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Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) Stock Analysis

$226.39 +$7.39 (+3.37%) |Strong · 76
Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (63/100) while the AI fundamental score is 76/100 (grade A); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest single signal: Growth Durability strong.
MCap: $32.5B| P/E Ratio: 24.8| Vol: 1.15M| Target: $193.10 (-14.7%)| 52-wk range: $124.77 – $288.74
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) trades at $226.39 with AI Score 76/100 (Grade A). Steel Dynamics, Inc. is a leading U. S. Market cap: $32.5B, Sector: Basic materials.

Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
Steel Dynamics, Inc. is a leading U.S. steel producer and metal recycler, operating through three segments: Steel Operations, Metals Recycling Operations, and Steel Fabrication Operations. Founded in 1993, the company has established a strong market presence with a diverse product portfolio serving various industries.

STLD stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $193.10 for Steel Dynamics, Inc., suggesting 14.7% downside from the current price of $226.39. The AI MoonshotScore is 76/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the STLD film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 63/100 · B+

STLD: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Growth Durability strong.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 76/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Neutral
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Neutral
Moon AI
Neutral
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) Materials & Commodity Exposure

CEOMark D. Millett
Employees13,000
HeadquartersFort Wayne, IN, US
IPO Year1996
IndustrySteel

Steel Dynamics, Inc. stands as a prominent player in the U.S. steel industry, recognized for its integrated operations in steel production, metal recycling, and fabrication, catering to diverse sectors including construction and automotive.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for STLD?

As of May 9, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Steel Dynamics, Inc. presents a robust investment thesis characterized by its strong market position and diversified operations. With a market capitalization of $32.5B and a P/E ratio of 24.8, the company has demonstrated solid profitability, evidenced by a profit margin of 7.2% and a gross margin of 14.0%. Key growth catalysts include the increasing demand for steel products driven by infrastructure spending and the automotive sector's recovery, which are projected to enhance revenue streams. Additionally, the company's strategic focus on recycling operations aligns with global sustainability trends, potentially increasing its market share in the growing metals recycling sector. However, investors should remain aware of potential risks such as fluctuations in raw material prices and competition from major players like Nucor Corporation (NUE) and ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT). These factors will be critical in assessing the company's future performance and valuation.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

STLD Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $32.5B, reflecting strong investor confidence.

  • P/E ratio of 24.8, indicating a premium valuation compared to industry peers.
  • Profit margin of 7.2%, showcasing effective cost management and operational efficiency.
  • Gross margin of 14.0%, which is competitive within the steel industry.
  • Dividend yield of 0.86%, providing a return to shareholders amidst growth.

Who Are STLD's Competitors?

STLD is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
NUE Nucor Corporation $240.48 -3.32% $54.8B 75
MT ArcelorMittal S.A. $71.11 -4.67% $54.1B 47
NTR Nutrien Ltd. $73.12 +3.72% $35.1B 56
KGC Kinross Gold Corporation acquires, explores, and $32.77 +4.30% $38.9B 61
AMRZ Amrize AG $44.62 -1.41% $24.7B 59
VLOWY Vallourec S.A. $4.21 +0.24% $24.7B 48
AMSYF ArcelorMittal S.A. $66.45 +0.00% $50.1B 44
RS Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. $386.02 +1.50% $19.7B 84

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are STLD's Key Strengths?

Diverse product portfolio catering to multiple industries.

  • Strong market position with significant operational scale.
  • Commitment to sustainability and recycling initiatives.
  • Experienced leadership team with industry expertise.

What Are STLD's Weaknesses?

Exposure to fluctuations in raw material prices.

  • Dependence on the U.S. market for a significant portion of revenue.
  • Potential challenges in scaling operations quickly to meet demand.
  • Limited international presence compared to some competitors.

What Could Drive STLD Stock Higher?

Increased infrastructure spending expected to drive demand for steel products.

  • Expansion of recycling operations to capture growing market for recycled metals.
  • New product launches in the fabrication segment to meet construction needs.
  • Strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers to secure long-term contracts.
  • Potential entry into new international markets to diversify revenue streams.

What Are the Key Risks for STLD?

Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $2.7M recently.

  • Fluctuations in raw material prices could impact profit margins.
  • Intense competition from domestic and international steel producers.
  • Economic downturns may reduce demand for steel products.
  • Regulatory changes affecting production processes and costs.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for STLD?

