Retail Food Group Limited (RFGPF) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Retail Food Group Limited (RFGPF) Consumer Business Overview

Retail Food Group Limited (RFGPF) operates a diverse portfolio of franchise food and beverage brands across Australia and internationally. With a focus on coffee and baked goods, the company manages brands like Gloria Jean's Coffees and Donut King, navigating a competitive consumer landscape and evolving consumer preferences in the quick-service restaurant sector.

What Is the Investment Thesis for RFGPF?

Retail Food Group Limited presents a complex investment case. The company's extensive franchise network and diverse brand portfolio offer potential for growth, particularly in international markets. However, a negative P/E ratio of -3.21 and a negative profit margin of -14.9% raise concerns about profitability. The company's beta of 1.04 indicates market-correlated volatility. Key catalysts include successful expansion into new international territories and improved operational efficiency across its franchise network. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to improve profitability and manage its debt levels, while also considering the competitive pressures within the restaurant and café sector.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

RFGPF Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $0.10 billion indicates a small-cap company.

• Negative P/E ratio of -3.21 suggests the company is currently not profitable.
• Negative profit margin of -14.9% reflects operational challenges in achieving profitability.
• Gross margin of 32.8% indicates the company retains a portion of revenue after direct costs.
• Beta of 1.04 suggests the stock's price is slightly more volatile than the overall market.

Who Are RFGPF's Competitors?

RFGPF is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are RFGPF's Key Strengths?

Diverse brand portfolio catering to different consumer segments.

• Established franchise network across Australia and internationally.
• Integrated supply chain and coffee roasting facilities.
• Recognizable brands like Gloria Jean's Coffees and Donut King.

What Are RFGPF's Weaknesses?

Negative profitability and profit margin.

• High debt levels.
• Dependence on franchisee performance.
• Exposure to changing consumer preferences and trends.

What Could Drive RFGPF Stock Higher?

Potential improvements in profitability through cost-cutting measures and operational efficiencies.

• Expansion into new international markets, particularly in Asia and the Middle East.
• Optimization of the brand portfolio by focusing on the strongest brands.
• Implementation of digital technologies to enhance customer engagement and drive sales growth.
• Streamlining the supply chain to reduce input costs and improve gross margins.

What Are the Key Risks for RFGPF?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.56 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

• Negative return on equity (-10.3%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
• Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 4 of the last 5 reported quarters.
• Intense competition from other restaurant and café chains.
• Rising commodity prices and supply chain disruptions.
• Changing consumer preferences and health trends.
• Economic downturns impacting consumer spending.
• High debt levels and negative profitability.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for RFGPF?

• International Expansion: Retail Food Group Limited has the opportunity to expand its presence in international markets. As of July 2022, it operated 584 outlets across 54 licensed international territories in 41 countries. Focusing on high-growth markets in Asia and the Middle East could significantly increase revenue. The global quick-service restaurant market is expected to grow, presenting a favorable environment for RFGPF's expansion efforts. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Brand Portfolio Optimization: RFGPF manages a diverse portfolio of brands, including Donut King, Gloria Jean's Coffees, and Michel's Patisserie. Optimizing this portfolio by focusing on the strongest brands and divesting underperforming ones could improve overall profitability. This strategy would allow the company to allocate resources more efficiently and enhance brand equity. The market for baked goods and coffee remains robust, providing a solid foundation for growth. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Digital Transformation: Investing in digital technologies, such as online ordering platforms, mobile apps, and data analytics, can enhance customer engagement and improve operational efficiency. Implementing a comprehensive digital strategy can drive sales growth and reduce costs. The digital transformation of the restaurant industry is accelerating, with consumers increasingly relying on online channels for ordering and delivery. Timeline: Upcoming.
• Supply Chain Optimization: Streamlining the supply chain and reducing input costs can improve gross margins and overall profitability. Negotiating favorable terms with suppliers and implementing efficient inventory management practices are crucial. The global food supply chain is facing increasing challenges, including rising commodity prices and supply disruptions. RFGPF can mitigate these risks by diversifying its supply base and investing in technology to improve supply chain visibility. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Franchise Support and Training: Providing comprehensive support and training to franchisees is essential for maintaining brand consistency and ensuring customer satisfaction. Investing in franchisee training programs and providing ongoing operational support can improve franchisee performance and reduce turnover. A strong franchise network is a key competitive advantage in the restaurant industry. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are RFGPF's Competitive Advantages?

