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Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) Stock Analysis

$4.46 -$0.10 (-2.19%) |Avoid · 23
Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) bottom line: Bearish Lean — our Council read (31/100) and AI Score (23/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $289M| Vol: 271.1K| Target: $3.00 (-32.7%)| 52-wk range: $1.17 – $7.78
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) trades at $4.46 with AI Score 23/100 (Grade F). Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. focuses on the surgical treatment of bunions through its Lapiplasty procedure. Market cap: $289M, Sector: Healthcare.

Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 6, 2026
Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. focuses on the surgical treatment of bunions through its Lapiplasty procedure. The company designs, manufactures, and markets medical devices for foot and ankle surgeons in the United States.

TMCI stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $3.00 for Treace Medical Concepts, Inc., suggesting 32.7% downside from the current price of $4.46. The AI MoonshotScore is 23/100, indicating a strong bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the TMCI film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bearish Lean 31/100 · D

TMCI: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 23/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Neutral Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Bearish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEOJohn T. Treace
Employees477
HeadquartersPonte Vedra, FL, US
IPO Year2021

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. specializes in orthopedic medical devices, primarily known for its Lapiplasty system, a pioneering bunion correction procedure. The company caters to foot and ankle surgeons in the U.S., offering innovative solutions for three-dimensional bunion correction and related ancillary procedures within the broader medical devices sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 6, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for TMCI?

As of May 6, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Treace Medical Concepts presents an investment opportunity centered on its innovative Lapiplasty procedure for bunion correction. The company's focus on a specific niche within the orthopedic device market allows for targeted marketing and surgeon training efforts. With a gross margin of 79.8%, there is potential for profitability as the company scales its operations. Key to the investment thesis is the continued adoption of the Lapiplasty procedure by foot and ankle surgeons, driven by its three-dimensional correction capabilities and potential for improved patient outcomes. However, the company's negative profit margin of -27.7% indicates ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. The company's market capitalization of $289M reflects its current valuation. Success hinges on effectively penetrating the market, managing operational costs, and demonstrating long-term clinical efficacy of the Lapiplasty procedure. Upcoming catalysts include expanding surgeon training programs and publishing clinical studies that validate the benefits of Lapiplasty.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TMCI Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $289M, reflecting its valuation in the orthopedic medical device market.

  • Gross margin of 79.8%, indicating strong potential for profitability as the company scales.
  • Focus on the Lapiplasty procedure, a patented surgical technique for three-dimensional bunion correction.
  • Negative profit margin of -27.7%, highlighting ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.
  • Beta of 0.88, suggesting lower volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are TMCI's Competitors?

TMCI is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
ANIK Anika Therapeutics, Inc. $21.26 -1.44% $285M 84
DMTRF 3-D Matrix, Ltd. $2.50 +0.00% $320M 66
PROF Profound Medical Corp. $7.08 +1.14% $257M 67
VMD Viemed Healthcare, Inc. $8.57 -4.14% $326M 87
ELMD Electromed, Inc. $40.00 -2.13% $331M 92
BSGM BioSig Technologies, Inc. $6.10 +37.08% $191M 61
AVMR AVRA Medical Robotics, Inc. $9.17 +0.00% $494M 61
QIPT Quipt Home Medical Corp. $3.65 +0.00% $162M 63

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are TMCI's Key Strengths?

Innovative Lapiplasty procedure for three-dimensional bunion correction.

  • Strong gross margin of 79.8%.
  • Focus on a specific niche market.
  • Dedicated training programs for surgeons.

What Are TMCI's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin of -27.7%.

  • Limited product portfolio focused primarily on bunion correction.
  • Reliance on a single procedure (Lapiplasty) for revenue generation.
  • Smaller market capitalization compared to larger orthopedic device companies.

What Could Drive TMCI Stock Higher?

Publication of clinical studies demonstrating the long-term benefits of Lapiplasty.

  • Expansion of surgeon training programs to increase adoption of Lapiplasty.
  • Development and launch of new products for ancillary procedures.
  • Increasing market penetration in existing geographic markets.
  • Expansion into international markets.

What Are the Key Risks for TMCI?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.02 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Negative return on equity (-74.1%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Competition from established orthopedic device companies with greater resources.
  • Changes in reimbursement policies that could negatively impact the adoption of Lapiplasty.
  • Regulatory hurdles and compliance requirements that could delay or prevent the approval of new products.
  • Dependence on the Lapiplasty procedure for revenue generation.
  • Negative profit margin and the need to achieve profitability.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TMCI?

