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USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR)

$19.15 $-0.83 (-4.15%) |Avoid · 14
Bottom line: STRONG SELL — our Council read (14/100) and AI Score (14/100) broadly agree.
MCap: $1.85B| Vol: 14.20M| Target: $34.33 (+79.3%)| 52-wk range: $9.32 – $43.98
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) trades at $19.15 with AI Score 14/100 (Grade F). USA Rare Earth, Inc. is focused on developing a vertically integrated rare earth magnet supply chain within the United States. Market cap: $1.85B, Sector: Basic materials.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
USA Rare Earth, Inc. is focused on developing a vertically integrated rare earth magnet supply chain within the United States. The company aims to serve various sectors, including defense, automotive, and electronics, by establishing a domestic source for NdFeB magnets.

USAR stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $34.33 for USA Rare Earth, Inc., suggesting 79.3% upside from the current price of $19.15. The AI MoonshotScore is 14/100, indicating a strong bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
STRONG SELL 14/100 · F

USAR: 1/1 perspectives are bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) Materials & Commodity Exposure

CEOBarbara W. Humpton
Employees30
HeadquartersNew York City, NY, US
IPO Year2025

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is a magnet manufacturing company focused on establishing a domestic supply chain for rare earth magnets. Developing a NdFeB magnet manufacturing, minerals supply, extraction, and processing plant, USAR aims to serve critical industries like defense, automotive, and electronics, reducing reliance on foreign sources.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for USAR?

USA Rare Earth presents a compelling investment thesis based on the growing demand for rare earth magnets and the strategic imperative to establish a domestic supply chain. The company's vertically integrated approach, encompassing mining, processing, and manufacturing, offers a competitive advantage by ensuring supply chain security and cost control. With a market capitalization of $1.85B, USAR is positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand from sectors like electric vehicles and renewable energy. Key catalysts include the ongoing development of its NdFeB magnet manufacturing plant and potential government support for domestic rare earth production. However, the company's negative profit margin of -47.8% indicates ongoing investment and development costs, representing a risk factor. The company's beta of 1.37 suggests higher volatility compared to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

USAR Key Highlights

  • Market Cap of $1.85B reflects investor confidence in the company's potential within the rare earth magnet market.
  • Gross Margin of 81.2% indicates strong pricing power and efficient production processes once the manufacturing plant is fully operational.
  • Negative Profit Margin of -47.8% reflects the current investment phase as the company develops its infrastructure and scales up operations.
  • Beta of 1.37 suggests higher volatility compared to the broader market, typical for growth-oriented companies in emerging sectors.
  • No Dividend Yield reflects the company's focus on reinvesting earnings to fund growth initiatives and expand its manufacturing capabilities.

Who Are USAR's Competitors?

USAR is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
GTMLF Green Technology Metals Limited $0.01 +0.00% $8.28M 64
ABAT American Battery Technology Company $2.81 +1.81% $295.15M 64
ARRRF Ardea Resources Limited $0.30 +10.00% $65.26M 64
UAMY United States Antimony Corporation $7.43 -3.51% $1.10B 64
RIO Rio Tinto Group $94.42 +1.15% $153.34B 52
JNDAF Jindalee Resources Limited $0.27 -3.50% $20.21M 52
GHVNF GoldHaven Resources Corp. $0.13 -2.29% $6.36M 52
EMHXY European Metals Holdings Limited $3.93 +0.00% $39.01M 52

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are USAR's Key Strengths?

  • Vertically integrated supply chain
  • Domestic production capabilities
  • Strategic importance to key industries
  • High gross margin (81.2%)

What Are USAR's Weaknesses?

  • Negative profit margin (-47.8%)
  • Reliance on successful development of manufacturing plant
  • Limited operational history
  • Small number of employees (30)

What Could Drive USAR Stock Higher?

  • Completion of NdFeB magnet manufacturing plant.
  • Government support for domestic rare earth production.
  • Increasing demand for rare earth magnets in electric vehicles.
  • Expansion of renewable energy infrastructure.

What Are the Key Risks for USAR?

  • Negative return on equity (-76.5%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Competition from established rare earth magnet producers.
  • Fluctuations in rare earth mineral prices.
  • Geopolitical risks affecting supply chains.
  • Negative profit margin due to development costs.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for USAR?