  • Infrastructure Investment: The U.S. government's commitment to infrastructure investment is expected to drive demand for steel products significantly. With the recent bipartisan infrastructure bill allocating $1.2 trillion for various projects, Steel Dynamics stands to benefit from increased orders for its steel products, particularly in construction and transportation. This opportunity is projected to enhance revenue growth over the next five years as projects are rolled out.
  • Sustainability Initiatives: Steel Dynamics' focus on its Metals Recycling Operations aligns with the growing emphasis on sustainability within the steel industry. As global awareness of environmental issues increases, the demand for recycled steel is expected to rise. The company is strategically positioned to capitalize on this trend, with its recycling segment projected to grow by 5% annually, contributing positively to its overall revenue.
  • Automotive Sector Recovery: The automotive industry is rebounding post-pandemic, with manufacturers ramping up production to meet consumer demand. Steel Dynamics, with its extensive range of steel products tailored for automotive applications, is poised to capture a larger market share as vehicle production increases. This sector is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 4% over the next five years, providing a significant revenue opportunity for the company.
  • Expansion of Fabrication Operations: Steel Dynamics is investing in expanding its Steel Fabrication Operations to meet the growing demand for non-residential construction components. As commercial construction projects increase, the company aims to enhance its production capacity, which could lead to a revenue boost of approximately 10% over the next three years.
  • International Market Penetration: Steel Dynamics is exploring opportunities to expand its export capabilities, particularly in high-demand regions such as Asia and Europe. By increasing its international presence, the company can diversify its revenue streams and reduce dependence on the domestic market, potentially achieving a 15% increase in export sales over the next five years.

What Are STLD's Competitive Advantages?

  • Integrated operations across steel production, recycling, and fabrication.
  • Strong brand reputation for quality and reliability in the steel industry.
  • Established relationships with a diverse customer base across multiple sectors.
  • Commitment to sustainability through recycling initiatives.
  • Operational efficiencies that enable competitive pricing.

What Does STLD Do?

Steel Dynamics, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Fort Wayne, Indiana. The company operates as a steel producer and metal recycler in the United States, providing a wide array of products through its three main segments: Steel Operations, Metals Recycling Operations, and Steel Fabrication Operations. The Steel Operations segment is notable for its comprehensive range of products, including hot roll, cold roll, and coated steel products, as well as various engineered steel bars and carbon steel products. These products are essential in sectors such as construction, automotive, manufacturing, and transportation. The Metals Recycling Operations segment plays a crucial role in the sustainability aspect of the steel industry, purchasing, processing, and reselling ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals, thus contributing to resource efficiency. Additionally, the Steel Fabrication Operations segment focuses on producing non-residential steel building components, which are vital for infrastructure projects. With a workforce of approximately 13,000 employees, Steel Dynamics has positioned itself as a leader in the steel market, leveraging its operational efficiencies and commitment to quality to serve a diverse customer base, including end-users, fabricators, and service centers. The company also exports its products, enhancing its market reach beyond domestic borders.

What Products and Services Does STLD Offer?

  • Produce a wide range of steel products including hot roll, cold roll, and coated steel.
  • Engage in metal recycling operations, processing ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals.
  • Manufacture non-residential steel building components like joists and girders.
  • Provide transportation logistics and scrap management services.
  • Sell directly to end-users, steel fabricators, and service centers.
  • Export steel products to international markets.

How Does STLD Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through the sale of steel products across various sectors.
  • Profit from metal recycling by purchasing and reselling scrap metals.
  • Offer fabrication services for non-residential construction components.
  • Provide value-added services such as logistics and scrap management.
  • Leverage operational efficiencies to maintain competitive pricing.

What Industry Does STLD Operate In?

The steel industry is currently experiencing a resurgence, driven by increased infrastructure spending and a rebound in construction activities. As of 2026, the global steel market is projected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 3.5%, with significant contributions from emerging markets. Steel Dynamics, Inc. is well-positioned within this landscape, competing with major players such as Nucor Corporation (NUE) and ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT), who are also focusing on sustainability and innovation. The company's diverse product offerings and recycling operations provide a competitive edge, allowing it to adapt to market demands and regulatory changes effectively.

Who Are STLD's Key Customers?

  • Construction companies requiring steel for infrastructure projects.
  • Automotive manufacturers needing specialized steel products.
  • Steel fabricators and service centers purchasing raw materials.
  • Heavy equipment manufacturers utilizing steel components.
  • Export markets seeking high-quality steel products.
AI Confidence: 72% Updated: May 9, 2026
Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Steel Dynamics, Inc. insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 5 sales and 10 purchases. On net that is roughly 8K shares disposed (about $2.7M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Revenue for Steel Dynamics, Inc. came in at $6.09B during Q2 2026, a 17.0% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $534.1M, with diluted EPS of $3.70. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Basic Materials company. Across the four most recent quarters, STLD averaged $2.76 in diluted EPS.

