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Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. (TYFG) Stock Analysis

$79.00 -$1.00 (-1.25%) |CouncilBullish Lean · 58 · B
Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. (TYFG) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (58/100) and AI Score (53/100) broadly agree. Strongest single signal: Seth Klarman bullish.
MCap: $188M| P/E Ratio: 9.5| Vol: 11.4K| 52-wk range: $46.00 – $83.75
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. (TYFG) trades at $79.00 with AI Score 53/100 (Grade B). Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. Market cap: $188M, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: Mar 16, 2026
Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. is a bank holding company operating through First State Bank, providing financial services to individuals and businesses in the United States. The company focuses on traditional banking products and services, operating primarily in Illinois and Wisconsin.

Analyst Coverage for TYFG: TYFG does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates TYFG against Financial Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns a mixed fundamental profile based on the underlying data.

Watch the TYFG film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 58/100 · B

TYFG: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Bullish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. (TYFG) Financial Services Profile

CEOKirk L. Ross
HeadquartersMendota, US
IPO Year2018

Tri-County Financial Group, operating as First State Bank, serves individuals and businesses in the US with traditional banking products, including deposit accounts and various loan types. With a focus on Illinois and Wisconsin, the company navigates the competitive regional banking landscape while maintaining a community-oriented approach and a $188M market cap.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: Mar 16, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for TYFG?

As of Mar 16, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Tri-County Financial Group presents a community banking model with a focus on traditional banking services. With a market capitalization of $188M and a P/E ratio of 9.5, the company exhibits stable profitability, reflected in its 14.9% profit margin. The dividend yield of 1.93% offers a modest income stream for investors. Growth catalysts include expanding its digital banking services and strategic branch expansion within its existing geographic footprint. Potential risks include competition from larger regional and national banks, as well as the impact of changing interest rates on its loan portfolio. The company's beta of 0.10 suggests low volatility compared to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TYFG Key Highlights

Market Cap of $188M indicates a small-cap bank.

  • P/E Ratio of 9.5 suggests the company may be undervalued compared to its earnings.
  • Profit Margin of 14.9% demonstrates solid profitability within the banking sector.
  • Gross Margin of 72.9% reflects efficient cost management in its operations.
  • Dividend Yield of 1.93% provides a modest income stream for investors.

Who Are TYFG's Competitors?

TYFG is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
BNCC BNCCORP, Inc. $31.72 -1.03% $112M 65
CNBP Cornerstone Bancorp Inc. $120.10 +0.00% $118M 48
CPKF Chesapeake Financial Shares, Inc. $39.22 -0.03% $184M 63
KISB Kish Bancorp, Inc. $72.50 +0.71% $220M 63
PBNC PB Financial Corporation $69.24 +0.00% $209M 53
HWBK Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. $39.44 +0.19% $272M 92
FRAF Franklin Financial Services Corporation $62.10 +0.40% $279M 92
FUNC First United Corporation $43.35 -0.55% $280M 92

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are TYFG's Key Strengths?

Strong local presence in Illinois and Wisconsin.

  • Diverse lending portfolio.
  • Established relationships with local businesses.
  • Community-focused banking approach.

What Are TYFG's Weaknesses?

Limited geographic reach compared to larger banks.

  • Dependence on traditional banking services.
  • Smaller market capitalization limits access to capital.
  • Vulnerable to interest rate fluctuations.

What Could Drive TYFG Stock Higher?

Expansion of digital banking services to attract and retain customers.

  • Strategic branch expansion in underserved areas within its existing geographic footprint.
  • Focus on small business lending to capitalize on a key driver of economic growth.
  • Cross-selling financial products to increase revenue per customer.
  • Leveraging technology for operational efficiency and cost reduction.

What Are the Key Risks for TYFG?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.36 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Competition from larger regional and national banks with greater resources.
  • Disruption from fintech companies offering innovative financial solutions.
  • Economic downturn impacting loan quality and profitability.
  • Increasing regulatory scrutiny and compliance costs.
  • Interest rate fluctuations affecting net interest margin.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TYFG?

  • Expansion of Digital Banking Services: Tri-County Financial Group can capitalize on the growing demand for digital banking by enhancing its online and mobile platforms. Investing in user-friendly interfaces, mobile payment options, and personalized financial management tools can attract and retain customers. The market for digital banking is projected to reach $9.0 trillion by 2027, offering a significant growth opportunity for the company. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Branch Expansion: While digital banking is on the rise, physical branches remain important for certain customer segments, particularly for complex transactions and personalized service. Tri-County Financial Group can strategically expand its branch network in underserved areas within its existing geographic footprint. This expansion can increase market share and brand awareness. Timeline: Within the next 3-5 years.
  • Focus on Small Business Lending: Small businesses are a key driver of economic growth and represent a significant market opportunity for regional banks. Tri-County Financial Group can focus on providing tailored lending solutions to small businesses, including term loans, lines of credit, and equipment financing. Building strong relationships with local businesses can generate long-term revenue streams. The market for small business lending is estimated at $800 billion annually. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Cross-Selling Financial Products: Tri-County Financial Group can increase revenue by cross-selling its various financial products and services to existing customers. This includes offering insurance products, investment services, and mortgage banking solutions to its customer base. Cross-selling can improve customer loyalty and increase revenue per customer. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Leveraging Technology for Operational Efficiency: Investing in technology can improve operational efficiency and reduce costs for Tri-County Financial Group. This includes automating back-office processes, streamlining customer service operations, and enhancing risk management capabilities. Improved efficiency can lead to higher profitability and a stronger competitive position. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are TYFG's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established presence in local markets.
  • Strong relationships with local businesses and communities.
  • Community bank reputation fosters customer loyalty.
  • Access to local deposit base provides funding advantage.

