multi-billion dollar opportunity, and Pagaya's technology can be adapted to improve risk assessment and loan performance in these areas. The timeline for this expansion is estimated at 2-3 years, requiring strategic partnerships and regulatory approvals.
  • Geographic Expansion: Pagaya can further expand its geographic reach beyond its current operations in Israel, the United States, and the Cayman Islands. Entering new markets in Europe, Asia, and Latin America would provide access to a larger pool of potential partners and borrowers. The timeline for this expansion is estimated at 3-5 years, requiring significant investment in infrastructure and local market expertise.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Pagaya can strengthen its position in the market by forming strategic partnerships with leading financial institutions and fintech companies. These partnerships can provide access to new customers, data, and distribution channels, accelerating the adoption of Pagaya's technology. The timeline for establishing these partnerships is ongoing, requiring continuous engagement and collaboration with potential partners.
  • Enhancement of AI Capabilities: Pagaya can continue to invest in research and development to enhance its AI capabilities and improve the performance of its platform. This includes developing new algorithms, incorporating additional data sources, and improving the user experience. The timeline for these enhancements is ongoing, requiring continuous innovation and investment in talent and technology.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Pagaya can proactively address regulatory requirements and ensure compliance with evolving regulations in the financial technology industry. This includes implementing robust data privacy and security measures, as well as adhering to fair lending practices. The timeline for regulatory compliance is ongoing, requiring continuous monitoring and adaptation to changing regulations.

What Opportunities Does PGY Have?

  • Expansion into new asset classes.
  • Geographic expansion into new markets.
  • Strategic partnerships with leading financial institutions.
  • Enhancement of AI capabilities.

What Threats Does PGY Face?

  • Competition from other AI-driven lending platforms.
  • Regulatory changes impacting the financial technology industry.
  • Economic downturn affecting loan performance.
  • Data privacy and security risks.

What Are PGY's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary AI technology.
  • Data network effects.
  • Established partnerships with financial institutions.
  • Scalable platform infrastructure.

What Does PGY Do?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd., founded in 2016 and headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel, operates as a financial technology company focused on transforming asset origination through the use of artificial intelligence. The company develops and implements proprietary AI technology and related software solutions designed to assist its partners in originating loans and other assets more efficiently. Pagaya's platform serves a diverse range of partners, including high-growth financial technology companies, incumbent financial institutions, auto finance providers, and brokers. Pagaya's core offering is its AI-driven platform, which analyzes vast amounts of data to improve risk assessment and streamline the loan origination process. This technology enables its partners to make more informed lending decisions, expand their customer base, and reduce the risk of defaults. By leveraging AI, Pagaya aims to create a more inclusive financial ecosystem, providing access to credit for a broader range of consumers. The company operates in Israel, the United States, and the Cayman Islands, reflecting its global reach and ambition. Pagaya's business model centers around providing its technology as a service, generating revenue through fees and partnerships with financial institutions and fintech companies.

What Products and Services Does PGY Offer?

  • Develops proprietary artificial intelligence technology.
  • Implements AI-driven software solutions for loan origination.
  • Assists partners in originating loans and other assets.
  • Provides risk assessment and credit scoring tools.
  • Offers solutions to high-growth financial technology companies.
  • Partners with incumbent financial institutions.
  • Serves auto finance providers and brokers.

How Does PGY Make Money?

  • Provides AI-driven platform as a service.
  • Generates revenue through fees and partnerships.
  • Offers subscription-based access to its technology.
  • Customizes solutions for specific partner needs.

What Industry Does PGY Operate In?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. operates within the rapidly evolving financial technology (fintech) sector, which is experiencing significant growth driven by the increasing adoption of AI and machine learning. The market for AI in fintech is projected to reach billions of dollars in the coming years, as financial institutions seek to improve efficiency, reduce risk, and enhance customer experience. Pagaya competes with other AI-driven lending platforms and traditional credit scoring agencies. The company's focus on expanding credit access and its partnerships with diverse financial institutions position it favorably within this competitive landscape.