  • Expanding Surgeon Training Programs: Treace can increase adoption of the Lapiplasty procedure by expanding its surgeon training programs. By offering comprehensive training and education, Treace can equip more surgeons with the skills and confidence to perform the procedure effectively. This will increase the number of surgeons offering Lapiplasty, leading to higher sales and market share. The market for bunion correction procedures is estimated to be substantial, with a growing demand for minimally invasive solutions.
  • Developing New Products for Ancillary Procedures: Treace can expand its product portfolio by developing new devices and instruments for ancillary procedures related to bunion correction and other foot and ankle conditions. This would allow the company to offer a more comprehensive suite of products to surgeons, increasing its revenue per procedure. The market for ancillary foot and ankle procedures is estimated to be significant, offering ample opportunity for growth.
  • Increasing Market Penetration in Existing Geographic Markets: Treace can focus on increasing its market penetration in the United States by targeting specific geographic regions and surgeon groups. By focusing its sales and marketing efforts on areas with high demand for bunion correction and a large number of foot and ankle surgeons, Treace can increase its sales and market share. The U.S. market for orthopedic medical devices is substantial, offering significant growth potential.
  • Publishing Clinical Studies to Validate the Benefits of Lapiplasty: Treace can invest in clinical studies to demonstrate the long-term benefits of the Lapiplasty procedure compared to traditional bunion surgery methods. By publishing peer-reviewed studies in reputable medical journals, Treace can build credibility and increase surgeon confidence in the procedure. This will lead to greater adoption of Lapiplasty and increased sales. The timeline for these studies would be ongoing, with results expected over the next several years.
  • Exploring International Expansion Opportunities: Treace can explore opportunities to expand its business into international markets, such as Europe and Asia. By obtaining regulatory approvals and establishing distribution networks in these regions, Treace can tap into new sources of revenue and diversify its geographic risk. The global market for orthopedic medical devices is substantial, offering significant growth potential for companies with innovative products and strong distribution capabilities.

What Are TMCI's Competitive Advantages?

  • Patented Lapiplasty procedure provides a unique and differentiated approach to bunion correction.
  • Strong relationships with foot and ankle surgeons through training and education programs.
  • Focus on a specific niche within the orthopedic device market allows for targeted marketing and product development.
  • Growing body of clinical evidence supporting the benefits of the Lapiplasty procedure.

What Does TMCI Do?

Founded in 2013 and headquartered in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. is an orthopedic medical device company focused on addressing unmet needs in the surgical treatment of foot and ankle disorders, particularly bunions. The company's flagship product is the Lapiplasty procedure, a patented surgical technique designed to correct bunions in all three dimensions, providing both cosmetic and medical benefits to patients. This innovative approach distinguishes Treace from traditional bunion surgery methods. Treace Medical Concepts offers the Lapiplasty Mini-Incision precision system, enhancing surgical precision and potentially reducing recovery times. Beyond Lapiplasty, the company provides a range of products for ancillary surgical procedures, including akin osteotomies, weil osteotomies, intercuneiform stabilization, lesser tarsometatarsal joint fusions, and autograft bone harvesting, as well as for MTP fusion. These products support surgeons in addressing various aspects of foot and ankle reconstruction. Treace Medical Concepts markets its products directly to foot and ankle surgeons in the United States. The company's focus on innovation, surgeon education, and patient outcomes has allowed it to establish a growing presence in the orthopedic medical device market. Treace continues to invest in research and development to expand its product portfolio and improve surgical techniques for foot and ankle conditions.

What Products and Services Does TMCI Offer?

  • Designs orthopedic medical devices for foot and ankle surgeons.
  • Manufactures medical devices used in bunion correction and related procedures.
  • Markets the Lapiplasty procedure, a three-dimensional bunion correction technique.
  • Offers the Lapiplasty Mini-Incision precision system for enhanced surgical precision.
  • Provides products for ancillary surgical procedures, such as osteotomies and joint fusions.
  • Focuses on improving patient outcomes through innovative surgical solutions.

How Does TMCI Make Money?

  • Develops and patents innovative surgical techniques and medical devices.
  • Manufactures and sells these devices directly to foot and ankle surgeons.
  • Provides training and education to surgeons on the proper use of its products.
  • Generates revenue through the sale of Lapiplasty kits and related products.

What Industry Does TMCI Operate In?

Treace Medical Concepts operates within the orthopedic medical device industry, which is characterized by continuous innovation and increasing demand for minimally invasive surgical techniques. The market for foot and ankle devices is driven by an aging population, rising incidence of foot and ankle disorders, and growing awareness of advanced treatment options. Treace's Lapiplasty procedure competes with traditional bunion surgery methods and other emerging technologies. The company's success depends on its ability to differentiate its products, establish strong relationships with surgeons, and navigate regulatory pathways.

Who Are TMCI's Key Customers?

  • Foot and ankle surgeons in the United States.
  • Hospitals and surgical centers that perform foot and ankle procedures.
  • Patients seeking treatment for bunions and other foot and ankle conditions.
AI Confidence: 81% Updated: May 6, 2026

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) Valuation Context

Valued at $289M, TMCI is classified as a micro-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, TMCI's quantitative score of 23/100 is below the peer average of 79/100.