What Does TYFG Do?

Tri-County Financial Group, Inc., established in 1986, functions as the bank holding company for First State Bank. Headquartered in Mendota, Illinois, the bank provides a comprehensive suite of banking products and services to individuals and businesses. These offerings encompass traditional banking solutions, including demand deposits, certificates of deposit, and various personal and business checking and savings accounts. The company's lending portfolio is diverse, featuring home mortgages, home equity lines of credit, auto loans, personal loans, commercial real estate loans, business term loans, agricultural loans, and farm machinery loans. First State Bank also provides installment loans and secondary market mortgage services. To cater to evolving customer needs, the bank offers personal and business credit cards, along with business services such as online and mobile treasury management, ACH and check positive pay, merchant cards, remote deposit capture, and FSBpaynow. Furthermore, Tri-County Financial Group extends its services through mortgage banking, insurance, and other investment solutions. The bank operates through its main facility in Mendota and a network of branches located across Illinois, including Peru, LaMoille, and Streator, as well as mortgage banking offices in both Illinois and Wisconsin. This regional presence allows Tri-County Financial Group to maintain close relationships with its customer base and adapt to local market conditions.

What Products and Services Does TYFG Offer?

  • Accepts demand deposits and certificates of deposit.
  • Offers personal and business checking and savings accounts.
  • Provides home mortgage and home equity lines of credit.
  • Offers auto, personal, and commercial real estate loans.
  • Provides business term, agriculture, and farm machinery loans.
  • Offers personal and business credit cards.
  • Provides online and mobile treasury management services.
  • Offers mortgage banking, insurance, and other investment services.

How Does TYFG Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through interest income from loans.
  • Earns fees from services such as credit cards and treasury management.
  • Manages risk by diversifying its loan portfolio.
  • Focuses on serving individuals and businesses in Illinois and Wisconsin.

What Industry Does TYFG Operate In?

Tri-County Financial Group operates within the regional banking sector, which is characterized by intense competition and evolving customer preferences. The industry is experiencing a shift towards digital banking solutions and increased regulatory scrutiny. Regional banks like Tri-County Financial Group must adapt to these trends to maintain market share and profitability. The competitive landscape includes larger national banks and smaller community banks, all vying for the same customer base. The industry is also influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and economic growth.

Who Are TYFG's Key Customers?

  • Individuals seeking personal banking services.
  • Small businesses requiring loans and deposit accounts.
  • Commercial real estate developers needing financing.
  • Farmers and agricultural businesses.
AI Confidence: 82% Updated: Mar 16, 2026

Company Profile

Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Mendota, US. The company is led by CEO Kirk L. Ross. TYFG has traded publicly since 2018.

ROE 10%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. stands at 10.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TYFG trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.49, below the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 12.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.14 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 8.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

TYFG Valuation & Market Position

With a $188M market cap, Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. sits in the micro-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, TYFG's quantitative score of 53/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 58/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Tri-County Financial Group, Inc.

Revenue for Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. came in at $25.6M during Q2 2026, a 2.2% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $4.1M, with diluted EPS of $1.73. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a micro-cap company operating in Financial Services. Across the four most recent quarters, TYFG averaged $1.68 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 7/9

Financial Health

Tri-County Financial Group, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.36 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

TYFG Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+6.1%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+31.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
+32.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-8.6%
P/E (TTM)
11.6
Return on Equity (TTM)
+10.1%
Current Ratio
3.1
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
9.2

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future, indicating that executives believe in the growth potential.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting the company's strong local presence and customer loyalty.
  • Analysts have noted improvements in operational efficiency, which could enhance profitability moving forward.
  • The financial sector's overall recovery has created a favorable environment for community banks like Tri-County, boosting investor optimism.

Bear Case

  • Some investors remain cautious due to regulatory uncertainties affecting small financial institutions, which could impact growth plans.
  • Recent discussions in the community reflect concerns about competition from larger banks, potentially squeezing market share.
  • Market perception has been tempered by broader economic concerns, leading to hesitance among some traders.
  • A lack of significant news or developments in the last month has left some investors feeling uncertain about the company's trajectory.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $26M $4M $1.73
Q1 2026 $25M $4M $1.86
Q4 2025 $26M $4M $1.60
Q3 2025 $26M $4M $1.53

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TYFG Latest News

No recent news available for TYFG.