  • Electric Vehicle Market: The increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) represents a significant growth opportunity for USA Rare Earth. NdFeB magnets are essential components in EV motors, and the demand for EVs is projected to grow rapidly in the coming years. As the EV market expands, the demand for rare earth magnets will increase, providing a substantial market for USAR's products. The global EV market is projected to reach trillions of dollars by 2030, creating a large addressable market for USAR.
  • Renewable Energy Sector: Wind turbines also rely heavily on NdFeB magnets for efficient energy generation. The global transition to renewable energy sources is driving increased investments in wind power, creating a growing demand for rare earth magnets. USAR can capitalize on this trend by supplying magnets to wind turbine manufacturers, contributing to the expansion of renewable energy infrastructure. Government incentives and policies supporting renewable energy further enhance this growth opportunity.
  • Defense Industry Applications: Rare earth magnets are critical components in various defense systems, including missile guidance systems, radar, and communication equipment. The defense industry requires a secure and reliable supply of these materials, making domestic suppliers like USA Rare Earth strategically important. Increasing defense spending and the focus on advanced military technologies will drive demand for rare earth magnets in this sector.
  • Consumer Electronics Market: NdFeB magnets are used in a wide range of consumer electronics, including smartphones, laptops, and audio equipment. The continued growth of the consumer electronics market, driven by innovation and increasing demand for advanced features, will support demand for rare earth magnets. USAR can target this market by supplying magnets to consumer electronics manufacturers, leveraging its domestic production capabilities.
  • Medical Device Industry: Rare earth magnets are utilized in medical devices such as MRI machines and surgical instruments. The increasing demand for advanced medical technologies and the growing healthcare industry will drive demand for rare earth magnets in this sector. USAR can partner with medical device manufacturers to supply magnets for these critical applications, contributing to advancements in healthcare.

What Opportunities Does USAR Have?

  • Growing demand for rare earth magnets in EVs and renewable energy
  • Government support for domestic rare earth production
  • Expansion into new markets and applications
  • Partnerships with key industry players

What Threats Does USAR Face?

  • Competition from established rare earth magnet producers
  • Fluctuations in rare earth mineral prices
  • Geopolitical risks affecting supply chains
  • Technological advancements rendering current processes obsolete

What Are USAR's Competitive Advantages?

  • Vertically integrated supply chain provides cost control and security.
  • Domestic production reduces reliance on foreign sources.
  • Strategic importance to defense and critical industries.
  • Proprietary processing technologies for rare earth minerals.

What Does USAR Do?

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is dedicated to creating a fully integrated domestic supply chain for rare earth magnets, essential components in various high-tech and industrial applications. Founded with the vision of reducing U.S. dependence on foreign sources for these critical materials, the company is developing a comprehensive ecosystem that spans from mineral extraction to magnet manufacturing. The company's primary focus is on neodymium iron boron (NdFeB) magnets, known for their high strength and use in electric vehicles, wind turbines, defense systems, and consumer electronics. USAR's operations encompass the entire value chain, including the mining and processing of rare earth minerals, the production of NdFeB alloys, and the manufacturing of finished magnets. By establishing a vertically integrated operation, USA Rare Earth aims to ensure a secure and reliable supply of rare earth magnets for U.S. industries. The company targets key sectors such as defense, automotive, aviation, industrial, medical, and consumer electronics, positioning itself as a strategic supplier to industries vital to national security and economic growth. Headquartered in New York City, USA Rare Earth is strategically located to serve its target markets across the United States.

What Products and Services Does USAR Offer?

  • Develops a NdFeB magnet manufacturing plant.
  • Engages in minerals supply chain activities.
  • Focuses on extraction of rare earth elements.
  • Processes rare earth minerals into usable materials.
  • Manufactures high-performance NdFeB magnets.
  • Serves the defense industry with critical components.
  • Supplies magnets for the automotive sector, including electric vehicles.
  • Provides materials for the aviation, industrial, medical, and consumer electronics industries.

How Does USAR Make Money?

  • Vertically integrated rare earth magnet supply chain.
  • Extraction and processing of rare earth minerals.
  • Manufacturing of NdFeB magnets.
  • Sales to defense, automotive, and electronics industries.

What Industry Does USAR Operate In?

USA Rare Earth operates within the industrial materials sector, specifically focusing on rare earth magnets. The market for rare earth magnets is driven by the increasing demand for electric vehicles, renewable energy technologies, and advanced electronics. The industry is characterized by a high degree of concentration, with a significant portion of the global supply originating from China. This concentration poses risks to supply chain security and has spurred efforts to diversify sourcing. USA Rare Earth aims to address this challenge by establishing a domestic supply chain, positioning itself to capture a share of the growing market and reduce reliance on foreign sources.