TMCI Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 2026, TMCI generated $45.4M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential decrease of 3.9%. The company recorded a net loss of $15.9M, with diluted EPS of $-0.24. Revenue has contracted over three consecutive quarters, which investors in this micro-cap Healthcare stock should monitor closely. Across the four most recent quarters, TMCI averaged $-0.23 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. operates in the Medical - Devices industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in Ponte Vedra, US. The company is led by CEO John T. Treace. TMCI has traded publicly since 2021.

ROE -74%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. stands at -74.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -32.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -8.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.90 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -20.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 2/9

Financial Health

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.02 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

8/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 20.3% above estimates on average.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. revenue of about $206.2M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-0.89. The estimate reflects 4 contributing analysts.

TMCI Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+1.6%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-5.8%
EPS Growth (FY)
-3.3%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+39.5%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-74.1%
Current Ratio
2.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future, indicating that leadership believes in the growth potential.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting innovative product offerings that could disrupt the market.
  • Increased demand for orthopedic solutions has been noted, positioning Treace well within a growing healthcare sector.
  • Recent partnerships and collaborations have bolstered credibility, attracting attention from investors and industry analysts.

Bear Case

  • Concerns over market competition have surfaced, with several new entrants vying for market share in the orthopedic space.
  • Social sentiment reflects skepticism about the sustainability of recent growth, with some investors cautious about future earnings.
  • Insider selling has raised red flags, leading to speculation about potential challenges the company may face ahead.
  • Recent regulatory challenges in the healthcare sector could impact operational efficiency and delay product approvals.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $45M -$16M -$0.24
Q1 2026 $47M -$18M -$0.28
Q4 2025 $63M -$9M -$0.15
Q3 2025 $50M -$16M -$0.26

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TMCI Latest News

No recent news available for TMCI.

TMCI Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for TMCI.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $3.00

TMCI MoonshotScore

23/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates TMCI 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: John T. Treace

CEO

John T. Treace is the founder and CEO of Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. He has extensive experience in the medical device industry, with a focus on orthopedic surgery. His background includes leadership roles in sales, marketing, and product development. He is responsible for the overall strategic direction of the company and is actively involved in the development and commercialization of new products. He manages 477 employees.

Track Record: Under John T. Treace's leadership, Treace Medical Concepts has successfully developed and commercialized the Lapiplasty procedure, establishing it as a leading solution for bunion correction. He has overseen the company's growth from a startup to a publicly traded company. He has also built a strong team of professionals and fostered a culture of innovation and customer focus.

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. Healthcare Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for TMCI?

TMCI holds an AI Score of 23/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. focuses on the surgical treatment of bunions through its Lapiplasty procedure. The company designs, manufactures, and markets medical devices for foot and ankle …

What does Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. do?

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. is an orthopedic medical device company specializing in the design, manufacture, and marketing of surgical solutions for foot and ankle disorders. Its primary focus is on bunion correction through the Lapiplasty procedure, a patented technique that addresses bunions in three dimensions.

What do analysts say about TMCI stock?

Analyst coverage of Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. focuses on the company's growth potential within the orthopedic medical device market, particularly its Lapiplasty procedure. Key valuation metrics include revenue growth, gross margin, and market capitalization. Analysts consider the company's ability to increase adoption of Lapiplasty among foot and ankle surgeons, expand its product portfolio, and achieve profitability.

What are the main risks for TMCI?

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. faces several risks, including competition from larger orthopedic device companies with greater resources, potential changes in reimbursement policies that could negatively impact the adoption of Lapiplasty, and regulatory hurdles that could delay or prevent the approval of new products.

How does Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. navigate regulatory approval processes?

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. navigates regulatory approval processes primarily through the FDA's 510(k) pathway, which is used for medical devices that are substantially equivalent to devices already on the market. The company maintains a focus on compliance with FDA regulations and standards throughout the design, manufacturing, and marketing of its products.

What is Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.'s strategy for surgeon training and education?

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. places a strong emphasis on surgeon training and education as a key component of its commercial strategy. The company offers comprehensive training programs to foot and ankle surgeons on the proper use of the Lapiplasty procedure and its associated products. These programs include hands-on workshops, cadaver labs, and online resources.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TMCI?

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) holds an AI score of 23/100 (low). Analysts target $3.00 (-33%). Treace Medical Concepts presents an investment opportunity centered on its innovative Lapiplasty procedure for bunion correction. Not financial advice.

How frequently does TMCI data refresh on this page?

TMCI's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven TMCI's recent stock price performance?

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative Lapiplasty procedure for three-dimensional bunion correction. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to change.
  • The analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Data Sources

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