TYFG Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for TYFG.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for TYFG.

TYFG MoonshotScore

53/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates TYFG 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Kirk L. Ross

CEO

Kirk L. Ross serves as the CEO of Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. His career spans several decades in the banking industry, with a focus on community banking and financial services. He has held various leadership positions within First State Bank, gaining extensive experience in lending, operations, and strategic planning. Ross is actively involved in community development initiatives and serves on several local boards. He holds a degree in Finance from a regional university.

Track Record: Under Kirk L. Ross's leadership, Tri-County Financial Group has maintained a stable financial performance, navigating the challenges of a competitive banking environment. He has overseen the expansion of the bank's branch network and the implementation of new technology initiatives. Ross has focused on maintaining strong relationships with local businesses and communities, contributing to the bank's reputation as a trusted financial partner.

TYFG OTC Market Information

The OTC Other tier represents the lowest tier of the OTC market, indicating that Tri-County Financial Group may not meet the minimum financial standards or disclosure requirements for higher tiers like OTCQX or OTCQB. Companies in this tier may have limited financial reporting and may not be subject to the same level of regulatory oversight as companies listed on major exchanges like the NYSE or NASDAQ. This tier is often associated with higher risks due to the potential for less transparency and liquidity. Investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough due diligence before investing in companies on the OTC Other tier.

  • OTC Tier: OTC Other
Liquidity: Liquidity for stocks on the OTC Other tier is typically very low. Bid-ask spreads can be wide, making it difficult to buy or sell shares at desired prices. Trading volume may be minimal, leading to price volatility and potential difficulty in executing large trades. Investors should be prepared for limited liquidity and potential delays in buying or selling shares of Tri-County Financial Group.
OTC Risk Factors:
  • Limited financial disclosure increases information asymmetry.
  • Low trading volume and liquidity can lead to price volatility.
  • Potential for fraud or manipulation is higher on the OTC Other tier.
  • Lack of regulatory oversight increases investment risk.
  • Difficulty in obtaining accurate and timely information about the company.
Due Diligence Checklist:
  • Verify the company's financial statements and SEC filings (if any).
  • Research the background and experience of the company's management team.
  • Assess the company's business model and competitive landscape.
  • Evaluate the company's capital structure and debt levels.
  • Review any legal or regulatory issues involving the company.
  • Consult with a qualified financial advisor.
  • Understand the risks associated with investing in OTC stocks.
Legitimacy Signals:
  • Longevity of operations since incorporation in 1986.
  • Operation as a bank holding company for First State Bank.
  • Physical presence with multiple branch locations in Illinois and Wisconsin.
  • Provision of traditional banking services to individuals and businesses.
  • CEO Kirk L. Ross's tenure and experience in the banking industry.

TYFG Financial Services Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for TYFG?

TYFG holds an AI Score of 53/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. is a bank holding company operating through First State Bank, providing financial services to individuals and businesses in the United States. The company focuses …

What does Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. do?

Tri-County Financial Group, Inc., through its subsidiary First State Bank, provides a range of banking and financial services to individuals and businesses primarily in Illinois and Wisconsin. These services include deposit accounts, various loan products (mortgages, auto loans, commercial loans), credit cards, and business services like online treasury management.

What are the main risks for TYFG?

As a regional bank, TYFG faces risks including interest rate sensitivity, credit risk in its loan portfolio, and competition from larger institutions and fintech companies. Economic downturns in its operating regions could negatively impact loan demand and asset quality. Furthermore, increasing regulatory compliance costs and the need to invest in technology to remain competitive pose ongoing challenges. The company's OTC listing also carries specific risks related to liquidity and disclosure.

How is Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. adapting to fintech disruption?

Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. is adapting to fintech disruption by investing in and expanding its digital banking services. This includes offering online and mobile banking platforms, mobile payment options, and other technology-driven solutions. By enhancing its digital capabilities, the company aims to attract and retain customers who prefer convenient and accessible banking services. The company's FSBpaynow service is also an example of adapting to the fintech landscape.

What is Tri-County Financial Group, Inc.'s credit quality and risk management approach?

Tri-County Financial Group, Inc.'s credit quality and risk management approach involve diversifying its loan portfolio across various sectors, including residential mortgages, commercial real estate, and agriculture. The company also implements credit underwriting standards and monitors loan performance to identify and mitigate potential risks. Provision levels are maintained to cover potential loan losses. The company's risk management framework is designed to ensure the stability and sustainability of its operations.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TYFG?

Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. (TYFG) holds an AI score of 53/100 (moderate). P/E: 9.5x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.

How frequently does TYFG data refresh on this page?

TYFG's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven TYFG's recent stock price performance?

Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. (TYFG) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong local presence in Illinois and Wisconsin. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TYFG overvalued or undervalued right now?

Tri-County Financial Group, Inc. (TYFG) trades at 9.5x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • OTC data may be less reliable than exchange-listed data.
  • AI analysis pending for more comprehensive insights.
Data Sources

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