• Brand Portfolio: A diverse portfolio of well-known brands provides a competitive advantage.
• Franchise Network: An established franchise network offers a scalable business model.
• Supply Chain Infrastructure: Integrated supply chain and coffee roasting facilities provide cost efficiencies.
• International Presence: Operations in multiple countries diversify revenue streams and reduce geographic risk.

What Does RFGPF Do?

Retail Food Group Limited (RFGPF) was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Robina, Australia. The company manages a multi-brand retail food and beverage franchise system, operating both in Australia and internationally. RFGPF's business is divided into four segments: Bakery/Café, QSR (Quick Service Restaurants), Coffee Retail, and Di Bella Coffee. The company owns intellectual property and manages coffee roasting facilities, also engaging in the wholesale supply of coffee and allied products under the Di Bella Coffee brand. RFGPF develops and manages a portfolio of franchise brands, including Donut King, Brumby's Bakery, Michel's Patisserie, Esquires Coffee Houses, Pizza Capers Gourmet Kitchen, Crust Gourmet Pizza Bar, The Coffee Guy, Café2U, and Gloria Jean's Coffees. As of July 31, 2022, RFGPF had 840 outlets in Australia and 584 outlets across 54 licensed international territories in 41 countries. The company's extensive franchise network and diverse brand portfolio position it as a significant player in the global food and beverage industry.

What Products and Services Does RFGPF Offer?

• Manages a multi-brand retail food and beverage franchise system.
• Operates in Australia and internationally.
• Manages brands such as Donut King, Brumby's Bakery, and Gloria Jean's Coffees.
• Engages in the wholesale supply of coffee and allied products under the Di Bella Coffee brand.
• Develops and manages coffee roasting facilities.
• Offers a range of bakery, café, and quick-service restaurant options.

How Does RFGPF Make Money?

• Franchise Fees: Generates revenue through franchise fees from franchisees operating under its various brands.
• Wholesale Supply: Earns revenue from the wholesale supply of coffee and allied products to its franchisees.
• Retail Operations: Operates company-owned stores in addition to franchised locations.
• Intellectual Property: Owns and manages the intellectual property associated with its brands.

What Industry Does RFGPF Operate In?

Retail Food Group Limited operates within the competitive restaurant and café industry. This sector is characterized by evolving consumer preferences, intense competition, and the need for constant innovation. RFGPF competes with other franchise operators like AMTY (AmRest Holdings SE) and GGLT (GGLT Corp), as well as independent restaurants and cafes. Success in this industry requires strong brand recognition, efficient operations, and the ability to adapt to changing consumer trends.

Who Are RFGPF's Key Customers?

• Franchisees: Individuals or entities that operate franchised outlets under RFGPF's brands.
• Retail Consumers: Customers who purchase food and beverage products from RFGPF's franchised and company-owned stores.
• Wholesale Clients: Businesses that purchase coffee and allied products from RFGPF's Di Bella Coffee brand.

Retail Food Group Limited (RFGPF) Valuation Context

Relative to its peer group, RFGPF's quantitative score of 48/100 is below the peer average of 68/100.

RFGPF Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q4 FY2026, RFGPF generated $41.2M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential decrease of 15.4%. The company recorded a net loss of $620K, with diluted EPS of $-0.01. Revenue has contracted over three consecutive quarters, which investors in this unknown Consumer Cyclical stock should monitor closely. Across the four most recent quarters, RFGPF averaged $-0.06 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Retail Food Group Limited operates in the Restaurants industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Robina, AU. The company is led by CEO Matthew Marshall. RFGPF has traded publicly since 2018.

Return on equity for Retail Food Group Limited stands at -10.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -5.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 3.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.76 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is -40.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Retail Food Group Limited's Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.56 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Retail Food Group Limited has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 5 reported quarters — a recurring pattern of falling short of estimates. Reported results have landed about 113.8% above estimates on average.

RFGPF Financials

RFGPF Latest News

RFGPF Analyst Consensus

RFGPF MoonshotScore

Retail Food Group Limited Consumer Cyclical Stock: Key Questions Answered

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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