Who Are PGY's Key Customers?

  • High-growth financial technology companies.
  • Incumbent financial institutions.
  • Auto finance providers.
  • Brokers.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 9, 2026

Company Profile

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. operates in the Software - Infrastructure industry within the Technology sector. It is headquartered in Tel Aviv, IL. The company is led by CEO Gal Krubiner. PGY has traded publicly since 2021.

How Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Is Valued

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. carries a market capitalization of $1.54B, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, PGY's quantitative score of 51/100 is below the peer average of 63/100.

ROE 22%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stands at 21.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 6.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. PGY trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 15.85, below the Technology sector average of ~38x. Its free cash flow yield is 16.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 6.48 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 6.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 7/9Financial Health

Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.08 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Pagaya Technologies Ltd. revenue of about $1.47B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.38. The estimate reflects 7 contributing analysts.

PGY Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+25.6%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+120.3%
EPS Growth (FY)
+118.4%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+419.2%
P/E (TTM)
15.9
Return on Equity (TTM)
+21.6%
Current Ratio
6.5
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
16.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Proprietary AI technology for loan origination.
  • Established partnerships with financial institutions.
  • Scalable platform infrastructure.
  • Experienced management team.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on partnerships for revenue generation.
  • Limited geographic diversification.
  • High beta indicating significant volatility.
  • Relatively short operating history.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

PGY Latest News

PGY Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for PGY.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $31.25

PGY MoonshotScore

51/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates PGY's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Analysis

Leadership: Gal Krubiner

CEO

Gal Krubiner is the CEO of Pagaya Technologies Ltd. He has a background in technology and finance, with experience in developing and implementing AI-driven solutions for the financial services industry. Prior to founding Pagaya, Krubiner held various leadership positions in technology companies, where he focused on data analytics and machine learning. His expertise in AI and finance has been instrumental in driving Pagaya's growth and innovation.

Track Record: Under Gal Krubiner's leadership, Pagaya Technologies Ltd. has established itself as a leading provider of AI-driven loan origination solutions. He has overseen the company's expansion into new markets and asset classes, as well as the development of its proprietary AI technology. Krubiner has also forged strategic partnerships with leading financial institutions, driving the adoption of Pagaya's platform and enhancing its market position.

Common Questions About PGY (Technology)

What does Pagaya Technologies Ltd. do?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. operates as a financial technology company, developing and implementing proprietary artificial intelligence technology and related software solutions. Its core business involves assisting partners, including high-growth financial technology companies and incumbent financial institutions, in originating loans and other assets more efficiently. Pagaya's AI-driven platform analyzes vast amounts of data to improve risk assessment and streamline the loan origination process, enabling its partners to make more informed lending decisions and expand their customer base.

What do analysts say about PGY stock?

Analyst coverage of Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is evolving as the company continues to execute its growth strategy. Current consensus reflects a mixed outlook, with some analysts highlighting the company's innovative AI-driven platform and growth potential, while others express concerns about competition and regulatory risks. Valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio and market capitalization, are closely monitored to assess the company's financial performance and growth prospects. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

What are the main risks for PGY?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. faces several key risks, including competition from other AI-driven lending platforms, regulatory changes impacting the financial technology industry, and the potential for an economic downturn affecting loan performance. Data privacy and security risks also pose a significant threat, as the company handles sensitive customer data. Additionally, Pagaya's reliance on partnerships for revenue generation exposes it to the risk of losing key partners or experiencing unfavorable changes in partnership terms. These risks should be carefully considered when evaluating the company's investment potential.

What are the key factors to evaluate for PGY?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) holds an AI score of 51/100 (moderate). P/E: 15.9x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $31.25 (+68%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does PGY data refresh on this page?

PGY prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven PGY's recent stock price performance?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Proprietary AI technology for loan origination. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider PGY overvalued or undervalued right now?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) trades at 15.9x earnings. Analysts target $31.25 (+68%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying PGY?

Before investing in Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources

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