STLD Valuation & Market Position

With a $32.5B market cap, Steel Dynamics, Inc. sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, STLD's quantitative score of 76/100 is above the peer average of 60/100.

ROE 18%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Steel Dynamics, Inc. stands at 17.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 9.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. STLD trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 24.81, above the Basic Materials sector average of ~22x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.18 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 4.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 7/9

Financial Health

Steel Dynamics, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 5.92 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Steel Dynamics, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 1.3% below estimates on average.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Steel Dynamics, Inc. revenue of about $23.62B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $16.78. The estimate reflects 8 contributing analysts.

Company Profile

Steel Dynamics, Inc. operates in the Steel industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Fort Wayne, US. The company is led by CEO Mark D. Millett. STLD has traded publicly since 1996.

STLD Financials

STLD earnings history & estimates →

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+3.6%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-22.9%
EPS Growth (FY)
-18.9%
P/E (TTM)
23.0
Return on Equity (TTM)
+17.6%
Current Ratio
3.2
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
13.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Diverse product portfolio catering to multiple industries.
  • Strong market position with significant operational scale.
  • Commitment to sustainability and recycling initiatives.
  • Experienced leadership team with industry expertise.

Bear Case

  • Exposure to fluctuations in raw material prices.
  • Dependence on the U.S. market for a significant portion of revenue.
  • Potential challenges in scaling operations quickly to meet demand.
  • Limited international presence compared to some competitors.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · August 2026

From the Earnings Call

“Our steel operations generated operating income of $557 million in the first quarter, a 73% sequential increase as average selling prices per ton increased $86.”

— Theresa E. Wagler

“From a metals recycling perspective, first quarter 2026 operating income was $47 million, or 155% higher than sequential earnings, based on higher pricing for both ferrous and nonferrous scrap.”

— Theresa E. Wagler

STLD Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-04-21

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $6.09B $534M $3.70
Q1 2026 $5.20B $403M $2.79
Q4 2025 $4.41B $266M $1.82
Q3 2025 $4.83B $404M $2.73

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

STLD Latest News

STLD Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for STLD.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $193.10

STLD MoonshotScore

76/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates STLD 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Latest Steel Dynamics, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Mark D. Millett

CEO

Mark D. Millett has been instrumental in leading Steel Dynamics, Inc. since its inception in 1993. With a strong background in engineering and business management, he has played a critical role in the company's growth and expansion. Millett holds a degree in Industrial Engineering from Purdue University and has extensive experience in the steel industry, having held various leadership positions prior to becoming CEO.

Track Record: Under Millett's leadership, Steel Dynamics has achieved significant milestones, including expanding its production capacity and enhancing its recycling operations. He has been pivotal in driving the company's commitment to sustainability and operational efficiency, positioning Steel Dynamics as a leader in the U.S. steel market.

What Investors Ask About Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) — Basic Materials

What does the AI Score mean for STLD?

STLD holds an AI Score of 76/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Steel Dynamics, Inc. is a leading U.S. steel producer and metal recycler, operating through three segments: Steel Operations, Metals Recycling Operations, and Steel Fabrication Operations. Founded …

What does Steel Dynamics, Inc. do?

Steel Dynamics, Inc. operates as a steel producer and metal recycler in the U.S., offering a wide range of steel products through its Steel Operations, Metals Recycling Operations, and Steel Fabrication Operations segments. The company serves various industries, including construction, automotive, and manufacturing, and is committed to sustainability through its recycling initiatives.

What do analysts say about STLD stock?

Analysts generally view Steel Dynamics, Inc. positively, highlighting its strong market position and diverse product offerings. Key valuation metrics such as a P/E ratio of 24.8 and a profit margin of 7.2% are often cited as indicators of the company's financial health. Growth considerations include the anticipated increase in infrastructure spending and the recovery of the automotive sector.

What are the main risks for STLD?

Steel Dynamics, Inc. faces several risks, including fluctuations in raw material prices, which could adversely affect profit margins. Additionally, the company operates in a highly competitive environment, with significant pressure from both domestic and international steel producers. Economic downturns could also lead to reduced demand for steel products, impacting overall revenue.

What are the key factors to evaluate for STLD?

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) holds an AI score of 76/100 (high). P/E: 24.8x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $193.10 (-15%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does STLD data refresh on this page?

STLD's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven STLD's recent stock price performance?

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diverse product portfolio catering to multiple industries. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider STLD overvalued or undervalued right now?

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) trades at 24.8x earnings. Analysts target $193.10 (-15%) — downside risk seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research STLD before investing?

Before investing in Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • This analysis is based on the latest available data and may be subject to change as new information becomes available.
Data Sources

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