Who Are USAR's Key Customers?

  • Defense contractors requiring high-performance magnets.
  • Automotive manufacturers, particularly electric vehicle producers.
  • Aviation companies needing magnets for aircraft systems.
  • Industrial manufacturers using magnets in various applications.
  • Medical device companies incorporating magnets into their products.
  • Consumer electronics companies utilizing magnets in their devices.
AI Confidence: 67% Updated: May 10, 2026

How USA Rare Earth, Inc. Is Valued

USA Rare Earth, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $1.85B, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, USAR's quantitative score of 14/100 is below the peer average of 62/100.

Company Profile

USA Rare Earth, Inc. operates in the Industrial Materials industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in New York City, US. The company is led by CEO Barbara W. Humpton. USAR has traded publicly since 2025.

ROE -77%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for USA Rare Earth, Inc. stands at -76.5%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -19.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -7.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 36.29 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -11.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 4/9Financial Health

USA Rare Earth, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.73 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project USA Rare Earth, Inc. revenue of about $79.3M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-0.51.

Net buyingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, USA Rare Earth, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 10 sales and 20 purchases. On net that is roughly 83K shares acquired (about $3.7M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

USAR Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Return on Equity (TTM)
-76.5%
Current Ratio
36.3

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Insider buying has increased, indicating confidence from leadership in the company's future.
  • Community sentiment has turned positive as discussions around rare earth elements gain traction amid global supply chain concerns.
  • Recent partnerships in the renewable energy sector have boosted optimism about USA Rare Earth's growth potential.
  • Market perception is shifting as investors recognize the strategic importance of domestic rare earth production.

Bear Case

  • Skepticism remains regarding the scalability of production capabilities amidst rising demand for rare earth materials.
  • Community sentiment reflects concerns over regulatory hurdles that could delay project timelines.
  • Some analysts highlight potential competition from established players in the rare earth market, which may impact market share.
  • Recent volatility in commodity prices has raised doubts about the stability of future revenues for USA Rare Earth.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026

USAR Latest News

USAR Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for USAR.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $34.33

USAR MoonshotScore

14/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates USAR's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest USA Rare Earth, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Barbara W. Humpton

CEO

Barbara W. Humpton serves as the CEO of USA Rare Earth, Inc. Her background includes extensive experience in management and strategic leadership. She is responsible for overseeing the development of the company's rare earth magnet manufacturing, minerals supply, extraction, and processing plant. Humpton's role involves managing the company's operations and driving its strategic vision.

Track Record: As CEO, Barbara W. Humpton is currently focused on establishing USA Rare Earth as a key player in the domestic rare earth magnet supply chain. Her leadership is centered on developing the company's manufacturing capabilities and securing strategic partnerships. She manages 30 employees.

What Investors Ask About USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) — Basic Materials

What does USA Rare Earth Inc do?

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is focused on establishing a vertically integrated supply chain for rare earth magnets within the United States. The company is developing a NdFeB magnet manufacturing, minerals supply, extraction, and processing plant. By controlling the entire process from mining to manufacturing, USAR aims to provide a secure and reliable source of rare earth magnets for critical industries such as defense, automotive, and electronics, reducing reliance on foreign suppliers.

What do analysts say about USAR stock?

As of 2026-05-10, there is limited analyst coverage specifically for USA Rare Earth Inc. due to its stage of development and unique market position. However, general sentiment surrounding the rare earth magnet market is positive, driven by increasing demand from the electric vehicle and renewable energy sectors. Investors are closely watching the company's progress in establishing its manufacturing capabilities and securing government support. Key valuation metrics will become more relevant as the company scales up its operations and generates revenue.

What are the main risks for USAR?

The main risks for USA Rare Earth include competition from established rare earth magnet producers, particularly those in China, which currently dominate the market. Fluctuations in rare earth mineral prices can impact the company's profitability. Geopolitical risks and trade tensions could disrupt supply chains. The company's success depends on the successful development and operation of its manufacturing plant, which involves technological and operational challenges. The negative profit margin reflects the ongoing investment phase.

What are the key factors to evaluate for USAR?

USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) holds an AI score of 14/100 (low). Analysts target $34.33 (+79%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does USAR data refresh on this page?

USAR prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven USAR's recent stock price performance?

USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Vertically integrated supply chain. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider USAR overvalued or undervalued right now?

Valuing USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) requires multiple metrics. Analysts target $34.33 (+79%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying USAR?

Before investing in USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on limited information.
  • Future performance depends on successful execution of strategic plans.
Data Sources

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